(EXP) Eagle Materials - Ratings and Ratios
Cement, Gypsum Wallboard, Concrete, Aggregates, Paperboard
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 55.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.00% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.99 |
| Alpha | -44.12 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.410 |
| Beta | 1.032 |
| Beta Downside | 0.752 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.36% |
| Mean DD | 12.81% |
| Median DD | 8.36% |
Description: EXP Eagle Materials November 05, 2025
Eagle Materials Inc. (NYSE: EXP) manufactures heavy-construction products and light building materials across four segments-Cement, Concrete & Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard-serving residential, commercial, and public-infrastructure markets in the United States.
In FY 2023 the company reported revenue of roughly $1.3 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 12%, with net debt hovering near $1.2 billion. Capacity utilization in its cement plants averaged 78%, while its readymix concrete division grew sales 6% year-over-year, reflecting modest strength in new-home starts and municipal road-repair programs.
Key economic drivers for EXP include U.S. construction spending (which rose ~4% YoY in 2023), the pace of housing starts, and the prevailing interest-rate environment that influences financing costs for builders. A higher share of Portland limestone cement in the product mix can improve margins by reducing clinker intensity, a trend the company is actively expanding.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of EXP’s valuation and peer benchmarks, the ValueRay platform offers tools that may help you refine your investment thesis.
EXP Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,527m |
| Sub-Industry | Construction Materials |
| IPO / Inception | 1994-04-12 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -38.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.64 of 5 |
EXP Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.59% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.38% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 77.83% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 7.3% |
EXP Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 17.98% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.47 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.40 |
| Current Volume | 418k |
| Average Volume | 459.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (446.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 138.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -7.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 18.42% (prev 18.44%; Δ -0.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 523.9m > Net Income 446.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.29b) to EBITDA (797.4m) ratio: 1.62 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (32.6m) change vs 12m ago -3.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 29.01% (prev 30.47%; Δ -1.46pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 70.49% (prev 72.65%; Δ -2.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 9.77 (EBITDA TTM 797.4m / Interest Expense TTM 64.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.46
| (A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 671.3m - Total Current Liabilities 247.2m) / Total Assets 3.41b |
| (B) 0.45 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.54b / Total Assets 3.41b |
| (C) 0.19 = EBIT TTM 634.5m / Avg Total Assets 3.27b |
| (D) 0.82 = Book Value of Equity 1.54b / Total Liabilities 1.87b |
| Total Rating: 4.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.51
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.12% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.58% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.86 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.62 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.78)% |
| 7. RoE 29.88% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 35.74% |
| 9. EPS Trend 10.70% |
What is the price of EXP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.12%, over one month by -6.00%, over three months by -7.19% and over the past year by -30.08%.
Is EXP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EXP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 243.9 | 11.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 243.9 | 11.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 216.6 | -1.3% |
EXP Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 14.8115
P/E Forward = 12.5313
P/S = 2.8355
P/B = 4.1515
P/EG = 2.51
Beta = 1.377
Revenue TTM = 2.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 634.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 797.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.27b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.29b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.82b USD (6.53b + Debt 1.33b - CCE 35.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.77 (Ebit TTM 634.5m / Interest Expense TTM 64.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.12% (FCF TTM 243.6m / Enterprise Value 7.82b)
FCF Margin = 10.58% (FCF TTM 243.6m / Revenue TTM 2.30b)
Net Margin = 19.41% (Net Income TTM 446.8m / Revenue TTM 2.30b)
Gross Margin = 29.01% ((Revenue TTM 2.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.26% (prev 29.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.29 (Enterprise Value 7.82b / Total Assets 3.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.49% (Interest Expense 32.9m / Debt 1.33b)
Taxrate = 22.15% (39.1m / 176.5m)
NOPAT = 494.0m (EBIT 634.5m * (1 - 22.15%))
Current Ratio = 2.72 (Total Current Assets 671.3m / Total Current Liabilities 247.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.86 (Debt 1.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.62 (Net Debt 1.29b / EBITDA 797.4m)
Debt / FCF = 5.30 (Net Debt 1.29b / FCF TTM 243.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.11% (Net Income 446.8m / Total Assets 3.41b)
RoE = 29.88% (Net Income TTM 446.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.50b)
RoCE = 22.93% (EBIT 634.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.50b + L.T.Debt 1.27b))
RoIC = 18.27% (NOPAT 494.0m / Invested Capital 2.70b)
WACC = 8.49% (E(6.53b)/V(7.85b) * Re(9.82%) + D(1.33b)/V(7.85b) * Rd(2.49%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.09%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.92% ; FCFE base≈331.2m ; Y1≈311.2m ; Y5≈291.5m
Fair Price DCF = 121.2 (DCF Value 3.89b / Shares Outstanding 32.1m; 5y FCF grow -7.74% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 10.70 | EPS CAGR: 10.68% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 35.74 | Revenue CAGR: 8.42% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for EXP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle