(FDX) FedEx - Ratings and Ratios
Express, Freight, Ground, Logistics, E-Commerce
FDX EPS (Earnings per Share)
FDX Revenue
Description: FDX FedEx
FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX) operates a global network that delivers time-critical parcels, LTL freight, and integrated logistics services through its Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments. Its portfolio spans express air and ground shipping, e-commerce and digital solutions (including printing, document services, and digital notarization), and third-party logistics such as warehousing, fulfillment, and returns management, supported by a suite of back-office functions.
In FY 2023 the company generated $90.2 billion in revenue, with the Express segment contributing roughly 70 % of total sales and Freight the remaining 30 %. Key performance drivers include a 6.5 % year-over-year increase in total package volume, a 3.2 % rise in average yield per package, and an operating margin of 6.8 % despite higher fuel prices and labor costs. Macro-level factors that materially affect FedEx are e-commerce growth (particularly B2C shipments), supply-chain reshoring trends that boost domestic freight demand, and macro-economic volatility that influences fuel hedging effectiveness and capacity utilization.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of FedEx’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a useful toolkit.
FDX Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 55,921m |
Sub-Industry | Air Freight & Logistics |
IPO / Inception | 1978-04-12 |
FDX Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 11.5% |
Fundamental | 59.4% |
Dividend Rating | 71.7% |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -22.3% |
Analyst Rating | 4.03 of 5 |
FDX Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 2.39% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 2.20% |
Annual Growth 5y | 20.05% |
Payout Consistency | 99.8% |
Payout Ratio | 30.7% |
FDX Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 44.9% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -68.3% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 14.3% |
CAGR 5y | 19.21% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.54 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 1.81 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.27 |
Alpha | -26.73 |
Beta | 1.288 |
Volatility | 33.27% |
Current Volume | 1414.1k |
Average Volume 20d | 1687k |
Stop Loss | 228.8 (-3.4%) |
Signal | 0.43 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
Net Income (4.12b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.32b TTM) |
FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.12pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 4.31% (prev 4.55%; Δ -0.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 7.57b > Net Income 4.12b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (31.74b) to EBITDA (10.14b) ratio: 3.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.25 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (243.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 23.03% (prev 21.25%; Δ 1.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 101.2% (prev 101.0%; Δ 0.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 12.71 (EBITDA TTM 10.14b / Interest Expense TTM 461.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.96
(A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 19.34b - Total Current Liabilities 15.52b) / Total Assets 88.42b |
(B) 0.47 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 41.54b / Total Assets 88.42b |
(C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 5.86b / Avg Total Assets 87.56b |
(D) 0.66 = Book Value of Equity 40.20b / Total Liabilities 60.65b |
Total Rating: 2.96 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.41
1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
2. FCF Yield 4.17% = 2.08 |
3. FCF Margin 4.12% = 1.03 |
4. Debt/Equity 1.36 = 1.64 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 3.13 = -1.94 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.42)% = 3.02 |
7. RoE 15.12% = 1.26 |
8. Rev. Trend -15.65% = -1.17 |
9. EPS Trend 39.88% = 1.99 |
What is the price of FDX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.04%, over one month by +4.04%, over three months by +4.23% and over the past year by -10.79%.
Is FedEx a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of FDX is around 224.09 USD . This means that FDX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.41%.
Is FDX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the FDX price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 266 | 12.3% |
Analysts Target Price | 266 | 12.3% |
ValueRay Target Price | 245.4 | 3.6% |
Last update: 2025-10-11 05:01
FDX Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 13.8921
P/E Forward = 13.3869
P/S = 0.6312
P/B = 2.0589
P/EG = 1.0794
Beta = 1.288
Revenue TTM = 88.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.86b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.14b USD
Long Term Debt = 20.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.47b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 37.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 31.74b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 87.66b USD (55.92b + Debt 37.91b - CCE 6.17b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.71 (Ebit TTM 5.86b / Interest Expense TTM 461.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.17% (FCF TTM 3.65b / Enterprise Value 87.66b)
FCF Margin = 4.12% (FCF TTM 3.65b / Revenue TTM 88.59b)
Net Margin = 4.65% (Net Income TTM 4.12b / Revenue TTM 88.59b)
Gross Margin = 23.03% ((Revenue TTM 88.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 68.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.01% (prev 23.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 87.66b / Total Assets 88.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.31% (Interest Expense 119.0m / Debt 37.91b)
Taxrate = 27.34% (310.0m / 1.13b)
NOPAT = 4.26b (EBIT 5.86b * (1 - 27.34%))
Current Ratio = 1.25 (Total Current Assets 19.34b / Total Current Liabilities 15.52b)
Debt / Equity = 1.36 (Debt 37.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 27.77b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.13 (Net Debt 31.74b / EBITDA 10.14b)
Debt / FCF = 8.69 (Net Debt 31.74b / FCF TTM 3.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 27.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.66% (Net Income 4.12b / Total Assets 88.42b)
RoE = 15.12% (Net Income TTM 4.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 27.25b)
RoCE = 12.33% (EBIT 5.86b / Capital Employed (Equity 27.25b + L.T.Debt 20.29b))
RoIC = 8.92% (NOPAT 4.26b / Invested Capital 47.73b)
WACC = 6.51% (E(55.92b)/V(93.83b) * Re(10.76%) + D(37.91b)/V(93.83b) * Rd(0.31%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.01% ; FCFE base≈3.24b ; Y1≈3.24b ; Y5≈3.44b
Fair Price DCF = 168.5 (DCF Value 39.75b / Shares Outstanding 236.0m; 5y FCF grow -0.49% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 39.88 | EPS CAGR: 7.00% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -15.65 | Revenue CAGR: -0.92% | SUE: 2.01 | # QB: 3
Additional Sources for FDX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle