(FDX) FedEx - Overview
Stock: Express Shipping, Freight Services, Ground Delivery, Logistics
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.20 |
| Alpha | 31.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.038 |
| Beta Downside | 1.128 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.85% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.67 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: FDX FedEx January 28, 2026
FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) delivers a broad suite of transportation, e-commerce, and business services worldwide through its Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments. Its core offerings span express and freight shipping-including LTL and time-critical freight-small-package ground delivery, and an extensive portfolio of digital and print solutions, customs brokerage, and third-party logistics that cover warehousing, fulfillment, and reverse-logistics. Founded in 1971 and headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, FedEx also provides ancillary services such as corporate printing, document handling, and retail access points for package drop-off.
Key recent metrics underscore the company’s scale and market dynamics: FY 2023 revenue reached $90.2 billion, with adjusted earnings per share of $15.2 and an operating margin of 7.8 %. E-commerce shipment volumes grew ≈ 8 % YoY in Q4 2023, reflecting sustained online retail demand, while fuel price volatility and a tightening labor market remain material cost drivers. The broader air freight and logistics sector is being propelled by reshoring trends and heightened inventory-buffering, which are expected to sustain incremental demand for integrated supply-chain services.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, explore the ValueRay dashboard.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 4.34b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.78 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.93% < 20% (prev 3.81%; Δ 1.12% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 8.20b > Net Income 4.34b |
| Net Debt (31.20b) to EBITDA (10.47b): 2.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (243.0m) vs 12m ago -0.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.24% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2302 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 103.2% > 50% (prev 102.2%; Δ 0.93% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.52 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 10.47b / Interest Expense TTM 494.0m) |
Altman Z'' 3.04
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 20.65b - Total Current Liabilities 16.21b) / Total Assets 89.18b |
| B: 0.47 (Retained Earnings 42.15b / Total Assets 89.18b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 6.19b / Avg Total Assets 87.33b) |
| D: 0.67 (Book Value of Equity 40.77b / Total Liabilities 61.04b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.04 = A |
Beneish M -2.08
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 12.16b/10.74b, Revenue 90.09b/87.39b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 23.24% / 21.30%) |
| AQI: 2.63 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.12) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 90.09b / 87.39b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 4.34b - CFO 8.20b) / TA 89.18b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.08 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
What is the price of FDX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.49%, over one month by +21.01%, over three months by +40.88% and over the past year by +45.78%.
Is FDX a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the FDX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 328.9 | -12.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 328.9 | -12.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 427.2 | 14% |
FDX Fundamental Data Overview February 12, 2026
P/E Forward = 17.3913
P/S = 0.9616
P/B = 3.0678
P/EG = 1.3917
Revenue TTM = 90.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.19b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.47b USD
Long Term Debt = 20.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.52b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 37.77b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 31.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 117.83b USD (86.63b + Debt 37.77b - CCE 6.57b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.52 (Ebit TTM 6.19b / Interest Expense TTM 494.0m)
EV/FCF = 27.10x (Enterprise Value 117.83b / FCF TTM 4.35b)
FCF Yield = 3.69% (FCF TTM 4.35b / Enterprise Value 117.83b)
FCF Margin = 4.83% (FCF TTM 4.35b / Revenue TTM 90.09b)
Net Margin = 4.81% (Net Income TTM 4.34b / Revenue TTM 90.09b)
Gross Margin = 23.24% ((Revenue TTM 90.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.42% (prev 21.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.32 (Enterprise Value 117.83b / Total Assets 89.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.36% (Interest Expense 135.0m / Debt 37.77b)
Taxrate = 25.83% (333.0m / 1.29b)
NOPAT = 4.59b (EBIT 6.19b * (1 - 25.83%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 20.65b / Total Current Liabilities 16.21b)
Debt / Equity = 1.34 (Debt 37.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 28.14b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.98 (Net Debt 31.20b / EBITDA 10.47b)
Debt / FCF = 7.17 (Net Debt 31.20b / FCF TTM 4.35b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 27.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.97% (Net Income 4.34b / Total Assets 89.18b)
RoE = 15.67% (Net Income TTM 4.34b / Total Stockholder Equity 27.67b)
RoCE = 12.90% (EBIT 6.19b / Capital Employed (Equity 27.67b + L.T.Debt 20.29b))
RoIC = 9.47% (NOPAT 4.59b / Invested Capital 48.45b)
WACC = 6.86% (E(86.63b)/V(124.40b) * Re(9.74%) + D(37.77b)/V(124.40b) * Rd(0.36%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.30% ; FCFF base≈3.67b ; Y1≈3.95b ; Y5≈4.84b
Fair Price DCF = 327.7 (EV 108.24b - Net Debt 31.20b = Equity 77.04b / Shares 235.1m; r=6.86% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 8.59% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 14.71 | EPS CAGR: 1.31% | SUE: 1.11 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -42.95 | Revenue CAGR: -0.19% | SUE: 1.85 | # QB: 4
EPS current Year (2026-05-31): EPS=18.51 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+1.8% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=21.40 | Chg30d=+0.217 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+15.6% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%