(FDX) FedEx - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 89.664m USD | Total Return: 83.4% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +1.3
Avg Turnover: 521M
EPS Trend: 92.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 35.5%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Leader, Tailwind, Pullback 52w
FedEx Corporation is a global provider of transportation, e-commerce, and business services, operating through major segments including Federal Express and FedEx Freight. The company’s portfolio encompasses express shipping, less-than-truckload (LTL) freight, and small-package ground delivery, supported by a vast network of logistics and supply chain management solutions. Beyond physical transport, FedEx offers digital printing, professional document services, and customs brokerage to facilitate international trade.
The air freight and logistics sector operates as a capital-intensive industry where profitability is heavily influenced by fuel costs and global trade volumes. FedEx utilizes a hub-and-spoke business model, which centralizes sorting operations to maximize aircraft and vehicle efficiency across its international routes. Investors can find deeper insights into these operational trends on ValueRay.
Founded in 1971 and headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the corporation also provides third-party logistics (3PL) services, including warehousing, fulfillment, and product liquidation. Its integrated service model combines physical infrastructure with information technology to manage end-to-end supply chain requirements for commercial and retail customers.
- Network consolidation and modernization efforts drive long-term structural margin expansion
- Global air cargo demand fluctuations impact high-margin Federal Express segment revenue
- Rising fuel costs and labor expenses pressure ground delivery profit margins
- E-commerce volume trends dictate package density and seasonal peak shipping profitability
- Global trade tensions and geopolitical instability disrupt international freight-forwarding volumes
| Net Income: 4.48b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.58 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.91% < 20% (prev 3.78%; Δ 5.13% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 8.18b > Net Income 4.48b |
| Net Debt (34.01b) to EBITDA (10.57b): 3.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (243.0m) vs 12m ago -0.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.41% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2.42k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 102.3% > 50% (prev 103.3%; Δ -0.98% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 16.50 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 10.57b / Interest Expense TTM 378.0m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 25.48b - Total Current Liabilities 17.29b) / Total Assets 94.73b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 42.86b / Total Assets 94.73b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 6.24b / Avg Total Assets 89.89b) |
| D: 0.64 (Book Value of Equity 41.68b / Total Liabilities 64.93b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.18 = A |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 11.81b/10.23b, Revenue 91.93b/87.81b) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 24.41% / 21.42%) |
| AQI: 2.39 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.12) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 91.93b / 87.81b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 4.48b - CFO 8.18b) / TA 94.73b) |
| Beneish M = -2.23 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.35%, over one month by -1.44%, over three months by +1.77% and over the past year by +83.36%.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 401 | 3.1% |
P/E Forward = 17.1233
P/S = 0.9753
P/B = 3.0309
P/EG = 1.3383
Revenue TTM = 91.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.24b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.57b USD
Long Term Debt = 22.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.05b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 42.02b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 34.01b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 123.68b USD (89.66b + Debt 42.02b - CCE 8.01b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.50 (Ebit TTM 6.24b / Interest Expense TTM 378.0m)
EV/FCF = 28.30x (Enterprise Value 123.68b / FCF TTM 4.37b)
FCF Yield = 3.53% (FCF TTM 4.37b / Enterprise Value 123.68b)
FCF Margin = 4.75% (FCF TTM 4.37b / Revenue TTM 91.93b)
Net Margin = 4.88% (Net Income TTM 4.48b / Revenue TTM 91.93b)
Gross Margin = 24.41% ((Revenue TTM 91.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.98% (prev 26.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.31 (Enterprise Value 123.68b / Total Assets 94.73b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.32% (Interest Expense 135.0m / Debt 42.02b)
Taxrate = 16.39% (207.0m / 1.26b)
NOPAT = 5.21b (EBIT 6.24b * (1 - 16.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 25.48b / Total Current Liabilities 17.29b)
Debt / Equity = 1.41 (Debt 42.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 29.80b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.22 (Net Debt 34.01b / EBITDA 10.57b)
Debt / FCF = 7.78 (Net Debt 34.01b / FCF TTM 4.37b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.45b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.99% (Net Income 4.48b / Total Assets 94.73b)
RoE = 15.76% (Net Income TTM 4.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 28.45b)
RoCE = 12.16% (EBIT 6.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 28.45b + L.T.Debt 22.83b))
RoIC = 10.65% (NOPAT 5.21b / Invested Capital 48.98b)
WACC = 5.96% (E(89.66b)/V(131.69b) * Re(8.63%) + D(42.02b)/V(131.69b) * Rd(0.32%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 8.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -81.48 | Cagr: -1.78%
[DCF] Terminal Value 87.52% ; FCFF base≈4.00b ; Y1≈4.54b ; Y5≈6.23b
[DCF] Fair Price = 622.9 (EV 182.63b - Net Debt 34.01b = Equity 148.62b / Shares 238.6m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.97% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 92.69 | EPS CAGR: 10.20% | SUE: 1.59 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 35.50 | Revenue CAGR: 0.62% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: 5
EPS next Quarter (2026-08-31): EPS=4.42 | Chg30d=-0.66% | Revisions=-22% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-05-31): EPS=19.72 | Chg30d=+0.17% | Revisions=+56% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=+6.4%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=22.37 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+11% | GrowthEPS=+13.4% | GrowthRev=+4.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +56%