(DINO) HF Sinclair - NYSE
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 12.601m USD | Total Return: 89.2% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 147M
EPS Trend: -17.2%
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: -95.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Confidence
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) is an independent energy company headquartered in Dallas, Texas, operating a diversified portfolio across refining, renewables, marketing, lubricants, and midstream services. The company manages a network of refineries in the Western and Midcontinental United States, processing crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Its midstream and logistics infrastructure supports the transportation and storage of these products across the Southwest, Rocky Mountains, and Pacific Northwest.
The company maintains a significant retail footprint, supplying fuels to approximately 1,700 branded stations and licensing the Sinclair brand to hundreds of additional locations. Unlike integrated oil majors, independent refiners like HF Sinclair typically operate with higher sensitivity to the crack spread, which is the pricing differential between crude oil and finished petroleum products. The firm has also expanded into the renewables sector to align with shifting energy demands, specifically focusing on renewable diesel production.
The lubricants and specialties segment distinguishes HF Sinclair from pure-play refiners by producing high-margin base oils, specialty chemicals, and waxes for industrial applications. This diversification helps mitigate the cyclical volatility inherent in the commodity refining market. For a more granular view of the companys financial health, consider reviewing the fundamental metrics available on ValueRay.
- Crack spreads and refining margins drive core downstream profitability
- Renewable diesel production volumes impact federal tax credit capture
- Crude oil price volatility influences feedstock costs and inventory valuation
- Sinclair brand expansion increases high-margin marketing and licensing revenue
- Lubricants and specialties segment diversification buffers against fuel demand cycles
| Net Income: 1.23b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.53 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.31% < 20% (prev 8.32%; Δ 1.99% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 1.86b > Net Income 1.23b |
| Net Debt (2.59b) to EBITDA (2.70b): 0.96 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (180.7m) vs 12m ago -4.16% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 11.02% > 18% (prev 8.16%; Δ 2.86% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 159.1% > 50% (prev 168.8%; Δ -9.66% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.79b / Interest Expense TTM 212.0m) |
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 6.44b - Total Current Liabilities 3.59b) / Total Assets 18.2b |
| B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 5.93b / Total Assets 18.2b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 1.79b / Avg Total Assets 17.4b) |
| D: 1.14 (Book Value of Equity 9.66b / Total Liabilities 8.44b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.99 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.40 (Receivables 1.90b/1.38b, Revenue 27.6b/27.9b) |
| GMI: 0.74 (GM 8.16% / 11.02%) |
| AQI: -0.02 (AQ_t -0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.28) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 27.6b / 27.9b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.23b - CFO 1.86b) / TA 18.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.55 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of June 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 71.26 with a total of 2,565,457 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.18%,
over one month by +2.71%,
over three months by +28.76% and
over the past year by +89.16%.
HF Sinclair has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.56. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DINO.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 73.9 | 3.7% |
P/E Trailing = 10.4955
P/E Forward = 7.485
P/S = 0.4562
P/B = 1.32
P/EG = 0.9595
Revenue TTM = 27.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.79b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.70b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 107.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.74b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 483.0m
Net Debt = 2.59b USD (calculated: Debt 3.74b - CCE 1.15b)
Enterprise Value = 15.2b USD (12.6b + Debt 3.74b - CCE 1.15b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.44 (Ebit TTM 1.79b / Interest Expense TTM 212.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.94x (Enterprise Value 15.2b / FCF TTM 1.17b)
FCF Yield = 7.73% (FCF TTM 1.17b / Enterprise Value 15.2b)
FCF Margin = 4.25% (FCF TTM 1.17b / Revenue TTM 27.6b)
Net Margin = 4.46% (Net Income TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 27.6b)
Gross Margin = 11.02% ((Revenue TTM 27.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.35% (prev 2.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.84 (Enterprise Value 15.2b / Total Assets 18.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.67% (Interest Expense 212.0m / Debt 3.74b)
Taxrate = 21.37% (336.0m / 1.57b)
NOPAT = 1.41b (EBIT 1.79b * (1 - 21.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.79 (Total Current Assets 6.44b / Total Current Liabilities 3.59b)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 3.74b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.96 (Net Debt 2.59b / EBITDA 2.70b)
Debt / FCF = 2.21 (Net Debt 2.59b / FCF TTM 1.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.09% (Net Income 1.23b / Total Assets 18.2b)
RoE = 13.11% (Net Income TTM 1.23b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.39b)
RoCE = 14.71% (EBIT 1.79b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.39b + L.T.Debt 2.77b))
RoIC = 10.39% (NOPAT 1.41b / Invested Capital 13.5b)
WACC = 8.04% (E(12.6b)/V(16.3b) * Re(9.10%) + D(3.74b)/V(16.3b) * Rd(5.67%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -64.44 | Cagr: -1.53%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈898.2m ; Y1≈1.03b ; Y5≈1.52b
[DCF] Fair Price = 112.1 (EV 22.8b - Net Debt 2.59b = Equity 20.2b / Shares 180.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -17.24 | EPS CAGR: -87.98% | SUE: 1.39 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -95.26 | Revenue CAGR: -9.22% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.51 | Chg30d=+22.88% | Revisions=+45% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.94 | Chg30d=+22.76% | Revisions=+56% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.07 | Chg30d=+15.50% | Revisions=+60% | GrowthEPS=+79.2% | GrowthRev=+23.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.45 | Chg30d=+24.30% | Revisions=+71% | GrowthEPS=-17.9% | GrowthRev=-8.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +71%