(DOW) Dow - Ratings and Ratios
Polyethylene, Polyurethane, Silicones, Coatings, Chlor-Alkali
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 71.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.91% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.11 |
| Alpha | -61.42 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.618 |
| Beta | 1.357 |
| Beta Downside | 1.517 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 62.16% |
| Mean DD | 20.52% |
| Median DD | 11.36% |
Description: DOW Dow October 30, 2025
Dow Inc. (NYSE:DOW) is a global materials-science company that supplies chemicals and advanced materials for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer markets across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. Its operations are organized into three segments: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings, with an ancillary property-and-casualty insurance business.
Key recent metrics show Dow generated ≈ $23.5 billion of revenue in FY 2023, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 13 % and a free-cash-flow conversion of about 80 %. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to feedstock costs (natural-gas and naphtha) and to macro-level demand drivers such as global packaging growth (projected CAGR ≈ 4 % through 2028) and sustained infrastructure spending in the United States and Europe.
For a deeper dive into Dow’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might find the analysis on ValueRay worth reviewing.
DOW Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 16,426m |
| Sub-Industry | Commodity Chemicals |
| IPO / Inception | 2019-03-20 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -52.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.33 of 5 |
DOW Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.61% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.56% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 700.0% |
DOW Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -19.32% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.31 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.94 |
| Current Volume | 19585.9k |
| Average Volume | 13044.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (-1.24b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.45b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.00pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.32% (prev 16.56%; Δ 6.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.56b > Net Income -1.24b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (15.02b) to EBITDA (2.98b) ratio: 5.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (703.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 6.88% (prev 10.52%; Δ -3.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 67.97% (prev 72.71%; Δ -4.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.13 (EBITDA TTM 2.98b / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.30
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 19.65b - Total Current Liabilities 10.10b) / Total Assets 60.99b |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 18.58b / Total Assets 60.99b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 107.0m / Avg Total Assets 60.19b |
| (D) 0.26 = Book Value of Equity 10.82b / Total Liabilities 41.93b |
| Total Rating: 2.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 24.60
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.56% |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.74% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.12 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.03 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.08)% |
| 7. RoE -7.20% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -91.20% |
| 9. EPS Trend -82.17% |
What is the price of DOW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.18%, over one month by +2.07%, over three months by -4.94% and over the past year by -46.70%.
Is DOW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DOW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 27.9 | 25.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 27.9 | 25.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 21.6 | -2.8% |
DOW Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Forward = 13.6054
P/S = 0.4015
P/B = 0.8987
P/EG = 0.5389
Beta = 0.786
Revenue TTM = 40.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 107.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.98b USD
Long Term Debt = 16.63b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 870.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.02b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 31.44b USD (16.43b + Debt 19.62b - CCE 4.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.13 (Ebit TTM 107.0m / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m)
FCF Yield = -3.56% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Enterprise Value 31.44b)
FCF Margin = -2.74% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Net Margin = -3.03% (Net Income TTM -1.24b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Gross Margin = 6.88% ((Revenue TTM 40.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 38.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.91% (prev 5.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.52 (Enterprise Value 31.44b / Total Assets 60.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 221.0m / Debt 19.62b)
Taxrate = 77.14% (54.0m / 70.0m)
NOPAT = 24.5m (EBIT 107.0m * (1 - 77.14%))
Current Ratio = 1.94 (Total Current Assets 19.65b / Total Current Liabilities 10.10b)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 19.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.03 (Net Debt 15.02b / EBITDA 2.98b)
Debt / FCF = -13.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 15.02b / FCF TTM -1.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.23b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.03% (Net Income -1.24b / Total Assets 60.99b)
RoE = -7.20% (Net Income TTM -1.24b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.23b)
RoCE = 0.32% (EBIT 107.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 17.23b + L.T.Debt 16.63b))
RoIC = 0.07% (NOPAT 24.5m / Invested Capital 33.20b)
WACC = 5.16% (E(16.43b)/V(36.05b) * Re(11.01%) + D(19.62b)/V(36.05b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.77)))
Discount Rate = 11.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.12b)
EPS Correlation: -82.17 | EPS CAGR: -35.70% | SUE: 0.71 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.20 | Revenue CAGR: -6.10% | SUE: -1.31 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for DOW Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle