DRD Stock Analysis: DRDGOLD | NYSE
Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.605m USD | 12M Return: 64.3% | US26152H3012 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 7.58M
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 94.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
DRDGOLD Limited (NYSE: DRD) is a South African gold mining company that extracts gold through the retreatment of surface mine tailings. In addition to selling gold and silver bullion, the company provides ancillary services including care and maintenance, renewable power generation, employee home loans, and training center operations. Originally incorporated in 1895 as Durban Roodepoort Deep Limited, the company adopted its current name in 2004 and is headquartered in Johannesburg. It operates as a subsidiary of Sibanye Gold Limited and is classified within the Materials sector, specifically the Gold sub-industry.
The companys tailings retreatment model is distinctive within the gold sector, as it focuses on reprocessing material from historical mining operations rather than traditional ore extraction, positioning it as a lower-risk gold producer. Its listing on the NYSE in 1996 provides North American investors with ADR-based exposure to South African gold production, and its status as a subsidiary of Sibanye Gold ties its strategic direction to one of the larger gold mining groups operating in the region.
- Gold price rally lifts bullion sales revenue and margins
- Surface tailings retreatment sustains cost advantage over deep miners
- Sibanye-Stillwater parent ownership drives capital allocation and synergy strategy
| Net Income: 4.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.21% < 20% (prev 16.28%; Δ 8.94% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.33 > 3% & CFO 5.77b > Net Income 4.14b |
| Net Debt (-2.71b) to EBITDA (6.05b): -0.45 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (8.70m) vs 12m ago -98.99% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.08% > 18% (prev 39.33%; Δ 13.76% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 73.52% > 50% (prev 64.33%; Δ 9.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 56.05 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.54b / Interest Expense TTM 98.9m) |
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 3.79b - Total Current Liabilities 1.05b) / Total Assets 17.3b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 4.55b / Total Assets 17.3b) |
| C: 0.38 (EBIT TTM 5.54b / Avg Total Assets 14.8b) |
| D: 2.72 (Book Value of Equity 12.6b / Total Liabilities 4.66b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 7.27 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 462.1m/329.6m, Revenue 10.9b/7.88b) |
| GMI: 0.74 (GM 39.33% / 53.08%) |
| AQI: 0.84 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.12) |
| SGI: 1.38 (Revenue 10.9b / 7.88b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 4.14b - CFO 5.77b) / TA 17.3b) |
| Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 28.77 with a total of 374,728 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.29%, over one month by +39.05%, over three months by +8.89% and over the past year by +64.28%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 27.20 (which is 5.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
DRDGOLD has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DRD.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 35 | 21.7% |
Market Cap ZAR = 41.6b (2.60b USD * 15.9842 USD.ZAR)
P/E Trailing = 9.8137
P/E Forward = 9.6061
P/S = 0.2334
P/B = 3.2673
P/EG = 1.0011
Revenue TTM = 10.9b ZAR
EBIT TTM = 5.54b ZAR
EBITDA TTM = 6.05b ZAR
Long Term Debt = 7.70m ZAR (from longTermDebtTotal, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 5.06m ZAR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 33.5m ZAR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 22.2m
Net Debt = -2.71b ZAR (calculated: Debt 33.5m - CCE 2.75b)
Enterprise Value = 38.9b ZAR (41.6b + Debt 33.5m - CCE 2.75b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 56.05 (Ebit TTM 5.54b / Interest Expense TTM 98.9m)
EV/FCF = 17.97x (Enterprise Value 38.9b / FCF TTM 2.17b)
FCF Yield = 5.57% (FCF TTM 2.17b / Enterprise Value 38.9b)
FCF Margin = 19.94% (FCF TTM 2.17b / Revenue TTM 10.9b)
Net Margin = 38.13% (Net Income TTM 4.14b / Revenue TTM 10.9b)
Gross Margin = 53.08% ((Revenue TTM 10.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.98% (prev 48.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.25 (Enterprise Value 38.9b / Total Assets 17.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 295.0% (Interest Expense 98.9m / Debt 33.5m)
Taxrate = 27.78% (1.59b / 5.74b)
NOPAT = 4.00b (EBIT 5.54b * (1 - 27.78%))
Current Ratio = 3.62 (Total Current Assets 3.79b / Total Current Liabilities 1.05b)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 33.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.45 (Net Debt -2.71b / EBITDA 6.05b)
Debt / FCF = -1.25 (Net Debt -2.71b / FCF TTM 2.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.99b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 28.04% (Net Income 4.14b / Total Assets 17.3b)
RoE = 41.47% (Net Income TTM 4.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.99b)
RoCE = 55.42% (EBIT 5.54b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.99b + L.T.Debt 7.70m))
RoIC = 25.46% (NOPAT 4.00b / Invested Capital 15.7b)
WACC = 7.57% (E(41.6b)/V(41.7b) * Re(7.58%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 7.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -51.81 | Cagr: -87.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.80b ; Y1≈2.07b ; Y5≈3.04b
[DCF] Fair Price = 558.8 (EV 45.8b - Net Debt -2.71b = Equity 48.5b / Shares 86.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 3.46 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 94.16 | Revenue CAGR: 36.27% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=2.27 | Chg30d=+2.76% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+54.6% | GrowthRev=+44.7%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=2.73 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-9.8% | GrowthRev=+4.2%