(FE) FirstEnergy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Transmission, Distribution, Coal, Nuclear, Renewables
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.51% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.06% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 66.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 15.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 25.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.16% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.99 |
| Alpha | 17.88 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.42 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.584 |
| Beta | 0.100 |
| Beta Downside | 0.104 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.48% |
| Mean DD | 5.53% |
| Median DD | 5.30% |
Description: FE FirstEnergy December 17, 2025
FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE: FE) is a regulated electric utility that generates, transmits, and distributes electricity across six states-Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, Maryland, and New York. The firm operates three business segments (Distribution, Integrated, and Stand-Alone Transmission) and owns a diversified generation fleet that includes coal, nuclear, hydro, wind, and solar assets, as well as 252,244 distribution miles and 24,143 transmission miles of overhead and underground lines.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 reported revenue of roughly $9.8 billion and a regulated return on equity (ROE) of about 9 %, reflecting the typical utility earnings profile. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to state-level rate cases and federal policy on carbon emissions, with the ongoing transition to renewable energy and FERC Order 2222 creating both head-room for new clean-energy contracts and potential compliance costs. Capital-intensive infrastructure upgrades-estimated at $1.2 billion over the next five years-are a primary driver of cash-flow needs and credit quality.
For a deeper, data-driven look at FirstEnergy’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytical tools available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 1.33b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -9.83% < 20% (prev -17.89%; Δ 8.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 3.61b > Net Income 1.33b |
| Net Debt (26.04b) to EBITDA (4.59b): 5.67 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.75 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (580.0m) vs 12m ago 0.52% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 65.39% > 18% (prev 0.67%; Δ 6472 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 27.14% > 50% (prev 26.48%; Δ 0.65% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.83 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4.59b / Interest Expense TTM 1.06b) |
Altman Z'' 0.24
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 4.21b - Total Current Liabilities 5.63b) / Total Assets 55.88b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 340.0m / Total Assets 55.88b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 2.99b / Avg Total Assets 53.32b) |
| D: 0.01 (Book Value of Equity 384.0m / Total Liabilities 41.70b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.24 = B |
Beneish M -3.04
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 1.86b/1.78b, Revenue 14.47b/13.44b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 65.39% / 67.23%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.15) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 14.47b / 13.44b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 1.33b - CFO 3.61b) / TA 55.88b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.04 = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.76
| 1. Piotroski: 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 4.33% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 15.99% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 2.15 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 5.67 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 3.21% |
| 7. RoE: 10.50% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 75.57% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -20.09% |
What is the price of FE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.65%, over one month by +4.30%, over three months by +1.07% and over the past year by +24.32%.
Is FE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 50 | 7.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 50 | 7.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 53.4 | 14.7% |
FE Fundamental Data Overview January 20, 2026
P/E Forward = 17.2414
P/S = 1.9146
P/B = 2.1368
P/EG = 1.206
Revenue TTM = 14.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.99b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.59b USD
Long Term Debt = 25.51b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.96b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 27.47b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 26.04b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 53.41b USD (27.35b + Debt 27.47b - CCE 1.40b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.83 (Ebit TTM 2.99b / Interest Expense TTM 1.06b)
EV/FCF = 23.08x (Enterprise Value 53.41b / FCF TTM 2.31b)
FCF Yield = 4.33% (FCF TTM 2.31b / Enterprise Value 53.41b)
FCF Margin = 15.99% (FCF TTM 2.31b / Revenue TTM 14.47b)
Net Margin = 9.19% (Net Income TTM 1.33b / Revenue TTM 14.47b)
Gross Margin = 65.39% ((Revenue TTM 14.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.34% (prev 66.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.96 (Enterprise Value 53.41b / Total Assets 55.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 312.0m / Debt 27.47b)
Taxrate = 12.79% (78.0m / 610.0m)
NOPAT = 2.61b (EBIT 2.99b * (1 - 12.79%))
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 4.21b / Total Current Liabilities 5.63b)
Debt / Equity = 2.15 (Debt 27.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.80b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.67 (Net Debt 26.04b / EBITDA 4.59b)
Debt / FCF = 11.25 (Net Debt 26.04b / FCF TTM 2.31b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.49% (Net Income 1.33b / Total Assets 55.88b)
RoE = 10.50% (Net Income TTM 1.33b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.67b)
RoCE = 7.84% (EBIT 2.99b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.67b + L.T.Debt 25.51b))
RoIC = 6.83% (NOPAT 2.61b / Invested Capital 38.19b)
WACC = 3.63% (E(27.35b)/V(54.82b) * Re(6.28%) + D(27.47b)/V(54.82b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 6.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.49%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈2.31b ; Y1≈1.52b ; Y5≈693.1m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 22.08b - Net Debt 26.04b = -3.96b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -20.09 | EPS CAGR: -47.24% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 75.57 | Revenue CAGR: 12.58% | SUE: 1.50 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.72 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+7.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
Additional Sources for FE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle