Overview Dividends

(EL) Estee Lauder Companies - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5184391044

Skincare, Makeup, Fragrance, Haircare, Tools

Personal Care Products
Market Cap in USD: 36,987m
IPO / Inception: 1995-11-16
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 25.2%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of EL over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": 2.61, "2021-03": 1.62, "2021-06": 0.78, "2021-09": 1.89, "2021-12": 3.01, "2022-03": 1.9, "2022-06": 0.42, "2022-09": 1.37, "2022-12": 1.54, "2023-03": 0.47, "2023-06": 0.07, "2023-09": 0.11, "2023-12": 0.88, "2024-03": 0.97, "2024-06": 0.64, "2024-09": 0.14, "2024-12": 0.62, "2025-03": 0.65, "2025-06": 0.09, "2025-09": 0.32,
EPS CAGR: -44.99%
EPS Trend: -50.1%
Last SUE: 0.54
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of EL over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 4853, 2021-03: 3864, 2021-06: 3936, 2021-09: 4392, 2021-12: 5539, 2022-03: 4245, 2022-06: 3561, 2022-09: 3930, 2022-12: 4620, 2023-03: 3751, 2023-06: 3609, 2023-09: 3518, 2023-12: 4279, 2024-03: 3940, 2024-06: 3871, 2024-09: 3361, 2024-12: 4004, 2025-03: 3550, 2025-06: 3407, 2025-09: 3481,
Rev. CAGR: -11.65%
Rev. Trend: -60.5%
Last SUE: 0.05
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield 1.30%
Yield on Cost 5y 0.59%
Yield CAGR 5y 11.83%
Payout Consistency 95.0%
Payout Ratio 83.3%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 42.7%
Value at Risk 5%th 60.9%
Relative Tail Risk -13.30%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.95
Alpha 23.23
CAGR/Max DD -0.27
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.553
Beta 1.343
Beta Downside 1.684
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 81.40%
Mean DD 53.09%
Median DD 59.42%

Description: EL Estee Lauder Companies December 17, 2025

The Estée Lauder Companies (NYSE: EL) designs, manufactures, markets, and sells prestige skin-care, makeup, fragrance, and hair-care products worldwide, operating through a mix of department stores, specialty retailers, e-commerce platforms, and direct-to-consumer channels.

Its portfolio spans 25+ brands-including La Mer, Jo Malone London, Tom Ford, Clinique, M·A·C, The Ordinary, Aveda, and Too Faced-covering the full spectrum of personal-care categories from moisturizers and serums to perfumes and styling products.

Distribution is highly diversified: high-end department stores and perfumeries, duty-free outlets, upscale salons and spas, as well as growing online pure-player sites and the company’s own e-commerce portals.

Key recent metrics (FY 2023) show net sales of roughly $17.7 billion, a 9 % year-over-year increase driven largely by a 22 % rise in Asia-Pacific sales, and adjusted EPS of $6.80, reflecting strong margin expansion in the digital channel.

Sector-wide, the prestige beauty market is buoyed by rising consumer spending on premium personal-care, accelerated digital adoption, and a shift toward “clean” and “inclusive” product narratives; however, macro-level risks include inflation-driven discretionary cutbacks and currency volatility in emerging markets.

For a deeper, data-driven valuation framework, you may find ValueRay’s analyst tools worth a look.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5

Net Income (-930.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 866.5m TTM)
FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 11.29% (prev 11.19%; Δ 0.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.60b > Net Income -930.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (7.20b) to EBITDA (451.0m) ratio: 15.97 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (363.3m) change vs 12m ago 1.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 74.19% (prev 72.29%; Δ 1.90pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 71.06% (prev 72.48%; Δ -1.42pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -0.96 (EBITDA TTM 451.0m / Interest Expense TTM 398.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.09

(A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 6.71b - Total Current Liabilities 5.08b) / Total Assets 19.33b
(B) 0.60 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 11.59b / Total Assets 19.33b
(C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -381.0m / Avg Total Assets 20.32b
(D) 0.68 = Book Value of Equity 10.46b / Total Liabilities 15.44b
Total Rating: 3.09 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 26.07

1. Piotroski 2.50pt
2. FCF Yield 2.36%
3. FCF Margin 7.24%
4. Debt/Equity 2.42
5. Debt/Ebitda 15.97
6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.26)%
7. RoE -22.87%
8. Rev. Trend -60.55%
9. EPS Trend -50.08%

What is the price of EL shares?

As of December 21, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 108.00 with a total of 7,304,201 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.75%, over one month by +26.18%, over three months by +23.47% and over the past year by +47.13%.

Is EL a buy, sell or hold?

Estee Lauder Companies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.11. Therefor, it is recommend to hold EL.
  • Strong Buy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 23
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the EL price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 102.2 -5.4%
Analysts Target Price 102.2 -5.4%
ValueRay Target Price 109.4 1.3%

EL Fundamental Data Overview December 21, 2025

Market Cap USD = 36.99b (36.99b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 51.8135
P/S = 2.5604
P/B = 9.5213
P/EG = 2.0317
Beta = 1.175
Revenue TTM = 14.44b USD
EBIT TTM = -381.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 451.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.32b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 418.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.42b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 44.19b USD (36.99b + Debt 9.42b - CCE 2.22b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.96 (Ebit TTM -381.0m / Interest Expense TTM 398.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.36% (FCF TTM 1.04b / Enterprise Value 44.19b)
FCF Margin = 7.24% (FCF TTM 1.04b / Revenue TTM 14.44b)
Net Margin = -6.44% (Net Income TTM -930.0m / Revenue TTM 14.44b)
Gross Margin = 74.19% ((Revenue TTM 14.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.37% (prev 71.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.29 (Enterprise Value 44.19b / Total Assets 19.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.91% (Interest Expense 86.0m / Debt 9.42b)
Taxrate = 56.88% (62.0m / 109.0m)
NOPAT = -164.3m (EBIT -381.0m * (1 - 56.88%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 6.71b / Total Current Liabilities 5.08b)
Debt / Equity = 2.42 (Debt 9.42b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = 15.97 (Net Debt 7.20b / EBITDA 451.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.89 (Net Debt 7.20b / FCF TTM 1.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.81% (Net Income -930.0m / Total Assets 19.33b)
RoE = -22.87% (Net Income TTM -930.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.07b)
RoCE = -3.35% (EBIT -381.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.07b + L.T.Debt 7.32b))
RoIC = -1.44% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -164.3m / Invested Capital 11.37b)
WACC = 8.81% (E(36.99b)/V(46.41b) * Re(10.96%) + D(9.42b)/V(46.41b) * Rd(0.91%) * (1-Tc(0.57)))
Discount Rate = 10.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.46%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 58.55% ; FCFE base≈1.16b ; Y1≈761.7m ; Y5≈348.3m
Fair Price DCF = 18.62 (DCF Value 4.58b / Shares Outstanding 245.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -50.08 | EPS CAGR: -44.99% | SUE: 0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -60.55 | Revenue CAGR: -11.65% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=-0.045 | Revisions Net=-14 | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=2.16 | Chg30d=+0.074 | Revisions Net=+20 | Growth EPS=+42.7% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=+0.066 | Revisions Net=+13 | Growth EPS=+35.6% | Growth Revenue=+3.9%

Additional Sources for EL Stock

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