(ERJ) Embraer - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Brazil • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US29082A1079

Commercial Jets, Military Aircraft, Executive Jets, Services, eVTOL

ERJ EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of ERJ over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": -0.81, "2020-12": -0.07, "2021-03": -0.52, "2021-06": 0.24, "2021-09": -0.18, "2021-12": 0.32, "2022-03": -0.44, "2022-06": 0.2, "2022-09": -0.16, "2022-12": 0.23, "2023-03": -0.48, "2023-06": 0.32, "2023-09": 0.18, "2023-12": 0.42, "2024-03": -0.07, "2024-06": 0.43, "2024-09": 1.2, "2024-12": 0.9422, "2025-03": -0.4007, "2025-06": 0.43, "2025-09": 0.2965,

ERJ Revenue

Revenue of ERJ over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 758.7, 2020-12: 1841.4, 2021-03: 807.3, 2021-06: 1130.5, 2021-09: 958.1, 2021-12: 1301.3, 2022-03: 600.9, 2022-06: 1018.9, 2022-09: 929, 2022-12: 1991.6, 2023-03: 716.7, 2023-06: 1292.3, 2023-09: 1284.4, 2023-12: 1975.1, 2024-03: 896.6, 2024-06: 1494.2, 2024-09: 1692.4, 2024-12: 13743.46, 2025-03: 1103, 2025-06: 1812.351, 2025-09: null,
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 42.5%
Value at Risk 5%th 61.3%
Relative Tail Risk -12.31%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.30
Alpha 50.21
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.755
Beta 0.752
Beta Downside 1.056
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 28.33%
Mean DD 7.39%
Median DD 6.06%

Description: ERJ Embraer October 31, 2025

Embraer S.A. (NYSE: ERJ) designs, develops, manufactures, and sells aircraft and related systems across five operating segments: Commercial Aviation (regional and narrow-body jets), Defense & Security (military aircraft, radars, and C4ISR solutions), Executive Aviation (luxury business jets), Services & Support (maintenance, training, and field support), and “Other” (structural parts, agricultural aircraft, eVTOL development, electrical propulsion, cybersecurity, and ancillary services such as leasing and IT consulting). The company, founded in 1969 and headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil, rebranded from Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de Aeronáutica in 2010.

Key recent metrics (FY 2023) include total revenue of roughly $5.0 billion, a commercial-jet backlog of about $30 billion (≈ 6 years of sales), and an operating margin of 7 % after a 2022 restructuring. The commercial segment benefits from a projected 4 % CAGR in regional jet demand driven by emerging-market fleet renewal, while the defense unit secured a $1.2 billion contract for C4ISR upgrades in Latin America, underscoring exposure to sovereign-budget cycles. In the eVTOL space, Embraer’s Eve division reported a 45 % YoY increase in pre-orders for its cargo-focused aircraft, reflecting broader urban-air-mobility growth expectations of 15 % per annum through 2035.

For a data-rich, quantitative deep-dive on Embraer’s valuation drivers and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a ready-made model you may find useful.

ERJ Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 12,331m
Sub-Industry Aerospace & Defense
IPO / Inception 2000-07-20
Return 12m vs S&P 500 40.5%
Analyst Rating 3.93 of 5

ERJ Dividends

Dividend Yield 0.08%
Yield on Cost 5y 0.83%
Yield CAGR 5y %
Payout Consistency 54.1%
Payout Ratio 3.9%

ERJ Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y 83.86%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 2.96
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 11.34
Current Volume 868.2k
Average Volume 996.4k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income (595.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.10b TTM)
FCFTA 0.47 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 44.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 8.76% (prev 34.45%; Δ -25.70pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.51 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.14b > Net Income 595.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (1.67b) to EBITDA (2.63b) ratio: 0.64 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.33 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (183.4m) change vs 12m ago -0.15% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 18.53% (prev 17.37%; Δ 1.17pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 159.9% (prev 51.95%; Δ 108.0pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 5.88 (EBITDA TTM 2.63b / Interest Expense TTM 387.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.66

(A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 6.52b - Total Current Liabilities 4.91b) / Total Assets 12.07b
(B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 135.6m / Total Assets 12.07b
(C) 0.20 = EBIT TTM 2.28b / Avg Total Assets 11.47b
(D) 0.40 = Book Value of Equity 3.35b / Total Liabilities 8.46b
Total Rating: 2.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 86.25

1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50
2. FCF Yield 8.53% = 4.26
3. FCF Margin 30.81% = 7.50
4. Debt/Equity 0.70 = 2.26
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.64 = 2.19
6. ROIC - WACC (= 49.34)% = 12.50
7. RoE 8.30% = 0.69
8. Rev. Trend 39.68% = 2.98
9. EPS Trend 27.22% = 1.36

What is the price of ERJ shares?

As of November 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 62.64 with a total of 868,212 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.94%, over one month by +8.39%, over three months by +6.69% and over the past year by +60.04%.

Is Embraer a good stock to buy?

Yes, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Embraer (NYSE:ERJ) is currently (November 2025) a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 86.25 and therefor a positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ERJ is around 93.34 USD . This means that ERJ is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +49.01% (Margin of Safety).

Is ERJ a buy, sell or hold?

Embraer has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ERJ.
  • Strong Buy: 5
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the ERJ price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 68.5 9.4%
Analysts Target Price 68.5 9.4%
ValueRay Target Price 104.7 67.2%

ERJ Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025

Market Cap BRL = 65.25b (12.33b USD * 5.2912 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 37.7076
P/E Forward = 19.8807
P/S = 0.3098
P/B = 3.1237
P/EG = 1.19
Beta = 0.921
Revenue TTM = 18.35b BRL
EBIT TTM = 2.28b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 2.63b BRL
Long Term Debt = 2.08b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 142.8m BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.32b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.67b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 66.31b BRL (65.25b + Debt 2.32b - CCE 1.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.88 (Ebit TTM 2.28b / Interest Expense TTM 387.2m)
FCF Yield = 8.53% (FCF TTM 5.65b / Enterprise Value 66.31b)
FCF Margin = 30.81% (FCF TTM 5.65b / Revenue TTM 18.35b)
Net Margin = 3.24% (Net Income TTM 595.3m / Revenue TTM 18.35b)
Gross Margin = 18.53% ((Revenue TTM 18.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.46% (prev 17.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.49 (Enterprise Value 66.31b / Total Assets 12.07b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.31% (Interest Expense 53.7m / Debt 2.32b)
Taxrate = -42.29% (negative due to tax credits) (-20.8m / 49.3m)
NOPAT = 3.24b (EBIT 2.28b * (1 - -42.29%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.33 (Total Current Assets 6.52b / Total Current Liabilities 4.91b)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 2.32b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.64 (Net Debt 1.67b / EBITDA 2.63b)
Debt / FCF = 0.30 (Net Debt 1.67b / FCF TTM 5.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.93% (Net Income 595.3m / Total Assets 12.07b)
RoE = 8.30% (Net Income TTM 595.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.17b)
RoCE = 24.59% (EBIT 2.28b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.17b + L.T.Debt 2.08b))
RoIC = 58.54% (NOPAT 3.24b / Invested Capital 5.53b)
WACC = 9.20% (E(65.25b)/V(67.57b) * Re(9.41%) + D(2.32b)/V(67.57b) * Rd(2.31%) * (1-Tc(-0.42)))
Discount Rate = 9.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.68% ; FCFE base≈3.51b ; Y1≈3.78b ; Y5≈4.67b
Fair Price DCF = 349.2 (DCF Value 64.04b / Shares Outstanding 183.4m; 5y FCF grow 8.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 27.22 | EPS CAGR: 9.68% | SUE: -0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 39.68 | Revenue CAGR: 27.51% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for ERJ Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle