(F) Ford Motor - Ratings and Ratios
Trucks, Suvs, Vans, Cars, Luxury Vehicles
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 10.58% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 51.01% |
| Payout Consistency | 73.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 55.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 51.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.91% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.71 |
| Alpha | 12.01 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.21 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.433 |
| Beta | 0.836 |
| Beta Downside | 0.642 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.51% |
| Mean DD | 17.45% |
| Median DD | 17.09% |
Description: F Ford Motor December 03, 2025
Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) designs, manufactures, and services a global portfolio that includes Ford trucks, SUVs, commercial vans, passenger cars, and Lincoln luxury models. Its operations are organized into four segments: Ford Blue (traditional ICE and hybrid vehicles), Ford Model e (electric vehicles), Ford Pro (commercial and fleet solutions), and Ford Credit (financing and leasing for dealers and end-customers). The company also provides aftermarket parts, accessories, digital services, and software, and it supports dealers through wholesale inventory loans and working-capital financing.
Key recent metrics and sector drivers: (1) Ford reported FY 2023 revenue of roughly $158 billion, with EV sales representing about 7 % of total volume and a target of 30 % EV mix by 2026. (2) Operating profit was pressured by higher commodity costs and a 5 % increase in interest rates, which raised the cost of capital for both consumers and dealers. (3) The broader auto industry faces a supply-chain bottleneck in semiconductors and a shift toward subscription-based mobility services, factors that directly impact Ford’s Pro and Model e growth outlook.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of how these dynamics translate into valuation risk and upside, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (4.71b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 11.38b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.72pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.42% (prev 8.79%; Δ -1.37pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 20.43b > Net Income 4.71b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (137.49b) to EBITDA (12.30b) ratio: 11.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (4.05b) change vs 12m ago 0.75% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 7.53% (prev 7.68%; Δ -0.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 64.48% (prev 63.66%; Δ 0.82pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.36 (EBITDA TTM 12.30b / Interest Expense TTM 1.22b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.93
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 130.72b - Total Current Liabilities 116.65b) / Total Assets 300.99b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 34.19b / Total Assets 300.99b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 6.51b / Avg Total Assets 294.02b |
| (D) 0.10 = Book Value of Equity 26.36b / Total Liabilities 253.57b |
| Total Rating: 0.93 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.44
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.82% |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.28% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.47 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 11.18 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.90)% |
| 7. RoE 10.35% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 80.55% |
| 9. EPS Trend -17.75% |
What is the price of F shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.59%, over one month by +0.77%, over three months by +11.86% and over the past year by +26.78%.
Is F a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the F price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12.5 | -3.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 12.5 | -3.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 14.8 | 13.9% |
F Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.2479
P/E Forward = 9.3545
P/S = 0.2766
P/B = 1.1165
P/EG = 15.5869
Beta = 1.612
Revenue TTM = 189.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 104.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 58.19b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 164.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 137.49b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 174.53b USD (52.44b + Debt 164.28b - CCE 42.19b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.36 (Ebit TTM 6.51b / Interest Expense TTM 1.22b)
FCF Yield = 6.82% (FCF TTM 11.90b / Enterprise Value 174.53b)
FCF Margin = 6.28% (FCF TTM 11.90b / Revenue TTM 189.59b)
Net Margin = 2.48% (Net Income TTM 4.71b / Revenue TTM 189.59b)
Gross Margin = 7.53% ((Revenue TTM 189.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 175.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.51% (prev 6.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.58 (Enterprise Value 174.53b / Total Assets 300.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.20% (Interest Expense 321.0m / Debt 164.28b)
Taxrate = -34.65% (negative due to tax credits) (-630.0m / 1.82b)
NOPAT = 8.76b (EBIT 6.51b * (1 - -34.65%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 130.72b / Total Current Liabilities 116.65b)
Debt / Equity = 3.47 (Debt 164.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 47.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.18 (Net Debt 137.49b / EBITDA 12.30b)
Debt / FCF = 11.56 (Net Debt 137.49b / FCF TTM 11.90b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 45.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.56% (Net Income 4.71b / Total Assets 300.99b)
RoE = 10.35% (Net Income TTM 4.71b / Total Stockholder Equity 45.48b)
RoCE = 4.35% (EBIT 6.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 45.48b + L.T.Debt 104.31b))
RoIC = 4.30% (NOPAT 8.76b / Invested Capital 203.84b)
WACC = 2.40% (E(52.44b)/V(216.72b) * Re(9.10%) + D(164.28b)/V(216.72b) * Rd(0.20%) * (1-Tc(-0.35)))
Discount Rate = 9.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.58% ; FCFE base≈9.70b ; Y1≈10.37b ; Y5≈12.56b
Fair Price DCF = 46.37 (DCF Value 181.48b / Shares Outstanding 3.91b; 5y FCF grow 7.64% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -17.75 | EPS CAGR: 15.75% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 80.55 | Revenue CAGR: 8.14% | SUE: 2.38 | # QB: 6
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.44 | Chg30d=+0.047 | Revisions Net=+16 | Growth EPS=+38.0% | Growth Revenue=+0.3%
Additional Sources for F Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle