(EVTL) Vertical Aerospace - Overview
Stock: eVTOL, Aircraft, VX4, Mobility
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 110% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.3% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.33 |
| Alpha | -41.97 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.208 |
| Beta Downside | 1.717 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 86.85% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.44 |
Description: EVTL Vertical Aerospace December 27, 2025
Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (NYSE: EVTL) is a UK-based aerospace and technology firm that designs, manufactures, and sells zero-emission electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for the emerging advanced air mobility (AAM) market. Founded in 2016 and headquartered in Bristol, the company’s primary product is the flagship VX4 eVTOL, which aims to provide short-range, point-to-point urban transport with vertical take-off and landing capability.
Key industry metrics that shape EVTL’s outlook include: (1) the global AAM market is projected to exceed $1.5 trillion in cumulative revenue by 2035, driven by urbanization and pressure to decarbonize transportation; (2) EVTL reported over 1,200 flight-test hours for its VX4 platform as of Q3 2024, indicating progress toward certification milestones; and (3) the company has secured pre-order commitments from at least three major airline and logistics partners, collectively representing an estimated $200 million in potential revenue once commercial operations commence.
For a deeper, data-driven analysis of EVTL’s valuation and risk profile, consider exploring the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income: -3.54b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.64 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 41.23 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.67 > 3% & CFO -79.7m > Net Income -3.54b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.55 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (135.5m) vs 12m ago 601.5% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 11.92% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 11.92% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.31 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -3.62b / Interest Expense TTM 2.77b) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: -0.77 (Total Current Assets 112.5m - Total Current Liabilities 203.4m) / Total Assets 118.4m |
| B: -6.94 (Retained Earnings -822.0m / Total Assets 118.4m) |
| C: -38.21 (EBIT TTM -3.62b / Avg Total Assets 94.9m) |
| D: -3.54 (Book Value of Equity -744.5m / Total Liabilities 210.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -288.1 = D |
What is the price of EVTL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.82%, over one month by -26.22%, over three months by +7.60% and over the past year by -9.04%.
Is EVTL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EVTL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.1 | 144.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.1 | 144.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.2 | -29.8% |
EVTL Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 6.3371
P/S = 12724.558
P/B = 11.4312
Revenue TTM = 11.3m GBP
EBIT TTM = -3.62b GBP
EBITDA TTM = -3.62b GBP
Long Term Debt = 2.20m GBP (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 186.9m GBP (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 189.4m GBP (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 95.9m GBP (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 440.3m GBP (344.4m + Debt 189.4m - CCE 93.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.31 (Ebit TTM -3.62b / Interest Expense TTM 2.77b)
EV/FCF = -5.84x (Enterprise Value 440.3m / FCF TTM -75.4m)
FCF Yield = -17.12% (FCF TTM -75.4m / Enterprise Value 440.3m)
FCF Margin = -666.8% (FCF TTM -75.4m / Revenue TTM 11.3m)
Net Margin = -31.3k% (Net Income TTM -3.54b / Revenue TTM 11.3m)
Gross Margin = -21.92% ((Revenue TTM 11.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.72 (Enterprise Value 440.3m / Total Assets 118.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.03% (Interest Expense 48.1k / Debt 189.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.86b (EBIT -3.62b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.55 (Total Current Assets 112.5m / Total Current Liabilities 203.4m)
Debt / Equity = -2.06 (negative equity) (Debt 189.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -92.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.03 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 95.9m / EBITDA -3.62b)
Debt / FCF = -1.27 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 95.9m / FCF TTM -75.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -204.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3730 % (out of range, set to none)
RoE = 1730 % (out of range, set to none) (Net Income TTM -3.54b / Total Stockholder Equity -204.5m)
RoCE = 1792 % (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -3.62b / Capital Employed (Equity -204.5m + L.T.Debt 2.20m))
RoIC = 2436 % (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -2.86b / Invested Capital -117.5m)
WACC = 9.07% (E(344.4m)/V(533.8m) * Re(14.05%) + D(189.4m)/V(533.8m) * Rd(0.03%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 166.2%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -75.4m)
EPS Correlation: -15.22 | EPS CAGR: -0.06% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 28.64 | Revenue CAGR: -1.87% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.36 | Chg30d=-0.110 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.33 | Chg30d=+0.078 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-149.2% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%