(EME) EMCOR - Ratings and Ratios
Electrical, Mechanical, Facilities, Industrial, Energy
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.16% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.15% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 30.57% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 4.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 65.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.73 |
| Alpha | 13.67 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.73 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.421 |
| Beta | 1.351 |
| Beta Downside | 1.263 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.19% |
| Mean DD | 6.55% |
| Median DD | 4.01% |
Description: EME EMCOR October 14, 2025
EMCOR Group Inc. (NYSE: EME) is a diversified contractor that delivers electrical and mechanical construction, as well as facilities-management services, across the United States and the United Kingdom. Its portfolio spans power transmission and generation, low-voltage and data communications, HVAC, fire protection, water-treatment, and a broad set of industrial specialties such as crane rigging, millwright work, and steel fabrication.
Beyond new-build projects, EMCOR provides ongoing site-based operations, energy-retrofit programs, and ancillary services including janitorial, landscaping, and security. The firm also supports complex refinery turnarounds, renewable-energy installations, and specialty manufacturing processes such as hydro-blast cleaning and custom electrical-panel fabrication.
Key financial indicators (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $9.5 billion, an EBITDAR margin near 5 %, and a backlog of about $6 billion, indicating a solid pipeline of contracted work. The company’s free-cash-flow conversion has historically hovered around 70 % of EBITDAR, providing flexibility for dividends and debt reduction.
Sector drivers that materially affect EMCOR’s outlook include sustained federal infrastructure spending (the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act), accelerating demand for energy-efficiency retrofits, and the transition toward renewable-energy assets that require specialized installation and maintenance expertise.
For a data-driven deep-dive into EME’s valuation sensitivities, the ValueRay platform offers granular scenario analysis worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (1.13b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 974.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.23pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.41% (prev 7.60%; Δ -2.19pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.25b > Net Income 1.13b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (106.8m) to EBITDA (1.74b) ratio: 0.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.19 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (45.0m) change vs 12m ago -3.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.39% (prev 18.45%; Δ 0.94pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 203.5% (prev 194.4%; Δ 9.10pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 483.5 (EBITDA TTM 1.74b / Interest Expense TTM 3.24m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.18
| (A) 0.10 = (Total Current Assets 5.46b - Total Current Liabilities 4.58b) / Total Assets 8.64b |
| (B) 0.65 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.58b / Total Assets 8.64b |
| (C) 0.20 = EBIT TTM 1.57b / Avg Total Assets 7.98b |
| (D) 1.04 = Book Value of Equity 5.51b / Total Liabilities 5.30b |
| Total Rating: 5.18 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 88.82
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.21% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.07% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.23 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.06 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 24.85)% |
| 7. RoE 36.84% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.96% |
| 9. EPS Trend 91.11% |
What is the price of EME shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by -3.07%, over three months by -0.83% and over the past year by +30.12%.
Is EME a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EME price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 758.5 | 21.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 758.5 | 21.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 949.7 | 52.3% |
EME Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
P/E Trailing = 24.4579
P/E Forward = 20.8333
P/S = 1.675
P/B = 8.2551
P/EG = 1.32
Beta = 1.159
Revenue TTM = 16.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.57b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.74b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.85m USD (from longTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 95.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 761.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 106.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 27.31b USD (27.21b + Debt 761.9m - CCE 655.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 483.5 (Ebit TTM 1.57b / Interest Expense TTM 3.24m)
FCF Yield = 4.21% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Enterprise Value 27.31b)
FCF Margin = 7.07% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Revenue TTM 16.24b)
Net Margin = 6.96% (Net Income TTM 1.13b / Revenue TTM 16.24b)
Gross Margin = 19.39% ((Revenue TTM 16.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.42% (prev 19.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.16 (Enterprise Value 27.31b / Total Assets 8.64b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 3.24m / Debt 761.9m)
Taxrate = 27.53% (112.2m / 407.6m)
NOPAT = 1.14b (EBIT 1.57b * (1 - 27.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 5.46b / Total Current Liabilities 4.58b)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 761.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.06 (Net Debt 106.8m / EBITDA 1.74b)
Debt / FCF = 0.09 (Net Debt 106.8m / FCF TTM 1.15b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.08% (Net Income 1.13b / Total Assets 8.64b)
RoE = 36.84% (Net Income TTM 1.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.07b)
RoCE = 50.98% (EBIT 1.57b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.07b + L.T.Debt 3.85m))
RoIC = 35.54% (NOPAT 1.14b / Invested Capital 3.19b)
WACC = 10.70% (E(27.21b)/V(27.97b) * Re(10.99%) + D(761.9m)/V(27.97b) * Rd(0.43%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 10.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.46% ; FCFE base≈1.20b ; Y1≈1.48b ; Y5≈2.53b
Fair Price DCF = 597.1 (DCF Value 26.73b / Shares Outstanding 44.8m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 91.11 | EPS CAGR: 39.41% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.96 | Revenue CAGR: 13.90% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=5.80 | Chg30d=+0.175 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=27.80 | Chg30d=+0.691 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+9.6% | Growth Revenue=+6.6%
Additional Sources for EME Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle