EMBJ Stock Analysis: Embraer S.A. | NYSE

Aerospace & Defense | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 13.717m USD | 12M Return: 37.8% | US29082A1079 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Commercial Jets, Military Aircraft, Executive Jets, Aviation Services
Total Rating 60
Safety 82
Buy Signal 1.33
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: +1.8
Market Cap: 13.7B
Avg Turnover: 97.3M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility41.2%
VaR 5th Pctl6.53%
VaR vs Median-3.82%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.84
Rel. Str. IBD79.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group80.8
Character TTM
Beta1.058
Beta Downside0.561
Hurst Exponent0.517
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD32.33%
CAGR/Max DD2.22
CAGR/Mean DD7.96
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of EMBJ over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.24, "2021-09": -0.18, "2021-12": 0.01, "2022-03": -0.43, "2022-06": 0.4, "2022-09": 0.13, "2022-12": 0.24, "2023-03": -0.3855, "2023-06": 0.32, "2023-09": 0.18, "2023-12": 0.38, "2024-03": -0.17, "2024-06": 0.44, "2024-09": 1.2, "2024-12": 0.94, "2025-03": 0.3997, "2025-06": 0.65, "2025-09": 0.3, "2025-12": 0.8366, "2026-03": 0.16, "2026-06": 1.22,
EPS CAGR: 97.57%
EPS Trend: 81.9%
Last SUE: 2.58
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of EMBJ over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 5616.796775, 2021-09: 5197.069735, 2021-12: 7298.158867, 2022-03: 3076.051, 2022-06: 5044.009, 2022-09: 4974.578233, 2022-12: 10654.495713, 2023-03: 3656.8423, 2023-06: 6239.525936, 2023-09: 6462.71548, 2023-12: 2005.461648, 2024-03: 4531.95436, 2024-06: 8345.55526, 2024-09: 9247.2736, 2024-12: 9707.926872, 2025-03: 6441.55309, 2025-06: 9964.48407, 2025-09: 10866.772756, 2025-12: 14523.9086, 2026-03: 7442.807967, 2026-06: 11592.745769,
Rev. CAGR: 36.93%
Rev. Trend: 90.0%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +1.9% 8
Feb +3.9% 6
Mar -4.0% 28
Apr -5.4% 35
May -3.0% 20
Jun +1.8% 26
Jul +0.9% 7
Aug -0.7% 11
Sep -0.3% 13
Oct +2.4% 23
Nov -0.1% 0
Dec +7.4% 41

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: EMBJ Embraer S.A.

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace manufacturer founded in 1969 and headquartered in São Paulo, operating across five reportable segments: Commercial Aviation, Defense & Security, Executive Aviation, Services & Support, and Other. Its Commercial Aviation segment produces commercial jets, while Defense & Security covers military aircraft, satellites, surveillance systems, and command-and-control technologies. The Executive Aviation segment produces business jets, and Services & Support offers maintenance, training, flight operations, and aftermarket solutions. The Other segment reflects diversification activities, including the development and certification of eVTOL aircraft, electric propulsion systems, agricultural crop-spraying planes, and air traffic control systems for urban air mobility.

The company sits within the global Aerospace & Defense industry, a capital-intensive sector characterized by long product development cycles, stringent certification requirements, and a concentrated competitive landscape. Embraer is one of the few major Western commercial aircraft manufacturers outside the dominant Airbus–Boeing duopoly and is widely regarded as a leading producer in the regional jet category. The Other segments emphasis on eVTOLs signals exposure to the emerging urban air mobility market, where several manufacturers are pursuing pre-commercial development alongside electric and hybrid-electric propulsion initiatives.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Commercial jet backlog and deliveries drive revenue outlook
  • KC-390 military orders expand defense segment revenue
  • Services and support margins lift overall profitability
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 2.36b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.78 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 26.15% < 20% (prev 24.90%; Δ 1.25% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 6.36b > Net Income 2.36b
Net Debt (3.42b) to EBITDA (3.61b): 0.95 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.44 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (178.0m) vs 12m ago -2.96% < -2%
Gross Margin: 17.86% > 18% (prev 18.17%; Δ -0.31% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 66.04% > 50% (prev 53.47%; Δ 12.57% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.93 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.33b / Interest Expense TTM 1.21b)
Altman Z'' 1.78
A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 38.1b - Total Current Liabilities 26.5b) / Total Assets 68.4b
B: 0.02 (Retained Earnings 1.06b / Total Assets 68.4b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 2.33b / Avg Total Assets 67.3b)
D: 0.37 (Book Value of Equity 17.8b / Total Liabilities 48.6b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.78 = BBB
Beneish M -3.14
DSRI: 0.65 (Receivables 6.07b/7.48b, Revenue 44.4b/35.4b)
GMI: 1.02 (GM 18.17% / 17.86%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.28)
SGI: 1.26 (Revenue 44.4b / 35.4b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 2.36b - CFO 6.36b) / TA 68.4b)
Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of EMBJ shares?

As of August 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 76.26 with a total of 1,093,956 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.15%, over one month by +17.45%, over three months by +32.17% and over the past year by +37.84%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 73.30 (which is 3.9% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is EMBJ a buy, sell or hold?

Embraer S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 13.7b (13.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap BRL = 70.5b (13.7b USD * 5.1366 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 31.2065
P/E Forward = 19.9203
P/S = 0.3108
P/B = 3.9691
P/EG = 28.2177
Revenue TTM = 44.4b BRL
EBIT TTM = 2.33b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 3.61b BRL
Long Term Debt = 13.7b BRL (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 771.3m BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.6b BRL (corrected: LT Debt 13.7b + ST Debt 771.3m) + Leases 117.4m
Net Debt = 3.42b BRL (calculated: Debt 14.6b - CCE 11.2b)
Enterprise Value = 73.9b BRL (70.5b + Debt 14.6b - CCE 11.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.93 (Ebit TTM 2.33b / Interest Expense TTM 1.21b)
EV/FCF = 15.37x (Enterprise Value 73.9b / FCF TTM 4.81b)
FCF Yield = 6.51% (FCF TTM 4.81b / Enterprise Value 73.9b)
FCF Margin = 10.82% (FCF TTM 4.81b / Revenue TTM 44.4b)
Net Margin = 5.31% (Net Income TTM 2.36b / Revenue TTM 44.4b)
Gross Margin = 17.86% ((Revenue TTM 44.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 36.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.91% (prev 17.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.08 (Enterprise Value 73.9b / Total Assets 68.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.27% (Interest Expense 1.21b / Debt 14.6b)
Taxrate = 17.62% (521.5m / 2.96b)
NOPAT = 1.92b (EBIT 2.33b * (1 - 17.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.44 (Total Current Assets 38.1b / Total Current Liabilities 26.5b)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 14.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.95 (Net Debt 3.42b / EBITDA 3.61b)
Debt / FCF = 0.71 (Net Debt 3.42b / FCF TTM 4.81b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.51% (Net Income 2.36b / Total Assets 68.4b)
RoE = 13.00% (Net Income TTM 2.36b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.1b)
RoCE = 7.33% (EBIT 2.33b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.1b + L.T.Debt 13.7b))
RoIC = 4.74% (NOPAT 1.92b / Invested Capital 40.5b)
WACC = 9.20% (E(70.5b)/V(85.0b) * Re(9.70%) + D(14.6b)/V(85.0b) * Rd(8.27%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 9.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -73.45 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.25% ; FCFF base≈3.21b ; Y1≈3.69b ; Y5≈5.42b
[DCF] Fair Price = 379.4 (EV 70.9b - Net Debt 3.42b = Equity 67.5b / Shares 178.0m; r=9.20% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 81.86 | EPS CAGR: 97.57% | SUE: 2.58 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 89.96 | Revenue CAGR: 36.93% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.77 | Chg30d=+4.73% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.01 | Chg30d=+6.41% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+118.3% | GrowthRev=+12.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.91 | Chg30d=+1.45% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+29.7% | GrowthRev=+11.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +70% (up=7, down=0)