(DINO) HF Sinclair - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US4039491000
Stock: Gasoline, Diesel, Jet, Renewable, Lubricants
Total Rating 54
Risk 87
Buy Signal -0.44
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.93% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.36% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 54.61% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 70.2% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.69% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.11 |
| Alpha | 31.52 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.059 |
| Beta Downside | 1.440 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.35% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.04 |
Description: DINO HF Sinclair January 06, 2026
HF Sinclair Corp. (NYSE:DINO) is an independent U.S. energy firm that operates across five segments-Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream-supplying gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, chemicals, and modified asphalt. Its refinery footprint spans Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming, with a primary market focus on the Southwest, Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and adjacent Plains states. The company also supports roughly 1,300 Sinclair-branded stations and licenses the brand to another 300 locations, while offering crude-oil transportation, storage, and terminal services.
Key operational metrics (as of FY 2023) include a combined refining capacity of ~540 k bpd and an average realized refining margin of $13.5 per barrel, reflecting modest upside from tightening crack spreads. Renewable diesel output grew 22 % YoY, positioning Sinclair to benefit from the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard’s increasing mandated blend rates. Midstream throughput averaged 1.1 MMbbl / day, providing a diversified cash-flow buffer against volatility in finished-product margins.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation of DINO, see the detailed analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 393.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.44 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.01% < 20% (prev 8.05%; Δ 1.97% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.17b > Net Income 393.5m |
| Net Debt (1.79b) to EBITDA (1.63b): 1.10 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (186.5m) vs 12m ago -1.76% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 9.81% > 18% (prev 0.11%; Δ 969.5% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 157.6% > 50% (prev 176.1%; Δ -18.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.02 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.63b / Interest Expense TTM 181.5m) |
Altman Z'' 3.09
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 5.64b - Total Current Liabilities 2.95b) / Total Assets 17.26b |
| B: 0.32 (Retained Earnings 5.49b / Total Assets 17.26b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 729.3m / Avg Total Assets 17.08b) |
| D: 0.70 (Book Value of Equity 5.47b / Total Liabilities 7.77b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.09 = A |
Beneish M -2.93
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 1.35b/1.38b, Revenue 26.90b/29.74b) |
| GMI: 1.15 (GM 9.81% / 11.28%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.27) |
| SGI: 0.90 (Revenue 26.90b / 29.74b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 393.5m - CFO 1.17b) / TA 17.26b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of DINO shares?
As of January 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 51.25 with a total of 3,960,268 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.33%, over one month by +11.46%, over three months by -4.17% and over the past year by +47.61%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.33%, over one month by +11.46%, over three months by -4.17% and over the past year by +47.61%.
Is DINO a buy, sell or hold?
HF Sinclair has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.82.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy DINO.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DINO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 60.2 | 17.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 60.2 | 17.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 56.8 | 10.9% |
DINO Fundamental Data Overview January 29, 2026
P/E Trailing = 23.673
P/E Forward = 9.4429
P/S = 0.3473
P/B = 0.9627
P/EG = 8.5643
Revenue TTM = 26.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 729.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.24b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.13b USD (9.34b + Debt 3.24b - CCE 1.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.02 (Ebit TTM 729.3m / Interest Expense TTM 181.5m)
EV/FCF = 12.14x (Enterprise Value 11.13b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
FCF Yield = 8.24% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Enterprise Value 11.13b)
FCF Margin = 3.41% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Net Margin = 1.46% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Gross Margin = 9.81% ((Revenue TTM 26.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.59% (prev 5.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.64 (Enterprise Value 11.13b / Total Assets 17.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.57% (Interest Expense 51.0m / Debt 3.24b)
Taxrate = 23.30% (123.0m / 528.0m)
NOPAT = 559.4m (EBIT 729.3m * (1 - 23.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 5.64b / Total Current Liabilities 2.95b)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 3.24b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.10 (Net Debt 1.79b / EBITDA 1.63b)
Debt / FCF = 1.95 (Net Debt 1.79b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.30% (Net Income 393.5m / Total Assets 17.26b)
RoE = 4.23% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.29b)
RoCE = 6.05% (EBIT 729.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.29b + L.T.Debt 2.77b))
RoIC = 4.67% (NOPAT 559.4m / Invested Capital 11.98b)
WACC = 7.60% (E(9.34b)/V(12.59b) * Re(9.82%) + D(3.24b)/V(12.59b) * Rd(1.57%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.08% ; FCFF base≈1.07b ; Y1≈705.2m ; Y5≈321.7m
Fair Price DCF = 27.08 (EV 6.77b - Net Debt 1.79b = Equity 4.98b / Shares 183.9m; r=7.60% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -58.93 | EPS CAGR: -15.21% | SUE: -1.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -37.86 | Revenue CAGR: 7.02% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.67 | Chg30d=-0.157 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.02 | Chg30d=+0.196 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+14.3% | Growth Revenue=-9.1%
P/E Forward = 9.4429
P/S = 0.3473
P/B = 0.9627
P/EG = 8.5643
Revenue TTM = 26.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 729.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.24b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.13b USD (9.34b + Debt 3.24b - CCE 1.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.02 (Ebit TTM 729.3m / Interest Expense TTM 181.5m)
EV/FCF = 12.14x (Enterprise Value 11.13b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
FCF Yield = 8.24% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Enterprise Value 11.13b)
FCF Margin = 3.41% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Net Margin = 1.46% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Gross Margin = 9.81% ((Revenue TTM 26.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.59% (prev 5.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.64 (Enterprise Value 11.13b / Total Assets 17.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.57% (Interest Expense 51.0m / Debt 3.24b)
Taxrate = 23.30% (123.0m / 528.0m)
NOPAT = 559.4m (EBIT 729.3m * (1 - 23.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 5.64b / Total Current Liabilities 2.95b)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 3.24b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.10 (Net Debt 1.79b / EBITDA 1.63b)
Debt / FCF = 1.95 (Net Debt 1.79b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.30% (Net Income 393.5m / Total Assets 17.26b)
RoE = 4.23% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.29b)
RoCE = 6.05% (EBIT 729.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.29b + L.T.Debt 2.77b))
RoIC = 4.67% (NOPAT 559.4m / Invested Capital 11.98b)
WACC = 7.60% (E(9.34b)/V(12.59b) * Re(9.82%) + D(3.24b)/V(12.59b) * Rd(1.57%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.08% ; FCFF base≈1.07b ; Y1≈705.2m ; Y5≈321.7m
Fair Price DCF = 27.08 (EV 6.77b - Net Debt 1.79b = Equity 4.98b / Shares 183.9m; r=7.60% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -58.93 | EPS CAGR: -15.21% | SUE: -1.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -37.86 | Revenue CAGR: 7.02% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.67 | Chg30d=-0.157 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.02 | Chg30d=+0.196 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+14.3% | Growth Revenue=-9.1%