(DOW) Dow - Overview

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Chemicals | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 25.954m USD | Total Return: 26.4% in 12m

Plastics, Industrial Chemicals, Coatings, Silicones, Polyurethanes
Total Rating 39
Safety 57
Buy Signal 0.32
Chemicals
Industry Rotation: -8.2
Market Cap: 26.0B
Avg Turnover: 364M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility48.0%
VaR 5th Pctl8.06%
VaR vs Median1.85%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.64
Rel. Str. IBD75.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group69.4
Character TTM
Beta0.798
Beta Downside0.875
Hurst Exponent0.454
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD62.16%
CAGR/Max DD-0.13
CAGR/Mean DD-0.32
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of DOW over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 1.36, "2021-06": 2.72, "2021-09": 2.75, "2021-12": 2.15, "2022-03": 2.34, "2022-06": 2.31, "2022-09": 1.11, "2022-12": 0.46, "2023-03": 0.58, "2023-06": 0.75, "2023-09": 0.48, "2023-12": 0.43, "2024-03": 0.56, "2024-06": 0.68, "2024-09": 0.47, "2024-12": -0.0752, "2025-03": 0.02, "2025-06": -0.42, "2025-09": -0.19, "2025-12": -0.34, "2026-03": -0.14,
Last SUE: 0.85
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of DOW over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 11882, 2021-06: 13885, 2021-09: 14837, 2021-12: 14364, 2022-03: 15264, 2022-06: 15664, 2022-09: 14115, 2022-12: 11859, 2023-03: 11851, 2023-06: 11420, 2023-09: 10730, 2023-12: 10621, 2024-03: 10765, 2024-06: 10915, 2024-09: 10879, 2024-12: 10405, 2025-03: 10431, 2025-06: 10104, 2025-09: 9973, 2025-12: 9460, 2026-03: 9794,
Rev. CAGR: -6.17%
Rev. Trend: -94.3%
Last SUE: 0.83
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA (20.3) with thin interest coverage (-1.5)

High Debt while negative Cash Flow

Interest Coverage Ratio -1.5 is critical

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: DOW Dow

Dow Inc. is a global materials science company headquartered in Midland, Michigan, operating across three primary segments: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings. The company produces a wide range of chemical products, including polyethylene, polyurethanes, and silicones, which serve diverse end-markets such as food packaging, automotive manufacturing, and residential construction.

As a major player in the Commodity Chemicals sub-industry, Dow functions within a capital-intensive business model where profitability is often driven by global supply-demand balances and raw material costs, particularly natural gas and crude oil derivatives. The company maintains a highly integrated manufacturing structure, allowing it to convert basic hydrocarbons into high-value chemical building blocks across its international facility network.

For a deeper look into the companys fundamental health and valuation metrics, consider reviewing the latest data on ValueRay. Dows extensive portfolio also includes niche operations in property and casualty insurance, reflecting a complex corporate structure typical of large-scale industrial conglomerates.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Feedstock cost volatility for ethane and propane impacts integrated margins
  • Global demand for polyethylene packaging drives core revenue growth
  • Construction sector downturn pressures industrial intermediates and coatings segments
  • Energy price fluctuations in European markets affect manufacturing operating costs
  • Strategic capital expenditure on net-zero emissions facilities influences long-term valuation
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -2.76b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.47 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 22.71% < 20% (prev 13.47%; Δ 9.24% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 2.81b > Net Income -2.76b
Net Debt (17.0b) to EBITDA (840.0m): 20.25 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.85 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (721.2m) vs 12m ago 2.02% < -2%
Gross Margin: 6.16% > 18% (prev 0.09%; Δ 606.6% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 67.07% > 50% (prev 74.14%; Δ -7.07% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.51 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 840.0m / Interest Expense TTM 881.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.90
A: 0.15 (Total Current Assets 19.5b - Total Current Liabilities 10.5b) / Total Assets 59.8b
B: 0.27 (Retained Earnings 16.0b / Total Assets 59.8b)
C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -1.33b / Avg Total Assets 58.6b)
D: 0.19 (Book Value of Equity 8.30b / Total Liabilities 43.0b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.90 = BBB
Beneish M -2.68
DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 7.41b/7.18b, Revenue 39.3b/42.6b)
GMI: 1.45 (GM 6.16% / 8.91%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.30)
SGI: 0.92 (Revenue 39.3b / 42.6b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI -2.76b - CFO 2.81b) / TA 59.8b)
Beneish M = -2.68 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of DOW shares?

As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.75 with a total of 17,163,788 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.06%, over one month by -13.80%, over three months by +10.94% and over the past year by +26.43%.

Is DOW a buy, sell or hold?

Dow has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DOW.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 16
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the DOW price?
Analysts Target Price 43.1 27.6%
Dow (DOW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 26.0b (26.0b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 12.2549
P/S = 0.6599
P/B = 1.702
P/EG = 38.8911
Revenue TTM = 39.3b USD
EBIT TTM = -1.33b USD
EBITDA TTM = 840.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 17.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.23b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.49b
Net Debt = 17.0b USD (calculated: Debt 21.1b - CCE 4.11b)
Enterprise Value = 43.0b USD (26.0b + Debt 21.1b - CCE 4.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.51 (Ebit TTM -1.33b / Interest Expense TTM 881.0m)
EV/FCF = -30.80x (Enterprise Value 43.0b / FCF TTM -1.40b)
FCF Yield = -3.25% (FCF TTM -1.40b / Enterprise Value 43.0b)
FCF Margin = -3.55% (FCF TTM -1.40b / Revenue TTM 39.3b)
Net Margin = -7.02% (Net Income TTM -2.76b / Revenue TTM 39.3b)
Gross Margin = 6.16% ((Revenue TTM 39.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 36.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.53% (prev 5.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 43.0b / Total Assets 59.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.17% (Interest Expense 881.0m / Debt 21.1b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -1.05b (EBIT -1.33b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.85 (Total Current Assets 19.5b / Total Current Liabilities 10.5b)
Debt / Equity = 1.39 (Debt 21.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 20.25 (Net Debt 17.0b / EBITDA 840.0m)
 Debt / FCF = -12.20 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 17.0b / FCF TTM -1.40b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 16.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.71% (Net Income -2.76b / Total Assets 59.8b)
RoE = -16.73% (Net Income TTM -2.76b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.5b)
RoCE = -3.93% (EBIT -1.33b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.5b + L.T.Debt 17.3b))
 RoIC = -2.09% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.05b / Invested Capital 50.1b)
 WACC = 6.32% (E(26.0b)/V(47.1b) * Re(8.79%) + D(21.1b)/V(47.1b) * Rd(4.17%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 65.93 | Cagr: 1.10%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.40b)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -94.34 | Revenue CAGR: -6.17% | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=+87.64% | Revisions=+71% | Analysts=13
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.16 | Chg30d=+135.73% | Revisions=+69% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=+365.03% | Revisions=+78% | GrowthEPS=+410.2% | GrowthRev=+13.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.14 | Chg30d=+51.83% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=-26.7% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +78%