(ES) Eversource Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Water, Solar
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.54% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.91 |
| Alpha | 19.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.472 |
| Beta | 0.400 |
| Beta Downside | 0.433 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.09% |
| Mean DD | 19.21% |
| Median DD | 19.47% |
Description: ES Eversource Energy October 14, 2025
Eversource Energy (NYSE: ES) is a regulated utility holding company that delivers electricity, natural gas, and water across Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire. Its operations are organized into four segments-Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Natural Gas Distribution, and Water Distribution-covering everything from high-voltage transmission lines to residential water service.
Key performance indicators that investors watch include the company’s regulated return on equity (ROE) of roughly 9-10 % and its stable cash-flow generation, with 2023 adjusted EBITDA of about $4.2 billion. Growth is driven by state-mandated infrastructure upgrades, decarbonization mandates that boost solar and energy-storage projects, and modest residential-rate increases approved by public utility commissions. The broader electric-utility sector benefits from low-interest-rate environments that lower the cost of capital for large-scale grid investments.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of how Eversource’s regulated earnings profile stacks up against peers, you may find it useful to explore the detailed valuation models and scenario analyses available on ValueRay.
ES Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 27,404m |
| Sub-Industry | Electric Utilities |
| IPO / Inception | 1984-08-29 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 10.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.68 of 5 |
ES Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.99% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.04% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.95% |
| Payout Consistency | 72.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 63.8% |
ES Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 1.57% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.04 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.08 |
| Current Volume | 1854.4k |
| Average Volume | 2526.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (1.34b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 788.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -12.51% (prev -6.77%; Δ -5.74pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.30b > Net Income 1.34b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (28.72b) to EBITDA (4.67b) ratio: 6.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.76 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (372.3m) change vs 12m ago 3.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.72% (prev 39.56%; Δ -0.84pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 22.25% (prev 19.84%; Δ 2.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.25 (EBITDA TTM 4.67b / Interest Expense TTM 1.20b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.50
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 5.08b - Total Current Liabilities 6.72b) / Total Assets 59.59b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.93b / Total Assets 59.59b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 2.71b / Avg Total Assets 59.08b |
| (D) 0.15 = Book Value of Equity 5.78b / Total Liabilities 37.83b |
| Total Rating: 0.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.36
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.81% = -0.90 |
| 3. FCF Margin -7.71% = -2.89 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.32 = 1.69 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 6.15 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.47)% = 1.83 |
| 7. RoE 7.36% = 0.61 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 13.99% = 1.05 |
| 9. EPS Trend 9.39% = 0.47 |
What is the price of ES shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.65%, over one month by +2.32%, over three months by +16.81% and over the past year by +25.99%.
Is ES a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the ES price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 75.6 | 1.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 75.6 | 1.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 86.6 | 16.1% |
ES Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 20.1768
P/E Forward = 14.1643
P/S = 2.0842
P/B = 1.7007
P/EG = 1.0187
Beta = 0.759
Revenue TTM = 13.15b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.71b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.67b USD
Long Term Debt = 26.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 3.05b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 28.75b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 28.72b USD (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 56.12b USD (27.40b + Debt 28.75b - CCE 26.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.25 (Ebit TTM 2.71b / Interest Expense TTM 1.20b)
FCF Yield = -1.81% (FCF TTM -1.01b / Enterprise Value 56.12b)
FCF Margin = -7.71% (FCF TTM -1.01b / Revenue TTM 13.15b)
Net Margin = 10.22% (Net Income TTM 1.34b / Revenue TTM 13.15b)
Gross Margin = 38.72% ((Revenue TTM 13.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.31% (prev 32.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 56.12b / Total Assets 59.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.11% (Interest Expense 318.1m / Debt 28.75b)
Taxrate = -114.2% (out of range, set to none) (-197.0m / 172.4m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.76 (Total Current Assets 5.08b / Total Current Liabilities 6.72b)
Debt / Equity = 1.32 (Debt 28.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last fiscal year 21.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.15 (Net Debt 28.72b / EBITDA 4.67b)
Debt / FCF = -28.34 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 28.72b / FCF TTM -1.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.25% (Net Income 1.34b / Total Assets 59.59b)
RoE = 7.36% (Net Income TTM 1.34b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.26b)
RoCE = 6.11% (EBIT 2.71b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.26b + L.T.Debt 26.03b))
RoIC = 5.12% (EBIT 2.71b / (Assets 59.59b - Curr.Liab 6.72b - Cash 26.7m))
WACC = 3.66% (E(27.40b)/V(56.15b) * Re(7.49%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 7.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.14%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.01b)
EPS Correlation: 9.39 | EPS CAGR: 9.81% | SUE: 0.30 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 13.99 | Revenue CAGR: 2.25% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ES Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle