(EVH) Evolent Health - Overview

Sector: Healthcare | Industry: Health Information Services | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 444m USD | Total Return: -47.8% in 12m

Care Management, Health Analytics, Administrative Services, Clinical Software
Total Rating 19
Safety 33
Buy Signal -0.51
Health Information Services
Industry Rotation: +9.7
Market Cap: 444M
Avg Turnover: 9.52M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility61.6%
VaR 5th Pctl9.03%
VaR vs Median-15.4%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.53
Rel. Str. IBD9.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group44.1
Character TTM
Beta1.584
Beta Downside1.850
Hurst Exponent0.680
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD93.75%
CAGR/Max DD-0.53
CAGR/Mean DD-1.02
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of EVH over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.02, "2021-09": -0.03, "2021-12": 0.08, "2022-03": 0.12, "2022-06": 0.1, "2022-09": 0.59, "2022-12": 0.1, "2023-03": 0.21, "2023-06": 0.14, "2023-09": 0.3, "2023-12": 0.23, "2024-03": 0.34, "2024-06": 0.3, "2024-09": 0.04, "2024-12": -0.02, "2025-03": 0.06, "2025-06": -0.1, "2025-09": 0.05, "2025-12": 0.08, "2026-03": -0.02,
Last SUE: -0.61
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of EVH over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 222.057, 2021-09: 222.471, 2021-12: 248.358, 2022-03: 297.057, 2022-06: 319.939, 2022-09: 352.585, 2022-12: 382.432, 2023-03: 427.69, 2023-06: 469.136, 2023-09: 511.015, 2023-12: 556.055, 2024-03: 639.653, 2024-06: 647.145, 2024-09: 621.401, 2024-12: 646.542, 2025-03: 483.649, 2025-06: 444.328, 2025-09: 479.533, 2025-12: 468.719, 2026-03: 496.246,
Rev. CAGR: 3.53%
Rev. Trend: 22.4%
Last SUE: -3.11
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA (8.1) with thin interest coverage (-0.3)

Interest Coverage Ratio -0.3 is critical

Altman Z'' -2.91 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: EVH Evolent Health

Evolent Health, Inc. (EVH) is a health care technology company specializing in specialty care management within the oncology, cardiology, and musculoskeletal clinical areas. The firm operates an integrated value-based care platform that provides health plan administration, risk management, and pharmacy benefits management for payers and providers.

The company utilizes its proprietary technology, Identifi, to aggregate clinical data and manage patient workflows, alongside the Machinify Auth Intelligence tool which uses artificial intelligence to streamline the prior authorization process. In the health care technology sector, value-based care models focus on improving clinical outcomes while reducing the total cost of care, moving away from traditional fee-for-service structures. Evolent’s business model relies on long-term contracts with health plans to manage complex, high-cost medical specialties.

Exploring the detailed financial metrics on ValueRay can help clarify how these service contracts impact long-term revenue stability.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Specialty care management expansion in oncology and cardiology drives revenue growth
  • Shift toward value-based care contracts increases long-term profit margin potential
  • Machinify AI implementation reduces administrative costs and improves prior authorization efficiency
  • Health plan utilization rates and medical loss ratios impact quarterly earnings
  • Regulatory changes to Medicare Advantage and Medicaid reimbursement affect contract pricing
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: -496.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.44 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.39% < 20% (prev -0.47%; Δ 6.86% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 33.3m > Net Income -496.5m
Net Debt (831.4m) to EBITDA (102.5m): 8.11 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.32 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (111.9m) vs 12m ago -2.96% < -2%
Gross Margin: 14.13% > 18% (prev 0.15%; Δ 1.40k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 83.35% > 50% (prev 90.40%; Δ -7.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.25 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 102.5m / Interest Expense TTM 64.0m)
Altman Z'' -2.91
A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 502.0m - Total Current Liabilities 381.2m) / Total Assets 1.88b
B: -0.71 (Retained Earnings -1.34b / Total Assets 1.88b)
C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -16.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.27b)
D: -0.91 (Book Value of Equity -1.34b / Total Liabilities 1.48b)
Altman-Z'' = -2.91 = D
Beneish M -3.46
DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 314.2m/430.5m, Revenue 1.89b/2.40b)
GMI: 1.08 (GM 14.13% / 15.25%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.69 / AQ_t-1 0.70)
SGI: 0.79 (Revenue 1.89b / 2.40b)
TATA: -0.28 (NI -496.5m - CFO 33.3m) / TA 1.88b)
Beneish M = -3.46 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of EVH shares?

As of June 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.95 with a total of 2,696,883 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.86%, over one month by +5.33%, over three months by +10.34% and over the past year by -47.82%.

Is EVH a buy, sell or hold?

Evolent Health has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.57. Therefore, it is recommended to buy EVH.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the EVH price?
Analysts Target Price 5.8 45.6%
Evolent Health (EVH) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 444.3m (444.3m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 41.6667
P/S = 0.2352
P/B = 1.1209
P/EG = 1.9281
Revenue TTM = 1.89b USD
EBIT TTM = -16.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 102.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 973.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.78m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 997.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 11.9m
Net Debt = 831.4m USD (calculated: Debt 997.4m - CCE 166.0m)
Enterprise Value = 1.28b USD (444.3m + Debt 997.4m - CCE 166.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.25 (Ebit TTM -16.3m / Interest Expense TTM 64.0m)
EV/FCF = 914.5x (Enterprise Value 1.28b / FCF TTM 1.40m)
FCF Yield = 0.11% (FCF TTM 1.40m / Enterprise Value 1.28b)
FCF Margin = 0.07% (FCF TTM 1.40m / Revenue TTM 1.89b)
Net Margin = -26.29% (Net Income TTM -496.5m / Revenue TTM 1.89b)
Gross Margin = 14.13% ((Revenue TTM 1.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.48% (prev 11.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.68 (Enterprise Value 1.28b / Total Assets 1.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.41% (Interest Expense 64.0m / Debt 997.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -12.9m (EBIT -16.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 502.0m / Total Current Liabilities 381.2m)
Debt / Equity = 2.52 (Debt 997.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 396.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.11 (Net Debt 831.4m / EBITDA 102.5m)
Debt / FCF = 596.0 (Net Debt 831.4m / FCF TTM 1.40m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 637.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -21.91% (Net Income -496.5m / Total Assets 1.88b)
RoE = -25.08% (Net Income TTM -496.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.98b)
RoCE = -0.55% (EBIT -16.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.98b + L.T.Debt 973.5m))
 RoIC = -0.87% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -12.9m / Invested Capital 1.49b)
 WACC = 7.06% (E(444.3m)/V(1.44b) * Re(11.55%) + D(997.4m)/V(1.44b) * Rd(6.41%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 11.11 | Cagr: -0.66%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈1.40m ; Y1≈1.40m ; Y5≈1.48m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 23.1m - Net Debt 831.4m = -808.3m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 22.35 | Revenue CAGR: 3.53% | SUE: -3.11 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.02 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+11% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=-27.08% | Revisions=-27% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=+14.39% | Revisions=+11% | GrowthEPS=+118.1% | GrowthRev=+32.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=-8.58% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+105.7% | GrowthRev=+17.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%