(DOW) Dow - Ratings and Ratios
Polyethylene, Polyurethane, Silicones, Coatings, Chlor-Alkali
DOW EPS (Earnings per Share)
DOW Revenue
Description: DOW Dow October 30, 2025
Dow Inc. (NYSE:DOW) is a global materials-science company that supplies chemicals and advanced materials for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer markets across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. Its operations are organized into three segments: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings, with an ancillary property-and-casualty insurance business.
Key recent metrics show Dow generated ≈ $23.5 billion of revenue in FY 2023, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 13 % and a free-cash-flow conversion of about 80 %. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to feedstock costs (natural-gas and naphtha) and to macro-level demand drivers such as global packaging growth (projected CAGR ≈ 4 % through 2028) and sustained infrastructure spending in the United States and Europe.
For a deeper dive into Dow’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might find the analysis on ValueRay worth reviewing.
DOW Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 17,421m |
| Sub-Industry | Commodity Chemicals |
| IPO / Inception | 2019-03-20 |
DOW Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -74.5% |
| Fundamental | 26.0% |
| Dividend Rating | 50.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -57.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.33 of 5 |
DOW Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 11.74% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.67% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 700.0% |
DOW Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 6.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -94.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -39.1% |
| CAGR 5y | -16.69% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.27 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.86 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.31 |
| Alpha | -64.74 |
| Beta | 0.857 |
| Volatility | 45.97% |
| Current Volume | 13051.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 11767.5k |
| Stop Loss | 22.6 (-5.2%) |
| Signal | -0.01 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (-1.13b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.45b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.00pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.32% (prev 16.56%; Δ 6.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.56b > Net Income -1.13b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (15.02b) to EBITDA (2.98b) ratio: 5.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (703.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 6.88% (prev 10.52%; Δ -3.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 67.97% (prev 72.71%; Δ -4.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.13 (EBITDA TTM 2.98b / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.30
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 19.65b - Total Current Liabilities 10.10b) / Total Assets 60.99b |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 18.58b / Total Assets 60.99b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 107.0m / Avg Total Assets 60.19b |
| (D) 0.26 = Book Value of Equity 10.82b / Total Liabilities 41.93b |
| Total Rating: 2.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 26.01
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt = -3.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.45% = -1.73 |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.74% = -1.03 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.12 = 1.91 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.03 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.08)% = -5.10 |
| 7. RoE -6.58% = -1.10 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -91.20% = -6.84 |
| 9. EPS Trend -82.17% = -4.11 |
What is the price of DOW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.87%, over one month by +4.01%, over three months by +3.88% and over the past year by -48.04%.
Is Dow a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of DOW is around 21.67 USD . This means that DOW is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.14%.
Is DOW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DOW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 27.2 | 14% |
| Analysts Target Price | 27.2 | 14% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 23.3 | -2.5% |
DOW Fundamental Data Overview October 25, 2025
P/E Forward = 13.6054
P/S = 0.4166
P/B = 0.9746
P/EG = 0.5389
Beta = 0.857
Revenue TTM = 40.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 107.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.98b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 870.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.02b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 32.44b USD (17.42b + Debt 19.62b - CCE 4.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.13 (Ebit TTM 107.0m / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m)
FCF Yield = -3.45% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Enterprise Value 32.44b)
FCF Margin = -2.74% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Net Margin = -2.77% (Net Income TTM -1.13b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Gross Margin = 6.88% ((Revenue TTM 40.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 38.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.91% (prev 5.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 32.44b / Total Assets 60.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 221.0m / Debt 19.62b)
Taxrate = -77.14% (out of range, set to none) (-54.0m / 70.0m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.94 (Total Current Assets 19.65b / Total Current Liabilities 10.10b)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 19.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.03 (Net Debt 15.02b / EBITDA 2.98b)
Debt / FCF = -13.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 15.02b / FCF TTM -1.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.23b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.86% (Net Income -1.13b / Total Assets 60.99b)
RoE = -6.58% (Net Income TTM -1.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.23b)
RoCE = 0.33% (EBIT 107.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 17.23b + L.T.Debt 14.77b))
RoIC = 0.23% (EBIT 107.0m / (Assets 60.99b - Curr.Liab 10.10b - Cash 4.61b))
WACC = 4.31% (E(17.42b)/V(37.05b) * Re(9.17%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.12b)
EPS Correlation: -82.17 | EPS CAGR: -35.70% | SUE: 0.71 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.20 | Revenue CAGR: -6.10% | SUE: -1.31 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for DOW Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle