(FDX) FedEx - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 89.103m USD | Total Return: 76.8% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +8.2
Avg Turnover: 578M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 87.5
EPS Trend: 24.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -5.7%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Pead
FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) operates a global network that delivers express, freight, ground, and e-commerce services, while also offering a broad suite of digital printing, document, and third-party logistics solutions to businesses of all sizes.
In its most recent quarter (Q2 FY 2024), FedEx reported revenue of $27.1 billion, a 5% year-over-year increase, and an adjusted earnings per share of $4.30, reflecting a modest improvement in operating margin to 7.5% as the company continues to streamline its cost structure.
Key drivers include a sustained 8% rise in e-commerce shipment volumes, higher demand for integrated supply-chain services, and the broader macro trend of volatile freight rates tied to global trade fluctuations and carrier capacity constraints.
For deeper insights, you might explore ValueRay’s analysis of FDX.
- Global e-commerce growth boosts package delivery volumes
- Fuel price volatility impacts transportation costs
- Labor union negotiations affect operational efficiency
- Economic downturns reduce shipping demand
- Regulatory changes in logistics sector create uncertainty
| Net Income: 4.48b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.58 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.91% < 20% (prev 3.78%; Δ 5.13% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 8.18b > Net Income 4.48b |
| Net Debt (34.01b) to EBITDA (10.57b): 3.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (243.0m) vs 12m ago -0.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.41% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2.42k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 102.3% > 50% (prev 103.3%; Δ -0.98% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 16.50 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 10.57b / Interest Expense TTM 378.0m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 25.48b - Total Current Liabilities 17.29b) / Total Assets 94.73b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 42.86b / Total Assets 94.73b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 6.24b / Avg Total Assets 89.89b) |
| D: 0.64 (Book Value of Equity 41.68b / Total Liabilities 64.93b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.18 = A |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 11.81b/10.23b, Revenue 91.93b/87.81b) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 24.41% / 21.42%) |
| AQI: 2.39 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.12) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 91.93b / 87.81b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 4.48b - CFO 8.18b) / TA 94.73b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.23 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.25%, over one month by +4.40%, over three months by +21.18% and over the past year by +76.83%.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 402.4 | 6.7% |
P/E Forward = 16.3934
P/S = 0.9692
P/B = 2.8952
P/EG = 1.2807
Revenue TTM = 91.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.24b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.57b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.15b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 5.05b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 42.02b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 34.01b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 123.12b USD (89.10b + Debt 42.02b - CCE 8.01b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.50 (Ebit TTM 6.24b / Interest Expense TTM 378.0m)
EV/FCF = 28.17x (Enterprise Value 123.12b / FCF TTM 4.37b)
FCF Yield = 3.55% (FCF TTM 4.37b / Enterprise Value 123.12b)
FCF Margin = 4.75% (FCF TTM 4.37b / Revenue TTM 91.93b)
Net Margin = 4.88% (Net Income TTM 4.48b / Revenue TTM 91.93b)
Gross Margin = 24.41% ((Revenue TTM 91.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.98% (prev 26.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 123.12b / Total Assets 94.73b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.32% (Interest Expense 135.0m / Debt 42.02b)
Taxrate = 16.39% (207.0m / 1.26b)
NOPAT = 5.21b (EBIT 6.24b * (1 - 16.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 25.48b / Total Current Liabilities 17.29b)
Debt / Equity = 1.41 (Debt 42.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 29.80b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.22 (Net Debt 34.01b / EBITDA 10.57b)
Debt / FCF = 7.78 (Net Debt 34.01b / FCF TTM 4.37b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.45b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.99% (Net Income 4.48b / Total Assets 94.73b)
RoE = 15.76% (Net Income TTM 4.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 28.45b)
RoCE = 13.10% (EBIT 6.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 28.45b + L.T.Debt 19.15b))
RoIC = 10.65% (NOPAT 5.21b / Invested Capital 48.98b)
WACC = 6.10% (E(89.10b)/V(131.12b) * Re(8.85%) + D(42.02b)/V(131.12b) * Rd(0.32%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 8.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 87.14% ; FCFF base≈4.00b ; Y1≈4.54b ; Y5≈6.23b
[DCF] Fair Price = 598.0 (EV 176.69b - Net Debt 34.01b = Equity 142.68b / Shares 238.6m; r=6.10% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.97% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 24.71 | EPS CAGR: -6.92% | SUE: 1.94 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -5.67 | Revenue CAGR: -0.43% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: 5
EPS next Quarter (2026-08-31): EPS=4.44 | Chg7d=-0.042 | Chg30d=-0.023 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=16
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=22.35 | Chg7d=+0.038 | Chg30d=+0.625 | Revisions Net=+23 | Growth EPS=+13.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.33 (5 Up / 10 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.8% (Discount Rate 8.8% - Earnings Yield 5.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +1.7% (Analyst 5.5% - Implied 3.8%)