(EGY) Vaalco Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.94% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 14.53% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 24.36% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 2.3% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 68.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.48% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.19 |
| Alpha | -32.46 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.02 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.390 |
| Beta | 0.999 |
| Beta Downside | 1.139 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.56% |
| Mean DD | 25.18% |
| Median DD | 19.53% |
Description: EGY Vaalco Energy December 28, 2025
VAALCO Energy Inc. (NYSE:EGY) is an independent upstream company focused on acquiring, exploring, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs across a diversified geographic footprint that includes offshore Gabon, Egypt, Côte d’Ivoire, Equatorial Guinea, and onshore Canada. The firm holds a 58.8% stake in the Etame production sharing contract (≈46,200 gross acres offshore Gabon) and 100% interests in Egypt’s Eastern and Western Desert concessions (≈52,400 gross acres combined). Additional assets comprise a 27.4% non-operated interest in the deep-water Baobab field (Block CI-40, Côte d’Ivoire), Cardium light-oil and Mannville liquids-rich gas acreage near Calgary (≈78,000 gross acres), and a 60% working interest in an undeveloped offshore block in Equatorial Guinea.
As of 2023, VAALCO produced roughly 22,000 boe/d, generating $210 million of operating cash flow and maintaining a net debt of about $250 million, yielding a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.0×. The company’s cash-flow profile is heavily weighted toward its West African assets, which are sensitive to OPEC+ production decisions and regional political stability. In the Canadian segment, the Cardium-Mannville portfolio benefits from lower-cost, light-oil operations that have historically outperformed the broader E&P sector when oil prices stay above $80/bbl. A key sector driver is the ongoing shift toward higher-margin liquids, making VAALCO’s balanced oil-and-gas mix a potential hedge against prolonged gas-price weakness.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, the ValueRay platform offers a granular, up-to-date dashboard on EGY’s financial and operational metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (28.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 25.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1.78% (prev 11.96%; Δ -10.18pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 112.0m > Net Income 28.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (123.8m) to EBITDA (189.0m) ratio: 0.65 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.05 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (104.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.42% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 33.81% (prev 49.60%; Δ -15.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 44.68% (prev 54.00%; Δ -9.32pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 9.99 (EBITDA TTM 189.0m / Interest Expense TTM 7.29m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.79
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 173.7m - Total Current Liabilities 166.2m) / Total Assets 950.4m |
| (B) 0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 207.2m / Total Assets 950.4m |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 72.8m / Avg Total Assets 944.2m |
| (D) 0.49 = Book Value of Equity 217.6m / Total Liabilities 444.6m |
| Total Rating: 1.79 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.28
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.40% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.28% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.65 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.59)% |
| 7. RoE 5.63% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 23.30% |
| 9. EPS Trend -66.54% |
What is the price of EGY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.10%, over one month by +4.05%, over three months by -10.18% and over the past year by -10.73%.
Is EGY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EGY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.6 | 139.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.6 | 139.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.7 | 1.4% |
EGY Fundamental Data Overview January 04, 2026
P/E Trailing = 13.5556
P/E Forward = 12.5471
P/S = 0.9785
P/B = 0.7502
P/EG = 2.62
Beta = 0.221
Revenue TTM = 421.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 72.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 189.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 60.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 16.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 147.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 123.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 505.3m USD (381.6m + Debt 147.7m - CCE 24.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.99 (Ebit TTM 72.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.29m)
FCF Yield = 4.40% (FCF TTM 22.3m / Enterprise Value 505.3m)
FCF Margin = 5.28% (FCF TTM 22.3m / Revenue TTM 421.8m)
Net Margin = 6.75% (Net Income TTM 28.5m / Revenue TTM 421.8m)
Gross Margin = 33.81% ((Revenue TTM 421.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 279.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.04% (prev 21.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 505.3m / Total Assets 950.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.58% (Interest Expense 2.33m / Debt 147.7m)
Taxrate = 144.1% (out of range, set to none) (-3.60m / -2.50m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 173.7m / Total Current Liabilities 166.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 147.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 505.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.65 (Net Debt 123.8m / EBITDA 189.0m)
Debt / FCF = 5.56 (Net Debt 123.8m / FCF TTM 22.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 505.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.99% (Net Income 28.5m / Total Assets 950.4m)
RoE = 5.63% (Net Income TTM 28.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 505.8m)
RoCE = 12.87% (EBIT 72.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 505.8m + L.T.Debt 60.0m))
RoIC = 9.58% (EBIT 72.8m / (Assets 950.4m - Curr.Liab 166.2m - Cash 24.0m))
WACC = 6.99% (E(381.6m)/V(529.3m) * Re(9.70%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.35% ; FCFE base≈29.2m ; Y1≈19.2m ; Y5≈8.76m
Fair Price DCF = 1.28 (DCF Value 133.9m / Shares Outstanding 104.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -66.54 | EPS CAGR: -32.24% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 23.30 | Revenue CAGR: -1.76% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.35 | Chg30d=+0.090 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+1066.7% | Growth Revenue=+20.1%
Additional Sources for EGY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle