FBK Stock Analysis: FB Financial | NYSE

Banks - Regional | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.852m USD | 12M Return: 23.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Commercial Banking, Consumer Lending, Mortgage Banking, Deposit Accounts
Total Rating 33
Safety 35
Buy Signal -0.06
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +3.8
Market Cap: 2.85B
Avg Turnover: 21.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.8%
VaR 5th Pctl4.90%
VaR vs Median-6.51%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.75
Rel. Str. IBD39.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group6.8
Character TTM
Beta0.899
Beta Downside1.054
Hurst Exponent0.459
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.58%
CAGR/Max DD0.94
CAGR/Mean DD2.94
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FBK over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.88, "2021-09": 0.89, "2021-12": 0.89, "2022-03": 0.74, "2022-06": 0.64, "2022-09": 0.68, "2022-12": 0.85, "2023-03": 0.76, "2023-06": 0.77, "2023-09": 0.71, "2023-12": 0.77, "2024-03": 0.85, "2024-06": 0.84, "2024-09": 0.86, "2024-12": 0.85, "2025-03": 0.85, "2025-06": 0.88, "2025-09": 1.07, "2025-12": 1.16, "2026-03": 1.12,
EPS CAGR: 11.68%
EPS Trend: 93.4%
Last SUE: 0.19
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FBK over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 145.629, 2021-09: 155.671, 2021-12: 150.438, 2022-03: 136.519, 2022-06: 143.428, 2022-09: 151.075, 2022-12: 165.067, 2023-03: 182.829, 2023-06: 193.996, 2023-09: 181.954, 2023-12: 190.174, 2024-03: 183.525, 2024-06: 203.021, 2024-09: 169.131, 2024-12: 210.533, 2025-03: 202.738, 2025-06: 263.533, 2025-09: 264.033, 2025-12: 264.033, 2026-03: 251.725,
Rev. CAGR: 14.51%
Rev. Trend: 91.8%
Last SUE: 0.88
Qual. Beats: 4

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8

Seasonality 9.8 years of data

Jan -0.6% 20
Feb -1.3% 9
Mar -7.8% 38
Apr -3.1% 23
May -1.1% 9
Jun +1.8% 24
Jul +5.0% 47
Aug +0.3% 14
Sep -3.6% 25
Oct +0.6% 21
Nov +1.5% 34
Dec -2.8% 23

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FBK FB Financial

FB Financial Corporation (NYSE: FBK) is a Tennessee-based bank holding company that operates FirstBank, providing commercial and consumer banking services through two reportable segments: Banking and Mortgage. As a regional bank holding company, FBK offers a full suite of deposit products-including interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking, money market, savings, and time deposit accounts-alongside a broad lending portfolio spanning commercial real estate, residential mortgages, construction, commercial and industrial loans, and consumer products such as auto and personal lines of credit.

The Mortgage segment complements core banking activities by originating residential mortgage loans and providing loan securitization services to third-party private investors and government-sponsored agencies. Beyond traditional lending and deposits, FBK also engages in securities underwriting, insurance underwriting, and merchant banking, and distributes its services through a network of full-service branches supplemented by online and mobile banking channels. Its customer base spans retail and wealth consumers, small businesses, and corporate clients, primarily across its regional footprint.

The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee. It was formerly known as First South Bancorp, Inc. and adopted its current name in 2016, the same year it completed its IPO. As a mid-cap regional bank, FBK operates within a competitive landscape alongside other community and mid-sized U.S. banks, where success typically depends on net interest margin, loan growth, deposit gathering, and the efficiency of fee-based services such as mortgage origination and wealth management.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compresses as Fed cuts rates pressure asset yields
  • Mortgage origination volume declines with sustained elevated rates
  • Commercial real estate loan portfolio faces regional bank credit scrutiny
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 194.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.17 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.33k% < 20% (prev -1.24k%; Δ -83.57% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 203.3m > Net Income 194.9m
Net Debt (171.5m) to EBITDA (262.3m): 0.65 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.02 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (52.2m) vs 12m ago 11.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 63.60% > 18% (prev 59.52%; Δ 4.08% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 7.05% > 50% (prev 5.98%; Δ 1.07% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM 243.4m / Interest Expense TTM 339.9m)
Altman Z'' -5.08
A: -0.84 (Total Current Assets 219.7m - Total Current Liabilities 14.1b) / Total Assets 16.5b
B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 893.1m / Total Assets 16.5b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 243.4m / Avg Total Assets 14.8b)
D: 0.14 (Book Value of Equity 1.97b / Total Liabilities 14.5b)
Altman-Z'' = -5.08 = D
Beneish M -2.88
DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 59.8m/51.3m, Revenue 1.04b/785.4m)
GMI: 0.94 (GM 59.52% / 63.60%)
AQI: 1.11 (AQ_t 0.97 / AQ_t-1 0.88)
SGI: 1.33 (Revenue 1.04b / 785.4m)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 194.9m - CFO 203.3m) / TA 16.5b)
Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of FBK shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 56.94 with a total of 272,473 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.32%, over one month by +7.60%, over three months by +5.28% and over the past year by +23.44%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 54.90 (which is 3.6% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is FBK a buy, sell or hold?

FB Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FBK.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FBK price?
Analysts Target Price 64.4 13.1%
FB Financial (FBK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 02 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.85b (2.85b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.4244
P/E Forward = 14.881
P/S = 5.1138
P/B = 1.4448
Revenue TTM = 1.04b USD
EBIT TTM = 243.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 262.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 213.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 331.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 59.1m
Net Debt = 171.5m USD (calculated: Debt 331.4m - CCE 159.9m)
Enterprise Value = 3.02b USD (2.85b + Debt 331.4m - CCE 159.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.72 (Ebit TTM 243.4m / Interest Expense TTM 339.9m)
EV/FCF = 14.19x (Enterprise Value 3.02b / FCF TTM 213.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.05% (FCF TTM 213.0m / Enterprise Value 3.02b)
FCF Margin = 20.42% (FCF TTM 213.0m / Revenue TTM 1.04b)
Net Margin = 18.68% (Net Income TTM 194.9m / Revenue TTM 1.04b)
Gross Margin = 63.60% ((Revenue TTM 1.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 379.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.26% (prev 67.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.18 (Enterprise Value 3.02b / Total Assets 16.5b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 102.6% (Interest Expense 339.9m / Debt 331.4m)
 Taxrate = 19.94% (48.5m / 243.4m)
NOPAT = 194.9m (EBIT 243.4m * (1 - 19.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.02 (Total Current Assets 219.7m / Total Current Liabilities 14.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 331.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.65 (Net Debt 171.5m / EBITDA 262.3m)
Debt / FCF = 0.81 (Net Debt 171.5m / FCF TTM 213.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.32% (Net Income 194.9m / Total Assets 16.5b)
RoE = 9.93% (Net Income TTM 194.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.96b)
RoCE = 11.19% (EBIT 243.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.96b + L.T.Debt 213.2m))
RoIC = 1.19% (NOPAT 194.9m / Invested Capital 16.4b)
WACC = 8.20% (E(2.85b)/V(3.18b) * Re(9.15%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 44.95 | Cagr: 4.86%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈186.6m ; Y1≈214.0m ; Y5≈314.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 88.64 (EV 4.74b - Net Debt 171.5m = Equity 4.57b / Shares 51.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.42 | EPS CAGR: 11.68% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.83 | Revenue CAGR: 14.51% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.16 | Chg30d=-0.10% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.20 | Chg30d=+0.17% | Revisions=-44% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.69 | Chg30d=+0.07% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+17.5% | GrowthRev=+15.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.07 | Chg30d=+0.10% | Revisions=-44% | GrowthEPS=+8.2% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -58% (up=4, down=19)