(EGY) Vaalco Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 69.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.41% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.59 |
| Alpha | -41.91 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.429 |
| Beta | 1.040 |
| Beta Downside | 1.235 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.56% |
| Mean DD | 25.37% |
| Median DD | 19.94% |
Description: EGY Vaalco Energy October 25, 2025
VAALCO Energy, Inc. (NYSE: EGY) is an independent upstream company focused on acquiring, exploring, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural-gas liquids across a diversified geographic portfolio that includes offshore West Africa (Gabon, Côte d’Ivoire, Equatorial Guinea), on-shore Egypt, and on-shore Canada.
The firm holds a 58.8 % working interest in the Etame Production Sharing Contract (≈46,200 gross acres) offshore Gabon, a 100 % interest in Egypt’s Eastern Desert concessions (≈45,067 acres) and Western Desert South Ghazalat concession (≈7,340 acres), a 27.4 % non-operated stake in the deep-water Baobab field (Block CI-40) offshore Côte d’Ivoire, and Canadian Cardium/Mannville assets (≈49,100 gross acres developed + 28,900 gross acres undeveloped) near Calgary. It also retains a 60 % working interest in an undeveloped offshore block P in Equatorial Guinea.
Key operational metrics from the most recent 2023 filing show average net production of roughly 30 kboe/d, operating cash flow of $150 million, and a net debt-to-cash-flow ratio of about 1.2×, indicating modest leverage relative to cash generation. The company’s exposure to West-African political risk is partially offset by long-term production-sharing contracts that provide stable fiscal terms, while its Canadian light-oil portfolio benefits from recent price spreads between WTI and Brent that have widened to > $5 per barrel.
Sector-wide drivers that will likely influence EGY’s performance include OPEC+ output decisions, which set the baseline crude price floor, and the accelerating global demand for natural-gas liquids (NGLs) as feedstock for petrochemical growth-both of which could improve margins if price differentials remain favorable.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of EGY’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find the ValueRay platform useful.
EGY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 411m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 1993-01-29 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -37.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.67 of 5 |
EGY Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.10% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 18.25% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 38.68% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 5.0% |
EGY Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -5.93% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.10 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.23 |
| Current Volume | 1098.3k |
| Average Volume | 692.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (28.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 25.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1.78% (prev 11.96%; Δ -10.18pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 112.0m > Net Income 28.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (123.8m) to EBITDA (189.0m) ratio: 0.65 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.05 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (104.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.42% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 33.81% (prev 40.69%; Δ -6.89pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 44.68% (prev 54.00%; Δ -9.32pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 9.99 (EBITDA TTM 189.0m / Interest Expense TTM 7.29m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.79
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 173.7m - Total Current Liabilities 166.2m) / Total Assets 950.4m |
| (B) 0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 207.2m / Total Assets 950.4m |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 72.8m / Avg Total Assets 944.2m |
| (D) 0.49 = Book Value of Equity 217.6m / Total Liabilities 444.6m |
| Total Rating: 1.79 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.41
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.28% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.65 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.34)% |
| 7. RoE 5.71% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 46.18% |
| 9. EPS Trend -49.65% |
What is the price of EGY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.17%, over one month by -2.90%, over three months by -5.65% and over the past year by -29.48%.
Is EGY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EGY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.6 | 145.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.6 | 145.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.6 | 1.1% |
EGY Fundamental Data Overview November 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 14.8462
P/E Forward = 15.748
P/S = 1.0534
P/B = 0.812
P/EG = 2.62
Beta = 0.211
Revenue TTM = 421.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 72.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 189.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 60.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 16.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 147.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 123.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 534.5m USD (410.8m + Debt 147.7m - CCE 24.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.99 (Ebit TTM 72.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.29m)
FCF Yield = 4.16% (FCF TTM 22.3m / Enterprise Value 534.5m)
FCF Margin = 5.28% (FCF TTM 22.3m / Revenue TTM 421.8m)
Net Margin = 6.84% (Net Income TTM 28.9m / Revenue TTM 421.8m)
Gross Margin = 33.81% ((Revenue TTM 421.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 279.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.04% (prev 21.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.56 (Enterprise Value 534.5m / Total Assets 950.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.58% (Interest Expense 2.33m / Debt 147.7m)
Taxrate = 144.1% (out of range, set to none) (-3.60m / -2.50m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 173.7m / Total Current Liabilities 166.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 147.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 505.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.65 (Net Debt 123.8m / EBITDA 189.0m)
Debt / FCF = 5.56 (Net Debt 123.8m / FCF TTM 22.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 505.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.04% (Net Income 28.9m / Total Assets 950.4m)
RoE = 5.71% (Net Income TTM 28.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 505.8m)
RoCE = 12.87% (EBIT 72.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 505.8m + L.T.Debt 60.0m))
RoIC = 9.58% (EBIT 72.8m / (Assets 950.4m - Curr.Liab 166.2m - Cash 24.0m))
WACC = 7.24% (E(410.8m)/V(558.5m) * Re(9.85%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.03% ; FCFE base≈53.8m ; Y1≈40.3m ; Y5≈24.0m
Fair Price DCF = 3.28 (DCF Value 341.8m / Shares Outstanding 104.3m; 5y FCF grow -29.70% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -49.65 | EPS CAGR: -73.10% | SUE: -0.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 46.18 | Revenue CAGR: 836.3% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for EGY Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle