EAT Stock Analysis: Brinker International | NYSE
Restaurants | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 9.495m USD | 12M Return: 58.8% | US1096411004 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 222M
EPS Trend: 97.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Brinker International, Inc. is a Dallas-based casual dining operator that owns, develops, operates, and franchises restaurant concepts in the U.S. and select international markets. Its portfolio is anchored by two brands: Chilis Grill & Bar, which generates the bulk of system-wide sales, and Maggianos Little Italy, positioned in the higher-check Italian dining niche. Founded in 1975 and listed on the NYSE under the ticker EAT, the company is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sectors Restaurants sub-industry and operates using a hybrid company-owned and franchised model, a structure common among large U.S. restaurant operators and one that allows brand expansion without bearing the full capital cost of new unit growth.
- Chilis same-store sales surge on promotional menu value positioning
- Beef and labor cost inflation pressures restaurant-level margins
- Share repurchase program supports capital returns to shareholders
| Net Income: 487.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.32 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.35% < 20% (prev -8.70%; Δ 2.35% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 > 3% & CFO 757.8m > Net Income 487.0m |
| Net Debt (3.02b) to EBITDA (840.1m): 3.59 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.45 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (44.8m) vs 12m ago -3.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.65% > 18% (prev 18.25%; Δ 0.40% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 211.4% > 50% (prev 201.0%; Δ 10.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM 621.4m / Interest Expense TTM 40.5m) |
| A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 307.7m - Total Current Liabilities 676.7m) / Total Assets 2.81b |
| B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 542.4m / Total Assets 2.81b) |
| C: 0.23 (EBIT TTM 621.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.75b) |
| D: 0.19 (Book Value of Equity 443.7m / Total Liabilities 2.37b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.48 = BB |
As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 245.89 with a total of 2,464,959 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.82%, over one month by +29.91%, over three months by +81.70% and over the past year by +58.76%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 234.80 (which is 4.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Brinker International has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45. Therefore, it is recommended to hold EAT.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 202 | -17.8% |
P/E Trailing = 21.577
P/E Forward = 19.1939
P/S = 1.656
P/B = 24.0362
P/EG = 1.6589
Revenue TTM = 5.81b USD
EBIT TTM = 621.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 840.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 346.6m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 419.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.02b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.40b
Net Debt = 3.02b USD (using Total Debt 3.02b, CCE unavailable)
Enterprise Value = 12.5b USD (9.49b + Debt 3.02b - (null CCE))
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.34 (Ebit TTM 621.4m / Interest Expense TTM 40.5m)
EV/FCF = 24.80x (Enterprise Value 12.5b / FCF TTM 504.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.03% (FCF TTM 504.4m / Enterprise Value 12.5b)
FCF Margin = 8.69% (FCF TTM 504.4m / Revenue TTM 5.81b)
Net Margin = 8.39% (Net Income TTM 487.0m / Revenue TTM 5.81b)
Gross Margin = 18.65% ((Revenue TTM 5.81b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.72b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -83.70% (prev 19.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.44 (Enterprise Value 12.5b / Total Assets 2.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.34% (Interest Expense 40.5m / Debt 3.02b)
Taxrate = 16.16% (93.9m / 580.9m)
NOPAT = 521.0m (EBIT 621.4m * (1 - 16.16%))
Current Ratio = 0.45 (Total Current Assets 307.7m / Total Current Liabilities 676.7m)
Debt / Equity = 6.80 (Debt 3.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 443.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.59 (Net Debt 3.02b / EBITDA 840.1m)
Debt / FCF = 5.98 (Net Debt 3.02b / FCF TTM 504.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 393.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.73% (Net Income 487.0m / Total Assets 2.81b)
RoE = 123.8% (Net Income TTM 487.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 393.2m)
RoCE = 83.99% (EBIT 621.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 393.2m + L.T.Debt 346.6m))
RoIC = 20.37% (NOPAT 521.0m / Invested Capital 2.56b)
WACC = 5.73% (E(9.49b)/V(12.5b) * Re(7.19%) + D(3.02b)/V(12.5b) * Rd(1.34%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 7.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -42.78 | Cagr: -0.39%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈459.1m ; Y1≈526.3m ; Y5≈774.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 201.5 (EV 11.7b - Net Debt 3.02b = Equity 8.64b / Shares 42.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.43 | EPS CAGR: 65.77% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.04 | Revenue CAGR: 15.07% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.27 | Chg30d=+1.69% | Revisions=+30% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=10.76 | Chg30d=+0.01% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=12.50 | Chg30d=+0.63% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+16.1% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29% (up=12, down=6)