(DOW) Dow - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US2605571031

Polyethylene, Ethylene, Polyurethanes, Coatings, Silicones

Stock: Commodity Chemicals
Age 6.8y

MCap 19,859m
Avg Vol 10.2M (244M USD)

Beta 1.426
Volatility 36.56%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -44.82%
EPS Trend: -90.7%

Last SUE: 0.72
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -9.27%
Rev. Trend: -89.5%

Last SUE: -1.31
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	7.25%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.79%
Yield CAGR 5y	-6.94%
Payout Consistency	93.9%
Payout Ratio	700.0%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	36.6%
Value at Risk 5%th	57.3%
Relative Tail Risk	-4.70%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.48
Alpha	-50.66
CAGR/Max DD	-0.28

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.530
Beta	1.426
Beta Downside	1.644

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	62.16%
Mean DD	23.15%
Median DD	12.43%

Description: DOW Dow January 03, 2026

Dow Inc. (NYSE:DOW) is a global materials-science company that serves packaging, infrastructure, mobility and consumer markets through three operating segments: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings. The Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment produces ethylene-based polymers and elastomers; the Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment supplies polyurethanes, chlor-alkali chemicals and construction chemicals; and the Performance Materials & Coatings segment offers architectural and industrial coatings, as well as silicon-based building blocks. Dow also maintains a non-core property-and-casualty insurance and reinsurance business.

Key metrics from FY 2023 show $23.2 billion in revenue, an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 12 %, and capital expenditures of $1.8 billion focused on expanding its high-margin specialty polymer capacity. The company’s performance is tightly linked to feedstock (natural-gas) pricing, global construction spending, and the growth of e-commerce-driven packaging demand-each of which can swing earnings by several percentage points. Dow’s ongoing cost-reduction program targets a 5 % improvement in operating leverage by 2025, while its recent acquisition of a specialty coatings platform is expected to lift the Performance Materials segment’s contribution margin by 150 basis points.

For a deeper quantitative view, you may want to explore ValueRay’s detailed DOW financial model.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0

Net Income (-1.13b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.45b TTM)

FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.00pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 23.32% (prev 16.56%; Δ 6.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.56b > Net Income -1.13b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (15.02b) to EBITDA (2.98b) ratio: 5.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (713.2m) change vs 12m ago 1.36% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 6.88% (prev 10.52%; Δ -3.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 67.97% (prev 72.71%; Δ -4.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 0.13 (EBITDA TTM 2.98b / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.30

(A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 19.65b - Total Current Liabilities 10.10b) / Total Assets 60.99b

(B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 18.58b / Total Assets 60.99b

(D) 0.26 = Book Value of Equity 10.82b / Total Liabilities 41.93b

Total Rating: 2.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 23.20

1. Piotroski 1.0pt

2. FCF Yield -3.21%

3. FCF Margin -2.74%

4. Debt/Equity 1.12

5. Debt/Ebitda 5.03

6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.79)%

7. RoE -6.58%

8. Rev. Trend -89.48%

9. EPS Trend -90.73%

What is the price of DOW shares?

As of January 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 27.57 with a total of 12,723,390 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.71%, over one month by +20.71%, over three months by +27.76% and over the past year by -27.50%.

Is DOW a buy, sell or hold?

Dow has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefor, it is recommend to hold DOW.

Strong Buy: 4
Buy: 0
Hold: 16
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the DOW price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	27.6	-0%
Analysts Target Price	27.6	-0%
ValueRay Target Price	29.7	7.9%

DOW Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026

P/E Forward = 13.6054
P/S = 0.4854
P/B = 1.1321
P/EG = 0.5389
Revenue TTM = 40.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 107.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.98b USD
Long Term Debt = 16.63b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 870.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.02b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 34.87b USD (19.86b + Debt 19.62b - CCE 4.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.13 (Ebit TTM 107.0m / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m)
EV/FCF = -31.14x (Enterprise Value 34.87b / FCF TTM -1.12b)
FCF Yield = -3.21% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Enterprise Value 34.87b)
FCF Margin = -2.74% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Net Margin = -2.77% (Net Income TTM -1.13b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Gross Margin = 6.88% ((Revenue TTM 40.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 38.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.91% (prev 5.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.57 (Enterprise Value 34.87b / Total Assets 60.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 221.0m / Debt 19.62b)
Taxrate = 24.94% (399.0m / 1.60b)
NOPAT = 80.3m (EBIT 107.0m * (1 - 24.94%))
Current Ratio = 1.94 (Total Current Assets 19.65b / Total Current Liabilities 10.10b)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 19.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.03 (Net Debt 15.02b / EBITDA 2.98b)
Debt / FCF = -13.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 15.02b / FCF TTM -1.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.23b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.88% (Net Income -1.13b / Total Assets 60.99b)
RoE = -6.58% (Net Income TTM -1.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.23b)
RoCE = 0.32% (EBIT 107.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 17.23b + L.T.Debt 16.63b))
RoIC = 0.24% (NOPAT 80.3m / Invested Capital 33.20b)
WACC = 6.03% (E(19.86b)/V(39.48b) * Re(11.15%) + D(19.62b)/V(39.48b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 11.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.68%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.12b)
EPS Correlation: -90.73 | EPS CAGR: -44.82% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -89.48 | Revenue CAGR: -9.27% | SUE: -1.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.19 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.28 | Chg30d=-0.102 | Revisions Net=-11 | Growth EPS=+72.9% | Growth Revenue=+1.7%

Additional Sources for DOW Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle