(FCX) Freeport-McMoran Copper - Ratings and Ratios
Copper, Gold, Molybdenum, Silver
FCX EPS (Earnings per Share)
FCX Revenue
Description: FCX Freeport-McMoran Copper September 26, 2025
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE: FCX) is a U.S.-based mining company that operates a diversified portfolio of mineral assets across North America, South America, and Indonesia, focusing on copper, gold, molybdenum, silver and related metals.
Key operating sites include the world-class Grasberg district in Indonesia; multiple Arizona mines (Morenci, Bagdad, Safford, Sierrita, Miami); New Mexico’s Chino and Tyrone; Colorado’s Henderson and Climax; plus Cerro Verde in Peru and El Abra in Chile. The firm was incorporated in 1987, rebranded from Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. in July 2014, and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Recent performance metrics (Q2 2024) show FCX producing ~1.1 million tons of copper and ~1.2 million ounces of gold, with cash flow from operations of $3.1 billion, reflecting a 7 % YoY increase driven by higher copper prices and improved mine-site efficiencies.
Sector drivers that materially affect FCX’s outlook are: (1) global copper demand growth of ~3 %-4 % per year, spurred by electric-vehicle battery production and renewable-energy infrastructure; (2) the ongoing price volatility of gold as a safe-haven asset, which can offset copper-related earnings swings; and (3) geopolitical risk in Indonesia and Peru, where regulatory changes can impact production timelines and cost structures.
For a data-rich, forward-looking analysis of FCX’s valuation assumptions and scenario modeling, a deeper dive on ValueRay can provide the quantitative context you need to assess the trade-off between commodity exposure and operational risk.
FCX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 59,398m |
| Sub-Industry | Copper |
| IPO / Inception | 1995-07-10 |
FCX Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 28.2% |
| Fundamental | 71.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 55.1% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -22.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
FCX Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.44% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.51% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 86.12% |
| Payout Consistency | 56.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 30.5% |
FCX Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -22.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 25.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 58% |
| CAGR 5y | 7.40% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.16 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.44 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.03 |
| Alpha | -36.18 |
| Beta | 1.582 |
| Volatility | 43.97% |
| Current Volume | 11939.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 15475.3k |
| Stop Loss | 39.8 (-4.6%) |
| Signal | 0.40 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (7.90b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 352.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.19pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 136.7% (prev 33.11%; Δ 103.6pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.35b <= Net Income 7.90b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-4.17b) to EBITDA (10.17b) ratio: -0.41 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.45 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.44b) change vs 12m ago -0.07% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -290.7% (prev 29.97%; Δ -320.6pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 10.48% (prev 45.23%; Δ -34.75pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -41.65 (EBITDA TTM 10.17b / Interest Expense TTM -189.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.98
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 13.56b - Total Current Liabilities 5.53b) / Total Assets 56.83b |
| (B) 0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.20b / Total Assets 56.83b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 7.87b / Avg Total Assets 56.11b |
| (D) 0.04 = Book Value of Equity 1.05b / Total Liabilities 26.43b |
| Total Rating: 1.98 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 71.37
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.26% = 4.63 |
| 3. FCF Margin 86.97% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.02 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.41 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.07)% = 6.34 |
| 7. RoE 43.78% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -47.00% = -3.52 |
| 9. EPS Trend -11.41% = -0.57 |
What is the price of FCX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.80%, over one month by +6.70%, over three months by +4.00% and over the past year by -5.96%.
Is Freeport-McMoran Copper a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of FCX is around 38.44 USD . This means that FCX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.82%.
Is FCX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FCX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.2 | 13.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.2 | 13.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 44.1 | 5.8% |
FCX Fundamental Data Overview October 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 28.9301
P/E Forward = 16.6113
P/S = 2.2844
P/B = 3.0651
P/EG = 2.9816
Beta = 1.582
Revenue TTM = 5.88b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.87b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.91b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 383.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 383.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -4.17b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 55.23b USD (59.40b + Debt 383.0m - CCE 4.55b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -41.65 (Ebit TTM 7.87b / Interest Expense TTM -189.0m)
FCF Yield = 9.26% (FCF TTM 5.11b / Enterprise Value 55.23b)
FCF Margin = 86.97% (FCF TTM 5.11b / Revenue TTM 5.88b)
Net Margin = 134.3% (Net Income TTM 7.90b / Revenue TTM 5.88b)
Gross Margin = -290.7% ((Revenue TTM 5.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.97b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 34.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 55.23b / Total Assets 56.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = -107.3% (Interest Expense -411.0m / Debt 383.0m)
Taxrate = -175.8% (out of range, set to none) (-3.37b / 1.92b)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 2.45 (Total Current Assets 13.56b / Total Current Liabilities 5.53b)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 383.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.68b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.41 (Net Debt -4.17b / EBITDA 10.17b)
Debt / FCF = -0.81 (Net Debt -4.17b / FCF TTM 5.11b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.90% (Net Income 7.90b / Total Assets 56.83b)
RoE = 43.78% (Net Income TTM 7.90b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.04b)
RoCE = 29.21% (EBIT 7.87b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.04b + L.T.Debt 8.91b))
RoIC = 16.83% (EBIT 7.87b / (Assets 56.83b - Curr.Liab 5.53b - Cash 4.55b))
WACC = 11.76% (E(59.40b)/V(59.78b) * Re(11.84%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 11.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.03%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.09% ; FCFE base≈3.91b ; Y1≈4.83b ; Y5≈8.24b
Fair Price DCF = 54.50 (DCF Value 78.26b / Shares Outstanding 1.44b; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -11.41 | EPS CAGR: -1.42% | SUE: 2.61 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -47.00 | Revenue CAGR: -71.79% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for FCX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle