(FDX) FedEx - Ratings and Ratios
Express, Freight, Ground, Logistics, E-Commerce
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.93% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.40% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 20.05% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 24.6% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 39.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -17.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 |
| Alpha | -4.90 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.396 |
| Beta | 1.017 |
| Beta Downside | 1.095 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.85% |
| Mean DD | 11.26% |
| Median DD | 9.99% |
Description: FDX FedEx December 03, 2025
FedEx Corp. (NYSE:FDX) operates a diversified logistics platform that includes express, freight, LTL, and small-package ground services, plus a suite of e-commerce, digital printing, and document-management solutions. Its business is organized into the Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments, delivering door-to-door shipping, customs brokerage, and third-party logistics (3PL) across the U.S. and globally.
Key performance indicators show the company generated ≈ $90 billion of revenue in FY 2023, with an operating margin hovering around 5 %-a level that reflects both pricing power in premium express lanes and cost pressures from fuel and labor. Recent earnings calls highlighted a ~12 % YoY increase in e-commerce parcel volume, driven by continued online retail growth, while the broader air-freight sector remains sensitive to global trade volumes and near-shoring trends that affect LTL demand.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of FedEx’s valuation dynamics, consider reviewing the detailed analyst models on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (4.34b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.41b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.78pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.93% (prev 3.81%; Δ 1.12pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 8.20b > Net Income 4.34b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (31.20b) to EBITDA (10.47b) ratio: 2.98 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.27 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (243.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 23.24% (prev 21.30%; Δ 1.93pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 103.2% (prev 102.2%; Δ 0.93pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 12.52 (EBITDA TTM 10.47b / Interest Expense TTM 494.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.04
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 20.65b - Total Current Liabilities 16.21b) / Total Assets 89.18b |
| (B) 0.47 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 42.15b / Total Assets 89.18b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 6.19b / Avg Total Assets 87.33b |
| (D) 0.67 = Book Value of Equity 40.77b / Total Liabilities 61.04b |
| Total Rating: 3.04 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.46
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.39% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.83% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.34 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.98 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.17)% |
| 7. RoE 15.67% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -42.95% |
| 9. EPS Trend 11.87% |
What is the price of FDX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.61%, over one month by +7.98%, over three months by +25.24% and over the past year by +8.86%.
Is FDX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the FDX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 286.4 | -3.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 286.4 | -3.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 318.1 | 7.4% |
FDX Fundamental Data Overview December 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.8399
P/E Forward = 15.5763
P/S = 0.7647
P/B = 2.3978
P/EG = 1.257
Beta = 1.332
Revenue TTM = 90.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.19b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.47b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.15b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 3.52b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 37.77b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 31.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 98.94b USD (67.75b + Debt 37.77b - CCE 6.57b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.52 (Ebit TTM 6.19b / Interest Expense TTM 494.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.39% (FCF TTM 4.35b / Enterprise Value 98.94b)
FCF Margin = 4.83% (FCF TTM 4.35b / Revenue TTM 90.09b)
Net Margin = 4.81% (Net Income TTM 4.34b / Revenue TTM 90.09b)
Gross Margin = 23.24% ((Revenue TTM 90.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.42% (prev 21.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 98.94b / Total Assets 89.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.36% (Interest Expense 135.0m / Debt 37.77b)
Taxrate = 25.83% (333.0m / 1.29b)
NOPAT = 4.59b (EBIT 6.19b * (1 - 25.83%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 20.65b / Total Current Liabilities 16.21b)
Debt / Equity = 1.34 (Debt 37.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 28.14b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.98 (Net Debt 31.20b / EBITDA 10.47b)
Debt / FCF = 7.17 (Net Debt 31.20b / FCF TTM 4.35b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 27.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.86% (Net Income 4.34b / Total Assets 89.18b)
RoE = 15.67% (Net Income TTM 4.34b / Total Stockholder Equity 27.67b)
RoCE = 13.21% (EBIT 6.19b / Capital Employed (Equity 27.67b + L.T.Debt 19.15b))
RoIC = 9.53% (NOPAT 4.59b / Invested Capital 48.15b)
WACC = 6.36% (E(67.75b)/V(105.51b) * Re(9.76%) + D(37.77b)/V(105.51b) * Rd(0.36%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.51% ; FCFE base≈3.67b ; Y1≈3.95b ; Y5≈4.85b
Fair Price DCF = 267.6 (DCF Value 63.13b / Shares Outstanding 236.0m; 5y FCF grow 8.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 11.87 | EPS CAGR: 1.31% | SUE: 1.45 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -42.95 | Revenue CAGR: -0.19% | SUE: 1.85 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=4.22 | Chg30d=+0.048 | Revisions Net=+9 | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-05-31): EPS=18.22 | Chg30d=+0.057 | Revisions Net=+13 | Growth EPS=+0.2% | Growth Revenue=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=20.93 | Chg30d=+0.078 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+14.8% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
Additional Sources for FDX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle