(DX) Dynex Capital - Ratings and Ratios
Mortgage, Loans, Securities, Bonds, Financing
DX EPS (Earnings per Share)
DX Revenue
Description: DX Dynex Capital
Dynex Capital Inc (NYSE:DX), a Mortgage REIT, operates in the financial services sector, primarily investing in mortgage-backed securities. The companys performance is closely tied to interest rates and the overall health of the housing market.
The stocks current price is near its resistance level of $12.3, suggesting a potential short-term challenge to break through this barrier. With multiple support levels identified between $10.4 and $11.5, a decline in the stock price may find a floor, potentially limiting downside risk.
Key performance indicators (KPIs) to monitor for Dynex Capital include its dividend yield, book value per share, and the ratio of debt to equity. As a Mortgage REIT, Dynex Capitals ability to maintain a stable dividend is crucial, and its yield is likely to be influenced by the prevailing interest rate environment.
The companys price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.82 and forward P/E of 8.90 suggest that the market expects earnings to improve. Return on Equity (RoE) of 4.91% indicates the companys ability to generate profits from shareholders equity, though this is relatively modest. The market capitalization of $1.617 billion USD provides insight into the companys size and investor base.
Economic drivers that will likely impact Dynex Capitals performance include changes in monetary policy, particularly interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve, as well as trends in the housing market, such as housing starts and mortgage delinquency rates. The companys exposure to mortgage-backed securities makes it sensitive to these macroeconomic factors.
DX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,572m |
| Sub-Industry | Mortgage REITs |
| IPO / Inception | 1989-06-30 |
DX Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 66.5% |
| Fundamental | 60.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 62.3% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 8.63% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.29 of 5 |
DX Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 14.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 21.57% |
| Annual Growth 5y | -3.32% |
| Payout Consistency | 66.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 59.7% |
DX Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 42.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 66.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 21.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 19.49% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.66 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 2.59 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.85 |
| Alpha | 9.63 |
| Beta | 0.914 |
| Volatility | 19.53% |
| Current Volume | 4894.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 4894.1k |
| Stop Loss | 12.5 (-3.7%) |
| Signal | 0.22 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (65.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.76m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5674 % (prev 254.5%; Δ -5928 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.00 (>3.0%) and CFO 51.1m <= Net Income 65.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (7.92b) to EBITDA (312.7m) ratio: 25.34 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.04 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (113.2m) change vs 12m ago 69.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 79.94% (prev 45.44%; Δ 34.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 1.81% (prev 1.91%; Δ -0.10pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.22 (EBITDA TTM 312.7m / Interest Expense TTM 330.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -5.56
| (A) -0.82 = (Total Current Assets 430.8m - Total Current Liabilities 9.66b) / Total Assets 11.31b |
| (B) -0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -618.2m / Total Assets 11.31b |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 74.4m / Avg Total Assets 9.00b |
| (D) -0.08 = Book Value of Equity -766.0m / Total Liabilities 9.70b |
| Total Rating: -5.56 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.43
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.52% = 0.26 |
| 3. FCF Margin 31.42% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 5.36 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 25.34 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.67)% = 3.34 |
| 7. RoE 4.91% = 0.41 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 46.20% = 3.47 |
| 9. EPS Trend 49.01% = 2.45 |
What is the price of DX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.61%, over one month by +5.05%, over three months by +7.43% and over the past year by +22.89%.
Is Dynex Capital a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of DX is around 14.84 USD . This means that DX is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +14.33% (Margin of Safety).
Is DX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 13.9 | 7.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 13.9 | 7.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.7 | 20.6% |
Last update: 2025-09-30 03:48
DX Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 14.4048
P/E Forward = 8.9445
P/S = 14.5868
P/B = 1.0465
P/EG = -1.31
Beta = 0.914
Revenue TTM = 162.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 74.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 312.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 29.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.60b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.92b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.81b USD (1.57b + Debt 8.63b - CCE 387.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.22 (Ebit TTM 74.4m / Interest Expense TTM 330.7m)
FCF Yield = 0.52% (FCF TTM 51.1m / Enterprise Value 9.81b)
FCF Margin = 31.42% (FCF TTM 51.1m / Revenue TTM 162.7m)
Net Margin = 40.19% (Net Income TTM 65.4m / Revenue TTM 162.7m)
Gross Margin = 79.94% ((Revenue TTM 162.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 32.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 85.07% (prev 12.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 9.81b / Total Assets 11.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.03% (Interest Expense 88.6m / Debt 8.63b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 58.7m (EBIT 74.4m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.04 (Total Current Assets 430.8m / Total Current Liabilities 9.66b)
Debt / Equity = 5.36 (Debt 8.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 25.34 (Net Debt 7.92b / EBITDA 312.7m)
Debt / FCF = 155.0 (Net Debt 7.92b / FCF TTM 51.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.33b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.58% (Net Income 65.4m / Total Assets 11.31b)
RoE = 4.91% (Net Income TTM 65.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.33b)
RoCE = 5.46% (EBIT 74.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.33b + L.T.Debt 29.3m))
RoIC = 4.80% (NOPAT 58.7m / Invested Capital 1.22b)
WACC = 2.13% (E(1.57b)/V(10.20b) * Re(9.38%) + D(8.63b)/V(10.20b) * Rd(1.03%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 40.54%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.92% ; FCFE base≈96.7m ; Y1≈76.1m ; Y5≈50.0m
Fair Price DCF = 5.75 (DCF Value 747.5m / Shares Outstanding 129.9m; 5y FCF grow -25.45% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 49.01 | EPS CAGR: -3.18% | SUE: -1.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 46.20 | Revenue CAGR: 204.6% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for DX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle