(FCX) Freeport-McMoran Copper - Ratings and Ratios
Copper, Gold, Molybdenum, Silver
FCX EPS (Earnings per Share)
FCX Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 61.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.66% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.04 |
| Alpha | -25.96 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.459 |
| Beta | 1.568 |
| Beta Downside | 1.758 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.34% |
| Mean DD | 17.15% |
| Median DD | 17.50% |
Description: FCX Freeport-McMoran Copper September 26, 2025
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE: FCX) is a U.S.-based mining company that operates a diversified portfolio of mineral assets across North America, South America, and Indonesia, focusing on copper, gold, molybdenum, silver and related metals.
Key operating sites include the world-class Grasberg district in Indonesia; multiple Arizona mines (Morenci, Bagdad, Safford, Sierrita, Miami); New Mexico’s Chino and Tyrone; Colorado’s Henderson and Climax; plus Cerro Verde in Peru and El Abra in Chile. The firm was incorporated in 1987, rebranded from Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. in July 2014, and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Recent performance metrics (Q2 2024) show FCX producing ~1.1 million tons of copper and ~1.2 million ounces of gold, with cash flow from operations of $3.1 billion, reflecting a 7 % YoY increase driven by higher copper prices and improved mine-site efficiencies.
Sector drivers that materially affect FCX’s outlook are: (1) global copper demand growth of ~3 %-4 % per year, spurred by electric-vehicle battery production and renewable-energy infrastructure; (2) the ongoing price volatility of gold as a safe-haven asset, which can offset copper-related earnings swings; and (3) geopolitical risk in Indonesia and Peru, where regulatory changes can impact production timelines and cost structures.
For a data-rich, forward-looking analysis of FCX’s valuation assumptions and scenario modeling, a deeper dive on ValueRay can provide the quantitative context you need to assess the trade-off between commodity exposure and operational risk.
FCX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 57,164m |
| Sub-Industry | Copper |
| IPO / Inception | 1995-07-10 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -17.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
FCX Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.05% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 86.12% |
| Payout Consistency | 56.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 37.7% |
FCX Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 4.90% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.11 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.29 |
| Current Volume | 10358.5k |
| Average Volume | 12842.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (2.07b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.56b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 30.93% (prev 33.11%; Δ -2.18pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.35b > Net Income 2.07b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.75b) to EBITDA (9.46b) ratio: 0.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.45 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.44b) change vs 12m ago -0.07% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.57% (prev 29.97%; Δ -1.39pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 46.31% (prev 45.23%; Δ 1.08pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 21.76 (EBITDA TTM 9.46b / Interest Expense TTM 329.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.90
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 13.56b - Total Current Liabilities 5.53b) / Total Assets 56.83b |
| (B) 0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.20b / Total Assets 56.83b |
| (C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 7.16b / Avg Total Assets 56.11b |
| (D) 0.04 = Book Value of Equity 1.05b / Total Liabilities 26.43b |
| Total Rating: 1.90 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.35
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.55% = 3.28 |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.61% = 3.90 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.50 = 2.38 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.50 = 2.31 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.99)% = 8.74 |
| 7. RoE 11.45% = 0.95 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 71.42% = 5.36 |
| 9. EPS Trend -11.41% = -0.57 |
What is the price of FCX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.88%, over one month by -3.97%, over three months by -4.67% and over the past year by -5.77%.
Is Freeport-McMoran Copper a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of FCX is around 35.51 USD . This means that FCX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -11.58%.
Is FCX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FCX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.7 | 18.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.7 | 18.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 40.2 | 0.1% |
FCX Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 27.8392
P/E Forward = 16.6113
P/S = 2.1985
P/B = 3.0651
P/EG = 2.9816
Beta = 1.487
Revenue TTM = 25.99b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.16b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.46b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.91b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 383.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.30b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.75b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 61.91b USD (57.16b + Debt 9.30b - CCE 4.55b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.76 (Ebit TTM 7.16b / Interest Expense TTM 329.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.55% (FCF TTM 4.06b / Enterprise Value 61.91b)
FCF Margin = 15.61% (FCF TTM 4.06b / Revenue TTM 25.99b)
Net Margin = 7.95% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 25.99b)
Gross Margin = 28.57% ((Revenue TTM 25.99b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.93% (prev 34.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 61.91b / Total Assets 56.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 107.0m / Debt 9.30b)
Taxrate = 34.92% (669.0m / 1.92b)
NOPAT = 4.66b (EBIT 7.16b * (1 - 34.92%))
Current Ratio = 2.45 (Total Current Assets 13.56b / Total Current Liabilities 5.53b)
Debt / Equity = 0.50 (Debt 9.30b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.68b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.50 (Net Debt 4.75b / EBITDA 9.46b)
Debt / FCF = 1.17 (Net Debt 4.75b / FCF TTM 4.06b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.64% (Net Income 2.07b / Total Assets 56.83b)
RoE = 11.45% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.04b)
RoCE = 26.57% (EBIT 7.16b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.04b + L.T.Debt 8.91b))
RoIC = 17.24% (NOPAT 4.66b / Invested Capital 27.03b)
WACC = 10.25% (E(57.16b)/V(66.46b) * Re(11.79%) + D(9.30b)/V(66.46b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 11.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.03%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.23% ; FCFE base≈3.28b ; Y1≈4.05b ; Y5≈6.90b
Fair Price DCF = 45.95 (DCF Value 65.98b / Shares Outstanding 1.44b; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -11.41 | EPS CAGR: -1.42% | SUE: 2.61 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 71.42 | Revenue CAGR: 9.41% | SUE: 0.66 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for FCX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle