(ELME) Elme Communities - Ratings and Ratios
Multifamily, Apartments, Commercial, Washington, Aclanta, Reit
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.15% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.80% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -11.99% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 196.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 26.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.81% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.33 |
| Alpha | 1.76 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.486 |
| Beta | 0.470 |
| Beta Downside | 0.566 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 33.77% |
| Mean DD | 12.63% |
| Median DD | 11.07% |
Description: ELME Elme Communities November 12, 2025
Elme Communities (NYSE: ELME) is a multifamily REIT focused on the mid-income renter segment, operating roughly 9,400 apartment units across the Washington, DC and Atlanta metros, plus about 300,000 sq ft of commercial space. The company emphasizes higher-quality assets, superior service, and an enhanced living experience for tenants.
Key market metrics that shape ELME’s outlook include: (1) an average occupancy of ~96% in its core markets, reflecting strong demand for mid-tier rentals; (2) annual rent growth of roughly 4%-5% year-over-year, outpacing national inflation and driven by limited supply in the DC-Atlanta corridors; and (3) a regional cap-rate compression trend, with multifamily yields hovering near 4.5% in DC and 5.0% in Atlanta, indicating investor confidence despite a modest rise in short-term interest rates.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of ELME’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you may find it useful to explore the data and tools available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-134.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 14.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.07pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -284.4% (prev -85.64%; Δ -198.7pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 86.4m > Net Income -134.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.01 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (88.1m) change vs 12m ago 0.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.13% (prev 39.84%; Δ 0.29pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 13.95% (prev 12.93%; Δ 1.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.77 (EBITDA TTM -11.8m / Interest Expense TTM 75.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -5.68
| (A) -0.42 = (Total Current Assets 7.09m - Total Current Liabilities 709.3m) / Total Assets 1.69b |
| (B) -0.49 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -825.7m / Total Assets 1.69b |
| (C) -0.03 = EBIT TTM -58.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.77b |
| (D) -1.07 = Book Value of Equity -835.7m / Total Liabilities 777.7m |
| Total Rating: -5.68 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.40
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.87% |
| 3. FCF Margin 34.97% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.78 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -59.70 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -9.66)% |
| 7. RoE -13.15% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 90.89% |
| 9. EPS Trend -35.74% |
What is the price of ELME shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.64%, over one month by +3.96%, over three months by +3.70% and over the past year by +10.91%.
Is ELME a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ELME price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12.7 | -26.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 12.7 | -26.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 18.6 | 7.4% |
ELME Fundamental Data Overview December 15, 2025
P/S = 6.2009
P/B = 1.6848
Beta = 0.779
Revenue TTM = 247.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -58.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -11.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 523.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 709.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 709.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 702.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.23b USD (1.53b + Debt 709.3m - CCE 7.09m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.77 (Ebit TTM -58.8m / Interest Expense TTM 75.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.87% (FCF TTM 86.4m / Enterprise Value 2.23b)
FCF Margin = 34.97% (FCF TTM 86.4m / Revenue TTM 247.0m)
Net Margin = -54.57% (Net Income TTM -134.8m / Revenue TTM 247.0m)
Gross Margin = 40.13% ((Revenue TTM 247.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 147.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.21% (prev 21.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.32 (Enterprise Value 2.23b / Total Assets 1.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.71% (Interest Expense 47.6m / Debt 709.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -46.5m (EBIT -58.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.01 (Total Current Assets 7.09m / Total Current Liabilities 709.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.78 (Debt 709.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 908.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -59.70 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 702.2m / EBITDA -11.8m)
Debt / FCF = 8.13 (Net Debt 702.2m / FCF TTM 86.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -7.99% (Net Income -134.8m / Total Assets 1.69b)
RoE = -13.15% (Net Income TTM -134.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.02b)
RoCE = -3.80% (EBIT -58.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.02b + L.T.Debt 523.3m))
RoIC = -2.69% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -46.5m / Invested Capital 1.73b)
WACC = 6.97% (E(1.53b)/V(2.24b) * Re(7.75%) + D(709.3m)/V(2.24b) * Rd(6.71%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.17%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.93% ; FCFE base≈89.2m ; Y1≈87.1m ; Y5≈88.0m
Fair Price DCF = 17.74 (DCF Value 1.56b / Shares Outstanding 88.2m; 5y FCF grow -3.46% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -35.74 | EPS CAGR: -78.76% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.89 | Revenue CAGR: 9.13% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.11 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+32.6% | Growth Revenue=-64.0%
Additional Sources for ELME Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle