(DUK) Duke Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Renewables, Transmission, Storage
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 16.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 27.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.25% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.63 |
| Alpha | 12.98 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.411 |
| Beta | -0.021 |
| Beta Downside | 0.062 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 16.54% |
| Mean DD | 5.33% |
| Median DD | 4.59% |
Description: DUK Duke Energy September 25, 2025
Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE:DUK) is a regulated utility that serves roughly 8.6 million electric customers and 1.7 million natural-gas customers across the Southeast and Midwest United States. The company operates through two primary segments: Electric Utilities & Infrastructure (EU&I) and Gas Utilities & Infrastructure (GU&I).
The EU&I segment owns and operates a diversified generation fleet-including coal, natural-gas, nuclear, hydroelectric, and growing renewable assets-while also handling transmission, distribution, and wholesale electricity sales to municipalities and cooperatives. The GU&I segment focuses on delivering natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and power-generation customers, and it invests in pipeline expansion, renewable natural-gas projects, and underground storage.
Key operational metrics (as of FY 2023) show a regulated earnings-before-interest-tax-depreciation-amortization (EBITDA) of about $13 billion, a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 3.5×, and a dividend yield around 3.4 %. The company has pledged to retire approximately 2 GW of coal capacity by 2030 and to add roughly 5 GW of renewable generation by 2035, reflecting its decarbonization roadmap.
Sector-wide drivers that materially affect Duke Energy include state-level renewable-energy mandates, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s (FERC) rate-case outcomes, and the broader macro trend of rising electricity demand tied to electrification of transportation and heating. Additionally, natural-gas price volatility and pipeline capacity constraints remain critical risk factors for the GU&I segment.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of how Duke Energy’s capital allocation and regulatory outlook compare to peers, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboards useful for uncovering hidden valuation angles.
DUK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 96,111m |
| Sub-Industry | Electric Utilities |
| IPO / Inception | 1983-04-06 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -0.54% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.80 of 5 |
DUK Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.41% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.55% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.03% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 65.1% |
DUK Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 12.71% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.77 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.38 |
| Current Volume | 3774.2k |
| Average Volume | 3238.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (4.99b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.91b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.19pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -22.64% (prev -17.49%; Δ -5.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 12.05b > Net Income 4.99b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (88.54b) to EBITDA (15.78b) ratio: 5.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.63 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (778.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.65% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 59.66% (prev 48.80%; Δ 10.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 16.91% (prev 16.46%; Δ 0.46pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.60 (EBITDA TTM 15.78b / Interest Expense TTM 3.56b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.20
| (A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 12.21b - Total Current Liabilities 19.41b) / Total Assets 192.29b |
| (B) 0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.72b / Total Assets 192.29b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 9.25b / Avg Total Assets 187.93b |
| (D) 0.04 = Book Value of Equity 4.90b / Total Liabilities 139.67b |
| Total Rating: 0.20 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.21
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.85% = 2.43 |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.19% = 7.05 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.73 = 1.16 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.61 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.53)% = 3.16 |
| 7. RoE 9.83% = 0.82 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 59.60% = 4.47 |
| 9. EPS Trend 52.44% = 2.62 |
What is the price of DUK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.98%, over one month by -3.15%, over three months by +2.81% and over the past year by +12.98%.
Is DUK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DUK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 137.3 | 10.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 137.3 | 10.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 140.2 | 13.3% |
DUK Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 19.3549
P/E Forward = 18.3824
P/S = 3.0769
P/B = 1.8901
P/EG = 2.5514
Beta = 0.477
Revenue TTM = 31.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 15.78b USD
Long Term Debt = 79.30b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.34b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 89.23b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 184.65b USD (96.11b + Debt 89.23b - CCE 688.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.60 (Ebit TTM 9.25b / Interest Expense TTM 3.56b)
FCF Yield = 4.85% (FCF TTM 8.96b / Enterprise Value 184.65b)
FCF Margin = 28.19% (FCF TTM 8.96b / Revenue TTM 31.79b)
Net Margin = 15.71% (Net Income TTM 4.99b / Revenue TTM 31.79b)
Gross Margin = 59.66% ((Revenue TTM 31.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 98.73% (prev 29.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.96 (Enterprise Value 184.65b / Total Assets 192.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.01% (Interest Expense 902.0m / Debt 89.23b)
Taxrate = 10.80% (176.0m / 1.63b)
NOPAT = 8.25b (EBIT 9.25b * (1 - 10.80%))
Current Ratio = 0.63 (Total Current Assets 12.21b / Total Current Liabilities 19.41b)
Debt / Equity = 1.73 (Debt 89.23b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 51.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.61 (Net Debt 88.54b / EBITDA 15.78b)
Debt / FCF = 9.88 (Net Debt 88.54b / FCF TTM 8.96b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 50.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.60% (Net Income 4.99b / Total Assets 192.29b)
RoE = 9.83% (Net Income TTM 4.99b / Total Stockholder Equity 50.79b)
RoCE = 7.11% (EBIT 9.25b / Capital Employed (Equity 50.79b + L.T.Debt 79.30b))
RoIC = 6.04% (NOPAT 8.25b / Invested Capital 136.51b)
WACC = 3.51% (E(96.11b)/V(185.34b) * Re(5.94%) + D(89.23b)/V(185.34b) * Rd(1.01%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 5.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈8.96b ; Y1≈5.88b ; Y5≈2.69b
Fair Price DCF = 68.00 (DCF Value 52.88b / Shares Outstanding 777.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 52.44 | EPS CAGR: 19.46% | SUE: 0.87 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 59.60 | Revenue CAGR: 6.18% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for DUK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle