(F) Ford Motor - NYSE
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Manufacturers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 58.615m USD | Total Return: 49.3% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 953M
EPS Trend: -84.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 96.3%
Qual. Beats: 8
Warnings
High Debt/EBITDA (12.9) with thin interest coverage (0.9)
Interest Coverage Ratio 0.9 is critical
Altman Z'' 0.75 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Idiosyncratic Leader
Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) is a global automotive manufacturer headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan, operating through distinct segments: Ford Blue (internal combustion and hybrid), Ford Model e (electric vehicles), and Ford Pro (commercial and fleet services). The company’s business model integrates vehicle design and production with a robust financial services arm, Ford Credit, which provides retail financing, leasing, and wholesale loans to dealerships.
The automotive industry is currently characterized by a capital-intensive transition toward electrification and software-defined architectures, requiring legacy manufacturers to balance traditional profit engines with high-growth EV development. Ford utilizes a franchised dealer network to distribute its Ford and Lincoln brands across North America, Europe, and international markets.
Investors can further evaluate these segment-specific growth drivers and valuation metrics on ValueRay.
- Ford Pro commercial vehicle segment sustains high margins and recurring services revenue
- Ford Blue internal combustion and hybrid pivot mitigates slow electric vehicle adoption
- Electric vehicle production losses and battery costs pressure overall corporate profitability
- High interest rates and financing costs impact Ford Credit and consumer demand
- Labor cost increases and union contract terms affect long-term manufacturing margins
| Net Income: -6.11b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.95 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.08% < 20% (prev 7.83%; Δ -2.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 18.9b > Net Income -6.11b |
| Net Debt (129b) to EBITDA (9.99b): 12.91 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.09 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.07b) vs 12m ago 1.50% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 9.18% > 18% (prev 7.88%; Δ 1.29% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.97% > 50% (prev 64.27%; Δ 2.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.93 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.50b / Interest Expense TTM 3.77b) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 116b - Total Current Liabilities 107b) / Total Assets 282b |
| B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 24.4b / Total Assets 282b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 3.50b / Avg Total Assets 283b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 37.5b / Total Liabilities 245b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.75 = B |
| DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 63.4b/65.2b, Revenue 190b/183b) |
| GMI: 0.86 (GM 7.88% / 9.18%) |
| AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.33) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 190b / 183b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI -6.11b - CFO 18.9b) / TA 282b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.84 with a total of 32,674,117 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.40%,
over one month by +9.36%,
over three months by +28.77% and
over the past year by +49.30%.
Ford Motor has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.04. Therefore, it is recommended to hold F.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 3
| Analysts Target Price | 14.7 | -0.9% |
P/E Forward = 8.8106
P/S = 0.3087
P/B = 1.565
P/EG = 8.4768
Revenue TTM = 190b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.50b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.99b USD
Long Term Debt = 106b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 50.8b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 160b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.38b
Net Debt = 129b USD (calculated: Debt 160b - CCE 30.5b)
Enterprise Value = 188b USD (58.6b + Debt 160b - CCE 30.5b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.93 (Ebit TTM 3.50b / Interest Expense TTM 3.77b)
EV/FCF = 15.74x (Enterprise Value 188b / FCF TTM 11.9b)
FCF Yield = 6.35% (FCF TTM 11.9b / Enterprise Value 188b)
FCF Margin = 6.28% (FCF TTM 11.9b / Revenue TTM 190b)
Net Margin = -3.22% (Net Income TTM -6.11b / Revenue TTM 190b)
Gross Margin = 9.18% ((Revenue TTM 190b - Cost of Revenue TTM 172b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.36% (prev 3.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 188b / Total Assets 282b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.36% (Interest Expense 3.77b / Debt 160b)
Taxrate = 12.40% (361.0m / 2.91b)
NOPAT = 3.07b (EBIT 3.50b * (1 - 12.40%))
Current Ratio = 1.09 (Total Current Assets 116b / Total Current Liabilities 107b)
Debt / Equity = 4.26 (Debt 160b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 37.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 12.91 (Net Debt 129b / EBITDA 9.99b)
Debt / FCF = 10.82 (Net Debt 129b / FCF TTM 11.9b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 41.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.15% (Net Income -6.11b / Total Assets 282b)
RoE = -14.72% (Net Income TTM -6.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 41.5b)
RoCE = 2.37% (EBIT 3.50b / Capital Employed (Equity 41.5b + L.T.Debt 106b))
RoIC = 1.41% (NOPAT 3.07b / Invested Capital 217b)
WACC = 4.20% (E(58.6b)/V(218b) * Re(10.01%) + D(160b)/V(218b) * Rd(2.36%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 10.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -24.44 | Cagr: 0.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈10.9b ; Y1≈12.5b ; Y5≈18.4b
[DCF] Fair Price = 37.59 (EV 276b - Net Debt 129b = Equity 147b / Shares 3.91b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -84.35 | EPS CAGR: -17.45% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.33 | Revenue CAGR: 3.79% | SUE: 1.29 | # QB: 8
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-5.68% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=15
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.36 | Chg30d=+0.61% | Revisions=-75% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.64 | Chg30d=+1.86% | Revisions=+64% | GrowthEPS=+50.2% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.84 | Chg30d=-0.64% | Revisions=+9% | GrowthEPS=+12.4% | GrowthRev=+1.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -75%