DUK Stock Analysis: Duke Energy | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 90.952m USD | 12M Return: -3.1% | US26441C2044 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 470M
EPS Trend: 92.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 98.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK) is a U.S.-based, large-cap utility company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, founded in 1904. It operates through two segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I), which generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity across the Southeast and Midwest using a mix of coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewables, and nuclear fuel, and also engages in wholesale electricity sales to municipalities and cooperatives; and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I), which distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation customers while investing in pipeline transmission, renewable natural gas, and natural gas storage projects.
As an investor-owned utility operating in the GICS Utilities sector, Duke Energy follows a vertically integrated business model spanning generation through delivery, with operations typically subject to state-level public utility commission regulation that oversees rates and service standards. Companies in this sub-industry, classified as Electric Utilities, generally function as regulated franchises within defined service territories, which tends to produce predictable, recurring revenue streams tied to customer usage and approved rate bases.
- Regulated rate hikes boost returns on grid investments
- Higher interest rates raise capital expenditure financing costs
- Southeast customer growth drives electric utility volume gains
| Net Income: 5.25b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -20.19% < 20% (prev -20.02%; Δ -0.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 11.6b > Net Income 5.25b |
| Net Debt (91.5b) to EBITDA (17.5b): 5.23 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.66 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (779.0m) vs 12m ago 0.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 68.19% > 18% (prev 46.17%; Δ 22.02% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 17.08% > 50% (prev 16.48%; Δ 0.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.58 > 6 (EBIT TTM 9.75b / Interest Expense TTM 3.77b) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 13.1b - Total Current Liabilities 19.9b) / Total Assets 201b |
| B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 6.00b / Total Assets 201b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 9.75b / Avg Total Assets 195b) |
| D: 0.38 (Book Value of Equity 54.8b / Total Liabilities 144b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.61 = B |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 4.48b/4.09b, Revenue 33.4b/31.3b) |
| GMI: 0.68 (GM 46.17% / 68.19%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 33.4b / 31.3b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 5.25b - CFO 11.6b) / TA 201b) |
| Beneish M = -3.26 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 119.64 with a total of 4,666,371 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.58%, over one month by +0.52%, over three months by -4.49% and over the past year by -3.11%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 117.30 (which is 2% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Duke Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DUK.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 135.4 | 13.2% |
P/E Trailing = 17.5943
P/E Forward = 15.949
P/S = 2.7727
P/B = 1.6553
P/EG = 2.1261
Revenue TTM = 33.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.75b USD
EBITDA TTM = 17.5b USD
Long Term Debt = 82.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.00b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 92.2b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 968.0m
Net Debt = 91.5b USD (calculated: Debt 92.2b - CCE 673.0m)
Enterprise Value = 182b USD (91.0b + Debt 92.2b - CCE 673.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.58 (Ebit TTM 9.75b / Interest Expense TTM 3.77b)
EV/FCF = -42.70x (Enterprise Value 182b / FCF TTM -4.27b)
FCF Yield = -2.34% (FCF TTM -4.27b / Enterprise Value 182b)
FCF Margin = -12.81% (FCF TTM -4.27b / Revenue TTM 33.4b)
Net Margin = 15.72% (Net Income TTM 5.25b / Revenue TTM 33.4b)
Gross Margin = 68.19% ((Revenue TTM 33.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.06% (prev 67.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.91 (Enterprise Value 182b / Total Assets 201b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.09% (Interest Expense 3.77b / Debt 92.2b)
Taxrate = 13.30% (823.0m / 6.19b)
NOPAT = 8.45b (EBIT 9.75b * (1 - 13.30%))
Current Ratio = 0.66 (Total Current Assets 13.1b / Total Current Liabilities 19.9b)
Debt / Equity = 1.68 (Debt 92.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 54.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.23 (Net Debt 91.5b / EBITDA 17.5b)
Debt / FCF = -21.42 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 91.5b / FCF TTM -4.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 53.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.69% (Net Income 5.25b / Total Assets 201b)
RoE = 9.88% (Net Income TTM 5.25b / Total Stockholder Equity 53.1b)
RoCE = 7.20% (EBIT 9.75b / Capital Employed (Equity 53.1b + L.T.Debt 82.2b))
RoIC = 4.46% (NOPAT 8.45b / Invested Capital 190b)
WACC = 4.09% (E(91.0b)/V(183b) * Re(4.64%) + D(92.2b)/V(183b) * Rd(4.09%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 4.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.60 | Cagr: 0.46%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -4.27b)
EPS Correlation: 92.68 | EPS CAGR: 7.94% | SUE: 1.54 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 98.45 | Revenue CAGR: 5.40% | SUE: -0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.83 | Chg30d=-0.33% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.71 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+6.3% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.17 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+6.9% | GrowthRev=+4.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=3, down=3)