(EAT) Brinker International - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.893m USD | Total Return: -15.5% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 145M
EPS Trend: 97.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Choppy
Tailwinds
Confidence
Brinker International, Inc. (NYSE: EAT) is a major player in the casual dining sector, owning and franchising the Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy brands. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company manages a global portfolio of company-owned and franchised locations across the United States and various international markets.
The casual dining business model relies on a mix of high-volume alcoholic beverage sales and full-service dining to drive higher average check sizes compared to quick-service peers. Brinker operates within the highly competitive GICS Restaurants sub-industry, where profitability is closely tied to commodity costs, labor efficiency, and consumer discretionary spending trends.
Investors can further examine the companys historical performance and valuation metrics on ValueRay. Founded in 1975, Brinker maintains a dual-brand strategy that targets both the value-oriented bar and grill segment and the premium Italian dining market.
- Chilis menu pricing power and traffic growth drive quarterly revenue performance
- Commodity price volatility and labor cost inflation impact restaurant operating margins
- Digital sales penetration and loyalty program engagement expand customer lifetime value
- Strategic advertising spend and promotional activity influence casual dining market share
- Consumer discretionary spending levels dictate foot traffic trends across suburban markets
| Net Income: 462.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.17% < 20% (prev -9.33%; Δ 2.16% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 > 3% & CFO 757.8m > Net Income 462.9m |
| Net Debt (3.09b) to EBITDA (807.2m): 3.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.40 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (44.5m) vs 12m ago -4.09% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.04% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 4.59k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 214.6% > 50% (prev 199.5%; Δ 15.09% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.89 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 807.2m / Interest Expense TTM 42.2m) |
| A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 270.5m - Total Current Liabilities 681.4m) / Total Assets 2.77b |
| B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 542.4m / Total Assets 2.77b) |
| C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 586.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.67b) |
| D: 0.23 (Book Value of Equity 541.9m / Total Liabilities 2.37b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.38 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.46 (Receivables 98.2m/60.1m, Revenue 5.73b/5.13b) |
| GMI: 0.38 (GM 46.04% / 17.64%) |
| AQI: 0.86 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 5.73b / 5.13b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 462.9m - CFO 757.8m) / TA 2.77b) |
| Beneish M = -3.31 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 142.38 with a total of 601,498 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.25%,
over one month by -3.67%,
over three months by -3.93% and
over the past year by -15.49%.
Brinker International has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45. Therefore, it is recommended to hold EAT.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 186.1 | 30.7% |
P/E Trailing = 13.3928
P/E Forward = 11.0988
P/S = 1.0279
P/B = 14.4266
P/EG = 0.892
Revenue TTM = 5.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 586.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 807.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 346.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.40b
Net Debt = 3.09b USD (calculated: Debt 3.15b - CCE 57.1m)
Enterprise Value = 8.99b USD (5.89b + Debt 3.15b - CCE 57.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.89 (Ebit TTM 586.1m / Interest Expense TTM 42.2m)
EV/FCF = 17.81x (Enterprise Value 8.99b / FCF TTM 504.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.61% (FCF TTM 504.4m / Enterprise Value 8.99b)
FCF Margin = 8.80% (FCF TTM 504.4m / Revenue TTM 5.73b)
Net Margin = 8.07% (Net Income TTM 462.9m / Revenue TTM 5.73b)
Gross Margin = 46.04% ((Revenue TTM 5.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.19% (prev 74.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.24 (Enterprise Value 8.99b / Total Assets 2.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.34% (Interest Expense 42.2m / Debt 3.15b)
Taxrate = 18.38% (28.8m / 156.7m)
NOPAT = 478.4m (EBIT 586.1m * (1 - 18.38%))
Current Ratio = 0.40 (Total Current Assets 270.5m / Total Current Liabilities 681.4m)
Debt / Equity = 7.76 (Debt 3.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 406.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.83 (Net Debt 3.09b / EBITDA 807.2m)
Debt / FCF = 6.13 (Net Debt 3.09b / FCF TTM 504.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 375.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.32% (Net Income 462.9m / Total Assets 2.77b)
RoE = 123.4% (Net Income TTM 462.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 375.0m)
RoCE = 81.22% (EBIT 586.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 375.0m + L.T.Debt 346.6m))
RoIC = 21.44% (NOPAT 478.4m / Invested Capital 2.23b)
WACC = 5.39% (E(5.89b)/V(9.04b) * Re(7.69%) + D(3.15b)/V(9.04b) * Rd(1.34%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 7.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 8.99 | Cagr: -0.40%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈459.1m ; Y1≈526.3m ; Y5≈774.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 199.7 (EV 11.7b - Net Debt 3.09b = Equity 8.56b / Shares 42.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.43 | EPS CAGR: 65.77% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.83 | Revenue CAGR: 14.91% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.22 | Chg30d=+0.29% | Revisions=+7% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=10.76 | Chg30d=+0.65% | Revisions=+55% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+7.9%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=12.46 | Chg30d=+1.16% | Revisions=+45% | GrowthEPS=+15.8% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +55%