(DUK) Duke Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Transmission, Generation
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.61% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.03% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 65.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 29.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.50% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.21 |
| Alpha | 0.67 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.49 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.303 |
| Beta | -0.014 |
| Beta Downside | 0.050 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 16.54% |
| Mean DD | 5.44% |
| Median DD | 4.69% |
Description: DUK Duke Energy December 02, 2025
Duke Energy Corp. (NYSE:DUK) operates two regulated segments in the U.S. – Electric Utilities & Infrastructure (EU&I) serving ~8.6 million electric customers across the Southeast and Midwest, and Gas Utilities & Infrastructure (GU&I) delivering natural gas to ~1.7 million customers. The EU&I business generates power from a diversified mix (coal, natural gas, nuclear, hydro, oil, and renewables) and sells both retail and wholesale electricity, while the GU&I side manages distribution, transmission projects, renewable natural-gas (RNG) initiatives, and storage assets.
Key quantitative points (FY 2023): adjusted EBITDA of roughly $9.5 billion, a regulated return on equity (ROE) of ~9.5 % and a dividend yield near 4.0 %-both above the utility sector average. Capital expenditures were ~ $12 billion, with ~30 % earmarked for renewable and grid-modernization projects, reflecting the industry-wide shift toward decarbonization and resilience. A material driver of future earnings is the expected growth in renewable capacity (targeting ~30 % of generation by 2030) and the ongoing regulatory push for higher carbon-pricing and gas-pipeline approvals.
For a deeper dive into Duke Energy’s valuation sensitivities and scenario analysis, you might explore the detailed metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (4.99b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.91b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.19pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -22.64% (prev -17.49%; Δ -5.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 12.05b > Net Income 4.99b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (88.54b) to EBITDA (15.78b) ratio: 5.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.63 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (778.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.65% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 59.66% (prev 48.80%; Δ 10.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 16.91% (prev 16.46%; Δ 0.46pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.60 (EBITDA TTM 15.78b / Interest Expense TTM 3.56b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.20
| (A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 12.21b - Total Current Liabilities 19.41b) / Total Assets 192.29b |
| (B) 0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.72b / Total Assets 192.29b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 9.25b / Avg Total Assets 187.93b |
| (D) 0.04 = Book Value of Equity 4.90b / Total Liabilities 139.67b |
| Total Rating: 0.20 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.74
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.03% |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.19% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.73 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.61 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.61)% |
| 7. RoE 9.83% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 65.47% |
| 9. EPS Trend 50.61% |
What is the price of DUK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.72%, over one month by -5.44%, over three months by -3.44% and over the past year by +6.75%.
Is DUK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DUK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 136.8 | 18.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 136.8 | 18.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 126.3 | 9.6% |
DUK Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 18.1449
P/E Forward = 18.2149
P/S = 2.8686
P/B = 1.7947
P/EG = 2.5277
Beta = 0.477
Revenue TTM = 31.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 15.78b USD
Long Term Debt = 79.30b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.34b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 89.23b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 178.14b USD (89.60b + Debt 89.23b - CCE 688.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.60 (Ebit TTM 9.25b / Interest Expense TTM 3.56b)
FCF Yield = 5.03% (FCF TTM 8.96b / Enterprise Value 178.14b)
FCF Margin = 28.19% (FCF TTM 8.96b / Revenue TTM 31.79b)
Net Margin = 15.71% (Net Income TTM 4.99b / Revenue TTM 31.79b)
Gross Margin = 59.66% ((Revenue TTM 31.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 98.73% (prev 29.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 178.14b / Total Assets 192.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.01% (Interest Expense 902.0m / Debt 89.23b)
Taxrate = 10.80% (176.0m / 1.63b)
NOPAT = 8.25b (EBIT 9.25b * (1 - 10.80%))
Current Ratio = 0.63 (Total Current Assets 12.21b / Total Current Liabilities 19.41b)
Debt / Equity = 1.73 (Debt 89.23b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 51.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.61 (Net Debt 88.54b / EBITDA 15.78b)
Debt / FCF = 9.88 (Net Debt 88.54b / FCF TTM 8.96b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 50.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.60% (Net Income 4.99b / Total Assets 192.29b)
RoE = 9.83% (Net Income TTM 4.99b / Total Stockholder Equity 50.79b)
RoCE = 7.11% (EBIT 9.25b / Capital Employed (Equity 50.79b + L.T.Debt 79.30b))
RoIC = 6.04% (NOPAT 8.25b / Invested Capital 136.51b)
WACC = 3.44% (E(89.60b)/V(178.83b) * Re(5.96%) + D(89.23b)/V(178.83b) * Rd(1.01%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 5.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈8.96b ; Y1≈5.88b ; Y5≈2.69b
Fair Price DCF = 68.00 (DCF Value 52.88b / Shares Outstanding 777.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 50.61 | EPS CAGR: 19.09% | SUE: 0.87 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 65.47 | Revenue CAGR: 9.17% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.71 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.70 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+6.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
Additional Sources for DUK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle