F Stock Analysis: Ford Motor | NYSE

Auto Manufacturers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 49.287m USD | 12M Return: -1.8% | US3453708600 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Trucks, SUVs, Commercial Vans, Electric Vehicles
Total Rating 33
Safety 63
Buy Signal 0.21
Auto Manufacturers
Industry Rotation: +1.1
Market Cap: 49.3B
Avg Turnover: 483M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility33.8%
VaR 5th Pctl5.61%
VaR vs Median0.78%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.02
Rel. Str. IBD21.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group67.5 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.839
Beta Downside0.831
Hurst Exponent0.546
Choppyness36.5%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.51%
CAGR/Max DD0.31
CAGR/Mean DD0.74
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of F over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.51, "2021-12": 0.26, "2022-03": 0.38, "2022-06": 0.68, "2022-09": 0.3, "2022-12": 0.51, "2023-03": 0.63, "2023-06": 0.72, "2023-09": 0.39, "2023-12": 0.29, "2024-03": 0.49, "2024-06": 0.47, "2024-09": 0.49, "2024-12": 0.39, "2025-03": 0.14, "2025-06": 0.37, "2025-09": 0.45, "2025-12": 0.13, "2026-03": 0.66, "2026-06": 0.42, "2026-09": 0.49,
EPS CAGR: -8.80%
EPS Trend: -48.9%
Last SUE: 0.63
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of F over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 35683, 2021-12: 37678, 2022-03: 34476, 2022-06: 40190, 2022-09: 39392, 2022-12: 43999, 2023-03: 41474, 2023-06: 44954, 2023-09: 43801, 2023-12: 45962, 2024-03: 42777, 2024-06: 47808, 2024-09: 46196, 2024-12: 48211, 2025-03: 40659, 2025-06: 50184, 2025-09: 50534, 2025-12: 45890, 2026-03: 43253, 2026-06: 48296, 2026-09: 49526,
Rev. CAGR: 2.46%
Rev. Trend: 89.3%
Last SUE: 1.09
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Seasonal Tailwind

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.4% 7
Feb -0.9% 21
Mar +1.0% 8
Apr +0.2% 2
May +0.3% 5
Jun +0.4% 7
Jul +0.1% 7
Aug -1.9% 5
Sep -1.1% 20
Oct +4.3% 15
Nov +5.8% 76
Dec -2.3% 28

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: F Ford Motor

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) is a U.S.-based global automaker headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan, and incorporated in 1903. The company designs, manufactures, and services Ford and Lincoln branded vehicles, including trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans, and passenger cars. Operations are organized across four reportable segments: Ford Blue (core internal combustion and hybrid vehicles), Ford Model e (electric vehicles, software, and digital services), Ford Pro (commercial and fleet services), and Ford Credit (vehicle financing and leasing). Ford sells vehicles through dealers and distributors, as well as directly to commercial fleet operators, daily rental companies, and government customers across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and other international markets.

In addition to vehicle production, Ford offers a growing portfolio of related services, including telematics, EV charging solutions, and digital vehicle technologies. As is common in the automobile manufacturing industry, the company operates a captive finance arm, Ford Credit, which provides retail installment sale contracts, direct financing leases, wholesale loans to dealers for inventory financing, and loans for working capital and dealership facilities. Ford Credit serves retail customers, commercial lessees, and government entities, generating a separate revenue stream tied to the companys core vehicle sales.

Ford operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Automobile Manufacturers sub-industry. The company is currently navigating the broader industry transition from internal combustion engines to electric vehicles, while balancing its traditional ICE and hybrid business with investments in EV and software platforms through the Model e segment.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Ford Pro commercial segment drives margins and revenue growth
  • Model e EV losses mount as demand growth slows
  • US tariff exposure pressures North American production costs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: -7.79b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.19 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 4.98% < 20% (prev 7.42%; Δ -2.44% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 15.0b > Net Income -7.79b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.08 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.08b) vs 12m ago 0.69% < -2%
Gross Margin: 12.36% > 18% (prev 7.58%; Δ 4.78% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 63.01% > 50% (prev 62.99%; Δ 0.02% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -5.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM -7.88b / Interest Expense TTM 1.45b)
Altman Z'' 0.45
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 121b - Total Current Liabilities 112b) / Total Assets 292b
B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 23.9b / Total Assets 292b)
C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -7.88b / Avg Total Assets 297b)
D: 0.14 (Book Value of Equity 36.9b / Total Liabilities 256b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.45 = B
Beneish M -3.45
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 65.6b/67.4b, Revenue 187b/190b)
GMI: 0.61 (GM 7.58% / 12.36%)
AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.48)
SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 187b / 190b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI -7.79b - CFO 15.0b) / TA 292b)
Beneish M = -3.45 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of F shares?

As of November 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.25 with a total of 44,243,617 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.60%, over one month by -0.41%, over three months by -16.67% and over the past year by -1.83%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.60 (which is 5.3% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is F a buy, sell or hold?

Ford Motor has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.65. Therefore, it is recommended to hold F.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 12
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the F price?
Analysts Target Price 15.4 25.6%
Ford Motor (F) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 49.3b (49.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 6.4267
P/S = 0.2622
P/B = 1.2906
P/EG = 14.9755
Revenue TTM = 187b USD
EBIT TTM = -7.88b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.32b USD
Long Term Debt = 110b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 53.3b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 165b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.35b
Net Debt = 131b USD (calculated: Debt 165b - CCE 34.1b)
Enterprise Value = 181b USD (49.3b + Debt 165b - CCE 34.1b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.43 (Ebit TTM -7.88b / Interest Expense TTM 1.45b)
EV/FCF = 35.10x (Enterprise Value 181b / FCF TTM 5.14b)
FCF Yield = 2.85% (FCF TTM 5.14b / Enterprise Value 181b)
FCF Margin = 2.75% (FCF TTM 5.14b / Revenue TTM 187b)
Net Margin = -4.17% (Net Income TTM -7.79b / Revenue TTM 187b)
Gross Margin = 12.36% ((Revenue TTM 187b - Cost of Revenue TTM 164b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.90% (prev 12.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.62 (Enterprise Value 181b / Total Assets 292b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.88% (Interest Expense 1.45b / Debt 165b)
Taxrate = 4.52% (97.0m / 2.15b)
NOPAT = -7.52b (EBIT -7.88b * (1 - 4.52%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.08 (Total Current Assets 121b / Total Current Liabilities 112b)
Debt / Equity = 4.48 (Debt 165b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 36.9b)
 Debt / EBITDA = -99.11 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 131b / EBITDA -1.32b)
 Debt / FCF = 25.52 (Net Debt 131b / FCF TTM 5.14b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 36.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.63% (Net Income -7.79b / Total Assets 292b)
RoE = -21.35% (Net Income TTM -7.79b / Total Stockholder Equity 36.5b)
RoCE = -5.39% (EBIT -7.88b / Capital Employed (Equity 36.5b + L.T.Debt 110b))
 RoIC = -3.35% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -7.52b / Invested Capital 224b)
 WACC = 2.59% (E(49.3b)/V(215b) * Re(8.46%) + D(165b)/V(215b) * Rd(0.88%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 8.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 26.20 | Cagr: 0.59%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈7.85b ; Y1≈6.88b ; Y5≈5.56b
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 89.2b - Net Debt 131b = -42.1b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: -48.85 | EPS CAGR: -8.80% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.33 | Revenue CAGR: 2.46% | SUE: 1.09 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.41 | Chg30d=-9.01% | Revisions=-22% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.91 | Chg30d=+2.69% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+75.3% | GrowthRev=+0.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.92 | Chg30d=-2.07% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+0.3% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -15% (up=7, down=10)