(E) Eni SpA - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Refined Fuels, Chemicals, Renewable Energy
E EPS (Earnings per Share)
E Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 31.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 5.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.49 |
| Alpha | 30.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.403 |
| Beta | 0.574 |
| Beta Downside | 0.767 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.13% |
| Mean DD | 5.35% |
| Median DD | 4.60% |
Description: E Eni SpA September 26, 2025
Eni S.p.A. (NYSE: E) is an integrated energy group headquartered in Rome that operates across the full value chain-from upstream exploration and production of oil, condensates, and natural gas to downstream refining, chemicals, power generation, and retail energy services-in Italy, the broader EU, the United States, Asia, Africa, and other international markets.
Its business is organized into six segments: Exploration & Production; Global Gas & LNG Portfolio & Power; Refining & Chemicals; Enilive (retail gas, electricity, and smart-mobility services); Plenitude (renewable power and biofuels); and Corporate & Other Activities. The company also develops and markets bio-feedstock, biomethane, plastics, elastomers, and operates an expanding EV-charging network.
Key quantitative signals (as of 2023-24): • Upstream production averaged 1.7 million boe/d, with a +5 % YoY increase in natural-gas output driven by new fields in the U.S. and North Africa. • Consolidated net profit was €4.2 billion, reflecting a ~30 % rebound from the pandemic trough and a ~15 % dividend yield on the current share price. • Capital expenditure (CapEx) for 2024 is projected at €9–10 billion, with ≈ €3 billion earmarked for LNG infrastructure and ≈ €2 billion for renewable-energy projects under the Plenitude brand. These figures illustrate the firm’s dual focus on traditional hydrocarbons and a transition to lower-carbon assets.
Strategic drivers that will shape Eni’s near-term performance include: • European gas price volatility and the EU’s push for energy security, which boosts demand for Eni’s LNG trading and pipeline supply business. • Decarbonisation policies that incentivise biofuel production and renewable-power generation, directly supporting the Plenitude segment. • Global crude-oil price cycles, which affect upstream margins and the profitability of its refining and petrochemical operations.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of Eni’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform provides a granular view of its forward cash-flow assumptions and scenario-based risk analyses.
E Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 55,226m |
| Sub-Industry | Integrated Oil & Gas |
| IPO / Inception | 1995-11-27 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 21.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.0 of 5 |
E Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.92% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 19.11% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 14.64% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 98.1% |
E Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 17.22% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.86 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.22 |
| Current Volume | 203.4k |
| Average Volume | 214.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (1.96b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.92b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.99pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.54% (prev 8.18%; Δ 0.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 12.52b > Net Income 1.96b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (22.20b) to EBITDA (16.95b) ratio: 1.31 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.16 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (7450 ) change vs 12m ago -100.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 13.88% (prev 11.31%; Δ 2.58pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 47.62% (prev 64.53%; Δ -16.91pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.56 (EBITDA TTM 16.95b / Interest Expense TTM 4.24b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.14
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 39.48b - Total Current Liabilities 33.91b) / Total Assets 134.99b |
| (B) 0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 34.10b / Total Assets 134.99b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 10.85b / Avg Total Assets 137.17b |
| (D) 0.49 = Book Value of Equity 40.28b / Total Liabilities 82.02b |
| Total Rating: 2.14 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.94
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.66% = 3.33 |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.36% = 1.59 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.63 = 2.31 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.31 = 1.29 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.69)% = 0.86 |
| 7. RoE 3.82% = 0.32 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -51.67% = -3.88 |
| 9. EPS Trend -77.59% = -3.88 |
What is the price of E shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.13%, over one month by +12.31%, over three months by +10.54% and over the past year by +39.27%.
Is Eni SpA a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of E is around 45.16 USD . This means that E is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +18.16% (Margin of Safety).
Is E a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the E price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 37.1 | -2.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 37.1 | -2.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 48.8 | 27.7% |
E Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 19.6085
P/E Forward = 9.9305
P/S = 0.638
P/B = 0.8914
P/EG = 0.7286
Beta = 0.547
Revenue TTM = 65.32b EUR
EBIT TTM = 10.85b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 16.95b EUR
Long Term Debt = 21.57b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 7.05b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.12b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 22.20b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 62.46b EUR (47.63b + Debt 31.12b - CCE 16.30b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.56 (Ebit TTM 10.85b / Interest Expense TTM 4.24b)
FCF Yield = 6.66% (FCF TTM 4.16b / Enterprise Value 62.46b)
FCF Margin = 6.36% (FCF TTM 4.16b / Revenue TTM 65.32b)
Net Margin = 3.00% (Net Income TTM 1.96b / Revenue TTM 65.32b)
Gross Margin = 13.88% ((Revenue TTM 65.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 56.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.75% (prev 9.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.46 (Enterprise Value 62.46b / Total Assets 134.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 310.3m / Debt 31.12b)
Taxrate = 56.84% (935.0k / 1.65m)
NOPAT = 4.68b (EBIT 10.85b * (1 - 56.84%))
Current Ratio = 1.16 (Total Current Assets 39.48b / Total Current Liabilities 33.91b)
Debt / Equity = 0.63 (Debt 31.12b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 49.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.31 (Net Debt 22.20b / EBITDA 16.95b)
Debt / FCF = 5.34 (Net Debt 22.20b / FCF TTM 4.16b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 51.34b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.45% (Net Income 1.96b / Total Assets 134.99b)
RoE = 3.82% (Net Income TTM 1.96b / Total Stockholder Equity 51.34b)
RoCE = 14.88% (EBIT 10.85b / Capital Employed (Equity 51.34b + L.T.Debt 21.57b))
RoIC = 5.77% (NOPAT 4.68b / Invested Capital 81.12b)
WACC = 5.09% (E(47.63b)/V(78.76b) * Re(8.13%) + D(31.12b)/V(78.76b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.57)))
Discount Rate = 8.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -99.79%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.61% ; FCFE base≈4.76b ; Y1≈3.69b ; Y5≈2.35b
Fair Price DCF = 29.07 (DCF Value 43.31b / Shares Outstanding 1.49b; 5y FCF grow -26.85% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -77.59 | EPS CAGR: -29.07% | SUE: -0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -51.67 | Revenue CAGR: -93.04% | SUE: -1.65 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for E Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle