EMBJ Stock Analysis: Embraer S.A. | NYSE

Aerospace & Defense | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 11.409m USD | 12M Return: 15.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Commercial Jets, Military Aircraft, Executive Jets, Aviation Services
Total Rating 20
Safety 36
Buy Signal 0.20
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: -4.4
Market Cap: 11.4B
Avg Turnover: 66.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility47.9%
VaR 5th Pctl7.58%
VaR vs Median-3.93%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.46
Rel. Str. IBD37.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group56.8
Character TTM
Beta1.359
Beta Downside0.955
Hurst Exponent0.553
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD32.33%
CAGR/Max DD2.01
CAGR/Mean DD7.49
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of EMBJ over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.24, "2021-09": -0.18, "2021-12": 0.01, "2022-03": -0.43, "2022-06": 0.4, "2022-09": 0.13, "2022-12": 0.24, "2023-03": -0.3855, "2023-06": 0.32, "2023-09": 0.18, "2023-12": 0.38, "2024-03": -0.17, "2024-06": 0.44, "2024-09": 1.2, "2024-12": 0.94, "2025-03": 0.3997, "2025-06": 0.65, "2025-09": 0.3, "2025-12": 0.8366, "2026-03": 0.16,
EPS CAGR: 128.61%
EPS Trend: 87.3%
Last SUE: -0.59
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of EMBJ over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1130.5, 2021-09: 958.1, 2021-12: 1301.3, 2022-03: 600.9, 2022-06: 1018.9, 2022-09: 929, 2022-12: 1991.6, 2023-03: 716.7, 2023-06: 1292.3, 2023-09: 1284.4, 2023-12: 2005.461648, 2024-03: 896.6, 2024-06: 1494.2, 2024-09: 1692.4, 2024-12: 2311.5, 2025-03: 1103, 2025-06: 1819.1, 2025-09: 2036.959728, 2025-12: 2651.8, 2026-03: 7442.807967,
Rev. CAGR: 29.73%
Rev. Trend: 85.0%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +3.2% 15
Feb +1.4% 0
Mar -3.6% 24
Apr -4.8% 32
May -2.2% 15
Jun +1.5% 24
Jul +0.9% 5
Aug -0.8% 6
Sep -0.6% 18
Oct +2.2% 19
Nov +0.1% 8
Dec +10.8% 38

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: EMBJ Embraer S.A.

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace manufacturer founded in 1969 and headquartered in São Paulo, operating across five reportable segments: Commercial Aviation, Defense & Security, Executive Aviation, Services & Support, and Other. Its Commercial Aviation segment produces commercial jets, while Defense & Security covers military aircraft, satellites, surveillance systems, and command-and-control technologies. The Executive Aviation segment produces business jets, and Services & Support offers maintenance, training, flight operations, and aftermarket solutions. The Other segment reflects diversification activities, including the development and certification of eVTOL aircraft, electric propulsion systems, agricultural crop-spraying planes, and air traffic control systems for urban air mobility.

The company sits within the global Aerospace & Defense industry, a capital-intensive sector characterized by long product development cycles, stringent certification requirements, and a concentrated competitive landscape. Embraer is one of the few major Western commercial aircraft manufacturers outside the dominant Airbus–Boeing duopoly and is widely regarded as a leading producer in the regional jet category. The Other segments emphasis on eVTOLs signals exposure to the emerging urban air mobility market, where several manufacturers are pursuing pre-commercial development alongside electric and hybrid-electric propulsion initiatives.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Commercial jet backlog and deliveries drive revenue outlook
  • KC-390 military orders expand defense segment revenue
  • Services and support margins lift overall profitability
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 450.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.61 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 86.23% < 20% (prev 23.05%; Δ 63.18% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -985.0m > Net Income 450.1m
Net Debt (3.69b) to EBITDA (1.13b): 3.26 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.48 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (179.9m) vs 12m ago -2.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 17.79% > 18% (prev 17.78%; Δ 0.02% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 35.54% > 50% (prev 56.44%; Δ -20.89% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.38 > 6 (EBIT TTM 675.0m / Interest Expense TTM 489.9m)
Altman Z'' 1.67
A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 37.0b - Total Current Liabilities 25.0b) / Total Assets 66.8b
B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 172.7m / Total Assets 66.8b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 675.0m / Avg Total Assets 39.3b)
D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 16.9b / Total Liabilities 47.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.67 = BB
Beneish M -1.10
DSRI: 2.40 (Receivables 5.67b/1.12b, Revenue 14.0b/6.60b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 17.78% / 17.79%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.29)
SGI: 2.11 (Revenue 14.0b / 6.60b)
TATA: 0.02 (NI 450.1m - CFO -985.0m) / TA 66.8b)
Beneish M = -1.10 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of EMBJ shares?

As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 65.54 with a total of 695,316 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.31%, over one month by +16.82%, over three months by -2.21% and over the past year by +15.79%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 62.70 (which is 4.3% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is EMBJ a buy, sell or hold?

Embraer S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 11.4b (11.4b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap BRL = 58.4b (11.4b USD * 5.1161 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 37.4912
P/E Forward = 19.9203
P/S = 0.2649
P/B = 3.4644
P/EG = 28.2177
Revenue TTM = 14.0b BRL
EBIT TTM = 675.0m BRL
EBITDA TTM = 1.13b BRL
Long Term Debt = 2.59b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 628.0m BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.6b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 117.4m
Net Debt = 3.69b BRL (calculated: Debt 14.6b - CCE 10.9b)
Enterprise Value = 62.1b BRL (58.4b + Debt 14.6b - CCE 10.9b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.38 (Ebit TTM 675.0m / Interest Expense TTM 489.9m)
EV/FCF = -39.57x (Enterprise Value 62.1b / FCF TTM -1.57b)
FCF Yield = -2.53% (FCF TTM -1.57b / Enterprise Value 62.1b)
FCF Margin = -11.24% (FCF TTM -1.57b / Revenue TTM 14.0b)
Net Margin = 3.23% (Net Income TTM 450.1m / Revenue TTM 14.0b)
Gross Margin = 17.79% ((Revenue TTM 14.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.97% (prev 16.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 62.1b / Total Assets 66.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.36% (Interest Expense 489.9m / Debt 14.6b)
Taxrate = 5.07% (25.1m / 494.9m)
NOPAT = 640.7m (EBIT 675.0m * (1 - 5.07%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 37.0b / Total Current Liabilities 25.0b)
Debt / Equity = 0.86 (Debt 14.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.26 (Net Debt 3.69b / EBITDA 1.13b)
 Debt / FCF = -2.35 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.69b / FCF TTM -1.57b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 6.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.15% (Net Income 450.1m / Total Assets 66.8b)
RoE = 6.61% (Net Income TTM 450.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.81b)
RoCE = 7.18% (EBIT 675.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.81b + L.T.Debt 2.59b))
RoIC = 1.54% (NOPAT 640.7m / Invested Capital 41.7b)
WACC = 9.25% (E(58.4b)/V(73.0b) * Re(10.76%) + D(14.6b)/V(73.0b) * Rd(3.36%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 10.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.49 | Cagr: -0.97%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.57b)
 EPS Correlation: 87.28 | EPS CAGR: 128.6% | SUE: -0.59 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.02 | Revenue CAGR: 29.73% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.69 | Chg30d=-1.97% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=+0.80% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.83 | Chg30d=-0.41% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+105.1% | GrowthRev=+12.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.85 | Chg30d=+0.05% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+36.0% | GrowthRev=+11.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +58% (up=8, down=1)