DOW Stock Analysis: Dow | NYSE
Chemicals | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 21.193m USD | 12M Return: 39.9% | US2605571031 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 290M
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: -92.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 7.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Dow Inc. is a U.S.-headquartered materials science company that provides chemical products and solutions across packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer end-markets. The company operates globally with a presence in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, Asia Pacific, and Latin America, and runs three core reporting segments: Packaging & Specialty Plastics (ethylene, propylene, polyethylene, aromatics, and related derivatives), Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure (polyurethanes, chlor-alkali and vinyl products, and construction chemicals), and Performance Materials & Coatings (architectural and industrial coatings, acrylics, silicon metals, and siloxanes). In addition to its chemicals operations, Dow also maintains a property and casualty insurance and reinsurance business. Founded in 1897 and based in Midland, Michigan, Dow began trading on the NYSE under the ticker DOW following its March 2019 spin-off from DowDuPont.
As a large-cap company classified within the GICS Materials sector and Commodity Chemicals sub-industry, Dow operates in a cyclical, capital-intensive industry where margins are closely tied to feedstock costs, energy prices, and global industrial demand. Its vertically integrated business model spans basic petrochemicals (olefins and aromatics) up through higher-value performance products, allowing it to serve both commodity-grade and specialty end uses.
- Polyethylene oversupply pressures Packaging & Specialty Plastics margins
- European energy costs squeeze polyurethane and chlor-alkali spreads
- Dividend and buyback program anchors total shareholder returns
| Net Income: -1.21b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.66 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.01% < 20% (prev 17.28%; Δ 7.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 4.61b > Net Income -1.21b |
| Net Debt (19.4b) to EBITDA (2.30b): 8.44 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.98 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (709.5m) vs 12m ago 0.60% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 9.79% > 18% (prev 7.41%; Δ 2.37% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 68.54% > 50% (prev 70.89%; Δ -2.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.22 > 6 (EBIT TTM 192.0m / Interest Expense TTM 869.0m) |
| A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 20.9b - Total Current Liabilities 10.5b) / Total Assets 61.6b |
| B: 0.27 (Retained Earnings 16.5b / Total Assets 61.6b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 192.0m / Avg Total Assets 60.3b) |
| D: 0.69 (Book Value of Equity 24.4b / Total Liabilities 35.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.71 = A |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 8.48b/7.65b, Revenue 41.3b/41.8b) |
| GMI: 0.76 (GM 7.41% / 9.79%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 41.3b / 41.8b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI -1.21b - CFO 4.61b) / TA 61.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.20 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 31.07 with a total of 7,305,455 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.90%, over one month by +2.51%, over three months by -19.07% and over the past year by +39.90%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 27.80 (which is 10.5% or 2.9 ATR below the current price).
Dow has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DOW.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 35.7 | 14.9% |
P/E Forward = 10.5152
P/S = 0.5129
P/B = 1.3363
P/EG = 38.8911
Revenue TTM = 41.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 192.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 16.1b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.53b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.4b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.50b
Net Debt = 19.4b USD (calculated: Debt 23.4b - CCE 3.97b)
Enterprise Value = 40.6b USD (21.2b + Debt 23.4b - CCE 3.97b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.22 (Ebit TTM 192.0m / Interest Expense TTM 869.0m)
EV/FCF = -29.43x (Enterprise Value 40.6b / FCF TTM -1.38b)
FCF Yield = -3.40% (FCF TTM -1.38b / Enterprise Value 40.6b)
FCF Margin = -3.34% (FCF TTM -1.38b / Revenue TTM 41.3b)
Net Margin = -2.92% (Net Income TTM -1.21b / Revenue TTM 41.3b)
Gross Margin = 9.79% ((Revenue TTM 41.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 37.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.92% (prev 6.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 40.6b / Total Assets 61.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.72% (Interest Expense 869.0m / Debt 23.4b)
Taxrate = 7.92% (69.0m / 871.0m)
NOPAT = 176.8m (EBIT 192.0m * (1 - 7.92%))
Current Ratio = 1.31 (Total Current Assets 20.9b / Total Current Liabilities 15.9b)
Debt / Equity = 0.96 (Debt 23.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 24.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.44 (Net Debt 19.4b / EBITDA 2.30b)
Debt / FCF = -14.06 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 19.4b / FCF TTM -1.38b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.00% (Net Income -1.21b / Total Assets 61.6b)
RoE = -6.58% (Net Income TTM -1.21b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.3b)
RoCE = 0.56% (EBIT 192.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 18.3b + L.T.Debt 16.1b))
RoIC = 0.30% (NOPAT 176.8m / Invested Capital 59.2b)
WACC = 5.83% (E(21.2b)/V(44.6b) * Re(8.49%) + D(23.4b)/V(44.6b) * Rd(3.72%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Discount Rate = 8.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 72.72 | Cagr: 0.25%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.38b)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.06 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: -92.36 | Revenue CAGR: -4.43% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=-32.94% | Revisions=-64% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.55 | Chg30d=-13.32% | Revisions=-36% | GrowthEPS=+370.9% | GrowthRev=+9.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.84 | Chg30d=-13.86% | Revisions=-53% | GrowthEPS=-27.6% | GrowthRev=-1.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -59% (up=6, down=28)