(DINO) HF Sinclair - Ratings and Ratios
Gasoline, Diesel, Jet, Renewable, Lubricants
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.15% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.05% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 54.61% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 70.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 54.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.26% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.23 |
| Alpha | 36.00 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.06 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.476 |
| Beta | 1.020 |
| Beta Downside | 1.390 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.35% |
| Mean DD | 20.84% |
| Median DD | 18.28% |
Description: DINO HF Sinclair January 06, 2026
HF Sinclair Corp. (NYSE:DINO) is an independent U.S. energy firm that operates across five segments-Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream-supplying gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, chemicals, and modified asphalt. Its refinery footprint spans Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming, with a primary market focus on the Southwest, Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and adjacent Plains states. The company also supports roughly 1,300 Sinclair-branded stations and licenses the brand to another 300 locations, while offering crude-oil transportation, storage, and terminal services.
Key operational metrics (as of FY 2023) include a combined refining capacity of ~540 k bpd and an average realized refining margin of $13.5 per barrel, reflecting modest upside from tightening crack spreads. Renewable diesel output grew 22 % YoY, positioning Sinclair to benefit from the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard’s increasing mandated blend rates. Midstream throughput averaged 1.1 MMbbl / day, providing a diversified cash-flow buffer against volatility in finished-product margins.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation of DINO, see the detailed analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (393.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.61b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.01% (prev 8.05%; Δ 1.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.17b > Net Income 393.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.79b) to EBITDA (1.63b) ratio: 1.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (186.5m) change vs 12m ago -1.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 9.81% (prev 11.28%; Δ -1.47pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 157.6% (prev 176.1%; Δ -18.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.02 (EBITDA TTM 1.63b / Interest Expense TTM 181.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.09
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 5.64b - Total Current Liabilities 2.95b) / Total Assets 17.26b |
| (B) 0.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.49b / Total Assets 17.26b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 729.3m / Avg Total Assets 17.08b |
| (D) 0.70 = Book Value of Equity 5.47b / Total Liabilities 7.77b |
| Total Rating: 3.09 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.18
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.50% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.41% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.34 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.84)% |
| 7. RoE 4.23% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -37.86% |
| 9. EPS Trend -58.93% |
What is the price of DINO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.00%, over one month by +2.43%, over three months by -2.47% and over the past year by +52.91%.
Is DINO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DINO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 60.4 | 19.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 60.4 | 19.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 52.9 | 4.6% |
DINO Fundamental Data Overview January 08, 2026
P/E Trailing = 22.8246
P/E Forward = 9.2166
P/S = 0.3349
P/B = 0.9394
P/EG = 8.5643
Beta = 0.829
Revenue TTM = 26.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 729.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.24b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.80b USD (9.01b + Debt 3.24b - CCE 1.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.02 (Ebit TTM 729.3m / Interest Expense TTM 181.5m)
FCF Yield = 8.50% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Enterprise Value 10.80b)
FCF Margin = 3.41% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Net Margin = 1.46% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Gross Margin = 9.81% ((Revenue TTM 26.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.59% (prev 5.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 10.80b / Total Assets 17.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.57% (Interest Expense 51.0m / Debt 3.24b)
Taxrate = 23.30% (123.0m / 528.0m)
NOPAT = 559.4m (EBIT 729.3m * (1 - 23.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 5.64b / Total Current Liabilities 2.95b)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 3.24b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.10 (Net Debt 1.79b / EBITDA 1.63b)
Debt / FCF = 1.95 (Net Debt 1.79b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.28% (Net Income 393.5m / Total Assets 17.26b)
RoE = 4.23% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.29b)
RoCE = 6.05% (EBIT 729.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.29b + L.T.Debt 2.77b))
RoIC = 4.67% (NOPAT 559.4m / Invested Capital 11.98b)
WACC = 7.51% (E(9.01b)/V(12.25b) * Re(9.78%) + D(3.24b)/V(12.25b) * Rd(1.57%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.03% ; FCFE base≈1.07b ; Y1≈705.3m ; Y5≈322.5m
Fair Price DCF = 26.50 (DCF Value 4.88b / Shares Outstanding 183.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -58.93 | EPS CAGR: -15.21% | SUE: -2.39 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -37.86 | Revenue CAGR: 7.02% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.79 | Chg30d=+0.052 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.77 | Chg30d=+0.203 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=-0.7% | Growth Revenue=+0.6%
Additional Sources for DINO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle