DRD Stock Analysis: DRDGOLD | NYSE
Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.830m USD | 12M Return: 55.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 8.17M
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 92.5%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
DRDGOLD Limited (NYSE: DRD) is a South African gold mining company that extracts gold through the retreatment of surface mine tailings. In addition to selling gold and silver bullion, the company provides ancillary services including care and maintenance, renewable power generation, employee home loans, and training center operations. Originally incorporated in 1895 as Durban Roodepoort Deep Limited, the company adopted its current name in 2004 and is headquartered in Johannesburg. It operates as a subsidiary of Sibanye Gold Limited and is classified within the Materials sector, specifically the Gold sub-industry.
The companys tailings retreatment model is distinctive within the gold sector, as it focuses on reprocessing material from historical mining operations rather than traditional ore extraction, positioning it as a lower-risk gold producer. Its listing on the NYSE in 1996 provides North American investors with ADR-based exposure to South African gold production, and its status as a subsidiary of Sibanye Gold ties its strategic direction to one of the larger gold mining groups operating in the region.
- Gold price rally lifts bullion sales revenue and margins
- Surface tailings retreatment sustains cost advantage over deep miners
- Sibanye-Stillwater parent ownership drives capital allocation and synergy strategy
| Net Income: 3.11b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 15.11 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 22.15% < 20% (prev 13.41%; Δ 8.74% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.30 > 3% & CFO 4.43b > Net Income 3.11b |
| Net Debt (-1.71b) to EBITDA (4.38b): -0.39 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.01 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (869.2m) vs 12m ago 0.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.55% > 18% (prev 32.53%; Δ 14.02% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 71.28% > 50% (prev 68.50%; Δ 2.78% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 2.95b - Total Current Liabilities 978.4m) / Total Assets 14.6b |
| B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 4.55b / Total Assets 14.6b) |
| C: 0.31 (EBIT TTM 3.91b / Avg Total Assets 12.5b) |
| D: 2.77 (Book Value of Equity 10.7b / Total Liabilities 3.88b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.92 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.14 (Receivables 706.9m/491.2m, Revenue 8.89b/7.07b) |
| GMI: 0.70 (GM 32.53% / 46.55%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.12) |
| SGI: 1.26 (Revenue 8.89b / 7.07b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 3.11b - CFO 4.43b) / TA 14.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 20.87 with a total of 274,099 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.88%, over one month by -17.15%, over three months by -34.14% and over the past year by +55.13%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.30 (which is 7.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
DRDGOLD has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DRD.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 46.5 | 122.8% |
P/E Trailing = 13.4395
P/E Forward = 2.994
P/S = 0.2005
P/B = 3.3913
P/EG = 1.0011
Revenue TTM = 8.89b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.91b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.70m USD (from longTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.09m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 22.2m already included)
Net Debt = -1.71b USD (calculated: Debt 21.5m - CCE 1.73b)
Enterprise Value = 117.3m USD (1.83b + Debt 21.5m - CCE 1.73b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 3.91b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 0.08x (Enterprise Value 117.3m / FCF TTM 1.55b)
FCF Yield = 1.32k% (FCF TTM 1.55b / Enterprise Value 117.3m)
FCF Margin = 17.41% (FCF TTM 1.55b / Revenue TTM 8.89b)
Net Margin = 34.97% (Net Income TTM 3.11b / Revenue TTM 8.89b)
Gross Margin = 46.55% ((Revenue TTM 8.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.75b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.18% (prev 44.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.01 (Enterprise Value 117.3m / Total Assets 14.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 21.5m)
Taxrate = 23.49% (954.5m / 4.06b)
NOPAT = 2.99b (EBIT 3.91b * (1 - 23.49%))
Current Ratio = 3.01 (Total Current Assets 2.95b / Total Current Liabilities 978.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 21.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.39 (Net Debt -1.71b / EBITDA 4.38b)
Debt / FCF = -1.11 (Net Debt -1.71b / FCF TTM 1.55b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 24.93% (Net Income 3.11b / Total Assets 14.6b)
RoE = 36.36% (Net Income TTM 3.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.55b)
RoCE = 45.64% (EBIT 3.91b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.55b + L.T.Debt 7.70m))
RoIC = 22.63% (NOPAT 2.99b / Invested Capital 13.2b)
WACC = 8.09% (E(1.83b)/V(1.85b) * Re(8.19%) + D(21.5m)/V(1.85b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 17.98 | Cagr: -0.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈1.55b ; Y1≈1.55b ; Y5≈1.65b
[DCF] Fair Price = 314.9 (EV 25.6b - Net Debt -1.71b = Equity 27.3b / Shares 86.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 3.46 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 92.50 | Revenue CAGR: 28.60% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=2.21 | Chg30d=+57.11% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+50.4% | GrowthRev=+45.9%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+40.9%