ECL Stock Analysis: Ecolab | NYSE
Specialty Chemicals | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 78.556m USD | 12M Return: 2.9% | US2788651006 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 320M
EPS Trend: 97.9%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 92.9%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ecolab Inc. (NYSE: ECL) is a U.S.-based provider of water, hygiene, and infection prevention solutions and services, operating across four segments: Global Water, Global Institutional & Specialty, Global Pest Elimination, and Global Life Sciences. Its customer base spans a wide range of industries, including manufacturing, food and beverage, healthcare, hospitality, pharmaceuticals, and primary metals and mining. The company distributes its products through field sales personnel, corporate accounts, distributors, and dealers, and markets them under brands such as Ecolab, Kay, Purolite, and Bioquell.
Founded in 1923 and headquartered in Saint Paul, Minnesota, Ecolab operates within the specialty chemicals subsector of the broader Materials sector. Its business model centers on supplying consumable chemicals, equipment, and service contracts-often on a recurring basis-to commercial and industrial customers, which tends to generate relatively stable, repeat revenue streams tied to customer operating volumes.
- Industrial water treatment demand tracks global manufacturing activity
- Healthcare and foodservice sales lift institutional segment growth
- Raw material and energy costs pressure specialty chemicals margins
| Net Income: 2.12b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 29.88% < 20% (prev 13.78%; Δ 16.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 3.06b > Net Income 2.12b |
| Net Debt (9.36b) to EBITDA (3.92b): 2.39 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (282.9m) vs 12m ago -0.88% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.11% > 18% (prev 43.97%; Δ 0.15% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 62.77% > 50% (prev 66.24%; Δ -3.47% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.55 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.89b / Interest Expense TTM 302.9m) |
| A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 11.0b - Total Current Liabilities 5.99b) / Total Assets 29.9b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 13.4b / Total Assets 29.9b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 2.89b / Avg Total Assets 26.8b) |
| D: 0.51 (Book Value of Equity 10.1b / Total Liabilities 19.8b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.82 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 3.45b/3.24b, Revenue 16.8b/15.7b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 43.97% / 44.11%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.50) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 16.8b / 15.7b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 2.12b - CFO 3.06b) / TA 29.9b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 277.87 with a total of 1,107,296 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.60%, over one month by -1.62%, over three months by +0.00% and over the past year by +2.93%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 265.60 (which is 4.4% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Ecolab has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.19. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ECL.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 325 | 16.9% |
P/E Trailing = 37.5643
P/E Forward = 29.6736
P/S = 4.6642
P/B = 7.7144
P/EG = 2.4937
Revenue TTM = 16.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.89b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.92b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.9b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.27b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.5b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 742.6m
Net Debt = 9.36b USD (calculated: Debt 14.5b - CCE 5.14b)
Enterprise Value = 87.9b USD (78.6b + Debt 14.5b - CCE 5.14b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.55 (Ebit TTM 2.89b / Interest Expense TTM 302.9m)
EV/FCF = 46.90x (Enterprise Value 87.9b / FCF TTM 1.87b)
FCF Yield = 2.13% (FCF TTM 1.87b / Enterprise Value 87.9b)
FCF Margin = 11.13% (FCF TTM 1.87b / Revenue TTM 16.8b)
Net Margin = 12.57% (Net Income TTM 2.12b / Revenue TTM 16.8b)
Gross Margin = 44.11% ((Revenue TTM 16.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.41b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.07% (prev 43.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.94 (Enterprise Value 87.9b / Total Assets 29.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.09% (Interest Expense 302.9m / Debt 14.5b)
Taxrate = 18.87% (496.1m / 2.63b)
NOPAT = 2.35b (EBIT 2.89b * (1 - 18.87%))
Current Ratio = 1.84 (Total Current Assets 11.0b / Total Current Liabilities 5.99b)
Debt / Equity = 1.44 (Debt 14.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.39 (Net Debt 9.36b / EBITDA 3.92b)
Debt / FCF = 4.99 (Net Debt 9.36b / FCF TTM 1.87b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.89b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.89% (Net Income 2.12b / Total Assets 29.9b)
RoE = 21.41% (Net Income TTM 2.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.89b)
RoCE = 13.27% (EBIT 2.89b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.89b + L.T.Debt 11.9b))
RoIC = 9.63% (NOPAT 2.35b / Invested Capital 24.4b)
WACC = 6.43% (E(78.6b)/V(93.1b) * Re(7.30%) + D(14.5b)/V(93.1b) * Rd(2.09%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 7.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.42 | Cagr: -0.76%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.75b ; Y1≈2.01b ; Y5≈2.96b
[DCF] Fair Price = 125.5 (EV 44.5b - Net Debt 9.36b = Equity 35.2b / Shares 280.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.86 | EPS CAGR: 18.23% | SUE: 1.34 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 92.95 | Revenue CAGR: 3.16% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.17 | Chg30d=-0.08% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.16 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=+11.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.41 | Chg30d=-0.08% | Revisions=+52% | GrowthEPS=+15.3% | GrowthRev=+7.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +41% (up=38, down=15)