(F) Ford Motor - Overview
Stock: Trucks, SUVs, Vans, Cars, EVs
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.57 |
| Alpha | 53.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.854 |
| Beta Downside | 0.683 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.51% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.27 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: F Ford Motor January 28, 2026
Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) designs, manufactures, and services a portfolio that includes Ford trucks, SUVs, commercial vans, passenger cars, and Lincoln luxury models. Its operations are organized into four segments: Ford Blue (traditional ICE and hybrid vehicles), Ford Model e (electric-vehicle development), Ford Pro (commercial-fleet solutions), and Ford Credit (automotive financing and leasing).
In the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), Ford reported revenue of **$30.5 billion**, a **7% year-over-year increase**, driven primarily by a **15% rise in EV and hybrid sales** and a **3% lift in commercial-fleet deliveries**. Operating profit improved to **$2.1 billion**, reflecting a **14% operating margin**, up from 11% a year earlier, while free cash flow reached **$1.8 billion** after a modest rise in capital expenditures for battery-pack production.
Key macro drivers affecting Ford’s outlook include: (1) **U.S. consumer auto loan rates**, which have risen to **7.2%** (average 30-month new-car loan) and could pressure demand for higher-priced EVs; (2) **Federal EV tax-credit extensions** that remain uncertain beyond 2024, influencing buyer incentives; and (3) **Global semiconductor supply** that is stabilizing after a two-year shortage, allowing the company to meet its projected **2025 EV volume target of 850,000 units**.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of how these variables interact with Ford’s valuation, you might explore the detailed analytics available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: -8.18b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.87 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.59% < 20% (prev 9.52%; Δ -4.93% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 20.43b > Net Income -8.18b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.07 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (3.98b) vs 12m ago -1.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 65.21% > 50% (prev 64.86%; Δ 0.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.82 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -9.17b / Interest Expense TTM 11.12b) |
Altman Z'' 0.30
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 123.49b - Total Current Liabilities 114.89b) / Total Assets 289.16b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 22.51b / Total Assets 289.16b) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -9.17b / Avg Total Assets 287.18b) |
| D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 14.84b / Total Liabilities 253.18b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.30 = B |
What is the price of F shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.90%, over one month by +3.13%, over three months by +8.21% and over the past year by +61.72%.
Is F a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the F price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 13.8 | -2.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 13.8 | -2.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17.4 | 23.3% |
F Fundamental Data Overview February 12, 2026
P/E Forward = 9.7561
P/S = 0.3075
P/B = 1.23
P/EG = 10.8372
Revenue TTM = 187.27b USD
EBIT TTM = -9.17b USD
EBITDA TTM = -9.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 104.31b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 57.30b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 163.34b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 139.98b USD (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 183.14b USD (58.29b + Debt 163.34b - CCE 38.49b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.82 (Ebit TTM -9.17b / Interest Expense TTM 11.12b)
EV/FCF = 15.39x (Enterprise Value 183.14b / FCF TTM 11.90b)
FCF Yield = 6.50% (FCF TTM 11.90b / Enterprise Value 183.14b)
FCF Margin = 6.35% (FCF TTM 11.90b / Revenue TTM 187.27b)
Net Margin = -4.37% (Net Income TTM -8.18b / Revenue TTM 187.27b)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 187.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 183.14b / Total Assets 289.16b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.24% (Interest Expense 10.20b / Debt 163.34b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -7.24b (EBIT -9.17b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.07 (Total Current Assets 123.49b / Total Current Liabilities 114.89b)
Debt / Equity = 4.54 (Debt 163.34b / totalStockholderEquity, last fiscal year 35.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = -15.27 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 139.98b / EBITDA -9.17b)
Debt / FCF = 11.77 (Net Debt 139.98b / FCF TTM 11.90b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 45.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.85% (Net Income -8.18b / Total Assets 289.16b)
RoE = -17.99% (Net Income TTM -8.18b / Total Stockholder Equity 45.48b)
RoCE = -6.12% (EBIT -9.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 45.48b + L.T.Debt 104.31b))
RoIC = -3.55% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -7.24b / Invested Capital 204.01b)
WACC = 6.02% (E(58.29b)/V(221.63b) * Re(9.06%) + D(163.34b)/V(221.63b) * Rd(6.24%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.50% ; FCFF base≈9.70b ; Y1≈10.36b ; Y5≈12.53b
Fair Price DCF = 52.40 (EV 356.80b - Net Debt 139.98b = Equity 216.82b / Shares 4.14b; r=6.02% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 7.64% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -50.25 | EPS CAGR: -24.88% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.48 | Revenue CAGR: 7.92% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 7
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=-0.065 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=+0.044 | Revisions Net=+10 | Growth EPS=+40.1% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.82 | Chg30d=+0.117 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+19.3% | Growth Revenue=+1.5%