(FERG) Ferguson - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: JE00BJVNSS43
Stock: Plumbing, HVAC, Waterworks, Industrial Supplies
Total Rating 60
Risk 88
Buy Signal -1.01
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.60% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.05 |
| Alpha | 16.97 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.321 |
| Beta Downside | 1.280 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.92% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.65 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: FERG Ferguson March 05, 2026
Ferguson Plc (FERG) operates as a distributor of plumbing, HVAC, and waterworks products in the US and Canada.
The company serves residential and non-residential markets, providing a range of products including pipe, valves, and fittings. Distribution businesses often rely on extensive logistics networks to manage inventory and delivery.
FERG also offers customized services such as virtual design, fabrication, and project management. This value-added service model helps differentiate distributors in competitive markets.
Sales channels include distribution centers, branches, and e-commerce platforms. To learn more about FERGs market position, further research on ValueRay is recommended.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income: 2.07b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.80 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.88% < 20% (prev 13.94%; Δ -0.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 2.01b > Net Income 2.07b |
| Net Debt (4.86b) to EBITDA (3.32b): 1.46 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.86 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (195.9m) vs 12m ago -1.95% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.72% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 3042 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 188.7% > 50% (prev 180.9%; Δ 7.85% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.46 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.32b / Interest Expense TTM 190.0m) |
Altman Z'' 5.23
| A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 9.54b - Total Current Liabilities 5.12b) / Total Assets 17.15b |
| B: 0.40 (Retained Earnings 6.78b / Total Assets 17.15b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 2.94b / Avg Total Assets 16.84b) |
| D: 1.03 (Book Value of Equity 11.64b / Total Liabilities 11.29b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.23 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.03
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 3.31b/3.20b, Revenue 31.78b/29.90b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 30.72% / 30.35%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 31.78b / 29.90b) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 2.07b - CFO 2.01b) / TA 17.15b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of FERG shares?
As of March 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 230.24 with a total of 1,825,196 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.38%, over one month by -12.05%, over three months by -5.60% and over the past year by +40.75%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.38%, over one month by -12.05%, over three months by -5.60% and over the past year by +40.75%.
Is FERG a buy, sell or hold?
Ferguson has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy FERG.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FERG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 261.7 | 13.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 261.7 | 13.6% |
FERG Fundamental Data Overview March 03, 2026
P/E Trailing = 25.4362
P/E Forward = 23.0947
P/S = 1.6999
P/B = 8.6412
P/EG = 1.8748
Revenue TTM = 31.78b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.94b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.32b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 847.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 55.32b USD (50.46b + Debt 5.41b - CCE 557.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.46 (Ebit TTM 2.94b / Interest Expense TTM 190.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.33x (Enterprise Value 55.32b / FCF TTM 1.66b)
FCF Yield = 3.00% (FCF TTM 1.66b / Enterprise Value 55.32b)
FCF Margin = 5.22% (FCF TTM 1.66b / Revenue TTM 31.78b)
Net Margin = 6.51% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 31.78b)
Gross Margin = 30.72% ((Revenue TTM 31.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.43% (prev 30.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.23 (Enterprise Value 55.32b / Total Assets 17.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 48.0m / Debt 5.41b)
Taxrate = 27.15% (145.0m / 534.0m)
NOPAT = 2.14b (EBIT 2.94b * (1 - 27.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.86 (Total Current Assets 9.54b / Total Current Liabilities 5.12b)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 5.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.46 (Net Debt 4.86b / EBITDA 3.32b)
Debt / FCF = 2.93 (Net Debt 4.86b / FCF TTM 1.66b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.29% (Net Income 2.07b / Total Assets 17.15b)
RoE = 35.56% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.82b)
RoCE = 30.70% (EBIT 2.94b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.82b + L.T.Debt 3.75b))
RoIC = 21.55% (NOPAT 2.14b / Invested Capital 9.93b)
WACC = 8.79% (E(50.46b)/V(55.87b) * Re(9.66%) + D(5.41b)/V(55.87b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.37% ; FCFF base≈1.52b ; Y1≈1.75b ; Y5≈2.45b
[DCF] Fair Price = 156.5 (EV 36.27b - Net Debt 4.86b = Equity 31.42b / Shares 200.7m; r=8.79% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 17.66% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 7.89 | EPS CAGR: 10.25% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 24.09 | Revenue CAGR: 0.76% | SUE: -3.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=3.39 | Chg7d=+0.644 | Chg30d=+0.644 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=10.33 | Chg7d=+0.099 | Chg30d=+0.099 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+10.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.20 | Chg7d=-0.019 | Chg30d=-0.018 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+6.8% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (1 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 5.7% (Discount Rate 9.7% - Earnings Yield 3.9%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +2.3% (Analyst 8.0% - Implied 5.7%)
P/E Forward = 23.0947
P/S = 1.6999
P/B = 8.6412
P/EG = 1.8748
Revenue TTM = 31.78b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.94b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.32b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 847.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 55.32b USD (50.46b + Debt 5.41b - CCE 557.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.46 (Ebit TTM 2.94b / Interest Expense TTM 190.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.33x (Enterprise Value 55.32b / FCF TTM 1.66b)
FCF Yield = 3.00% (FCF TTM 1.66b / Enterprise Value 55.32b)
FCF Margin = 5.22% (FCF TTM 1.66b / Revenue TTM 31.78b)
Net Margin = 6.51% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 31.78b)
Gross Margin = 30.72% ((Revenue TTM 31.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.43% (prev 30.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.23 (Enterprise Value 55.32b / Total Assets 17.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 48.0m / Debt 5.41b)
Taxrate = 27.15% (145.0m / 534.0m)
NOPAT = 2.14b (EBIT 2.94b * (1 - 27.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.86 (Total Current Assets 9.54b / Total Current Liabilities 5.12b)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 5.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.46 (Net Debt 4.86b / EBITDA 3.32b)
Debt / FCF = 2.93 (Net Debt 4.86b / FCF TTM 1.66b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.29% (Net Income 2.07b / Total Assets 17.15b)
RoE = 35.56% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.82b)
RoCE = 30.70% (EBIT 2.94b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.82b + L.T.Debt 3.75b))
RoIC = 21.55% (NOPAT 2.14b / Invested Capital 9.93b)
WACC = 8.79% (E(50.46b)/V(55.87b) * Re(9.66%) + D(5.41b)/V(55.87b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.37% ; FCFF base≈1.52b ; Y1≈1.75b ; Y5≈2.45b
[DCF] Fair Price = 156.5 (EV 36.27b - Net Debt 4.86b = Equity 31.42b / Shares 200.7m; r=8.79% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 17.66% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 7.89 | EPS CAGR: 10.25% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 24.09 | Revenue CAGR: 0.76% | SUE: -3.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=3.39 | Chg7d=+0.644 | Chg30d=+0.644 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=10.33 | Chg7d=+0.099 | Chg30d=+0.099 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+10.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.20 | Chg7d=-0.019 | Chg30d=-0.018 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+6.8% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (1 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 5.7% (Discount Rate 9.7% - Earnings Yield 3.9%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +2.3% (Analyst 8.0% - Implied 5.7%)