(ERJ) Embraer - Ratings and Ratios
Commercial Jets, Military Aircraft, Executive Jets, Services, eVTOL
ERJ EPS (Earnings per Share)
ERJ Revenue
Description: ERJ Embraer October 31, 2025
Embraer S.A. (NYSE: ERJ) designs, develops, manufactures, and sells aircraft and related systems across five operating segments: Commercial Aviation (regional and narrow-body jets), Defense & Security (military aircraft, radars, and C4ISR solutions), Executive Aviation (luxury business jets), Services & Support (maintenance, training, and field support), and “Other” (structural parts, agricultural aircraft, eVTOL development, electrical propulsion, cybersecurity, and ancillary services such as leasing and IT consulting). The company, founded in 1969 and headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil, rebranded from Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de Aeronáutica in 2010.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023) include total revenue of roughly $5.0 billion, a commercial-jet backlog of about $30 billion (≈ 6 years of sales), and an operating margin of 7 % after a 2022 restructuring. The commercial segment benefits from a projected 4 % CAGR in regional jet demand driven by emerging-market fleet renewal, while the defense unit secured a $1.2 billion contract for C4ISR upgrades in Latin America, underscoring exposure to sovereign-budget cycles. In the eVTOL space, Embraer’s Eve division reported a 45 % YoY increase in pre-orders for its cargo-focused aircraft, reflecting broader urban-air-mobility growth expectations of 15 % per annum through 2035.
For a data-rich, quantitative deep-dive on Embraer’s valuation drivers and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a ready-made model you may find useful.
ERJ Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 12,044m |
| Sub-Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| IPO / Inception | 2000-07-20 |
ERJ Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 94.3% |
| Fundamental | 85.8% |
| Dividend Rating | 15.4% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 56.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.93 of 5 |
ERJ Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 0.08% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.90% |
| Annual Growth 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 52.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 5.1% |
ERJ Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 65.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 92% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 83.9% |
| CAGR 5y | 85.64% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 3.02 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 11.60 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.22 |
| Alpha | 74.74 |
| Beta | 1.057 |
| Volatility | 41.42% |
| Current Volume | 1143.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1109.1k |
| Stop Loss | 62.5 (-3.2%) |
| Signal | 0.41 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (595.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.10b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.47 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 44.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.76% (prev 34.45%; Δ -25.70pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.51 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.14b > Net Income 595.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.67b) to EBITDA (2.63b) ratio: 0.64 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.33 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (183.4m) change vs 12m ago -0.15% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.53% (prev 17.37%; Δ 1.17pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 159.9% (prev 51.95%; Δ 108.0pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.88 (EBITDA TTM 2.63b / Interest Expense TTM 387.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.66
| (A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 6.52b - Total Current Liabilities 4.91b) / Total Assets 12.07b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 135.6m / Total Assets 12.07b |
| (C) 0.20 = EBIT TTM 2.28b / Avg Total Assets 11.47b |
| (D) 0.40 = Book Value of Equity 3.35b / Total Liabilities 8.46b |
| Total Rating: 2.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 85.81
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.62% = 4.31 |
| 3. FCF Margin 30.81% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.70 = 2.26 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.64 = 2.19 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 48.86)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 8.30% = 0.69 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 39.68% = 2.98 |
| 9. EPS Trend 17.55% = 0.88 |
What is the price of ERJ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.98%, over one month by +10.05%, over three months by +13.02% and over the past year by +81.79%.
Is Embraer a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ERJ is around 98.73 USD . This means that ERJ is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +52.88% (Margin of Safety).
Is ERJ a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the ERJ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 68.5 | 6.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 68.5 | 6.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 111.2 | 72.3% |
ERJ Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
P/E Trailing = 31.3558
P/E Forward = 19.8807
P/S = 0.3026
P/B = 3.1237
P/EG = 1.19
Beta = 1.057
Revenue TTM = 18.35b BRL
EBIT TTM = 2.28b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 2.63b BRL
Long Term Debt = 2.08b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 142.8m BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.32b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.67b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 65.59b BRL (64.52b + Debt 2.32b - CCE 1.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.88 (Ebit TTM 2.28b / Interest Expense TTM 387.2m)
FCF Yield = 8.62% (FCF TTM 5.65b / Enterprise Value 65.59b)
FCF Margin = 30.81% (FCF TTM 5.65b / Revenue TTM 18.35b)
Net Margin = 3.24% (Net Income TTM 595.3m / Revenue TTM 18.35b)
Gross Margin = 18.53% ((Revenue TTM 18.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.46% (prev 17.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.43 (Enterprise Value 65.59b / Total Assets 12.07b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.31% (Interest Expense 53.7m / Debt 2.32b)
Taxrate = -42.29% (negative due to tax credits) (-20.8m / 49.3m)
NOPAT = 3.24b (EBIT 2.28b * (1 - -42.29%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.33 (Total Current Assets 6.52b / Total Current Liabilities 4.91b)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 2.32b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.64 (Net Debt 1.67b / EBITDA 2.63b)
Debt / FCF = 0.30 (Net Debt 1.67b / FCF TTM 5.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.93% (Net Income 595.3m / Total Assets 12.07b)
RoE = 8.30% (Net Income TTM 595.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.17b)
RoCE = 24.59% (EBIT 2.28b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.17b + L.T.Debt 2.08b))
RoIC = 58.54% (NOPAT 3.24b / Invested Capital 5.53b)
WACC = 9.68% (E(64.52b)/V(66.85b) * Re(9.91%) + D(2.32b)/V(66.85b) * Rd(2.31%) * (1-Tc(-0.42)))
Discount Rate = 9.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.05% ; FCFE base≈3.51b ; Y1≈3.78b ; Y5≈4.67b
Fair Price DCF = 323.7 (DCF Value 59.37b / Shares Outstanding 183.4m; 5y FCF grow 8.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 17.55 | EPS CAGR: -12.45% | SUE: -1.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 39.68 | Revenue CAGR: 27.51% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ERJ Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle