(F) Ford Motor - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Manufacturers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 48.654m USD | Total Return: 41.4% in 12m

Trucks, SUVs, Vans, Cars, Luxury Vehicles

Total Rating 56

Safety 65

Buy Signal 0.37

Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: +2.4

Market Cap: 48.7B
Avg Turnover: 441M USD

ATR: 2.82%
Peers RS (IBD): 79.5

Risk 5d forecast

Volatility33.0%

Rel. Tail Risk-8.54%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio1.19

Alpha10.70

Character TTM

Beta1.054

Beta Downside0.911

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD36.51%

CAGR/Max DD0.18

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -24.88%
EPS Trend: -50.3%

Last SUE: 0.13
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 7.92%
Rev. Trend: 74.5%

Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 7

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA (19.7) with thin interest coverage (1.1)

Altman Z'' 0.54 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: F Ford Motor

Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) designs, manufactures, and services a broad portfolio that includes Ford trucks, SUVs, commercial vans, passenger cars, and Lincoln luxury models across North America, Europe, and other international markets. The firm operates through four segments-Ford Blue (traditional ICE and hybrid vehicles), Ford Model e (electric vehicles), Ford Pro (commercial-fleet solutions), and Ford Credit (automotive financing and leasing). In addition to vehicle sales, Ford provides parts, accessories, digital services, telematics, and EV-charging solutions, while its financing arm offers retail installment contracts, lease programs, and wholesale dealer loans.

In its most recent FY 2025 results, Ford posted $158 billion in revenue, a 6% year-over-year increase driven largely by a 22% surge in Model e EV deliveries, which now represent roughly 20% of total vehicle volume. Operating margin improved to 7.5% as cost-saving initiatives and higher-margin financing activities lifted profitability. Ford Credit’s loan portfolio reached $71 billion, supporting both dealer inventory financing and consumer leases, while free cash flow stood at $5.2 billion, underscoring solid cash generation amid a tightening credit environment. Key macro drivers include the accelerating shift toward electrification, which the sector expects to add $150 billion in cumulative sales by 2028, and ongoing supply-chain normalization that is easing semiconductor bottlenecks.

For a deeper dive into Ford’s valuation metrics and how they compare within the auto sector, you might find ValueRay’s analysis worth exploring.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Truck and SUV sales drive Ford Blue revenue
EV production costs impact Model e profitability
Ford Pro commercial vehicle demand remains strong
Ford Credit interest rates affect financing income
Regulatory emissions standards increase compliance costs

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 4.0

Net Income: -8.18b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.95 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 4.59% < 20% (prev 9.52%; Δ -4.93% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 21.28b > Net Income -8.18b
Net Debt (144.22b) to EBITDA (7.33b): 19.68 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.07 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (3.98b) vs 12m ago -1.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 6.52% > 18% (prev 0.08%; Δ 643.9% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 65.21% > 50% (prev 64.86%; Δ 0.34% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.06 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 7.33b / Interest Expense TTM 1.25b)

Altman Z'' 0.54

A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 123.49b - Total Current Liabilities 114.89b) / Total Assets 289.16b
B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 22.51b / Total Assets 289.16b)
C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 1.33b / Avg Total Assets 287.18b)
D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 14.84b / Total Liabilities 253.18b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.54 = B

Beneish M -2.88

DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 64.53b/66.57b, Revenue 187.27b/184.99b)
GMI: 1.29 (GM 6.52% / 8.38%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.34)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 187.27b / 184.99b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI -8.18b - CFO 21.28b) / TA 289.16b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of F shares? As of April 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.71 with a total of 44,300,981 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.35%, over one month by +8.54%, over three months by -6.97% and over the past year by +41.41%.

Is F a buy, sell or hold? Ford Motor has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.04. Therefor, it is recommend to hold F.

StrongBuy: 3
Buy: 2
Hold: 17
Sell: 1
StrongSell: 3

What are the forecasts/targets for the F price?

Analysts Target Price	14.1	10.9%

Ford Motor (F) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 April 2026

P/E Forward = 8.0321
P/S = 0.2598
P/B = 1.3533
P/EG = 8.4768
Revenue TTM = 187.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.33b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.33b USD
Long Term Debt = 106.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 57.87b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 167.57b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 144.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 192.87b USD (48.65b + Debt 167.57b - CCE 23.36b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.06 (Ebit TTM 1.33b / Interest Expense TTM 1.25b)
EV/FCF = 15.47x (Enterprise Value 192.87b / FCF TTM 12.47b)
FCF Yield = 6.46% (FCF TTM 12.47b / Enterprise Value 192.87b)
FCF Margin = 6.66% (FCF TTM 12.47b / Revenue TTM 187.27b)
Net Margin = -4.37% (Net Income TTM -8.18b / Revenue TTM 187.27b)
Gross Margin = 6.52% ((Revenue TTM 187.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 175.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 3.72% (prev 8.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 192.87b / Total Assets 289.16b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.21% (Interest Expense 348.0m / Debt 167.57b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 1.05b (EBIT 1.33b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.07 (Total Current Assets 123.49b / Total Current Liabilities 114.89b)
Debt / Equity = 4.66 (Debt 167.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 35.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = 19.68 (Net Debt 144.22b / EBITDA 7.33b)
Debt / FCF = 11.57 (Net Debt 144.22b / FCF TTM 12.47b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 43.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.85% (Net Income -8.18b / Total Assets 289.16b)
RoE = -18.91% (Net Income TTM -8.18b / Total Stockholder Equity 43.26b)
RoCE = 0.89% (EBIT 1.33b / Capital Employed (Equity 43.26b + L.T.Debt 106.03b))
RoIC = 0.52% (NOPAT 1.05b / Invested Capital 202.83b)
WACC = 2.31% (E(48.65b)/V(216.23b) * Re(9.69%) + D(167.57b)/V(216.23b) * Rd(0.21%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.77%
[DCF] Terminal Value 88.44% ; FCFF base≈10.18b ; Y1≈12.55b ; Y5≈21.42b
[DCF] Fair Price = 121.1 (EV 621.34b - Net Debt 144.22b = Equity 477.12b / Shares 3.94b; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -50.25 | EPS CAGR: -24.88% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.48 | Revenue CAGR: 7.92% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 7
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.39 | Chg7d=-0.008 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.52 | Chg7d=-0.004 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+39.7% | Growth Revenue=+0.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.83 | Chg7d=-0.002 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+20.5% | Growth Revenue=+1.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)

External Resources

Dataroma Stockcircle