EXPD Stock Analysis: Expeditors International of | NYSE
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 24.385m USD | 12M Return: 42.2% | US3021301094 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 258M
EPS Trend: 92.3%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 93.6%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) is a U.S.-based logistics company headquartered in Bellevue, Washington, and incorporated in 1979. It provides freight forwarding and related services across the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, and the Middle East, Africa, and India. Its offerings include airfreight consolidation and forwarding, ocean freight consolidation and direct forwarding, customs brokerage, ground transportation, warehousing and distribution, and ancillary services such as shipping documentation, packing, crating, and cargo insurance.
The company operates within the Air Freight & Logistics sub-industry (GICS Industrials sector) and runs an asset-light business model, acting primarily as a freight consolidator or intermediary that arranges cargo space on airlines and ocean carriers rather than owning transport equipment. EXPD is listed on the NYSE and went public in March 1990.
- Global air and ocean freight volumes decline on trade slowdown
- Freight margins compress as ocean rates normalize from pandemic highs
- Capital returns continue through aggressive share buybacks program
| Net Income: 1.04b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.27 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.55% < 20% (prev 14.57%; Δ -2.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 983.7m > Net Income 1.04b |
| Net Debt (-516.6m) to EBITDA (1.41b): -0.37 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.56 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (130.1m) vs 12m ago -4.88% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.36% > 18% (prev 14.49%; Δ 12.87% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 250.8% > 50% (prev 233.7%; Δ 17.14% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 4.64b - Total Current Liabilities 2.98b) / Total Assets 5.79b |
| B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 2.53b / Total Assets 5.79b) |
| C: 0.26 (EBIT TTM 1.35b / Avg Total Assets 5.28b) |
| D: 0.68 (Book Value of Equity 2.34b / Total Liabilities 3.44b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.75 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.27 (Receivables 3.09b/2.05b, Revenue 13.2b/11.2b) |
| GMI: 0.53 (GM 14.49% / 27.36%) |
| AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 13.2b / 11.2b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 1.04b - CFO 983.7m) / TA 5.79b) |
| Beneish M = -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of November 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 194.80 with a total of 918,656 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.52%, over one month by -0.17%, over three months by +4.14% and over the past year by +42.18%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 187.80 (which is 3.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Expeditors International of has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.83. Therefore, it is recommended to hold EXPD.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 4
| Analysts Target Price | 189.5 | -2.7% |
P/E Trailing = 23.9987
P/E Forward = 25.7069
P/S = 1.8405
P/B = 10.9382
P/EG = 3.1312
Revenue TTM = 13.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.35b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.41b USD
Long Term Debt = 460.3m USD (estimated: total debt 575.8m - short term 115.6m)
Short Term Debt = 115.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 575.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 575.8m already included)
Net Debt = -516.6m USD (calculated: Debt 575.8m - CCE 1.09b)
Enterprise Value = 23.9b USD (24.4b + Debt 575.8m - CCE 1.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 1.35b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 25.72x (Enterprise Value 23.9b / FCF TTM 927.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.89% (FCF TTM 927.9m / Enterprise Value 23.9b)
FCF Margin = 7.00% (FCF TTM 927.9m / Revenue TTM 13.2b)
Net Margin = 7.86% (Net Income TTM 1.04b / Revenue TTM 13.2b)
Gross Margin = 27.36% ((Revenue TTM 13.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.55% (prev 29.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.13 (Enterprise Value 23.9b / Total Assets 5.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 575.8m)
Taxrate = 24.19% (332.5m / 1.37b)
NOPAT = 1.03b (EBIT 1.35b * (1 - 24.19%))
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 4.64b / Total Current Liabilities 2.98b)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 575.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.37 (Net Debt -516.6m / EBITDA 1.41b)
Debt / FCF = -0.56 (Net Debt -516.6m / FCF TTM 927.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.72% (Net Income 1.04b / Total Assets 5.79b)
RoE = 45.78% (Net Income TTM 1.04b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.28b)
RoCE = 49.53% (EBIT 1.35b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.28b + L.T.Debt 460.3m))
RoIC = 45.43% (NOPAT 1.03b / Invested Capital 2.26b)
WACC = 7.29% (E(24.4b)/V(25.0b) * Re(7.46%) + D(575.8m)/V(25.0b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 7.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.09 | Cagr: -3.72%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.51% ; FCFF base≈925.8m ; Y1≈933.9m ; Y5≈998.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 124.2 (EV 15.5b - Net Debt -516.6m = Equity 16.0b / Shares 129.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.56% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 92.25 | EPS CAGR: 17.07% | SUE: 3.56 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 93.63 | Revenue CAGR: 13.02% | SUE: 2.49 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=2.02 | Chg30d=+15.71% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.68 | Chg30d=+11.09% | Revisions=+55% | GrowthEPS=+45.8% | GrowthRev=+28.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.66 | Chg30d=+6.83% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-0.1% | GrowthRev=-1.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=9, down=2)