FDX Stock Analysis: FedEx | NYSE
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 67.472m USD | 12M Return: 51.2% | US31428X1063 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 488M
EPS Trend: 91.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 71.9%
Qual. Beats: 6
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) is a U.S.-based global transportation, e-commerce, and business services company headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, and founded in 1971. It operates through two reported segments, Express U.S. Domestic and Express International, providing integrated express delivery, ground shipping, freight forwarding, and a wide range of e-commerce and document solutions to customers across the United States and internationally.
The companys service portfolio spans three broad categories. First, retail and small-business offerings, including digital printing, document and packing services, direct mail, signs and graphics, passport processing, digital notarization, and retail access points for package drop-off. Second, logistics and freight services such as air and ocean cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage, and trade management tools. Third, third-party supply chain solutions covering warehousing, fulfillment, contract packaging, systems integration, returns processing, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation, along with shared corporate support functions in sales, marketing, IT, and administration.
FedEx sits within the Industrials sector and the Air Freight & Logistics sub-industry, a segment characterized by asset-heavy networks of aircraft, vehicles, and sortation facilities. The industry business model typically relies on time-definite delivery premiums, volume-based pricing, and cross-border trade flows, with profitability heavily influenced by fuel costs, labor, and capacity utilization across global supply chains. FedEx is a long-standing public company, having listed on the NYSE in 1978.
- DRIVE cost savings program targets $4B in annual savings
- E-commerce parcel volumes face pressure from Amazon Logistics competition
- FedEx Freight spin-off plan could unlock shareholder value
| Net Income: 4.43b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.77 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.49% < 20% (prev 3.38%; Δ 6.11% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 8.93b > Net Income 4.43b |
| Net Debt (46.9b) to EBITDA (10.6b): 4.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.48 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (241.0m) vs 12m ago 1.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.90% > 18% (prev 21.60%; Δ 1.30% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 101.5% > 50% (prev 100.3%; Δ 1.20% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.74 > 6 (EBIT TTM 6.25b / Interest Expense TTM 532.0m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 27.9b - Total Current Liabilities 18.9b) / Total Assets 98.9b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 44.5b / Total Assets 98.9b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 6.25b / Avg Total Assets 93.3b) |
| D: 0.47 (Book Value of Equity 31.6b / Total Liabilities 67.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.00 = A |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 12.7b/11.4b, Revenue 94.7b/87.9b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 21.60% / 22.90%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 94.7b / 87.9b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 4.43b - CFO 8.93b) / TA 98.9b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 290.36 with a total of 1,459,305 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.58%, over one month by -7.91%, over three months by -6.87% and over the past year by +51.22%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 282.10 (which is 2.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
FedEx has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.03. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FDX.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 356.3 | 22.7% |
P/E Trailing = 15.5024
P/E Forward = 14.2248
P/S = 0.7123
P/B = 2.18
P/EG = 1.2323
Revenue TTM = 94.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.6b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.10b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 60.2b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 17.2b
Net Debt = 46.9b USD (calculated: Debt 60.2b - CCE 13.3b)
Enterprise Value = 114b USD (67.5b + Debt 60.2b - CCE 13.3b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.74 (Ebit TTM 6.25b / Interest Expense TTM 532.0m)
EV/FCF = 22.35x (Enterprise Value 114b / FCF TTM 5.12b)
FCF Yield = 4.47% (FCF TTM 5.12b / Enterprise Value 114b)
FCF Margin = 5.40% (FCF TTM 5.12b / Revenue TTM 94.7b)
Net Margin = 4.68% (Net Income TTM 4.43b / Revenue TTM 94.7b)
Gross Margin = 22.90% ((Revenue TTM 94.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 73.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.69% (prev 21.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.16 (Enterprise Value 114b / Total Assets 98.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.88% (Interest Expense 532.0m / Debt 60.2b)
Taxrate = 23.47% (1.36b / 5.79b)
NOPAT = 4.78b (EBIT 6.25b * (1 - 23.47%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 27.9b / Total Current Liabilities 18.9b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 60.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 31.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.41 (Net Debt 46.9b / EBITDA 10.6b)
Debt / FCF = 9.16 (Net Debt 46.9b / FCF TTM 5.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 29.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.75% (Net Income 4.43b / Total Assets 98.9b)
RoE = 15.11% (Net Income TTM 4.43b / Total Stockholder Equity 29.3b)
RoCE = 11.87% (EBIT 6.25b / Capital Employed (Equity 29.3b + L.T.Debt 23.3b))
RoIC = 5.95% (NOPAT 4.78b / Invested Capital 80.4b)
WACC = 4.91% (E(67.5b)/V(128b) * Re(8.69%) + D(60.2b)/V(128b) * Rd(0.88%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -76.66 | Cagr: -1.62%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈4.26b ; Y1≈4.89b ; Y5≈7.19b
[DCF] Fair Price = 259.2 (EV 108b - Net Debt 46.9b = Equity 61.3b / Shares 236.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.74 | EPS CAGR: 7.54% | SUE: 0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 71.89 | Revenue CAGR: 1.98% | SUE: 2.86 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=4.41 | Chg30d=+0.71% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-08-31): EPS=3.83 | Chg30d=-12.96% | Revisions=-22% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=17.95 | Chg30d=+1.40% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-1.3% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=19.50 | Chg30d=-12.59% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-3.6% | GrowthRev=-5.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -32% (up=5, down=11)