Overview Dividends

(DOW) Dow - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US2605571031

Polyethylene, Polyurethane, Silicones, Coatings, Chlor-Alkali

DOW EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -35.70%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -82.2%

DOW Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -6.10%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -91.2%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	44.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	66.6%
Relative Tail Risk	-4.51%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-1.11
Alpha	-62.48

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.559
Beta	1.340
Beta Downside	1.513

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	62.16%
Mean DD	20.12%
Median DD	11.20%

Description: DOW Dow October 30, 2025

Dow Inc. (NYSE:DOW) is a global materials-science company that supplies chemicals and advanced materials for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer markets across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. Its operations are organized into three segments: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings, with an ancillary property-and-casualty insurance business.

Key recent metrics show Dow generated ≈ $23.5 billion of revenue in FY 2023, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 13 % and a free-cash-flow conversion of about 80 %. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to feedstock costs (natural-gas and naphtha) and to macro-level demand drivers such as global packaging growth (projected CAGR ≈ 4 % through 2028) and sustained infrastructure spending in the United States and Europe.

For a deeper dive into Dow’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might find the analysis on ValueRay worth reviewing.

DOW Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	15,843m
Sub-Industry	Commodity Chemicals
IPO / Inception	2019-03-20
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-51.7%
Analyst Rating	3.33 of 5

DOW Dividends

Dividend Yield	12.21%
Yield on Cost 5y	6.80%
Yield CAGR 5y	0.00%
Payout Consistency	97.1%
Payout Ratio	700.0%

DOW Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	-18.36%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	-0.30
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	-0.91
Current Volume	10947.2k
Average Volume	12570.7k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5

Net Income (-1.24b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.45b TTM)

FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.00pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 23.32% (prev 16.56%; Δ 6.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.56b > Net Income -1.24b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (15.02b) to EBITDA (2.98b) ratio: 5.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (703.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 6.88% (prev 10.52%; Δ -3.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 67.97% (prev 72.71%; Δ -4.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 0.13 (EBITDA TTM 2.98b / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.30

(A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 19.65b - Total Current Liabilities 10.10b) / Total Assets 60.99b

(B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 18.58b / Total Assets 60.99b

(D) 0.26 = Book Value of Equity 10.82b / Total Liabilities 41.93b

Total Rating: 2.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 24.72

1. Piotroski 1.50pt = -3.50

2. FCF Yield -3.63% = -1.81

3. FCF Margin -2.74% = -1.03

4. Debt/Equity 1.12 = 1.91

5. Debt/Ebitda 5.03 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.96)% = -6.20

7. RoE -7.20% = -1.20

8. Rev. Trend -91.20% = -6.84

9. EPS Trend -82.17% = -4.11

What is the price of DOW shares?

As of November 16, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 22.93 with a total of 10,947,185 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.87%, over one month by +4.61%, over three months by -0.46% and over the past year by -44.67%.

Is Dow a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Dow (NYSE:DOW) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 24.72 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of DOW is around 20.73 USD . This means that DOW is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.59%.

Is DOW a buy, sell or hold?

Dow has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefor, it is recommend to hold DOW.

Strong Buy: 4
Buy: 0
Hold: 16
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the DOW price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	27.9	21.8%
Analysts Target Price	27.9	21.8%
ValueRay Target Price	22.4	-2.4%

DOW Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025

Market Cap USD = 15.84b (15.84b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 13.6054
P/S = 0.3872
P/B = 0.9746
P/EG = 0.5389
Beta = 0.786
Revenue TTM = 40.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 107.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.98b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 870.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.02b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 30.86b USD (15.84b + Debt 19.62b - CCE 4.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.13 (Ebit TTM 107.0m / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m)
FCF Yield = -3.63% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Enterprise Value 30.86b)
FCF Margin = -2.74% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Net Margin = -3.03% (Net Income TTM -1.24b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Gross Margin = 6.88% ((Revenue TTM 40.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 38.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.91% (prev 5.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.51 (Enterprise Value 30.86b / Total Assets 60.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 221.0m / Debt 19.62b)
Taxrate = 77.14% (54.0m / 70.0m)
NOPAT = 24.5m (EBIT 107.0m * (1 - 77.14%))
Current Ratio = 1.94 (Total Current Assets 19.65b / Total Current Liabilities 10.10b)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 19.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.03 (Net Debt 15.02b / EBITDA 2.98b)
Debt / FCF = -13.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 15.02b / FCF TTM -1.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.23b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.03% (Net Income -1.24b / Total Assets 60.99b)
RoE = -7.20% (Net Income TTM -1.24b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.23b)
RoCE = 0.33% (EBIT 107.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 17.23b + L.T.Debt 14.77b))
RoIC = 0.07% (NOPAT 24.5m / Invested Capital 32.70b)
WACC = 5.03% (E(15.84b)/V(35.47b) * Re(10.95%) + D(19.62b)/V(35.47b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.77)))
Discount Rate = 10.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.12b)
EPS Correlation: -82.17 | EPS CAGR: -35.70% | SUE: 0.71 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.20 | Revenue CAGR: -6.10% | SUE: -1.31 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for DOW Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle