(EL) Estee Lauder Companies - Ratings and Ratios
Skincare, Makeup, Fragrance, Haircare, Tools
EL EPS (Earnings per Share)
EL Revenue
Description: EL Estee Lauder Companies October 14, 2025
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (NYSE: EL) designs, manufactures, markets and sells a broad portfolio of prestige beauty products-including skin-care, makeup, fragrance and hair-care-through a multi-channel network of department stores, specialty retailers, e-commerce platforms, salons, spas and its own direct-to-consumer stores.
Its brand roster spans high-end labels such as La Mer, Jo Malone London, Tom Ford and Le Labo, alongside mass-prestige names like Clinique, M·A·C, The Ordinary and Aveda, giving the company exposure across price points and consumer segments.
Recent financials show EL generated $17.7 billion in net sales for FY 2023, with a 6 % year-over-year increase driven primarily by a 30 % jump in digital sales and strong growth in anti-aging skin-care. Adjusted EPS rose to $2.57 and gross margins held near 71 %, reflecting pricing power despite inflationary pressure on raw-material costs.
Key macro drivers include rising global demand for premium skin-care, especially in Asia-Pacific, and consumer willingness to pay a premium for sustainability-focused formulations-trends that have historically delivered a 4–5 % premium price premium for “green” product lines.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of EL’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a useful toolkit.
EL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 35,174m |
| Sub-Industry | Personal Care Products |
| IPO / Inception | 1995-11-16 |
EL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -19.0% |
| Fundamental | 28.8% |
| Dividend Rating | 47.6% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 18.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.11 of 5 |
EL Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.51% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.63% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 11.83% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 83.3% |
EL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 45.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 63.6% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -90.9% |
| CAGR 5y | -22.34% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.27 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.44 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.73 |
| Alpha | 14.54 |
| Beta | 1.157 |
| Volatility | 42.07% |
| Current Volume | 1854.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 3773.5k |
| Stop Loss | 88.4 (-4.8%) |
| Signal | 0.37 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-930.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 866.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 11.29% (prev 11.19%; Δ 0.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.60b > Net Income -930.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (6.79b) to EBITDA (451.0m) ratio: 15.04 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (363.3m) change vs 12m ago 1.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 74.19% (prev 72.29%; Δ 1.90pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 71.06% (prev 72.48%; Δ -1.42pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.96 (EBITDA TTM 451.0m / Interest Expense TTM 398.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.09
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 6.71b - Total Current Liabilities 5.08b) / Total Assets 19.33b |
| (B) 0.60 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 11.59b / Total Assets 19.33b |
| (C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -381.0m / Avg Total Assets 20.32b |
| (D) 0.68 = Book Value of Equity 10.46b / Total Liabilities 15.44b |
| Total Rating: 3.09 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 28.79
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.49% = 1.25 |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.24% = 1.81 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.31 = 0.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 15.04 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -9.71)% = -12.13 |
| 7. RoE -22.87% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -54.39% = -4.08 |
| 9. EPS Trend -16.81% = -0.84 |
What is the price of EL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.95%, over one month by +4.76%, over three months by +0.80% and over the past year by +42.39%.
Is Estee Lauder Companies a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of EL is around 75.88 USD . This means that EL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -18.3%.
Is EL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 23
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the EL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 96.2 | 3.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 96.2 | 3.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 84.4 | -9.1% |
EL Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
P/E Forward = 43.6681
P/S = 2.4553
P/B = 8.2766
P/EG = 1.7284
Beta = 1.157
Revenue TTM = 14.44b USD
EBIT TTM = -381.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 451.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 418.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.00b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 41.96b USD (35.17b + Debt 9.00b - CCE 2.22b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.96 (Ebit TTM -381.0m / Interest Expense TTM 398.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.49% (FCF TTM 1.04b / Enterprise Value 41.96b)
FCF Margin = 7.24% (FCF TTM 1.04b / Revenue TTM 14.44b)
Net Margin = -6.44% (Net Income TTM -930.0m / Revenue TTM 14.44b)
Gross Margin = 74.19% ((Revenue TTM 14.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.37% (prev 71.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.17 (Enterprise Value 41.96b / Total Assets 19.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.96% (Interest Expense 86.0m / Debt 9.00b)
Taxrate = 56.88% (62.0m / 109.0m)
NOPAT = -164.3m (EBIT -381.0m * (1 - 56.88%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 6.71b / Total Current Liabilities 5.08b)
Debt / Equity = 2.31 (Debt 9.00b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = 15.04 (Net Debt 6.79b / EBITDA 451.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.49 (Net Debt 6.79b / FCF TTM 1.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.81% (Net Income -930.0m / Total Assets 19.33b)
RoE = -22.87% (Net Income TTM -930.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.07b)
RoCE = -3.35% (EBIT -381.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.07b + L.T.Debt 7.31b))
RoIC = -1.44% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -164.3m / Invested Capital 11.43b)
WACC = 8.27% (E(35.17b)/V(44.18b) * Re(10.28%) + D(9.00b)/V(44.18b) * Rd(0.96%) * (1-Tc(0.57)))
Discount Rate = 10.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.46%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.08% ; FCFE base≈1.16b ; Y1≈761.7m ; Y5≈348.3m
Fair Price DCF = 21.07 (DCF Value 4.95b / Shares Outstanding 234.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -16.81 | EPS CAGR: -43.52% | SUE: 0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -54.39 | Revenue CAGR: -9.78% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for EL Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle