(DUK) Duke Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Transmission, Generation
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.58% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.92% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 1.99% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 65.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 16.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 27.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.66% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.48 |
| Alpha | 8.30 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.403 |
| Beta | -0.053 |
| Beta Downside | -0.029 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 14.00% |
| Mean DD | 4.67% |
| Median DD | 4.07% |
Description: DUK Duke Energy December 02, 2025
Duke Energy Corp. (NYSE:DUK) operates two regulated segments in the U.S. – Electric Utilities & Infrastructure (EU&I) serving ~8.6 million electric customers across the Southeast and Midwest, and Gas Utilities & Infrastructure (GU&I) delivering natural gas to ~1.7 million customers. The EU&I business generates power from a diversified mix (coal, natural gas, nuclear, hydro, oil, and renewables) and sells both retail and wholesale electricity, while the GU&I side manages distribution, transmission projects, renewable natural-gas (RNG) initiatives, and storage assets.
Key quantitative points (FY 2023): adjusted EBITDA of roughly $9.5 billion, a regulated return on equity (ROE) of ~9.5 % and a dividend yield near 4.0 %-both above the utility sector average. Capital expenditures were ~ $12 billion, with ~30 % earmarked for renewable and grid-modernization projects, reflecting the industry-wide shift toward decarbonization and resilience. A material driver of future earnings is the expected growth in renewable capacity (targeting ~30 % of generation by 2030) and the ongoing regulatory push for higher carbon-pricing and gas-pipeline approvals.
For a deeper dive into Duke Energy’s valuation sensitivities and scenario analysis, you might explore the detailed metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 4.99b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.19 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -22.64% < 20% (prev -17.49%; Δ -5.15% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 12.05b > Net Income 4.99b |
| Net Debt (88.54b) to EBITDA (15.78b): 5.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.63 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (778.0m) vs 12m ago 0.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 59.66% > 18% (prev 0.49%; Δ 5918 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 16.91% > 50% (prev 16.46%; Δ 0.46% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.60 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 15.78b / Interest Expense TTM 3.56b) |
Altman Z'' 0.20
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 12.21b - Total Current Liabilities 19.41b) / Total Assets 192.29b |
| B: 0.02 (Retained Earnings 4.72b / Total Assets 192.29b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 9.25b / Avg Total Assets 187.93b) |
| D: 0.04 (Book Value of Equity 4.90b / Total Liabilities 139.67b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.20 = B |
Beneish M -2.55
| DSRI: 1.76 (Receivables 4.01b/2.16b, Revenue 31.79b/30.21b) |
| GMI: 0.82 (GM 59.66% / 48.80%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.27) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 31.79b / 30.21b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 4.99b - CFO 12.05b) / TA 192.29b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.55 = A |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.80
| 1. Piotroski: 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 4.94% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 28.19% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 1.73 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 5.61 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 2.69% |
| 7. RoE: 9.83% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 65.47% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 50.61% |
What is the price of DUK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.50%, over one month by +0.55%, over three months by -6.92% and over the past year by +11.28%.
Is DUK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DUK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 135.7 | 15.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 135.7 | 15.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 124.4 | 5.9% |
DUK Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 17.7936
P/S = 2.9681
P/B = 1.8363
P/EG = 2.2813
Revenue TTM = 31.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 15.78b USD
Long Term Debt = 79.30b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.34b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 89.23b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 181.25b USD (92.71b + Debt 89.23b - CCE 688.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.60 (Ebit TTM 9.25b / Interest Expense TTM 3.56b)
EV/FCF = 20.23x (Enterprise Value 181.25b / FCF TTM 8.96b)
FCF Yield = 4.94% (FCF TTM 8.96b / Enterprise Value 181.25b)
FCF Margin = 28.19% (FCF TTM 8.96b / Revenue TTM 31.79b)
Net Margin = 15.71% (Net Income TTM 4.99b / Revenue TTM 31.79b)
Gross Margin = 59.66% ((Revenue TTM 31.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 98.73% (prev 29.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 181.25b / Total Assets 192.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.01% (Interest Expense 902.0m / Debt 89.23b)
Taxrate = 10.80% (176.0m / 1.63b)
NOPAT = 8.25b (EBIT 9.25b * (1 - 10.80%))
Current Ratio = 0.63 (Total Current Assets 12.21b / Total Current Liabilities 19.41b)
Debt / Equity = 1.73 (Debt 89.23b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 51.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.61 (Net Debt 88.54b / EBITDA 15.78b)
Debt / FCF = 9.88 (Net Debt 88.54b / FCF TTM 8.96b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 50.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.66% (Net Income 4.99b / Total Assets 192.29b)
RoE = 9.83% (Net Income TTM 4.99b / Total Stockholder Equity 50.79b)
RoCE = 7.11% (EBIT 9.25b / Capital Employed (Equity 50.79b + L.T.Debt 79.30b))
RoIC = 6.04% (NOPAT 8.25b / Invested Capital 136.51b)
WACC = 3.36% (E(92.71b)/V(181.94b) * Re(5.72%) + D(89.23b)/V(181.94b) * Rd(1.01%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 5.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈8.96b ; Y1≈5.88b ; Y5≈2.68b
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 85.51b - Net Debt 88.54b = -3.03b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 50.61 | EPS CAGR: 19.09% | SUE: 0.87 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 65.47 | Revenue CAGR: 9.17% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.71 | Chg30d=-0.000 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.70 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+6.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.9%
Additional Sources for DUK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle