ECC Stock Analysis: Eagle Point Credit | NYSE
Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 468m USD | 12M Return: -32.2% | US2698081013 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.01M
EPS Trend: -99.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -17.9%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Eagle Point Credit Company Inc. (NYSE: ECC) is a closed-end fund externally managed by Eagle Point Credit Management LLC. The fund invests primarily in the equity and junior debt tranches of U.S. collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), which are structured credit vehicles backed by pools of below investment grade senior secured loans.
Because it focuses on the lower-rated portions of the CLO capital structure, ECC occupies a higher-risk, higher-yield segment of the U.S. fixed income market. Its shares trade on the NYSE like a stock, which means its market price can move independently of the funds underlying net asset value (NAV) - a common feature of closed-end fund structures.
- CLO equity spreads tighten compressing forward return outlook
- Rising loan defaults pressure equity tranche cash flow distributions
- Discount to NAV widens as credit cycle concerns grow
| Net Income: -166.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.17k% < 20% (prev 54.68%; Δ 1.12k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 77.9m > Net Income -166.6m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 3.55 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (133.0m) vs 12m ago 10.67% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.60% > 50% (prev 14.83%; Δ -14.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.52 > 6 (EBIT TTM -113.0m / Interest Expense TTM 25.0m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 129.8m - Total Current Liabilities 36.5m) / Total Assets 1.14b |
| B: -0.59 (Retained Earnings -673.2m / Total Assets 1.14b) |
| C: -0.09 (EBIT TTM -113.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.33b) |
| D: 2.72 (Book Value of Equity 833.6m / Total Liabilities 306.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.90 = B |
As of September 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.50 with a total of 615,594 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.58%, over one month by -7.17%, over three months by -1.11% and over the past year by -32.15%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.40 (which is 2.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Eagle Point Credit has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ECC.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8.5 | 142.9% |
P/E Forward = 5.7307
P/S = 2.5519
P/B = 0.801
Revenue TTM = 7.96m USD
EBIT TTM = -113.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -113.0m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 270.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 210.4m USD (calculated: Debt 270.0m - CCE 59.5m)
Enterprise Value = 678.6m USD (468.2m + Debt 270.0m - CCE 59.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.52 (Ebit TTM -113.0m / Interest Expense TTM 25.0m)
EV/FCF = 8.72x (Enterprise Value 678.6m / FCF TTM 77.9m)
FCF Yield = 11.47% (FCF TTM 77.9m / Enterprise Value 678.6m)
FCF Margin = 977.6% (FCF TTM 77.9m / Revenue TTM 7.96m)
Net Margin = -2.09k% (Net Income TTM -166.6m / Revenue TTM 7.96m)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 7.96m - Cost of Revenue TTM 47.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 678.6m / Total Assets 1.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.26% (Interest Expense 25.0m / Debt 270.0m)
Taxrate = 0.22% (169k / 76.3m)
NOPAT = -112.7m (EBIT -113.0m * (1 - 0.22%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.55 (Total Current Assets 129.8m / Total Current Liabilities 36.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 270.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 833.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.86 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 210.4m / EBITDA -113.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2.70 (Net Debt 210.4m / FCF TTM 77.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 930.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -12.53% (Net Income -166.6m / Total Assets 1.14b)
RoE = -17.91% (Net Income TTM -166.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 930.2m)
RoCE = -10.24% (EBIT -113.0m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 1.14b - Current Liab 36.5m))
RoIC = -10.22% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -112.7m / Invested Capital 1.10b)
WACC = 8.99% (E(468.2m)/V(738.2m) * Re(8.84%) + D(270.0m)/V(738.2m) * Rd(9.26%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 8.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.53 | Cagr: 24.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.74% ; FCFF base≈90.6m ; Y1≈79.5m ; Y5≈64.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.43 (EV 932.5m - Net Debt 210.4m = Equity 722.1m / Shares 133.0m; r=8.99% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -99.29 | EPS CAGR: -16.55% | SUE: -0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -17.86 | Revenue CAGR: -17.92% | SUE: -1.95 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=-10.39% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.71 | Chg30d=-7.47% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-27.3% | GrowthRev=-21.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=-4.40% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+6.7% | GrowthRev=+6.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -75% (up=0, down=9)