(F) Ford Motor - Ratings and Ratios
Trucks, SUVs, Vans, Cars, Luxury
F EPS (Earnings per Share)
F Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 53.3% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.83 |
| Alpha Jensen | 7.01 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.483 |
| Beta | 1.612 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.51% |
| Mean DD | 17.67% |
Description: F Ford Motor September 29, 2025
Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) designs, manufactures, and services a global portfolio that includes Ford-branded trucks, SUVs, commercial vans, passenger cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles. Its operations are organized into four primary segments: Ford Blue (traditional internal-combustion and hybrid models), Ford Model e (electric-vehicle development and sales), Ford Pro (commercial-fleet solutions), and Ford Credit (automotive financing and leasing). The company distributes vehicles, parts, accessories, and digital services through a network of independent dealers, fleet customers, rental firms, and government contracts.
The Ford Credit segment underwrites retail installment sales, direct leases, and wholesale loans to dealers, providing inventory financing, working-capital lines, and real-estate funding. This financing arm generates fee-based revenue that partially offsets cyclical fluctuations in vehicle sales, but it also exposes the firm to credit-risk and interest-rate sensitivity, especially as the U.S. Federal Reserve policy evolves.
Key recent metrics (Q3 2024) show a net income of $1.2 billion, operating cash flow of $5.5 billion, and a debt-to-equity ratio of roughly 4.2 ×, reflecting ongoing leverage from large capital expenditures. Ford’s EV sales grew ~30 % YoY, driven by the Mustang Mach-E and the new F-150 Lightning, while overall vehicle deliveries rose 4 % despite a tighter semiconductor supply. Sector-wide drivers that will likely shape Ford’s outlook include the U.S. consumer-spending trend in discretionary goods, the trajectory of interest rates affecting financing demand, and regulatory pressure toward zero-emission fleets that accelerates EV investment.
If you want a data-driven, side-by-side comparison of Ford’s valuation and risk profile relative to its peers, the ValueRay platform provides a transparent dashboard that can help you deepen your analysis.
F Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 52,635m |
| Sub-Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| IPO / Inception | 1972-06-01 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 10.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.04 of 5 |
F Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.64% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.57% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 51.01% |
| Payout Consistency | 75.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 55.6% |
F Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 5.76% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.16 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.33 |
| Current Volume | 79580.7k |
| Average Volume | 88960.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (4.71b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 11.38b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.72pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.42% (prev 8.79%; Δ -1.37pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 20.43b > Net Income 4.71b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (137.49b) to EBITDA (12.30b) ratio: 11.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (4.05b) change vs 12m ago 0.75% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 7.53% (prev 7.68%; Δ -0.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 64.48% (prev 63.66%; Δ 0.82pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.36 (EBITDA TTM 12.30b / Interest Expense TTM 1.22b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.93
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 130.72b - Total Current Liabilities 116.65b) / Total Assets 300.99b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 34.19b / Total Assets 300.99b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 6.51b / Avg Total Assets 294.02b |
| (D) 0.10 = Book Value of Equity 26.36b / Total Liabilities 253.57b |
| Total Rating: 0.93 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.25
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.81% = 3.40 |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.28% = 1.57 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.47 = -1.43 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 11.18 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.24)% = 1.55 |
| 7. RoE 10.35% = 0.86 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 56.28% = 4.22 |
| 9. EPS Trend -48.48% = -2.42 |
What is the price of F shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.19%, over one month by +16.58%, over three months by +20.77% and over the past year by +27.21%.
Is Ford Motor a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of F is around 14.19 USD . This means that F is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 6.69%.
Is F a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the F price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12.3 | -7.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 12.3 | -7.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.1 | 13.2% |
F Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.2906
P/E Forward = 8.9847
P/S = 0.2776
P/B = 1.0794
P/EG = 14.9755
Beta = 1.612
Revenue TTM = 189.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 103.57b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 58.19b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 164.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 137.49b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 174.73b USD (52.64b + Debt 164.28b - CCE 42.19b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.36 (Ebit TTM 6.51b / Interest Expense TTM 1.22b)
FCF Yield = 6.81% (FCF TTM 11.90b / Enterprise Value 174.73b)
FCF Margin = 6.28% (FCF TTM 11.90b / Revenue TTM 189.59b)
Net Margin = 2.48% (Net Income TTM 4.71b / Revenue TTM 189.59b)
Gross Margin = 7.53% ((Revenue TTM 189.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 175.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.51% (prev 6.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.58 (Enterprise Value 174.73b / Total Assets 300.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.20% (Interest Expense 321.0m / Debt 164.28b)
Taxrate = -34.65% (negative due to tax credits) (-630.0m / 1.82b)
NOPAT = 8.76b (EBIT 6.51b * (1 - -34.65%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 130.72b / Total Current Liabilities 116.65b)
Debt / Equity = 3.47 (Debt 164.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 47.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.18 (Net Debt 137.49b / EBITDA 12.30b)
Debt / FCF = 11.56 (Net Debt 137.49b / FCF TTM 11.90b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 45.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.56% (Net Income 4.71b / Total Assets 300.99b)
RoE = 10.35% (Net Income TTM 4.71b / Total Stockholder Equity 45.48b)
RoCE = 4.37% (EBIT 6.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 45.48b + L.T.Debt 103.57b))
RoIC = 4.34% (NOPAT 8.76b / Invested Capital 202.02b)
WACC = 3.10% (E(52.64b)/V(216.92b) * Re(11.96%) + D(164.28b)/V(216.92b) * Rd(0.20%) * (1-Tc(-0.35)))
Discount Rate = 11.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.62% ; FCFE base≈9.70b ; Y1≈10.37b ; Y5≈12.56b
Fair Price DCF = 31.47 (DCF Value 123.17b / Shares Outstanding 3.91b; 5y FCF grow 7.64% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.48 | EPS CAGR: -4.45% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 56.28 | Revenue CAGR: 5.16% | SUE: 2.38 | # QB: 6
Additional Sources for F Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle