(DINO) HF Sinclair - Overview
Stock: Gasoline, Diesel, Jet, Renewable, Lubricants
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.96 |
| Alpha | 24.50 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.009 |
| Beta Downside | 1.450 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.35% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.04 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: DINO HF Sinclair January 06, 2026
HF Sinclair Corp. (NYSE:DINO) is an independent U.S. energy firm that operates across five segments-Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream-supplying gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, chemicals, and modified asphalt. Its refinery footprint spans Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming, with a primary market focus on the Southwest, Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and adjacent Plains states. The company also supports roughly 1,300 Sinclair-branded stations and licenses the brand to another 300 locations, while offering crude-oil transportation, storage, and terminal services.
Key operational metrics (as of FY 2023) include a combined refining capacity of ~540 k bpd and an average realized refining margin of $13.5 per barrel, reflecting modest upside from tightening crack spreads. Renewable diesel output grew 22 % YoY, positioning Sinclair to benefit from the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard’s increasing mandated blend rates. Midstream throughput averaged 1.1 MMbbl / day, providing a diversified cash-flow buffer against volatility in finished-product margins.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation of DINO, see the detailed analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: -37.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.20 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -13.45% < 20% (prev 8.05%; Δ -21.50% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.17b > Net Income -37.5m |
| Net Debt (1.79b) to EBITDA (942.5m): 1.90 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.22 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (182.8m) vs 12m ago -3.69% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 7.09% > 18% (prev 0.11%; Δ 697.7% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 156.4% > 50% (prev 176.1%; Δ -19.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.23 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 942.5m / Interest Expense TTM 194.5m) |
Altman Z'' 0.50
| A: -0.21 (Total Current Assets 978.0m - Total Current Liabilities 4.49b) / Total Assets 16.51b |
| B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 5.49b / Total Assets 16.51b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 45.3m / Avg Total Assets 16.70b) |
| D: 0.75 (Book Value of Equity 5.47b / Total Liabilities 7.26b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.50 = B |
Beneish M -2.02
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 1.35b/1.38b, Revenue 26.12b/29.74b) |
| GMI: 1.59 (GM 7.09% / 11.28%) |
| AQI: 1.92 (AQ_t 0.52 / AQ_t-1 0.27) |
| SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 26.12b / 29.74b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI -37.5m - CFO 1.17b) / TA 16.51b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.02 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
What is the price of DINO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.04%, over one month by +4.84%, over three months by -6.62% and over the past year by +40.10%.
Is DINO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DINO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 60 | 18.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 60 | 18.9% |
DINO Fundamental Data Overview February 20, 2026
P/E Forward = 11.1982
P/S = 0.3586
P/B = 1.1417
P/EG = 8.5643
Revenue TTM = 26.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 45.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 942.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.77b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.44b USD (9.65b + Debt 2.77b - CCE 978.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.23 (Ebit TTM 45.3m / Interest Expense TTM 194.5m)
EV/FCF = 12.47x (Enterprise Value 11.44b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
FCF Yield = 8.02% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Enterprise Value 11.44b)
FCF Margin = 3.51% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Revenue TTM 26.12b)
Net Margin = -0.14% (Net Income TTM -37.5m / Revenue TTM 26.12b)
Gross Margin = 7.09% ((Revenue TTM 26.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.92% (prev 5.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 11.44b / Total Assets 16.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.31% (Interest Expense 64.0m / Debt 2.77b)
Taxrate = 19.95% (146.0m / 732.0m)
NOPAT = 36.2m (EBIT 45.3m * (1 - 19.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.22 (Total Current Assets 978.0m / Total Current Liabilities 4.49b)
Debt / Equity = 0.30 (Debt 2.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.25b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.90 (Net Debt 1.79b / EBITDA 942.5m)
Debt / FCF = 1.95 (Net Debt 1.79b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.22% (Net Income -37.5m / Total Assets 16.51b)
RoE = -0.41% (Net Income TTM -37.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.25b)
RoCE = 0.38% (EBIT 45.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.25b + L.T.Debt 2.77b))
RoIC = 0.30% (NOPAT 36.2m / Invested Capital 11.98b)
WACC = 7.90% (E(9.65b)/V(12.42b) * Re(9.63%) + D(2.77b)/V(12.42b) * Rd(2.31%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.13%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.71% ; FCFF base≈1.07b ; Y1≈705.2m ; Y5≈321.7m
Fair Price DCF = 25.11 (EV 6.41b - Net Debt 1.79b = Equity 4.62b / Shares 183.9m; r=7.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -49.86 | EPS CAGR: 5.26% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: -76.91 | Revenue CAGR: -4.01% | SUE: 1.14 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=-0.522 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.48 | Chg30d=-0.802 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=-11.5% | Growth Revenue=-15.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.29 | Chg30d=-0.528 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+18.1% | Growth Revenue=+9.9%