(DINO) HF Sinclair - Ratings and Ratios
Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, Lubricants, Asphalt
DINO EPS (Earnings per Share)
DINO Revenue
Description: DINO HF Sinclair November 03, 2025
HF Sinclair Corp (NYSE:DINO) is an independent U.S. energy firm that runs five business segments-Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream-serving the Southwest, Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and adjacent Plains states. The company operates six refineries across Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming, producing gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricants, chemicals, and modified asphalt, and supplies roughly 1,300 Sinclair-branded stations while licensing the brand at another 300 locations.
Key recent metrics include an adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.2 billion for 2023 and an average refining margin of about $15 per barrel, reflecting the ongoing recovery in diesel demand and the impact of the U.S. renewable diesel tax credit. The renewables segment now runs roughly 45,000 bpd of renewable diesel capacity, positioning the company to benefit from the growing “low-carbon fuel” mandates in the Midwest and West. Midstream throughput has risen modestly as crude-oil transportation volumes increase with higher domestic production, a sector driver that can boost fee-based earnings even when refining margins compress.
For a deeper quantitative view of DINO’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful.
DINO Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 9,870m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| IPO / Inception | 1992-03-17 |
DINO Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 40.6% |
| Fundamental | 46.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 72.7% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 21.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.82 of 5 |
DINO Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.73% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 10.44% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 9.33% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 70.2% |
DINO Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 76.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 69.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 54.6% |
| CAGR 5y | -0.09% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.00 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.00 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.70 |
| Alpha | 26.79 |
| Beta | 0.978 |
| Volatility | 33.97% |
| Current Volume | 3687.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1779k |
| Stop Loss | 51.9 (-5.2%) |
| Signal | 0.83 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (393.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.61b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.01% (prev 8.05%; Δ 1.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.17b > Net Income 393.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.06b) to EBITDA (1.63b) ratio: -0.65 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (186.5m) change vs 12m ago -1.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 9.81% (prev 11.28%; Δ -1.47pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 157.6% (prev 176.1%; Δ -18.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.02 (EBITDA TTM 1.63b / Interest Expense TTM 181.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.09
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 5.64b - Total Current Liabilities 2.95b) / Total Assets 17.26b |
| (B) 0.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.49b / Total Assets 17.26b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 729.3m / Avg Total Assets 17.08b |
| (D) 0.70 = Book Value of Equity 5.47b / Total Liabilities 7.77b |
| Total Rating: 3.09 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.11
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.42% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.41% = 0.85 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.04 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.65 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.94)% = -6.18 |
| 7. RoE 4.23% = 0.35 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -74.53% = -5.59 |
| 9. EPS Trend -46.52% = -2.33 |
What is the price of DINO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.07%, over one month by +5.29%, over three months by +27.04% and over the past year by +38.88%.
Is HF Sinclair a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of DINO is around 51.62 USD . This means that DINO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.68%.
Is DINO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DINO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 58.8 | 7.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 58.8 | 7.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 58.1 | 6.2% |
DINO Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 24.455
P/E Forward = 11.1857
P/S = 0.3669
P/B = 1.0448
P/EG = 42.2403
Beta = 0.978
Revenue TTM = 26.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 729.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 86.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 387.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.06b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.81b USD (9.87b + Debt 387.0m - CCE 1.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.02 (Ebit TTM 729.3m / Interest Expense TTM 181.5m)
FCF Yield = 10.42% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Enterprise Value 8.81b)
FCF Margin = 3.41% (FCF TTM 917.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Net Margin = 1.46% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Revenue TTM 26.90b)
Gross Margin = 9.81% ((Revenue TTM 26.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.59% (prev 5.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.51 (Enterprise Value 8.81b / Total Assets 17.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 13.18% (Interest Expense 51.0m / Debt 387.0m)
Taxrate = 23.30% (123.0m / 528.0m)
NOPAT = 559.4m (EBIT 729.3m * (1 - 23.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 5.64b / Total Current Liabilities 2.95b)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 387.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.65 (Net Debt -1.06b / EBITDA 1.63b)
Debt / FCF = -1.16 (Net Debt -1.06b / FCF TTM 917.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.28% (Net Income 393.5m / Total Assets 17.26b)
RoE = 4.23% (Net Income TTM 393.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.29b)
RoCE = 6.30% (EBIT 729.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.29b + L.T.Debt 2.29b))
RoIC = 4.70% (NOPAT 559.4m / Invested Capital 11.91b)
WACC = 9.64% (E(9.87b)/V(10.26b) * Re(9.62%) + D(387.0m)/V(10.26b) * Rd(13.18%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.68% ; FCFE base≈1.07b ; Y1≈705.3m ; Y5≈322.5m
Fair Price DCF = 26.61 (DCF Value 4.98b / Shares Outstanding 187.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -46.52 | EPS CAGR: -6.90% | SUE: 1.82 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -74.53 | Revenue CAGR: -7.50% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for DINO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle