EXP Stock Analysis: Eagle Materials | NYSE
Building Materials | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.011m USD | 12M Return: -28.3% | US26969P1084 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 77.6M
EPS Trend: -79.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 92.3%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Eagle Materials Inc. (NYSE: EXP) is a U.S.-based manufacturer of heavy construction products and light building materials, operating through four segments: Cement, Concrete and Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard. The company is vertically integrated, mining raw materials such as limestone and gypsum to produce portland cement, slag, wallboard, recycled paperboard, ready-mix concrete, and aggregates (crushed stone, sand, and gravel). Its products serve commercial and residential construction, public infrastructure projects like highways, and repair/remodel activity.
The company was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas, having rebranded from Centex Construction Products, Inc. in January 2004. As a mid-cap stock in the Construction Materials sub-industry (GICS Materials sector), Eagle Materials earnings are closely tied to U.S. housing starts, commercial building activity, and federal/state infrastructure spending.
- US housing starts decline pressures wallboard and cement volumes
- Infrastructure spending boosts cement and aggregates demand
- Energy costs squeeze cement margins amid natural gas volatility
| Net Income: 402.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.89 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 27.60% < 20% (prev 20.29%; Δ 7.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 631.9m > Net Income 402.6m |
| Net Debt (1.60b) to EBITDA (741.7m): 2.16 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.23 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.1m) vs 12m ago -5.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.02% > 18% (prev 29.38%; Δ -2.36% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.65% > 50% (prev 67.30%; Δ -3.65% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.06 > 6 (EBIT TTM 576.4m / Interest Expense TTM 63.6m) |
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 929.4m - Total Current Liabilities 287.6m) / Total Assets 3.91b |
| B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 1.49b / Total Assets 3.91b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 576.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.65b) |
| D: 0.61 (Book Value of Equity 1.49b / Total Liabilities 2.42b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.03 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 300.1m/264.8m, Revenue 2.32b/2.29b) |
| GMI: 1.09 (GM 29.38% / 27.02%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 2.32b / 2.29b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 402.6m - CFO 631.9m) / TA 3.91b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 169.63 with a total of 265,460 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.68%, over one month by -5.31%, over three months by -15.82% and over the past year by -28.28%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 163.30 (which is 3.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Eagle Materials has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold EXP.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 199 | 17.3% |
P/E Trailing = 12.9225
P/E Forward = 13.6986
P/S = 2.1551
P/B = 3.6791
P/EG = 2.0851
Revenue TTM = 2.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 576.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 741.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.74b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.83b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 38.4m
Net Debt = 1.60b USD (calculated: Debt 1.83b - CCE 233.5m)
Enterprise Value = 6.61b USD (5.01b + Debt 1.83b - CCE 233.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.06 (Ebit TTM 576.4m / Interest Expense TTM 63.6m)
EV/FCF = 38.77x (Enterprise Value 6.61b / FCF TTM 170.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.58% (FCF TTM 170.5m / Enterprise Value 6.61b)
FCF Margin = 7.33% (FCF TTM 170.5m / Revenue TTM 2.32b)
Net Margin = 17.32% (Net Income TTM 402.6m / Revenue TTM 2.32b)
Gross Margin = 27.02% ((Revenue TTM 2.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.70b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.77% (prev 22.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.69 (Enterprise Value 6.61b / Total Assets 3.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.47% (Interest Expense 63.6m / Debt 1.83b)
Taxrate = 21.95% (113.2m / 515.8m)
NOPAT = 449.8m (EBIT 576.4m * (1 - 21.95%))
Current Ratio = 3.23 (Total Current Assets 929.4m / Total Current Liabilities 287.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.23 (Debt 1.83b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.16 (Net Debt 1.60b / EBITDA 741.7m)
Debt / FCF = 9.38 (Net Debt 1.60b / FCF TTM 170.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.02% (Net Income 402.6m / Total Assets 3.91b)
RoE = 26.87% (Net Income TTM 402.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.50b)
RoCE = 17.79% (EBIT 576.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.50b + L.T.Debt 1.74b))
RoIC = 12.77% (NOPAT 449.8m / Invested Capital 3.52b)
WACC = 7.38% (E(5.01b)/V(6.84b) * Re(9.09%) + D(1.83b)/V(6.84b) * Rd(3.47%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.87 | Cagr: -4.39%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈228.0m ; Y1≈200.0m ; Y5≈161.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.37 (EV 2.59b - Net Debt 1.60b = Equity 993.0m / Shares 30.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -79.04 | EPS CAGR: -3.15% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.30 | Revenue CAGR: 1.44% | SUE: 1.39 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.03 | Chg30d=-0.72% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=3.17 | Chg30d=-1.18% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=12.35 | Chg30d=-2.18% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=-6.2% | GrowthRev=+0.8%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=13.62 | Chg30d=-3.66% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+10.3% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -13% (up=5, down=7)