(DINO) HF Sinclair - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US4039491000
Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, Lubricants, Asphalt
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.05% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.23% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.33% |
| Payout Consistency | 83.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 70.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 52.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.48% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.80 |
| Alpha | 16.69 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.06 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.572 |
| Beta | 1.009 |
| Beta Downside | 1.324 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.35% |
| Mean DD | 20.37% |
| Median DD | 16.67% |
Description: DINO HF Sinclair November 03, 2025
HF Sinclair Corp (NYSE:DINO) is an independent U.S. energy firm that runs five business segments-Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream-serving the Southwest, Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and adjacent Plains states. The company operates six refineries across Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming, producing gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, chemicals, and modified asphalt, and supplies roughly 1,300 Sinclair-branded stations while licensing the brand at another 300 locations.
Key recent metrics include an adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.2 billion for 2023 and an average refining margin of about $15 per barrel, reflecting the ongoing recovery in diesel demand and the impact of the U.S. renewable diesel tax credit. The renewables segment now runs roughly 45,000 bpd of renewable diesel capacity, positioning the company to benefit from the growing “low-carbon fuel” mandates in the Midwest and West. Midstream throughput has risen modestly as crude-oil transportation volumes increase with higher domestic production, a sector driver that can boost fee-based earnings even when refining margins compress.
For a deeper quantitative view of DINO’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (393.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.61b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.01% (prev 8.05%; Δ 1.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.17b > Net Income 393.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.79b) to EBITDA (1.63b) ratio: 1.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (186.5m) change vs 12m ago -1.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 9.81% (prev 11.28%; Δ -1.47pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 157.6% (prev 176.1%; Δ -18.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.02 (EBITDA TTM 1.63b / Interest Expense TTM 181.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.09
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 5.64b - Total Current Liabilities 2.95b) / Total Assets 17.26b |
| (B) 0.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.49b / Total Assets 17.26b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 729.3m / Avg Total Assets 17.08b |
| (D) 0.70 = Book Value of Equity 5.47b / Total Liabilities 7.77b |
| Total Rating: 3.09 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.04
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.84% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.41% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.34 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.96)% |
| 7. RoE 4.23% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -37.86% |
| 9. EPS Trend -32.06% |
What is the price of DINO shares?
As of December 09, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 49.40 with a total of 2,901,811 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.83%, over one month by -9.93%, over three months by -2.42% and over the past year by +32.07%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.83%, over one month by -9.93%, over three months by -2.42% and over the past year by +32.07%.
Is DINO a buy, sell or hold?
HF Sinclair has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.82.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy DINO.
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DINO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 60.5 | 22.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 60.5 | 22.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 54.9 | 11.2% |
DINO Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025
Market Cap USD = 9.92b (9.92b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 25.128
P/E Forward = 10.1215
P/S = 0.3687
P/B = 1.0321
P/EG = 42.2403
Beta = 0.831
Revenue TTM = 26.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 729.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.24b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.71b USD (9.92b + Debt 3.24b - CCE 1.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.02 (Ebit TTM 729.3m / Interest Expense TTM 181.5m)
FCF Yield = 7.84% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Enterprise Value 11.71b)
FCF Margin = 3.41% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Net Margin = 1.46% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Gross Margin = 9.81% ((Revenue TTM 26.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.59% (prev 5.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.68 (Enterprise Value 11.71b / Total Assets 17.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.57% (Interest Expense 51.0m / Debt 3.24b)
Taxrate = 23.30% (123.0m / 528.0m)
NOPAT = 559.4m (EBIT 729.3m * (1 - 23.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 5.64b / Total Current Liabilities 2.95b)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 3.24b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.10 (Net Debt 1.79b / EBITDA 1.63b)
Debt / FCF = 1.95 (Net Debt 1.79b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.28% (Net Income 393.5m / Total Assets 17.26b)
RoE = 4.23% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.29b)
RoCE = 6.05% (EBIT 729.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.29b + L.T.Debt 2.77b))
RoIC = 4.67% (NOPAT 559.4m / Invested Capital 11.98b)
WACC = 7.63% (E(9.92b)/V(13.16b) * Re(9.73%) + D(3.24b)/V(13.16b) * Rd(1.57%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.23% ; FCFE base≈1.07b ; Y1≈705.3m ; Y5≈322.5m
Fair Price DCF = 26.68 (DCF Value 4.91b / Shares Outstanding 183.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -32.06 | EPS CAGR: 39.00% | SUE: 1.82 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -37.86 | Revenue CAGR: 7.02% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=+0.051 | Revisions Net=+4 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.57 | Chg30d=+0.162 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=-7.8% | Growth Revenue=+0.8%
P/E Trailing = 25.128
P/E Forward = 10.1215
P/S = 0.3687
P/B = 1.0321
P/EG = 42.2403
Beta = 0.831
Revenue TTM = 26.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 729.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.24b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.71b USD (9.92b + Debt 3.24b - CCE 1.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.02 (Ebit TTM 729.3m / Interest Expense TTM 181.5m)
FCF Yield = 7.84% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Enterprise Value 11.71b)
FCF Margin = 3.41% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Net Margin = 1.46% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Gross Margin = 9.81% ((Revenue TTM 26.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.59% (prev 5.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.68 (Enterprise Value 11.71b / Total Assets 17.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.57% (Interest Expense 51.0m / Debt 3.24b)
Taxrate = 23.30% (123.0m / 528.0m)
NOPAT = 559.4m (EBIT 729.3m * (1 - 23.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 5.64b / Total Current Liabilities 2.95b)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 3.24b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.10 (Net Debt 1.79b / EBITDA 1.63b)
Debt / FCF = 1.95 (Net Debt 1.79b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.28% (Net Income 393.5m / Total Assets 17.26b)
RoE = 4.23% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.29b)
RoCE = 6.05% (EBIT 729.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.29b + L.T.Debt 2.77b))
RoIC = 4.67% (NOPAT 559.4m / Invested Capital 11.98b)
WACC = 7.63% (E(9.92b)/V(13.16b) * Re(9.73%) + D(3.24b)/V(13.16b) * Rd(1.57%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.23% ; FCFE base≈1.07b ; Y1≈705.3m ; Y5≈322.5m
Fair Price DCF = 26.68 (DCF Value 4.91b / Shares Outstanding 183.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -32.06 | EPS CAGR: 39.00% | SUE: 1.82 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -37.86 | Revenue CAGR: 7.02% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=+0.051 | Revisions Net=+4 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.57 | Chg30d=+0.162 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=-7.8% | Growth Revenue=+0.8%
Additional Sources for DINO Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle