EVTL Stock Analysis: Vertical Aerospace | NYSE
Aerospace & Defense | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 228m USD | 12M Return: -64.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 4.19M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 5.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (NYSE: EVTL) is a UK-based aerospace and technology company that designs, manufactures, and commercializes zero-operating-emission electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. Its flagship program, the VX4, is being developed for the advanced air mobility (AAM) market-an emerging industry focused on electric aircraft for short-range urban and regional transport. The company is classified in the GICS Aerospace & Defense sub-industry but, like most eVTOL developers, remains in a pre-commercial development stage rather than generating recurring airframe revenue.
Founded in 2016 and headquartered in Bristol, United Kingdom, Vertical Aerospace is one of several startups racing to achieve type certification from aviation regulators (such as the UK CAA and EASA) before launching commercial flights. Listed on the NYSE via a SPAC merger in late 2021, it operates as a micro-cap equity, and its near-term value is largely tied to program milestones, certification progress, and pre-order book conversion rather than current product sales.
- VX4 type certification milestones with EASA drive timeline
- Cash burn and dilution risk weigh on micro-cap valuation
- Pre-order book conversion hinges on operator partnership execution
| Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCF/TA: -0.92 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -41.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.92 > 3% & CFO -106.3m > Net Income -252.2m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.88 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (142.5m) vs 12m ago 23.87% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 8.38%; Δ -8.38% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -55.57 > 6 (EBIT TTM -328.3m / Interest Expense TTM 5.91m) |
| A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 109.9m - Total Current Liabilities 125.4m) / Total Assets 116.0m |
| B: -7.38 (Retained Earnings -856.6m / Total Assets 116.0m) |
| C: -2.62 (EBIT TTM -328.3m / Avg Total Assets 125.5m) |
| D: -0.10 (Book Value of Equity -12.3m / Total Liabilities 128.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' = -42.62 = D |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1.71 with a total of 972,048 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.07%, over one month by -18.18%, over three months by -25.65% and over the past year by -64.74%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 1.50 (which is 12.3% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Vertical Aerospace has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy EVTL.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 10 | 483.6% |
Market Cap GBP = 169.9m (227.9m USD * 0.7456 USD.GBP)
P/E Forward = 6.3371
P/S = 10738.1865
P/B = 41.2851
Revenue TTM = 0.0 GBP
EBIT TTM = -328.3m GBP
EBITDA TTM = -325.4m GBP
Long Term Debt = 2.17m GBP (estimated: total debt 90.0m - short term 87.9m)
Short Term Debt = 87.9m GBP (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 93.1m GBP (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.01m
Net Debt = 19.7m GBP (calculated: Debt 93.1m - CCE 73.4m)
Enterprise Value = 189.6m GBP (169.9m + Debt 93.1m - CCE 73.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -55.57 (Ebit TTM -328.3m / Interest Expense TTM 5.91m)
EV/FCF = -1.77x (Enterprise Value 189.6m / FCF TTM -106.9m)
FCF Yield = -56.37% (FCF TTM -106.9m / Enterprise Value 189.6m)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.63 (Enterprise Value 189.6m / Total Assets 116.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.35% (Interest Expense 5.91m / Debt 93.1m)
Taxrate = 0.79% (482k / 61.3m)
NOPAT = -325.7m (EBIT -328.3m * (1 - 0.79%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.88 (Total Current Assets 109.9m / Total Current Liabilities 125.4m)
Debt / Equity = -7.56 (negative equity) (Debt 93.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -12.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.06 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 19.7m / EBITDA -325.4m)
Debt / FCF = -0.18 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 19.7m / FCF TTM -106.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -100.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -201.0% (out of range, set to none)
RoE = 251.2% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -252.2m / Total Stockholder Equity -100.4m)
RoCE = 334.1% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -328.3m / Capital Employed (Equity -100.4m + L.T.Debt 2.17m))
RoIC = -414.7% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -325.7m / Invested Capital 78.5m)
WACC = 11.78% (E(169.9m)/V(263.0m) * Re(14.78%) + D(93.1m)/V(263.0m) * Rd(6.35%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 14.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 82.22 | Cagr: 144.1%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -106.9m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.39 | Chg30d=-3.06% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.39 | Chg30d=-10.71% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.80 | Chg30d=+38.02% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=-130.5% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.89 | Chg30d=+22.73% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=-11.4% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -27% (up=4, down=8)