ELPC Stock Analysis: Companhia Paranaense de | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 10.312m USD | 12M Return: 72.5% | US20441B7047 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 7.18M
Rev. Trend: 44.5%
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 2.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (NYSE: ELPC) is a Brazilian integrated electric utility headquartered in Curitiba, founded in 1954. The company operates across the full electricity value chain through three segments: Generation and Transmission, Distribution, and Commercialization. Its generation portfolio includes hydroelectric and wind power, and it also constructs, operates, and maintains substations and transmission lines.
COPEL follows a vertically integrated business model spanning generation, transmission, distribution, and energy trading, a structure typical of major Brazilian electric utilities. The company began trading on the NYSE in late December 2023.
- Hydropower generation output sensitive to Brazilian rainfall patterns
- Distribution margins pressured by regulated tariff reviews
- Transmission segment growth driven by new auction contracts
| Net Income: 3.19b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.07% < 20% (prev 7.62%; Δ 1.45% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 1.27b > Net Income 3.19b |
| Net Debt (20.4b) to EBITDA (7.10b): 2.88 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.30 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (185.6m) vs 12m ago 0.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.09% > 18% (prev 33.87%; Δ -6.78% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 45.69% > 50% (prev 30.99%; Δ 14.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.59 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.55b / Interest Expense TTM 1.54b) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 10.9b - Total Current Liabilities 8.41b) / Total Assets 61.6b |
| B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 7.51b / Total Assets 61.6b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 5.55b / Avg Total Assets 61.2b) |
| D: 0.64 (Book Value of Equity 24.1b / Total Liabilities 37.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.95 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.73 (Receivables 7.41b/6.84b, Revenue 28.0b/18.8b) |
| GMI: 1.25 (GM 33.87% / 27.09%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.68 / AQ_t-1 0.66) |
| SGI: 1.49 (Revenue 28.0b / 18.8b) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 3.19b - CFO 1.27b) / TA 61.6b) |
| Beneish M = -2.65 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.96 with a total of 704,326 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +12.40%, over one month by +11.50%, over three months by +20.45% and over the past year by +72.45%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.30 (which is 4.7% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Companhia Paranaense de has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ELPC.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 17 | 21.8% |
P/E Trailing = 17.1481
P/E Forward = 10.917
P/S = 0.3685
P/B = 1.9274
Revenue TTM = 28.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.55b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.10b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.1b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.26b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.9b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 285.0m
Net Debt = 20.4b USD (calculated: Debt 23.9b - CCE 3.41b)
Enterprise Value = 30.8b USD (10.3b + Debt 23.9b - CCE 3.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.59 (Ebit TTM 5.55b / Interest Expense TTM 1.54b)
EV/FCF = 28.11x (Enterprise Value 30.8b / FCF TTM 1.09b)
FCF Yield = 3.56% (FCF TTM 1.09b / Enterprise Value 30.8b)
FCF Margin = 3.91% (FCF TTM 1.09b / Revenue TTM 28.0b)
Net Margin = 11.42% (Net Income TTM 3.19b / Revenue TTM 28.0b)
Gross Margin = 27.09% ((Revenue TTM 28.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 20.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.30% (prev 24.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 30.8b / Total Assets 61.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.47% (Interest Expense 1.54b / Debt 23.9b)
Taxrate = 14.67% (545.8m / 3.72b)
NOPAT = 4.73b (EBIT 5.55b * (1 - 14.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.30 (Total Current Assets 10.9b / Total Current Liabilities 8.41b)
Debt / Equity = 0.99 (Debt 23.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 24.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.88 (Net Debt 20.4b / EBITDA 7.10b)
Debt / FCF = 18.69 (Net Debt 20.4b / FCF TTM 1.09b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.22% (Net Income 3.19b / Total Assets 61.6b)
RoE = 13.16% (Net Income TTM 3.19b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.3b)
RoCE = 12.23% (EBIT 5.55b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.3b + L.T.Debt 21.1b))
RoIC = 8.75% (NOPAT 4.73b / Invested Capital 54.1b)
WACC = 6.33% (E(10.3b)/V(34.2b) * Re(8.21%) + D(23.9b)/V(34.2b) * Rd(6.47%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 8.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -79.33 | Cagr: -0.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈1.42b ; Y1≈1.25b ; Y5≈1.01b
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 16.2b - Net Debt 20.4b = -4.28b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 44.47 | Revenue CAGR: 7.84% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+15.2% | GrowthRev=-0.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+28.9% | GrowthRev=+0.6%