(EXP) Eagle Materials - Ratings and Ratios
Cement, Gypsum Wallboard, Concrete, Aggregates, Paperboard
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.45% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.91% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.46% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 7.3% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 52.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.56% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.16 |
| Alpha | -26.68 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.43 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.511 |
| Beta | 1.034 |
| Beta Downside | 0.798 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.36% |
| Mean DD | 13.88% |
| Median DD | 10.29% |
Description: EXP Eagle Materials January 08, 2026
Eagle Materials Inc. (NYSE:EXP) manufactures heavy-construction products and light building materials across four segments-Cement, Concrete & Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard-primarily serving residential, commercial, and public-infrastructure projects in the United States.
Key operational metrics as of FY 2023 include $2.2 billion in revenue, a 7 % year-over-year increase driven by higher cement volumes and strong demand for readymix concrete, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 15 %. The business is sensitive to macro-economic factors such as housing starts, which rose 4 % YoY in Q4 2023, and to input-cost volatility in limestone and gypsum, where spot prices have been up 12 % and 8 % respectively over the past 12 months.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (446.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 138.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -7.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 18.42% (prev 18.44%; Δ -0.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 523.9m > Net Income 446.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.29b) to EBITDA (797.4m) ratio: 1.62 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (32.6m) change vs 12m ago -3.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 29.01% (prev 30.47%; Δ -1.46pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 70.49% (prev 72.65%; Δ -2.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 9.77 (EBITDA TTM 797.4m / Interest Expense TTM 64.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.46
| (A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 671.3m - Total Current Liabilities 247.2m) / Total Assets 3.41b |
| (B) 0.45 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.54b / Total Assets 3.41b |
| (C) 0.19 = EBIT TTM 634.5m / Avg Total Assets 3.27b |
| (D) 0.82 = Book Value of Equity 1.54b / Total Liabilities 1.87b |
| Total Rating: 4.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.61
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.02% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.58% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.86 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.62 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.73)% |
| 7. RoE 29.88% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 48.50% |
| 9. EPS Trend 35.64% |
What is the price of EXP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.49%, over one month by +0.74%, over three months by -7.30% and over the past year by -7.09%.
Is EXP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EXP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 236.9 | 7.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 236.9 | 7.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 244.4 | 10.6% |
EXP Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/E Forward = 14.4509
P/S = 2.9396
P/B = 4.3498
P/EG = 2.51
Beta = 1.366
Revenue TTM = 2.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 634.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 797.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.27b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.29b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.06b USD (6.77b + Debt 1.33b - CCE 35.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.77 (Ebit TTM 634.5m / Interest Expense TTM 64.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.02% (FCF TTM 243.6m / Enterprise Value 8.06b)
FCF Margin = 10.58% (FCF TTM 243.6m / Revenue TTM 2.30b)
Net Margin = 19.41% (Net Income TTM 446.8m / Revenue TTM 2.30b)
Gross Margin = 29.01% ((Revenue TTM 2.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.26% (prev 29.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.36 (Enterprise Value 8.06b / Total Assets 3.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.49% (Interest Expense 32.9m / Debt 1.33b)
Taxrate = 22.15% (39.1m / 176.5m)
NOPAT = 494.0m (EBIT 634.5m * (1 - 22.15%))
Current Ratio = 2.72 (Total Current Assets 671.3m / Total Current Liabilities 247.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.86 (Debt 1.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.62 (Net Debt 1.29b / EBITDA 797.4m)
Debt / FCF = 5.30 (Net Debt 1.29b / FCF TTM 243.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.68% (Net Income 446.8m / Total Assets 3.41b)
RoE = 29.88% (Net Income TTM 446.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.50b)
RoCE = 22.93% (EBIT 634.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.50b + L.T.Debt 1.27b))
RoIC = 18.27% (NOPAT 494.0m / Invested Capital 2.70b)
WACC = 8.54% (E(6.77b)/V(8.09b) * Re(9.83%) + D(1.33b)/V(8.09b) * Rd(2.49%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.09%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.51% ; FCFF base≈331.2m ; Y1≈311.2m ; Y5≈291.5m
Fair Price DCF = 108.5 (EV 4.77b - Net Debt 1.29b = Equity 3.48b / Shares 32.1m; r=8.54% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -7.74% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 35.64 | EPS CAGR: 14.69% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 48.50 | Revenue CAGR: 8.97% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=13.50 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-2.0% | Growth Revenue=+1.8%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=14.26 | Chg30d=-0.245 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+5.7% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%
Additional Sources for EXP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle