(FDX) FedEx - Ratings and Ratios
Express, Freight, Ground, Logistics, E-Commerce
FDX EPS (Earnings per Share)
FDX Revenue
Description: FDX FedEx September 26, 2025
FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX) operates a global network that delivers time-critical parcels, LTL freight, and integrated logistics services through its Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments. Its portfolio spans express air and ground shipping, e-commerce and digital solutions (including printing, document services, and digital notarization), and third-party logistics such as warehousing, fulfillment, and returns management, supported by a suite of back-office functions.
In FY 2023 the company generated $90.2 billion in revenue, with the Express segment contributing roughly 70 % of total sales and Freight the remaining 30 %. Key performance drivers include a 6.5 % year-over-year increase in total package volume, a 3.2 % rise in average yield per package, and an operating margin of 6.8 % despite higher fuel prices and labor costs. Macro-level factors that materially affect FedEx are e-commerce growth (particularly B2C shipments), supply-chain reshoring trends that boost domestic freight demand, and macro-economic volatility that influences fuel hedging effectiveness and capacity utilization.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of FedEx’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a useful toolkit.
FDX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 58,736m |
| Sub-Industry | Air Freight & Logistics |
| IPO / Inception | 1978-04-12 |
FDX Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 16.9% |
| Fundamental | 59.2% |
| Dividend Rating | 71.4% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -20.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.03 of 5 |
FDX Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.25% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.22% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 20.05% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 30.7% |
FDX Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 78.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -57.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 16.5% |
| CAGR 5y | 19.23% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.54 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 1.76 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.40 |
| Alpha | -30.66 |
| Beta | 1.288 |
| Volatility | 28.66% |
| Current Volume | 1601.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1453.5k |
| Stop Loss | 244.1 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | 0.36 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (4.12b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.32b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.12pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.31% (prev 4.55%; Δ -0.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 7.57b > Net Income 4.12b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (31.74b) to EBITDA (10.14b) ratio: 3.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.25 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (243.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 23.03% (prev 21.25%; Δ 1.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 101.2% (prev 101.0%; Δ 0.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 12.71 (EBITDA TTM 10.14b / Interest Expense TTM 461.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.96
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 19.34b - Total Current Liabilities 15.52b) / Total Assets 88.42b |
| (B) 0.47 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 41.54b / Total Assets 88.42b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 5.86b / Avg Total Assets 87.56b |
| (D) 0.66 = Book Value of Equity 40.20b / Total Liabilities 60.65b |
| Total Rating: 2.96 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.19
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.04% = 2.02 |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.12% = 1.03 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.36 = 1.64 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.13 = -1.94 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.29)% = 2.87 |
| 7. RoE 15.12% = 1.26 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -15.65% = -1.17 |
| 9. EPS Trend 39.88% = 1.99 |
What is the price of FDX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.93%, over one month by +1.96%, over three months by +16.55% and over the past year by -4.94%.
Is FedEx a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of FDX is around 240.45 USD . This means that FDX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -4.54%.
Is FDX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the FDX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 266.2 | 5.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 266.2 | 5.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 263.6 | 4.7% |
FDX Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
P/E Trailing = 14.6
P/E Forward = 13.3869
P/S = 0.663
P/B = 2.0589
P/EG = 1.0794
Beta = 1.288
Revenue TTM = 88.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.86b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.14b USD
Long Term Debt = 20.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.47b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 37.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 31.74b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 90.48b USD (58.74b + Debt 37.91b - CCE 6.17b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.71 (Ebit TTM 5.86b / Interest Expense TTM 461.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.04% (FCF TTM 3.65b / Enterprise Value 90.48b)
FCF Margin = 4.12% (FCF TTM 3.65b / Revenue TTM 88.59b)
Net Margin = 4.65% (Net Income TTM 4.12b / Revenue TTM 88.59b)
Gross Margin = 23.03% ((Revenue TTM 88.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 68.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.01% (prev 23.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 90.48b / Total Assets 88.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.31% (Interest Expense 119.0m / Debt 37.91b)
Taxrate = 27.34% (310.0m / 1.13b)
NOPAT = 4.26b (EBIT 5.86b * (1 - 27.34%))
Current Ratio = 1.25 (Total Current Assets 19.34b / Total Current Liabilities 15.52b)
Debt / Equity = 1.36 (Debt 37.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 27.77b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.13 (Net Debt 31.74b / EBITDA 10.14b)
Debt / FCF = 8.69 (Net Debt 31.74b / FCF TTM 3.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 27.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.66% (Net Income 4.12b / Total Assets 88.42b)
RoE = 15.12% (Net Income TTM 4.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 27.25b)
RoCE = 12.33% (EBIT 5.86b / Capital Employed (Equity 27.25b + L.T.Debt 20.29b))
RoIC = 8.92% (NOPAT 4.26b / Invested Capital 47.73b)
WACC = 6.63% (E(58.74b)/V(96.64b) * Re(10.76%) + D(37.91b)/V(96.64b) * Rd(0.31%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.01% ; FCFE base≈3.24b ; Y1≈3.24b ; Y5≈3.44b
Fair Price DCF = 168.5 (DCF Value 39.75b / Shares Outstanding 236.0m; 5y FCF grow -0.49% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 39.88 | EPS CAGR: 7.00% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -15.65 | Revenue CAGR: -0.92% | SUE: 2.01 | # QB: 3
Additional Sources for FDX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle