(FERG) Ferguson - Ratings and Ratios
Plumbing, HVAC, Pipe, Valves, Fittings
FERG EPS (Earnings per Share)
FERG Revenue
Description: FERG Ferguson September 29, 2025
Ferguson Enterprises Inc., the operating subsidiary of Ferguson Plc (NYSE:FERG), is the largest U.S. distributor of plumbing, heating, and HVAC products, serving both residential and non-residential markets across the United States and Canada.
The firm’s product portfolio spans infrastructure-grade pipe, valves, and fittings; residential and commercial appliances; fire-protection equipment; and specialized water- and wastewater-treatment solutions. In addition to catalog sales, Ferguson offers value-added services such as virtual design, custom fabrication, valve actuation, pre-assembly/kitting, project management, and post-sale support (warranty, credit, maintenance, and repair).
Distribution is executed through a hybrid network of 1,300+ branches, regional distribution centers, specialist sales teams, showroom consultants, and an expanding e-commerce platform that now accounts for roughly 12% of total sales and is growing at double-digit rates year-over-year.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (FY 2023) show revenue of $10.9 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 5.2%, and a 3-year compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5% in net sales, driven largely by strong housing-starts activity and sustained demand for HVAC upgrades in both new construction and retro-fit projects.
Sector-level drivers that materially affect Ferguson’s outlook include: (1) U.S. residential construction spending, which has risen 6% YoY and is projected to remain above trend as mortgage rates stabilize; (2) Federal and state water-infrastructure investment plans, earmarking $55 billion over the next decade, which underpins demand for the company’s water-treatment and pipe-fitting lines; and (3) the ongoing shift toward digital procurement, prompting distributors to accelerate e-commerce and omnichannel capabilities.
While Ferguson’s scale and service breadth provide a competitive moat, the business remains exposed to cyclical construction demand, input-cost volatility (e.g., copper and steel prices), and the need for continual technology investment to sustain e-commerce growth.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Ferguson’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful for independent exploration.
FERG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 45,403m |
| Sub-Industry | Trading Companies & Distributors |
| IPO / Inception | 2010-01-05 |
FERG Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 83.3% |
| Fundamental | 75.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 33.5% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 7.97% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
FERG Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.33% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.57% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 3.80% |
| Payout Consistency | 88.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 33.4% |
FERG Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 59.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 62.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 83.7% |
| CAGR 5y | 33.63% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.02 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 4.69 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.05 |
| Alpha | 10.62 |
| Beta | 1.092 |
| Volatility | 28.43% |
| Current Volume | 1957.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1495.1k |
| Stop Loss | 241.6 (-3%) |
| Signal | 0.83 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (1.86b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.85b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 13.39% (prev 14.15%; Δ -0.77pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.92b > Net Income 1.86b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.45b) to EBITDA (3.06b) ratio: 1.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (199.2m) change vs 12m ago -1.53% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.67% (prev 30.55%; Δ 0.12pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 179.4% (prev 178.8%; Δ 0.54pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.14 (EBITDA TTM 3.06b / Interest Expense TTM 190.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.33
| (A) 0.23 = (Total Current Assets 10.15b - Total Current Liabilities 6.03b) / Total Assets 17.73b |
| (B) 0.38 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.78b / Total Assets 17.73b |
| (C) 0.16 = EBIT TTM 2.69b / Avg Total Assets 17.15b |
| (D) 0.49 = Book Value of Equity 5.80b / Total Liabilities 11.90b |
| Total Rating: 4.33 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 75.13
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.24% = 1.62 |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.25% = 1.31 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.88 = 2.13 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.45 = 1.04 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 13.27)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 32.99% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 27.82% = 2.09 |
| 9. EPS Trend 8.82% = 0.44 |
What is the price of FERG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.16%, over one month by +10.44%, over three months by +11.80% and over the past year by +27.78%.
Is Ferguson a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of FERG is around 282.99 USD . This means that FERG is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +13.57% (Margin of Safety).
Is FERG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FERG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 252.2 | 1.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 252.2 | 1.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 317.2 | 27.3% |
FERG Fundamental Data Overview October 13, 2025
P/E Trailing = 24.8092
P/E Forward = 21.322
P/S = 1.476
P/B = 7.969
P/EG = 1.5972
Beta = 1.092
Revenue TTM = 30.76b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.69b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.06b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 405.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.12b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.45b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 49.85b USD (45.40b + Debt 5.12b - CCE 674.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.14 (Ebit TTM 2.69b / Interest Expense TTM 190.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.24% (FCF TTM 1.62b / Enterprise Value 49.85b)
FCF Margin = 5.25% (FCF TTM 1.62b / Revenue TTM 30.76b)
Net Margin = 6.03% (Net Income TTM 1.86b / Revenue TTM 30.76b)
Gross Margin = 30.67% ((Revenue TTM 30.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.71% (prev 30.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.81 (Enterprise Value 49.85b / Total Assets 17.73b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.98% (Interest Expense 50.0m / Debt 5.12b)
Taxrate = 19.72% (172.0m / 872.0m)
NOPAT = 2.16b (EBIT 2.69b * (1 - 19.72%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 10.15b / Total Current Liabilities 6.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.88 (Debt 5.12b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.83b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.45 (Net Debt 4.45b / EBITDA 3.06b)
Debt / FCF = 2.75 (Net Debt 4.45b / FCF TTM 1.62b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.47% (Net Income 1.86b / Total Assets 17.73b)
RoE = 32.99% (Net Income TTM 1.86b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.63b)
RoCE = 28.64% (EBIT 2.69b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.63b + L.T.Debt 3.75b))
RoIC = 22.37% (NOPAT 2.16b / Invested Capital 9.64b)
WACC = 9.10% (E(45.40b)/V(50.52b) * Re(10.04%) + D(5.12b)/V(50.52b) * Rd(0.98%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 10.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.33%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow 1.62b)
EPS Correlation: 8.82 | EPS CAGR: 6.19% | SUE: 2.14 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 27.82 | Revenue CAGR: 2.54% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for FERG Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle