FDX Stock Analysis: FedEx | NYSE
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 74.715m USD | 12M Return: 66.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 735M
EPS Trend: 91.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 71.9%
Qual. Beats: 6
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) is a U.S.-based global transportation and logistics company founded in 1971 and headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee. The company operates through two reportable segments-Federal Express and FedEx Freight-providing shipping, e-commerce, and business services across domestic and international markets.
Its service offerings span express, ground, and less-than-truckload freight shipping; digital and e-commerce solutions; printing, packing, and document services; and third-party logistics capabilities including freight forwarding (air and ocean), customs brokerage, warehousing, fulfillment, supply chain management, and returns processing. It also delivers back-office support functions such as sales, marketing, IT, and administration.
FedEx operates within the Air Freight & Logistics sub-industry of the GICS Industrials sector, competing in the global parcel and freight market alongside major peers such as UPS and DHL. Its business model is built on an integrated air-and-ground network serving both business-to-business and direct-to-consumer shippers, with demand heavily tied to e-commerce volume growth.
- DRIVE cost transformation program expands operating margins
- FedEx Freight separation unlocks shareholder value
- E-commerce parcel demand drives Express and Ground revenue
| Net Income: 4.43b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.77 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.49% < 20% (prev 3.38%; Δ 6.11% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 8.93b > Net Income 4.43b |
| Net Debt (46.4b) to EBITDA (10.6b): 4.37 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.48 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (241.0m) vs 12m ago 1.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.90% > 18% (prev 21.60%; Δ 1.30% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 101.5% > 50% (prev 100.3%; Δ 1.20% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.74 > 6 (EBIT TTM 6.25b / Interest Expense TTM 532.0m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 27.9b - Total Current Liabilities 18.9b) / Total Assets 98.9b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 44.5b / Total Assets 98.9b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 6.25b / Avg Total Assets 93.3b) |
| D: 0.47 (Book Value of Equity 31.6b / Total Liabilities 67.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.00 = A |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 12.7b/11.4b, Revenue 94.7b/87.9b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 21.60% / 22.90%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 94.7b / 87.9b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 4.43b - CFO 8.93b) / TA 98.9b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 313.00 with a total of 1,248,074 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.99%, over one month by -4.51%, over three months by +7.88% and over the past year by +66.33%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 297.80 (which is 4.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
FedEx has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.03. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FDX.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 349.7 | 11.7% |
P/E Trailing = 16.7181
P/E Forward = 14.2045
P/S = 0.7888
P/B = 2.5069
P/EG = 1.3266
Revenue TTM = 94.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.6b USD
Long Term Debt = 22.8b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 5.10b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 59.7b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 16.8b
Net Debt = 46.4b USD (calculated: Debt 59.7b - CCE 13.3b)
Enterprise Value = 121b USD (74.7b + Debt 59.7b - CCE 13.3b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.74 (Ebit TTM 6.25b / Interest Expense TTM 532.0m)
EV/FCF = 23.67x (Enterprise Value 121b / FCF TTM 5.12b)
FCF Yield = 4.22% (FCF TTM 5.12b / Enterprise Value 121b)
FCF Margin = 5.40% (FCF TTM 5.12b / Revenue TTM 94.7b)
Net Margin = 4.68% (Net Income TTM 4.43b / Revenue TTM 94.7b)
Gross Margin = 22.90% ((Revenue TTM 94.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 73.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.69% (prev 21.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.22 (Enterprise Value 121b / Total Assets 98.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 532.0m / Debt 59.7b)
Taxrate = 23.47% (1.36b / 5.79b)
NOPAT = 4.78b (EBIT 6.25b * (1 - 23.47%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 27.9b / Total Current Liabilities 18.9b)
Debt / Equity = 1.89 (Debt 59.7b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 31.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.37 (Net Debt 46.4b / EBITDA 10.6b)
Debt / FCF = 9.07 (Net Debt 46.4b / FCF TTM 5.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 29.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.75% (Net Income 4.43b / Total Assets 98.9b)
RoE = 15.11% (Net Income TTM 4.43b / Total Stockholder Equity 29.3b)
RoCE = 11.97% (EBIT 6.25b / Capital Employed (Equity 29.3b + L.T.Debt 22.8b))
RoIC = 5.95% (NOPAT 4.78b / Invested Capital 80.4b)
WACC = 5.19% (E(74.7b)/V(134b) * Re(8.79%) + D(59.7b)/V(134b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -76.83 | Cagr: -1.62%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈4.26b ; Y1≈4.89b ; Y5≈7.19b
[DCF] Fair Price = 259.0 (EV 108b - Net Debt 46.4b = Equity 61.8b / Shares 238.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.74 | EPS CAGR: 7.54% | SUE: 0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 71.89 | Revenue CAGR: 1.98% | SUE: 2.86 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2026-08-31): EPS=3.83 | Chg30d=-12.96% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-11-30): EPS=4.73 | Chg30d=-12.34% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=17.77 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=-2.3% | GrowthRev=+3.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=20.71 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+16.6% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -20%