(ELF) ELF Beauty - Ratings and Ratios
Cosmetics, Skincare, Eye, Lip, Face
ELF EPS (Earnings per Share)
ELF Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 72.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 101% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.94% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.33 |
| Alpha | -63.89 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.562 |
| Beta | 1.609 |
| Beta Downside | 1.456 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 77.09% |
| Mean DD | 26.26% |
| Median DD | 23.09% |
Description: ELF ELF Beauty November 05, 2025
e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (NYSE:ELF) is a U.S.–based personal-care company that markets cosmetics and skin-care under the e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. Skin, Well People, Naturium, and Keys Soulcare brands. The firm sells through a mix of national and international retailers and a growing direct-to-consumer (DTC) e-commerce channel.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $1.6 billion, up about 12 % year-over-year, driven largely by a 30 % increase in DTC sales, which now represent one-third of total revenue. The company maintains an industry-leading gross margin near 80 % and an operating margin of ~15 %, reflecting its low-price, high-volume business model and efficient supply chain.
Macro-level drivers for ELF include the continued expansion of the affordable “clean beauty” segment (projected to grow at ~5 % CAGR through 2028) and strong Gen-Z spending on social-media-inspired products, which fuels both online traffic and retailer demand. Additionally, the broader personal-care market benefits from resilient consumer discretionary spending even in a modest-growth economic environment.
For a deeper dive into ELF’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
ELF Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 4,436m |
| Sub-Industry | Personal Care Products |
| IPO / Inception | 2016-09-22 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -47.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.24 of 5 |
ELF Dividends
Currently no dividends paidELF Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 10.31% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.13 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.39 |
| Current Volume | 2919.7k |
| Average Volume | 1518k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (99.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 83.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.29pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 32.14% (prev 19.97%; Δ 12.17pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 172.0m > Net Income 99.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (659.6m) to EBITDA (190.3m) ratio: 3.47 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.70 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (59.6m) change vs 12m ago 1.90% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 70.27% (prev 71.00%; Δ -0.72pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 77.94% (prev 98.43%; Δ -20.50pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.62 (EBITDA TTM 190.3m / Interest Expense TTM 18.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.45
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 707.2m - Total Current Liabilities 261.9m) / Total Assets 2.32b |
| (B) -0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -145.9m / Total Assets 2.32b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 138.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.78b |
| (D) -0.12 = Book Value of Equity -145.9m / Total Liabilities 1.18b |
| Total Rating: 1.45 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.70
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.12% = 1.56 |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.25% = 2.56 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.27 = 2.46 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.47 = -2.28 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.72)% = -4.65 |
| 7. RoE 11.50% = 0.96 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 90.66% = 6.80 |
| 9. EPS Trend 35.89% = 1.79 |
What is the price of ELF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.31%, over one month by -44.52%, over three months by -38.54% and over the past year by -40.29%.
Is ELF Beauty a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ELF is around 67.68 USD . This means that ELF is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.93%.
Is ELF a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ELF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 121.7 | 65.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 121.7 | 65.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 77.3 | 5.1% |
ELF Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 53.1357
P/E Forward = 28.9855
P/S = 3.2017
P/B = 4.0703
P/EG = 2.03
Beta = 1.701
Revenue TTM = 1.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 138.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 190.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 831.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 22.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 313.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 659.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.55b USD (4.44b + Debt 313.0m - CCE 194.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.62 (Ebit TTM 138.4m / Interest Expense TTM 18.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.12% (FCF TTM 142.0m / Enterprise Value 4.55b)
FCF Margin = 10.25% (FCF TTM 142.0m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Net Margin = 7.21% (Net Income TTM 99.9m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Gross Margin = 70.27% ((Revenue TTM 1.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 411.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 69.45% (prev 69.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.96 (Enterprise Value 4.55b / Total Assets 2.32b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.92% (Interest Expense 9.15m / Debt 313.0m)
Taxrate = 175.1% (out of range, set to none) (-6.99m / -3.99m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 2.70 (Total Current Assets 707.2m / Total Current Liabilities 261.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 313.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.14b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.47 (Net Debt 659.6m / EBITDA 190.3m)
Debt / FCF = 4.65 (Net Debt 659.6m / FCF TTM 142.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 868.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.31% (Net Income 99.9m / Total Assets 2.32b)
RoE = 11.50% (Net Income TTM 99.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 868.0m)
RoCE = 8.15% (EBIT 138.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 868.0m + L.T.Debt 831.6m))
RoIC = 7.43% (EBIT 138.4m / (Assets 2.32b - Curr.Liab 261.9m - Cash 194.4m))
WACC = 11.15% (E(4.44b)/V(4.75b) * Re(11.94%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 11.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.34%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.82% ; FCFE base≈94.3m ; Y1≈116.3m ; Y5≈198.4m
Fair Price DCF = 31.24 (DCF Value 1.86b / Shares Outstanding 59.6m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 35.89 | EPS CAGR: 13.50% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 90.66 | Revenue CAGR: 36.38% | SUE: -2.01 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ELF Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle