EXP Stock Analysis: Eagle Materials | NYSE

Building Materials | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.224m USD | 12M Return: 13.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Cement, Gypsum Wallboard, Concrete, Paperboard
Total Rating 60
Safety 79
Buy Signal -0.05
Building Materials
Industry Rotation: +9.4
Market Cap: 7.22B
Avg Turnover: 97.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.1%
VaR 5th Pctl5.59%
VaR vs Median5.79%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.47
Rel. Str. IBD57.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group78.1
Character TTM
Beta1.283
Beta Downside1.484
Hurst Exponent0.601
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.73%
CAGR/Max DD0.19
CAGR/Mean DD0.46
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of EXP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 2.25, "2021-09": 2.46, "2021-12": 2.53, "2022-03": 1.9, "2022-06": 2.75, "2022-09": 3.72, "2022-12": 3.2, "2023-03": 2.79, "2023-06": 3.4, "2023-09": 4.26, "2023-12": 3.72, "2024-03": 2.24, "2024-06": 3.94, "2024-09": 4.26, "2024-12": 3.56, "2025-03": 2.08, "2025-06": 3.76, "2025-09": 4.23, "2025-12": 3.22, "2026-03": 1.91,
EPS CAGR: -0.79%
EPS Trend: -25.5%
Last SUE: 1.47
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of EXP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 475.77, 2021-09: 509.694, 2021-12: 462.941, 2022-03: 413.117, 2022-06: 561.387, 2022-09: 605.068, 2022-12: 511.487, 2023-03: 470.127, 2023-06: 601.521, 2023-09: 622.236, 2023-12: 558.833, 2024-03: 476.707, 2024-06: 608.689, 2024-09: 623.619, 2024-12: 558.025, 2025-03: 470.175, 2025-06: 634.69, 2025-09: 638.906, 2025-12: 555.956, 2026-03: 479.106,
Rev. CAGR: 1.65%
Rev. Trend: 91.0%
Last SUE: 1.69
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Fakeout

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality

Jan +3.6
Feb -1.1
Mar +0.5
Apr +0.2
May -0.5
Jun -0.5
Jul +2.3
Aug -1.7
Sep -1.4
Oct -3.2
Nov +4.8
Dec -1.5
10.5 years of data Reliability Weak 3%
Description: EXP Eagle Materials

Eagle Materials Inc. (NYSE: EXP) is a U.S.-based producer of heavy construction products and light building materials, operating through four segments: Cement, Concrete and Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard. The company is vertically integrated in key inputs, mining its own limestone and gypsum to manufacture portland cement and gypsum wallboard for residential, commercial, and industrial construction. Its Recycled Paperboard segment supplies both internal gypsum wallboard operations and external paperboard converters, while Concrete and Aggregates provides readymix concrete, crushed stone, sand, and gravel. End markets span new construction, public infrastructure such as roads and highways, and repair and remodel activity, exposing results to housing cycles and infrastructure spending trends.

Founded in 1963 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company was originally known as Centex Construction Products, Inc. and adopted its current name in January 2004. As a GICS Materials / Construction Materials issuer, Eagle Materials competes in a sector characterized by heavy reliance on transportation costs, proximity of reserves to demand centers, and demand drivers closely linked to U.S. housing starts and non-residential construction activity.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Cement pricing power supports margins amid housing demand uncertainty
  • Federal infrastructure spending lifts aggregates and concrete volumes
  • Share repurchase program accelerates capital returns to shareholders
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 423.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.68 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 29.92% < 20% (prev 18.74%; Δ 11.18% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 614.2m > Net Income 423.8m
Net Debt (1.54b) to EBITDA (763.0m): 2.01 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.66 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.5m) vs 12m ago -6.44% < -2%
Gross Margin: 28.27% > 18% (prev 29.78%; Δ -1.51% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 64.97% > 50% (prev 69.24%; Δ -4.27% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.90 > 6 (EBIT TTM 599.5m / Interest Expense TTM 60.5m)
Altman Z'' 4.22
A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 950.9m - Total Current Liabilities 260.2m) / Total Assets 3.84b
B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 1.48b / Total Assets 3.84b)
C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 599.5m / Avg Total Assets 3.55b)
D: 0.62 (Book Value of Equity 1.47b / Total Liabilities 2.37b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.22 = AA
Beneish M -3.01
DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 236.1m/222.4m, Revenue 2.31b/2.26b)
GMI: 1.05 (GM 29.78% / 28.27%)
AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.24)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 2.31b / 2.26b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 423.8m - CFO 614.2m) / TA 3.84b)
Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of EXP shares?

As of June 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 233.83 with a total of 429,439 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.81%, over one month by +3.00%, over three months by +25.51% and over the past year by +13.11%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 220.60 (which is 5.7% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is EXP a buy, sell or hold?

Eagle Materials has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.64. Therefore, it is recommended to hold EXP.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the EXP price?
Analysts Target Price 223.6 -4.4%
Eagle Materials (EXP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 28 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 7.22b (7.22b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.7682
P/E Forward = 17.6367
P/S = 3.1292
P/B = 4.8984
P/EG = 2.0851
Revenue TTM = 2.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 599.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 763.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.83b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 36.7m
Net Debt = 1.54b USD (calculated: Debt 1.83b - CCE 297.9m)
Enterprise Value = 8.76b USD (7.22b + Debt 1.83b - CCE 297.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.90 (Ebit TTM 599.5m / Interest Expense TTM 60.5m)
EV/FCF = 44.37x (Enterprise Value 8.76b / FCF TTM 197.4m)
FCF Yield = 2.25% (FCF TTM 197.4m / Enterprise Value 8.76b)
FCF Margin = 8.55% (FCF TTM 197.4m / Revenue TTM 2.31b)
Net Margin = 18.36% (Net Income TTM 423.8m / Revenue TTM 2.31b)
Gross Margin = 28.27% ((Revenue TTM 2.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.66b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.19% (prev 28.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.28 (Enterprise Value 8.76b / Total Assets 3.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.30% (Interest Expense 60.5m / Debt 1.83b)
Taxrate = 21.80% (118.2m / 542.0m)
NOPAT = 468.8m (EBIT 599.5m * (1 - 21.80%))
Current Ratio = 3.66 (Total Current Assets 950.9m / Total Current Liabilities 260.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.24 (Debt 1.83b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.01 (Net Debt 1.54b / EBITDA 763.0m)
Debt / FCF = 7.78 (Net Debt 1.54b / FCF TTM 197.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.93% (Net Income 423.8m / Total Assets 3.84b)
RoE = 28.27% (Net Income TTM 423.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.50b)
RoCE = 18.48% (EBIT 599.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.50b + L.T.Debt 1.75b))
RoIC = 13.45% (NOPAT 468.8m / Invested Capital 3.49b)
WACC = 8.90% (E(7.22b)/V(9.06b) * Re(10.50%) + D(1.83b)/V(9.06b) * Rd(3.30%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 10.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -90.68 | Cagr: -5.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.07% ; FCFF base≈259.8m ; Y1≈227.8m ; Y5≈184.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 38.00 (EV 2.71b - Net Debt 1.54b = Equity 1.17b / Shares 30.9m; r=8.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -25.52 | EPS CAGR: -0.79% | SUE: 1.47 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 91.02 | Revenue CAGR: 1.65% | SUE: 1.69 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.28 | Chg30d=+2.92% | Revisions=+9% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=13.01 | Chg30d=+0.68% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=-1.1% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=14.68 | Chg30d=-0.54% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+12.8% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29%