EAT Stock Analysis: Brinker International | NYSE
Restaurants | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.132m USD | 12M Return: 55.8% | US1096411004 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 268M
EPS Trend: 96.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Brinker International, Inc. (NYSE: EAT) is a Dallas-based casual dining restaurant company that owns, develops, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Chilis Grill & Bar and Maggianos Little Italy brands in the United States and select international markets. Founded in 1975, the company operates within the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Restaurants sub-industry, using a hybrid business model that combines company-operated locations with franchised units to support brand growth.
Casual dining chains like Brinker typically generate revenue through a mix of direct restaurant sales and franchise fees, royalties, and other income from franchised locations. The dual-brand portfolio strategy allows the company to appeal to different customer segments-Chilis targeting broad-market casual dining and Maggianos positioned in the upscale casual Italian segment.
- Chilis same-store sales rebound drives revenue growth
- Beef and labor cost pressures squeeze restaurant margins
- Maggianos underperformance prompts strategic review and capital reallocation
| Net Income: 487.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.36 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.35% < 20% (prev -8.70%; Δ 2.35% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.28 > 3% & CFO 789.4m > Net Income 487.0m |
| Net Debt (3.06b) to EBITDA (840.1m): 3.64 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.45 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (44.8m) vs 12m ago -3.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.65% > 18% (prev 18.25%; Δ 0.40% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 211.4% > 50% (prev 201.0%; Δ 10.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM 621.4m / Interest Expense TTM 40.5m) |
| A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 307.7m - Total Current Liabilities 676.7m) / Total Assets 2.81b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 673.5m / Total Assets 2.81b) |
| C: 0.23 (EBIT TTM 621.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.75b) |
| D: 0.19 (Book Value of Equity 443.7m / Total Liabilities 2.37b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.64 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 82.6m/73.4m, Revenue 5.81b/5.38b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 18.25% / 18.65%) |
| AQI: 0.86 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 5.81b / 5.38b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 487.0m - CFO 789.4m) / TA 2.81b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 193.87 with a total of 1,026,217 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.02%, over one month by -9.96%, over three months by +7.33% and over the past year by +55.79%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 181.70 (which is 6.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Brinker International has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.43. Therefore, it is recommended to buy EAT.
- StrongBuy: 16
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 262.6 | 35.4% |
P/E Trailing = 17.862
P/E Forward = 16.2075
P/S = 1.4002
P/B = 19.8424
P/EG = 1.8833
Revenue TTM = 5.81b USD
EBIT TTM = 621.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 840.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 346.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 142.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.17b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.41b
Net Debt = 3.06b USD (calculated: Debt 3.17b - CCE 110.0m)
Enterprise Value = 11.2b USD (8.13b + Debt 3.17b - CCE 110.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.34 (Ebit TTM 621.4m / Interest Expense TTM 40.5m)
EV/FCF = 20.07x (Enterprise Value 11.2b / FCF TTM 557.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.98% (FCF TTM 557.5m / Enterprise Value 11.2b)
FCF Margin = 9.60% (FCF TTM 557.5m / Revenue TTM 5.81b)
Net Margin = 8.39% (Net Income TTM 487.0m / Revenue TTM 5.81b)
Gross Margin = 18.65% ((Revenue TTM 5.81b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.72b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -83.70% (prev 19.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.97 (Enterprise Value 11.2b / Total Assets 2.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.28% (Interest Expense 40.5m / Debt 3.17b)
Taxrate = 16.16% (93.9m / 580.9m)
NOPAT = 521.0m (EBIT 621.4m * (1 - 16.16%))
Current Ratio = 0.45 (Total Current Assets 307.7m / Total Current Liabilities 676.7m)
Debt / Equity = 7.13 (Debt 3.17b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 443.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.64 (Net Debt 3.06b / EBITDA 840.1m)
Debt / FCF = 5.48 (Net Debt 3.06b / FCF TTM 557.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 393.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.73% (Net Income 487.0m / Total Assets 2.81b)
RoE = 123.8% (Net Income TTM 487.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 393.2m)
RoCE = 83.97% (EBIT 621.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 393.2m + L.T.Debt 346.8m))
RoIC = 24.00% (NOPAT 521.0m / Invested Capital 2.17b)
WACC = 5.35% (E(8.13b)/V(11.3b) * Re(7.02%) + D(3.17b)/V(11.3b) * Rd(1.28%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 7.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -42.78 | Cagr: -0.39%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈500.0m ; Y1≈573.1m ; Y5≈843.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 230.1 (EV 12.7b - Net Debt 3.06b = Equity 9.64b / Shares 41.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.44 | EPS CAGR: 59.81% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.04 | Revenue CAGR: 15.07% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.41 | Chg30d=+0.65% | Revisions=+10% | Analysts=20
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=3.36 | Chg30d=+0.16% | Revisions=+42% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=13.24 | Chg30d=+0.14% | Revisions=+58% | GrowthEPS=+23.3% | GrowthRev=+8.2%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=14.55 | Chg30d=+0.48% | Revisions=+42% | GrowthEPS=+9.9% | GrowthRev=+3.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +49% (up=26, down=8)