EXP Stock Analysis: Eagle Materials | NYSE

Cement, Gypsum Wallboard, Concrete, Paperboard

Total Rating 50

Safety 73

Buy Signal -0.86

Building Materials
Industry Rotation: -10.0

Market Cap: 6.57B
Avg Turnover: 105M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility37.3%

VaR 5^th Pctl6.52%

VaR vs Median6.04%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.11

Rel. Str. IBD20.7

Rel. Str. Peer Group65.6

Character TTM

Beta1.107

Beta Downside1.300

Hurst Exponent0.575

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD44.73%

CAGR/Max DD0.11

CAGR/Mean DD0.26

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -3.15%
EPS Trend: -79.0%

Last SUE: 0.10
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 1.44%
Rev. Trend: 92.3%

Last SUE: 1.39
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Choppy

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.3% 8

Feb -0.8% 7

Mar +0.2% 5

Apr -1.4% 8

May +2.8% 9

Jun -0.9% 17

Jul +2.8% 8

Aug -0.3% 2

Sep -2.5% 2

Oct -2.6% 24

Nov +4.1% 40

Dec -1.3% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: EXP Eagle Materials

Eagle Materials Inc. (NYSE: EXP) is a U.S.-based producer of heavy construction products and light building materials, operating through four segments: Cement, Concrete and Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard. The company is vertically integrated in key inputs, mining its own limestone and gypsum to manufacture portland cement and gypsum wallboard for residential, commercial, and industrial construction. Its Recycled Paperboard segment supplies both internal gypsum wallboard operations and external paperboard converters, while Concrete and Aggregates provides readymix concrete, crushed stone, sand, and gravel. End markets span new construction, public infrastructure such as roads and highways, and repair and remodel activity, exposing results to housing cycles and infrastructure spending trends.

Founded in 1963 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company was originally known as Centex Construction Products, Inc. and adopted its current name in January 2004. As a GICS Materials / Construction Materials issuer, Eagle Materials competes in a sector characterized by heavy reliance on transportation costs, proximity of reserves to demand centers, and demand drivers closely linked to U.S. housing starts and non-residential construction activity.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Cement pricing power supports margins amid housing demand uncertainty
Federal infrastructure spending lifts aggregates and concrete volumes
Share repurchase program accelerates capital returns to shareholders

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5

Net Income: 402.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.89 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 27.60% < 20% (prev 20.29%; Δ 7.31% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 631.9m > Net Income 402.6m
Net Debt (1.60b) to EBITDA (734.8m): 2.18 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.23 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.1m) vs 12m ago -5.24% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.02% > 18% (prev 29.38%; Δ -2.36% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 63.65% > 50% (prev 67.30%; Δ -3.65% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.97 > 6 (EBIT TTM 570.8m / Interest Expense TTM 63.6m)

Altman Z'' 4.02

A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 929.4m - Total Current Liabilities 287.6m) / Total Assets 3.91b
B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 1.49b / Total Assets 3.91b)
C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 570.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.65b)
D: 0.61 (Book Value of Equity 1.49b / Total Liabilities 2.42b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.02 = AA

Beneish M -2.92

DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 300.1m/264.8m, Revenue 2.32b/2.29b)
GMI: 1.09 (GM 29.38% / 27.02%)
AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.23)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 2.32b / 2.29b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 402.6m - CFO 631.9m) / TA 3.91b)
Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of EXP shares?

As of August 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 210.98 with a total of 286,120 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.75%, over one month by +0.59%, over three months by +3.07% and over the past year by -4.63%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 198.50 (which is 5.9% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is EXP a buy, sell or hold?

Eagle Materials has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.64. Therefore, it is recommended to hold EXP.

StrongBuy: 3
Buy: 1
Hold: 7
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the EXP price?

Analysts Target Price	226.8	7.5%

Eagle Materials (EXP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 August 2026

Market Cap USD = 6.57b (6.57b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 16.8865
P/E Forward = 16.4474
P/S = 2.8274
P/B = 4.4208
P/EG = 2.0851
Revenue TTM = 2.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 570.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 734.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.74b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.83b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 38.4m
Net Debt = 1.60b USD (calculated: Debt 1.83b - CCE 233.5m)
Enterprise Value = 8.17b USD (6.57b + Debt 1.83b - CCE 233.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.97 (Ebit TTM 570.8m / Interest Expense TTM 63.6m)
EV/FCF = 47.94x (Enterprise Value 8.17b / FCF TTM 170.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.09% (FCF TTM 170.5m / Enterprise Value 8.17b)
FCF Margin = 7.33% (FCF TTM 170.5m / Revenue TTM 2.32b)
Net Margin = 17.32% (Net Income TTM 402.6m / Revenue TTM 2.32b)
Gross Margin = 27.02% ((Revenue TTM 2.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.70b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.77% (prev 22.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.09 (Enterprise Value 8.17b / Total Assets 3.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.47% (Interest Expense 63.6m / Debt 1.83b)
Taxrate = 21.95% (113.2m / 515.8m)
NOPAT = 445.5m (EBIT 570.8m * (1 - 21.95%))
Current Ratio = 3.23 (Total Current Assets 929.4m / Total Current Liabilities 287.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.23 (Debt 1.83b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.18 (Net Debt 1.60b / EBITDA 734.8m)
Debt / FCF = 9.38 (Net Debt 1.60b / FCF TTM 170.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.02% (Net Income 402.6m / Total Assets 3.91b)
RoE = 26.87% (Net Income TTM 402.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.50b)
RoCE = 17.62% (EBIT 570.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.50b + L.T.Debt 1.74b))
RoIC = 12.64% (NOPAT 445.5m / Invested Capital 3.52b)
WACC = 8.32% (E(6.57b)/V(8.41b) * Re(9.88%) + D(1.83b)/V(8.41b) * Rd(3.47%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.87 | Cagr: -4.39%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈228.0m ; Y1≈200.0m ; Y5≈161.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.37 (EV 2.59b - Net Debt 1.60b = Equity 993.0m / Shares 30.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -79.04 | EPS CAGR: -3.15% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.30 | Revenue CAGR: 1.44% | SUE: 1.39 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.07 | Chg30d=-4.90% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=6
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=3.21 | Chg30d=-6.55% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=12.75 | Chg30d=-2.02% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=-3.1% | GrowthRev=+1.8%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=14.23 | Chg30d=-3.11% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+11.6% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -72% (up=1, down=14)