(DOW) Dow - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US2605571031
Polyethylene, Polyurethane, Silicones, Coatings, Chlor-Alkali
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 8.80% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.01% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 700.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.37% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.97 |
| Alpha | -60.85 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.29 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.485 |
| Beta | 1.366 |
| Beta Downside | 1.516 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 62.16% |
| Mean DD | 20.96% |
| Median DD | 11.57% |
Description: DOW Dow October 30, 2025
Dow Inc. (NYSE:DOW) is a global materials-science company that supplies chemicals and advanced materials for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer markets across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. Its operations are organized into three segments: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings, with an ancillary property-and-casualty insurance business.
Key recent metrics show Dow generated ≈ $23.5 billion of revenue in FY 2023, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 13 % and a free-cash-flow conversion of about 80 %. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to feedstock costs (natural-gas and naphtha) and to macro-level demand drivers such as global packaging growth (projected CAGR ≈ 4 % through 2028) and sustained infrastructure spending in the United States and Europe.
For a deeper dive into Dow’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might find the analysis on ValueRay worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (-1.24b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.45b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.00pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.32% (prev 16.56%; Δ 6.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.56b > Net Income -1.24b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (15.02b) to EBITDA (2.98b) ratio: 5.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (703.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 6.88% (prev 10.52%; Δ -3.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 67.97% (prev 72.71%; Δ -4.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.13 (EBITDA TTM 2.98b / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.30
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 19.65b - Total Current Liabilities 10.10b) / Total Assets 60.99b |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 18.58b / Total Assets 60.99b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 107.0m / Avg Total Assets 60.19b |
| (D) 0.26 = Book Value of Equity 10.82b / Total Liabilities 41.93b |
| Total Rating: 2.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 24.21
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.50% |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.74% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.12 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.03 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.19)% |
| 7. RoE -7.20% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -89.29% |
| 9. EPS Trend -90.73% |
What is the price of DOW shares?
As of December 03, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 23.86 with a total of 10,733,594 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.37%, over one month by +4.24%, over three months by -0.80% and over the past year by -42.22%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.37%, over one month by +4.24%, over three months by -0.80% and over the past year by -42.22%.
Is DOW a buy, sell or hold?
Dow has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold DOW.
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DOW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 27.8 | 16.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 27.8 | 16.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 22.6 | -5.4% |
DOW Fundamental Data Overview November 29, 2025
Market Cap USD = 16.99b (16.99b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 13.6054
P/S = 0.4154
P/B = 0.9688
P/EG = 0.5389
Beta = 0.786
Revenue TTM = 40.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 107.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.98b USD
Long Term Debt = 16.63b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 870.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.02b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 32.01b USD (16.99b + Debt 19.62b - CCE 4.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.13 (Ebit TTM 107.0m / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m)
FCF Yield = -3.50% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Enterprise Value 32.01b)
FCF Margin = -2.74% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Net Margin = -3.03% (Net Income TTM -1.24b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Gross Margin = 6.88% ((Revenue TTM 40.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 38.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.91% (prev 5.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.52 (Enterprise Value 32.01b / Total Assets 60.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 221.0m / Debt 19.62b)
Taxrate = 77.14% (54.0m / 70.0m)
NOPAT = 24.5m (EBIT 107.0m * (1 - 77.14%))
Current Ratio = 1.94 (Total Current Assets 19.65b / Total Current Liabilities 10.10b)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 19.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.03 (Net Debt 15.02b / EBITDA 2.98b)
Debt / FCF = -13.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 15.02b / FCF TTM -1.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.23b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.03% (Net Income -1.24b / Total Assets 60.99b)
RoE = -7.20% (Net Income TTM -1.24b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.23b)
RoCE = 0.32% (EBIT 107.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 17.23b + L.T.Debt 16.63b))
RoIC = 0.07% (NOPAT 24.5m / Invested Capital 33.20b)
WACC = 5.27% (E(16.99b)/V(36.62b) * Re(11.05%) + D(19.62b)/V(36.62b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.77)))
Discount Rate = 11.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.12b)
EPS Correlation: -90.73 | EPS CAGR: -44.82% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -89.29 | Revenue CAGR: -9.27% | SUE: -1.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.18 | Chg30d=+0.061 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=+0.047 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+96.5% | Growth Revenue=+2.5%
P/E Forward = 13.6054
P/S = 0.4154
P/B = 0.9688
P/EG = 0.5389
Beta = 0.786
Revenue TTM = 40.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 107.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.98b USD
Long Term Debt = 16.63b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 870.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.02b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 32.01b USD (16.99b + Debt 19.62b - CCE 4.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.13 (Ebit TTM 107.0m / Interest Expense TTM 851.0m)
FCF Yield = -3.50% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Enterprise Value 32.01b)
FCF Margin = -2.74% (FCF TTM -1.12b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Net Margin = -3.03% (Net Income TTM -1.24b / Revenue TTM 40.91b)
Gross Margin = 6.88% ((Revenue TTM 40.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 38.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.91% (prev 5.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.52 (Enterprise Value 32.01b / Total Assets 60.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 221.0m / Debt 19.62b)
Taxrate = 77.14% (54.0m / 70.0m)
NOPAT = 24.5m (EBIT 107.0m * (1 - 77.14%))
Current Ratio = 1.94 (Total Current Assets 19.65b / Total Current Liabilities 10.10b)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 19.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.03 (Net Debt 15.02b / EBITDA 2.98b)
Debt / FCF = -13.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 15.02b / FCF TTM -1.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.23b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.03% (Net Income -1.24b / Total Assets 60.99b)
RoE = -7.20% (Net Income TTM -1.24b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.23b)
RoCE = 0.32% (EBIT 107.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 17.23b + L.T.Debt 16.63b))
RoIC = 0.07% (NOPAT 24.5m / Invested Capital 33.20b)
WACC = 5.27% (E(16.99b)/V(36.62b) * Re(11.05%) + D(19.62b)/V(36.62b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.77)))
Discount Rate = 11.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.12b)
EPS Correlation: -90.73 | EPS CAGR: -44.82% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -89.29 | Revenue CAGR: -9.27% | SUE: -1.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.18 | Chg30d=+0.061 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=+0.047 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+96.5% | Growth Revenue=+2.5%
Additional Sources for DOW Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle