(DPZ) Domino’s Pizza - Ratings and Ratios
Pizza, Bread, Wings, Pasta, Sandwiches
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.02% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.29% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 17.96% |
| Payout Consistency | 71.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 40.7% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.71% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.41 |
| Alpha | -19.80 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.482 |
| Beta | 0.553 |
| Beta Downside | 0.495 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.38% |
| Mean DD | 11.33% |
| Median DD | 11.67% |
Description: DPZ Domino’s Pizza October 30, 2025
Domino’s Pizza, Inc. (NYSE:DPZ) is a global pizza retailer that sells a variety of menu items-including pizza, bread products, wings, pastas, and desserts-through a mix of company-owned and franchised locations. The business is organized into three reporting segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain, with the majority of revenue generated by franchised outlets.
Key operating metrics that investors watch include: (1) same-store sales growth, which accelerated to 12.5% YoY in Q2 2024 driven by a 68% share of orders placed via digital channels; (2) franchisee-owned store count, now exceeding 15,000 worldwide, providing a high-margin royalty stream that contributed roughly 55% of total earnings last year; and (3) commodity cost exposure, where rising cheese and flour prices have pressured margins, prompting the company to hedge roughly 70% of its core ingredient spend.
For a deeper quantitative view of DPZ’s valuation drivers, consider reviewing its detailed financials and scenario analyses on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (589.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 290.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.38 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 9.94pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.78% (prev 7.75%; Δ -0.98pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.44 (>3.0%) and CFO 730.3m > Net Income 589.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.75b) to EBITDA (1.02b) ratio: 4.64 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.61 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (34.1m) change vs 12m ago -2.55% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 39.81% (prev 39.05%; Δ 0.76pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 282.3% (prev 262.8%; Δ 19.42pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.74 (EBITDA TTM 1.02b / Interest Expense TTM 195.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -4.35
| (A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 867.7m - Total Current Liabilities 539.2m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| (B) -2.38 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.96b / Total Assets 1.66b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.38 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.43 = EBIT TTM 732.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.72b |
| (D) -0.70 = Book Value of Equity -3.96b / Total Liabilities 5.62b |
| Total Rating: -4.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.58
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.40% |
| 3. FCF Margin 13.03% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.64 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 51.88)% |
| 7. RoE -14.91% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 8.40% |
| 9. EPS Trend 59.60% |
What is the price of DPZ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.00%, over one month by +2.11%, over three months by -6.17% and over the past year by -10.54%.
Is DPZ a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 16
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DPZ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 496.7 | 18.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 496.7 | 18.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 409.7 | -2.4% |
DPZ Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.8106
P/E Forward = 20.8768
P/S = 2.8528
P/EG = 2.1313
Beta = 1.151
Revenue TTM = 4.85b USD
EBIT TTM = 732.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 95.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.75b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 18.59b USD (13.83b + Debt 5.10b - CCE 342.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.74 (Ebit TTM 732.5m / Interest Expense TTM 195.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.40% (FCF TTM 631.5m / Enterprise Value 18.59b)
FCF Margin = 13.03% (FCF TTM 631.5m / Revenue TTM 4.85b)
Net Margin = 12.16% (Net Income TTM 589.5m / Revenue TTM 4.85b)
Gross Margin = 39.81% ((Revenue TTM 4.85b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.92b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.09% (prev 40.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 11.19 (Enterprise Value 18.59b / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.88% (Interest Expense 45.0m / Debt 5.10b)
Taxrate = 22.25% (39.9m / 179.2m)
NOPAT = 569.5m (EBIT 732.5m * (1 - 22.25%))
Current Ratio = 1.61 (Total Current Assets 867.7m / Total Current Liabilities 539.2m)
Debt / Equity = -1.29 (negative equity) (Debt 5.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.64 (Net Debt 4.75b / EBITDA 1.02b)
Debt / FCF = 7.53 (Net Debt 4.75b / FCF TTM 631.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 35.51% (Net Income 589.5m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = -14.91% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 589.5m / Total Stockholder Equity -3.95b)
RoCE = 85.44% (EBIT 732.5m / Capital Employed (Equity -3.95b + L.T.Debt 4.81b))
RoIC = 57.95% (NOPAT 569.5m / Invested Capital 982.8m)
WACC = 6.07% (E(13.83b)/V(18.93b) * Re(8.05%) + D(5.10b)/V(18.93b) * Rd(0.88%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.90% ; FCFE base≈578.4m ; Y1≈650.3m ; Y5≈872.2m
Fair Price DCF = 447.4 (DCF Value 15.12b / Shares Outstanding 33.8m; 5y FCF grow 14.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 59.60 | EPS CAGR: -1.08% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 8.40 | Revenue CAGR: -4.12% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for DPZ Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle