(EXP) Eagle Materials - Ratings and Ratios
Cement, Gypsum Wallboard, Concrete, Aggregates, Paperboard
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.47% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.90% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.46% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 7.3% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 53.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.29 |
| Alpha | -27.88 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.48 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.510 |
| Beta | 1.036 |
| Beta Downside | 0.781 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.36% |
| Mean DD | 14.16% |
| Median DD | 10.99% |
Description: EXP Eagle Materials January 08, 2026
Eagle Materials Inc. (NYSE:EXP) manufactures heavy-construction products and light building materials across four segments-Cement, Concrete & Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard-primarily serving residential, commercial, and public-infrastructure projects in the United States.
Key operational metrics as of FY 2023 include $2.2 billion in revenue, a 7 % year-over-year increase driven by higher cement volumes and strong demand for readymix concrete, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 15 %. The business is sensitive to macro-economic factors such as housing starts, which rose 4 % YoY in Q4 2023, and to input-cost volatility in limestone and gypsum, where spot prices have been up 12 % and 8 % respectively over the past 12 months.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 446.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.67 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.42% < 20% (prev 18.44%; Δ -0.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 523.9m > Net Income 446.8m |
| Net Debt (1.29b) to EBITDA (797.4m): 1.62 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.72 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (32.6m) vs 12m ago -3.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.01% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 2870 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 70.49% > 50% (prev 72.65%; Δ -2.16% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.77 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 797.4m / Interest Expense TTM 64.9m) |
Altman Z'' 4.46
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 671.3m - Total Current Liabilities 247.2m) / Total Assets 3.41b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 1.54b / Total Assets 3.41b) |
| C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 634.5m / Avg Total Assets 3.27b) |
| D: 0.82 (Book Value of Equity 1.54b / Total Liabilities 1.87b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.46 = AA |
Beneish M -2.92
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 252.5m/248.8m, Revenue 2.30b/2.27b) |
| GMI: 1.05 (GM 29.01% / 30.47%) |
| AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 2.30b / 2.27b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 446.8m - CFO 523.9m) / TA 3.41b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.92 = A |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.45
| 1. Piotroski: 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 2.76% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 10.58% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.86 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 1.62 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 9.70% |
| 7. RoE: 29.88% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 48.50% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 35.64% |
What is the price of EXP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.95%, over one month by +5.55%, over three months by -3.27% and over the past year by -11.81%.
Is EXP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EXP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 236.8 | 4.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 236.8 | 4.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 253 | 11.8% |
EXP Fundamental Data Overview January 21, 2026
P/E Forward = 14.4509
P/S = 3.2682
P/B = 4.8361
P/EG = 2.51
Revenue TTM = 2.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 634.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 797.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.27b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.29b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.81b USD (7.52b + Debt 1.33b - CCE 35.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.77 (Ebit TTM 634.5m / Interest Expense TTM 64.9m)
EV/FCF = 36.18x (Enterprise Value 8.81b / FCF TTM 243.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.76% (FCF TTM 243.6m / Enterprise Value 8.81b)
FCF Margin = 10.58% (FCF TTM 243.6m / Revenue TTM 2.30b)
Net Margin = 19.41% (Net Income TTM 446.8m / Revenue TTM 2.30b)
Gross Margin = 29.01% ((Revenue TTM 2.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.26% (prev 29.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.58 (Enterprise Value 8.81b / Total Assets 3.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.49% (Interest Expense 32.9m / Debt 1.33b)
Taxrate = 22.15% (39.1m / 176.5m)
NOPAT = 494.0m (EBIT 634.5m * (1 - 22.15%))
Current Ratio = 2.72 (Total Current Assets 671.3m / Total Current Liabilities 247.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.86 (Debt 1.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.62 (Net Debt 1.29b / EBITDA 797.4m)
Debt / FCF = 5.30 (Net Debt 1.29b / FCF TTM 243.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.68% (Net Income 446.8m / Total Assets 3.41b)
RoE = 29.88% (Net Income TTM 446.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.50b)
RoCE = 22.93% (EBIT 634.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.50b + L.T.Debt 1.27b))
RoIC = 18.27% (NOPAT 494.0m / Invested Capital 2.70b)
WACC = 8.56% (E(7.52b)/V(8.85b) * Re(9.73%) + D(1.33b)/V(8.85b) * Rd(2.49%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.09%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.04% ; FCFF base≈331.2m ; Y1≈311.1m ; Y5≈290.8m
Fair Price DCF = 105.4 (EV 4.67b - Net Debt 1.29b = Equity 3.38b / Shares 32.1m; r=8.56% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -7.74% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 35.64 | EPS CAGR: 14.69% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 48.50 | Revenue CAGR: 8.97% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=13.47 | Chg30d=-0.060 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-2.2% | Growth Revenue=+1.7%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=14.22 | Chg30d=-0.223 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+5.5% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%
Additional Sources for EXP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle