DUK Stock Analysis: Duke Energy | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 99.960m USD | 12M Return: 12.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 481M
EPS Trend: 92.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 97.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK) is a U.S.-based energy company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, that operates through two main segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I) and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I). The EU&I segment generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to customers across the Southeast and Midwest, using a diversified generation mix that includes coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewables, and nuclear fuel, and also conducts wholesale electricity sales to municipalities, electric cooperatives, and other load-serving entities. The GU&I segment distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation customers, while also investing in pipeline transmission, renewable natural gas projects, and natural gas storage facilities. The company was founded in 1904 and was renamed from Duke Energy Holding Corp. to Duke Energy Corporation in April 2006.
As a large-cap utility operating primarily under a regulated business model, Duke Energys earnings are largely tied to rate-regulated returns on its transmission and distribution infrastructure rather than commodity prices. Its vertically integrated structure, spanning generation through retail delivery in both electricity and natural gas, is characteristic of major multi-state U.S. utility holding companies.
- Regulated rate hikes support earnings growth across Southeast service territories
- Data center load growth boosts Carolinas electricity sales volumes
- Rising interest rates increase capital costs for utility investment programs
| Net Income: 5.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.44 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -20.69% < 20% (prev -12.45%; Δ -8.24% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 11.7b > Net Income 5.14b |
| Net Debt (90.0b) to EBITDA (16.0b): 5.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.66 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (779.0m) vs 12m ago 0.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 58.41% > 18% (prev 50.91%; Δ 7.50% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 17.27% > 50% (prev 16.50%; Δ 0.77% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.62 > 6 (EBIT TTM 9.72b / Interest Expense TTM 3.71b) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 13.4b - Total Current Liabilities 20.3b) / Total Assets 198b |
| B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 5.76b / Total Assets 198b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 9.72b / Avg Total Assets 193b) |
| D: 0.38 (Book Value of Equity 54.5b / Total Liabilities 142b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.61 = B |
| DSRI: 0.80 (Receivables 3.95b/4.56b, Revenue 33.3b/30.9b) |
| GMI: 0.87 (GM 50.91% / 58.41%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 33.3b / 30.9b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 5.14b - CFO 11.7b) / TA 198b) |
| Beneish M = -3.24 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 126.79 with a total of 1,853,326 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.17%, over one month by +3.88%, over three months by -2.82% and over the past year by +12.82%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 123.20 (which is 2.8% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Duke Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DUK.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 138.6 | 9.3% |
P/E Trailing = 19.3686
P/E Forward = 19.3424
P/S = 3.0551
P/B = 1.8891
P/EG = 2.7437
Revenue TTM = 33.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.72b USD
EBITDA TTM = 16.0b USD
Long Term Debt = 80.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.77b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 92.2b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 964.0m
Net Debt = 90.0b USD (calculated: Debt 92.2b - CCE 2.14b)
Enterprise Value = 190b USD (100.0b + Debt 92.2b - CCE 2.14b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.62 (Ebit TTM 9.72b / Interest Expense TTM 3.71b)
EV/FCF = 28.77x (Enterprise Value 190b / FCF TTM 6.60b)
FCF Yield = 3.48% (FCF TTM 6.60b / Enterprise Value 190b)
FCF Margin = 19.84% (FCF TTM 6.60b / Revenue TTM 33.3b)
Net Margin = 15.44% (Net Income TTM 5.14b / Revenue TTM 33.3b)
Gross Margin = 58.41% ((Revenue TTM 33.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.92% (prev 30.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.96 (Enterprise Value 190b / Total Assets 198b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.03% (Interest Expense 3.71b / Debt 92.2b)
Taxrate = 13.01% (782.0m / 6.01b)
NOPAT = 8.46b (EBIT 9.72b * (1 - 13.01%))
Current Ratio = 0.66 (Total Current Assets 13.4b / Total Current Liabilities 20.3b)
Debt / Equity = 1.69 (Debt 92.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 54.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.61 (Net Debt 90.0b / EBITDA 16.0b)
Debt / FCF = 13.63 (Net Debt 90.0b / FCF TTM 6.60b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 52.2b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.67% (Net Income 5.14b / Total Assets 198b)
RoE = 9.85% (Net Income TTM 5.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 52.2b)
RoCE = 7.33% (EBIT 9.72b / Capital Employed (Equity 52.2b + L.T.Debt 80.5b))
RoIC = 4.55% (NOPAT 8.46b / Invested Capital 186b)
WACC = 4.15% (E(100.0b)/V(192b) * Re(4.75%) + D(92.2b)/V(192b) * Rd(4.03%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 4.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 89.57 | Cagr: 0.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈6.60b ; Y1≈6.63b ; Y5≈7.02b
[DCF] Fair Price = 24.66 (EV 109b - Net Debt 90.0b = Equity 19.2b / Shares 779.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 92.62 | EPS CAGR: 9.17% | SUE: 1.49 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.05 | Revenue CAGR: 4.87% | SUE: 2.78 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.25 | Chg30d=-0.04% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.91 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.70 | Chg30d=-0.00% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+6.2% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.17 | Chg30d=-0.02% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+6.9% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -44% (up=3, down=10)