(ESTC) Elastic - Ratings and Ratios
Search, Analytics, Visualization, Security, Observability
ESTC EPS (Earnings per Share)
ESTC Revenue
Description: ESTC Elastic
Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) is a search AI company providing software platforms for hybrid, public, or private clouds, and multi-cloud environments. The companys primary offering is the Elastic Search AI Platform, which ingests, stores, and analyzes data from various sources and formats. This platform is complemented by a suite of products including Elasticsearch, Kibana, and Elastic Security, which provide search, analytics, visualization, and security capabilities.
From a performance perspective, ESTC has shown significant growth, but its financials indicate a negative Return on Equity (RoE) of -12.88%, suggesting that the company is currently not generating profits. The forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 38.02, which may indicate high growth expectations. To further evaluate ESTCs performance, we can examine additional KPIs such as Revenue Growth Rate, Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC), and Lifetime Value (LTV) to determine the companys scalability and profitability potential.
Some key metrics to monitor for ESTC include its Cloud Revenue as a percentage of total revenue, indicating its success in the cloud market, and its Research and Development (R&D) expenses as a percentage of revenue, highlighting its commitment to innovation. Additionally, tracking the companys customer base expansion, particularly in the enterprise segment, and its partnerships with major cloud providers can provide insights into its growth trajectory.
To make an informed investment decision, its essential to analyze ESTCs financial statements, management guidance, and industry trends. Comparing ESTCs valuation multiples to those of its peers in the Application Software sub-industry can help determine if the stock is fairly valued. Furthermore, monitoring the companys progress in expanding its product offerings, improving its security features, and enhancing its AI capabilities will be crucial in assessing its long-term prospects.
ESTC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 9,691m |
| Sub-Industry | Application Software |
| IPO / Inception | 2018-10-05 |
ESTC Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 1.48% |
| Fundamental | 59.6% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -2.01% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.23 of 5 |
ESTC Dividends
Currently no dividends paidESTC Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 8.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -11.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -33.3% |
| CAGR 5y | 1.90% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.04 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.08 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.18 |
| Alpha | 5.74 |
| Beta | 0.525 |
| Volatility | 52.44% |
| Current Volume | 968.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1987k |
| Stop Loss | 84.2 (-4.7%) |
| Signal | 0.05 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (-83.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 93.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 63.02% (prev 52.83%; Δ 10.18pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 318.2m > Net Income -83.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-68.2m) to EBITDA (33.2m) ratio: -2.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.09 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (106.0m) change vs 12m ago 3.60% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 75.19% (prev 73.93%; Δ 1.26pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 66.37% (prev 61.43%; Δ 4.94pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.90 (EBITDA TTM 33.2m / Interest Expense TTM 25.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.38
| (A) 0.39 = (Total Current Assets 1.88b - Total Current Liabilities 900.8m) / Total Assets 2.52b |
| (B) -0.45 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.12b / Total Assets 2.52b |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 22.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.34b |
| (D) -0.74 = Book Value of Equity -1.15b / Total Liabilities 1.55b |
| Total Rating: 0.38 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.61
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.58% = 1.79 |
| 3. FCF Margin 20.24% = 5.06 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.60 = 2.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 17.67 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -6.32% = -7.90 |
| 7. RoE -9.36% = -1.56 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 99.73% = 4.99 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 17.84% = 2.23 |
| 10. EPS Trend 67.06% = 1.68 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 710.7% = 2.50 |
What is the price of ESTC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.32%, over one month by +14.30%, over three months by +8.78% and over the past year by +16.50%.
Is Elastic a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ESTC is around 79.18 USD . This means that ESTC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -10.34%.
Is ESTC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ESTC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 120.2 | 36.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 120.2 | 36.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 87.5 | -0.9% |
Last update: 2025-09-11 02:48
ESTC Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.49b USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 42.9185
P/S = 6.2475
P/B = 10.0981
P/EG = 4.165
Beta = 1.043
Revenue TTM = 1.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 22.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 33.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 570.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 16.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 586.1m USD (Calculated: Short Term 16.1m + Long Term 570.0m)
Net Debt = -68.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.78b USD (9.69b + Debt 586.1m - CCE 1.49b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.90 (Ebit TTM 22.7m / Interest Expense TTM 25.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.58% (FCF TTM 314.0m / Enterprise Value 8.78b)
FCF Margin = 20.24% (FCF TTM 314.0m / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Net Margin = -5.38% (Net Income TTM -83.5m / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Gross Margin = 75.19% ((Revenue TTM 1.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 384.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -7.65 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 8.78b / Book Value Of Equity -1.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.08% (Interest Expense 6.35m / Debt 586.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = 17.9m (EBIT 22.7m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.09 (Total Current Assets 1.88b / Total Current Liabilities 900.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 586.1m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 971.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 17.67 (Net Debt -68.2m / EBITDA 33.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.87 (Debt 586.1m / FCF TTM 314.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 892.3m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -3.31% (Net Income -83.5m, Total Assets 2.52b )
RoE = -9.36% (Net Income TTM -83.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 892.3m)
RoCE = 1.55% (Ebit 22.7m / (Equity 892.3m + L.T.Debt 570.0m))
RoIC = 1.23% (NOPAT 17.9m / Invested Capital 1.46b)
WACC = 7.55% (E(9.69b)/V(10.28b) * Re(7.95%)) + (D(586.1m)/V(10.28b) * Rd(1.08%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 87.88 | Cagr: 0.97%
Discount Rate = 7.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈250.0m ; Y1≈308.4m ; Y5≈526.1m
Fair Price DCF = 84.21 (DCF Value 8.95b / Shares Outstanding 106.3m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 67.06 | EPS CAGR: 710.7% | SUE: 2.80 | # QB: True
Revenue Correlation: 99.73 | Revenue CAGR: 17.84%
Additional Sources for ESTC Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle