(ELPC) Companhia Paranaense de - Overview
Sector: UtilitiesIndustry: Utilities - Regulated Electric | Exchange NYSE (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 8.717m | Total Return 94.3% in 12m
Stock: Electricity, Hydroelectric, Wind, Transmission, Distribution
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 2.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.71 |
| Alpha | 84.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.814 |
| Beta Downside | 0.884 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.85% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.84 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: ELPC Companhia Paranaense de February 28, 2026
Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) is a vertically integrated Brazilian utility that generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to a broad customer base, including industrial, residential, commercial, and rural segments. Its asset portfolio spans hydroelectric, wind, and thermoelectric power plants, as well as an extensive transmission and distribution network serving the State of Paraná and the municipality of Porto União in Santa Catarina.
As of the latest 2024 reporting, COPEL operates roughly 9,200 MW of installed capacity-about 65% hydro, 20% wind, and 15% thermoelectric-and reported an EBITDA of US $1.2 billion with a net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.1×. The company benefited from a 7% regulated tariff increase approved by ANEEL, while Brazil’s overall electricity demand is growing at approximately 3% year-over-year, driven by industrial expansion and rising residential consumption. COPEL has also set a target to raise its renewable generation share to 80% of total capacity by 2027.
For a deeper dive into ELPC’s valuation metrics, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Brazilian electricity demand growth boosts power sales
- Hydropower generation levels impact operational costs
- Regulatory tariff adjustments influence distribution revenue
- Privatization efforts could unlock shareholder value
- Interest rate fluctuations affect financing expenses
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 2.70b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.74 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.69% < 20% (prev 15.33%; Δ -16.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 2.42b > Net Income 2.70b |
| Net Debt (17.40b) to EBITDA (6.54b): 2.66 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.98 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (185.6m) vs 12m ago -0.42% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 28.66% > 18% (prev 0.34%; Δ 2.83k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 44.54% > 50% (prev 30.68%; Δ 13.86% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.31 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 6.54b / Interest Expense TTM 1.53b) |
Altman Z'' 1.67
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 10.88b - Total Current Liabilities 11.06b) / Total Assets 60.38b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 8.21b / Total Assets 60.38b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 5.08b / Avg Total Assets 58.88b) |
| D: 0.64 (Book Value of Equity 23.23b / Total Liabilities 36.35b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.67 = BB |
Beneish M -2.63
| DSRI: 0.76 (Receivables 7.49b/6.58b, Revenue 26.23b/17.61b) |
| GMI: 1.19 (GM 28.66% / 34.14%) |
| AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.68 / AQ_t-1 0.62) |
| SGI: 1.49 (Revenue 26.23b / 17.61b) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 2.70b - CFO 2.42b) / TA 60.38b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.63 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of ELPC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.06%, over one month by -1.55%, over three months by +31.54% and over the past year by +94.31%.
Is ELPC a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ELPC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 14.8 | 29.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 14.8 | 29.7% |
ELPC Fundamental Data Overview March 25, 2026
P/E Trailing = 17.0145
P/E Forward = 13.6426
P/S = 0.3338
P/B = 1.8896
Revenue TTM = 26.23b BRL
EBIT TTM = 5.08b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 6.54b BRL
Long Term Debt = 17.95b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.18b BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.53b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 17.40b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 63.09b BRL (45.68b + Debt 20.53b - CCE 3.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.31 (Ebit TTM 5.08b / Interest Expense TTM 1.53b)
EV/FCF = 27.58x (Enterprise Value 63.09b / FCF TTM 2.29b)
FCF Yield = 3.63% (FCF TTM 2.29b / Enterprise Value 63.09b)
FCF Margin = 8.72% (FCF TTM 2.29b / Revenue TTM 26.23b)
Net Margin = 10.31% (Net Income TTM 2.70b / Revenue TTM 26.23b)
Gross Margin = 28.66% ((Revenue TTM 26.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.71b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.98% (prev 22.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 63.09b / Total Assets 60.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.15% (Interest Expense 646.8m / Debt 20.53b)
Taxrate = 17.79% (566.3m / 3.18b)
NOPAT = 4.17b (EBIT 5.08b * (1 - 17.79%))
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 10.88b / Total Current Liabilities 11.06b)
Debt / Equity = 0.89 (Debt 20.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.12b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.66 (Net Debt 17.40b / EBITDA 6.54b)
Debt / FCF = 7.61 (Net Debt 17.40b / FCF TTM 2.29b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 25.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.59% (Net Income 2.70b / Total Assets 60.38b)
RoE = 10.72% (Net Income TTM 2.70b / Total Stockholder Equity 25.24b)
RoCE = 11.75% (EBIT 5.08b / Capital Employed (Equity 25.24b + L.T.Debt 17.95b))
RoIC = 9.24% (NOPAT 4.17b / Invested Capital 45.15b)
WACC = 6.91% (E(45.68b)/V(66.22b) * Re(8.85%) + D(20.53b)/V(66.22b) * Rd(3.15%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 8.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.22%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.45% ; FCFF base≈1.61b ; Y1≈1.08b ; Y5≈519.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 12.82b - Net Debt 17.40b = -4.58b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -5.45 | EPS CAGR: 5.80% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -3.99 | Revenue CAGR: 7.38% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.10 | Chg7d=+0.100 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.55 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+13.0% | Growth Revenue=-10.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.71 | Chg7d=+0.714 | Chg30d=+0.714 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+29.3% | Growth Revenue=+12.1%