(DRD) DRDGOLD - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Tailings, Renewable Energy
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.24% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.64% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -19.60% |
| Payout Consistency | 49.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 1.5% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 53.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 79.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.94% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.24 |
| Alpha | 226.21 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.48 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.391 |
| Beta | 0.168 |
| Beta Downside | 0.498 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.93% |
| Mean DD | 20.14% |
| Median DD | 20.59% |
Description: DRD DRDGOLD November 13, 2025
DRDGOLD Limited (NYSE: DRD) is a South-African gold miner that extracts gold and silver from the retreatment of surface-mine tailings-a low-cost, low-environmental-impact model. The company, originally incorporated in 1895 as Durban Roodepoort Deep Limited, rebranded in 2004 and now operates as a subsidiary of Sibanye Gold Limited, with its headquarters in Johannesburg.
Recent data (2023) show DRDGOLD produced roughly 300 koz of gold at an all-in sustaining cash cost near $900 per ounce, well below the industry average, while generating ~70 MW of renewable power for internal use and sale. The firm’s earnings are highly sensitive to the gold price (a 10 % rise in spot gold typically lifts DRDGOLD’s EBITDA by ~15 %) and to South African macro-factors such as the rand-USD exchange rate and labor-relations climate, which have historically introduced operational volatility.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore DRDGOLD’s cost structure, ESG metrics, and forward-looking guidance on ValueRay to see how the company stacks up against peers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (3.72b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 864.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.90% (prev 6.04%; Δ 2.86pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.47 (>3.0%) and CFO 5.73b > Net Income 3.72b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.29b) to EBITDA (5.92b) ratio: -0.22 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.28 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (86.7m) change vs 12m ago 0.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 35.65% (prev 28.38%; Δ 7.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 132.8% (prev 94.56%; Δ 38.27pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 177.1 (EBITDA TTM 5.92b / Interest Expense TTM 28.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 7.35
| (A) 0.10 = (Total Current Assets 2.28b - Total Current Liabilities 1.00b) / Total Assets 12.25b |
| (B) 0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.69b / Total Assets 12.25b |
| (C) 0.47 = EBIT TTM 5.12b / Avg Total Assets 10.85b |
| (D) 2.64 = Book Value of Equity 8.88b / Total Liabilities 3.36b |
| Total Rating: 7.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.19
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -28.35% |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.42% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.22 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 46.97)% |
| 7. RoE 49.06% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 57.43% |
| 9. EPS Trend 55.82% |
What is the price of DRD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.90%, over one month by +9.64%, over three months by +40.05% and over the past year by +239.52%.
Is DRD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DRD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 36.3 | 15.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 36.3 | 15.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 44.9 | 43% |
DRD Fundamental Data Overview December 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 19.1447
P/E Forward = 16.7224
P/S = 0.3196
P/B = 4.819
Beta = 0.468
Revenue TTM = 14.41b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.92b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.0m USD (from longTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.40m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.29b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.23b USD (2.52b + Debt 17.4m - CCE 1.31b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 177.1 (Ebit TTM 5.12b / Interest Expense TTM 28.9m)
FCF Yield = -28.35% (FCF TTM -348.4m / Enterprise Value 1.23b)
FCF Margin = -2.42% (FCF TTM -348.4m / Revenue TTM 14.41b)
Net Margin = 25.83% (Net Income TTM 3.72b / Revenue TTM 14.41b)
Gross Margin = 35.65% ((Revenue TTM 14.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.62% (prev 33.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.10 (Enterprise Value 1.23b / Total Assets 12.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 35.06% (Interest Expense 6.10m / Debt 17.4m)
Taxrate = 27.69% (487.3m / 1.76b)
NOPAT = 3.70b (EBIT 5.12b * (1 - 27.69%))
Current Ratio = 2.28 (Total Current Assets 2.28b / Total Current Liabilities 1.00b)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 17.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.22 (Net Debt -1.29b / EBITDA 5.92b)
Debt / FCF = 3.70 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -1.29b / FCF TTM -348.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 30.39% (Net Income 3.72b / Total Assets 12.25b)
RoE = 49.06% (Net Income TTM 3.72b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.59b)
RoCE = 67.40% (EBIT 5.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.59b + L.T.Debt 10.0m))
RoIC = 53.73% (NOPAT 3.70b / Invested Capital 6.89b)
WACC = 6.76% (E(2.52b)/V(2.54b) * Re(6.63%) + D(17.4m)/V(2.54b) * Rd(35.06%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 6.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -68.34%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -348.4m)
EPS Correlation: 55.82 | EPS CAGR: 214.7% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 57.43 | Revenue CAGR: 16.60% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.41 | Chg30d=-0.219 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-4.2% | Growth Revenue=+19.2%
Additional Sources for DRD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle