(FERG) Ferguson - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: JE00BJVNSS43
Plumbing, Pipe, HVAC, Valves, Fittings
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.67% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.19% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -12.22% |
| Payout Consistency | 88.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 32.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.02% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.01 |
| Alpha | 24.62 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.70 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.399 |
| Beta | 0.942 |
| Beta Downside | 0.605 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.92% |
| Mean DD | 7.39% |
| Median DD | 4.51% |
Description: FERG Ferguson December 04, 2025
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:FERG) is the largest U.S.-based wholesale distributor of plumbing, HVAC, lighting, and water-treatment products, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers across the United States and Canada.
The company reaches end-users through a blended network of 1,300+ distribution centers, branch locations, showroom consultants, and an expanding e-commerce platform, offering value-added services such as virtual design, pre-assembly kitting, valve actuation, and full-service project management.
In FY 2023 Ferguson reported revenue of roughly $9.5 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.2%, driven by steady growth in new-home construction (≈4% YoY) and a 5% CAGR outlook for the HVAC and water-infrastructure markets through 2028. The firm’s cash-flow generation remains robust, supporting ongoing investments in digital fulfillment and supply-chain automation.
For a deeper, data-rich look at Ferguson’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (1.96b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.87b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.65pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.05% (prev 13.08%; Δ 1.96pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.01b > Net Income 1.96b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.49b) to EBITDA (3.15b) ratio: 1.74 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.88 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (196.6m) change vs 12m ago -2.33% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.81% (prev 30.51%; Δ 0.30pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 180.4% (prev 176.2%; Δ 4.19pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.60 (EBITDA TTM 3.15b / Interest Expense TTM 190.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.68
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 10.03b - Total Current Liabilities 5.34b) / Total Assets 17.69b |
| (B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.12b / Total Assets 17.69b |
| (C) 0.16 = EBIT TTM 2.77b / Avg Total Assets 17.28b |
| (D) 0.53 = Book Value of Equity 6.14b / Total Liabilities 11.64b |
| Total Rating: 4.68 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.92
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.99% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.33% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.99 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.74 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 13.97)% |
| 7. RoE 34.15% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 42.26% |
| 9. EPS Trend 7.89% |
What is the price of FERG shares?
As of January 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 242.62 with a total of 977,957 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.20%, over one month by +6.05%, over three months by +0.65% and over the past year by +35.28%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.20%, over one month by +6.05%, over three months by +0.65% and over the past year by +35.28%.
Is FERG a buy, sell or hold?
Ferguson has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy FERG.
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FERG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 261.5 | 7.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 261.5 | 7.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 296.8 | 22.3% |
FERG Fundamental Data Overview January 21, 2026
P/E Trailing = 25.1769
P/E Forward = 22.2222
P/S = 1.6045
P/B = 8.2515
P/EG = 1.6852
Revenue TTM = 31.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.12b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 461.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.02b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.49b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 55.48b USD (49.99b + Debt 6.02b - CCE 526.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.60 (Ebit TTM 2.77b / Interest Expense TTM 190.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.43x (Enterprise Value 55.48b / FCF TTM 1.66b)
FCF Yield = 2.99% (FCF TTM 1.66b / Enterprise Value 55.48b)
FCF Margin = 5.33% (FCF TTM 1.66b / Revenue TTM 31.16b)
Net Margin = 6.28% (Net Income TTM 1.96b / Revenue TTM 31.16b)
Gross Margin = 30.81% ((Revenue TTM 31.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.68% (prev 31.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.14 (Enterprise Value 55.48b / Total Assets 17.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.76% (Interest Expense 46.0m / Debt 6.02b)
Taxrate = 19.94% (142.0m / 712.0m)
NOPAT = 2.22b (EBIT 2.77b * (1 - 19.94%))
Current Ratio = 1.88 (Total Current Assets 10.03b / Total Current Liabilities 5.34b)
Debt / Equity = 0.99 (Debt 6.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.06b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.74 (Net Debt 5.49b / EBITDA 3.15b)
Debt / FCF = 3.31 (Net Debt 5.49b / FCF TTM 1.66b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.32% (Net Income 1.96b / Total Assets 17.69b)
RoE = 34.15% (Net Income TTM 1.96b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.73b)
RoCE = 28.17% (EBIT 2.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.73b + L.T.Debt 4.12b))
RoIC = 22.41% (NOPAT 2.22b / Invested Capital 9.91b)
WACC = 8.45% (E(49.99b)/V(56.01b) * Re(9.39%) + D(6.02b)/V(56.01b) * Rd(0.76%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.97%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.50% ; FCFF base≈1.52b ; Y1≈1.75b ; Y5≈2.45b
Fair Price DCF = 164.7 (EV 38.54b - Net Debt 5.49b = Equity 33.05b / Shares 200.7m; r=8.45% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 17.66% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 7.89 | EPS CAGR: 10.25% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 42.26 | Revenue CAGR: 6.25% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=3.39 | Chg30d=+0.644 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=10.33 | Chg30d=+0.099 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+10.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.22 | Chg30d=-0.019 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+7.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.5%
P/E Forward = 22.2222
P/S = 1.6045
P/B = 8.2515
P/EG = 1.6852
Revenue TTM = 31.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.12b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 461.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.02b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.49b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 55.48b USD (49.99b + Debt 6.02b - CCE 526.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.60 (Ebit TTM 2.77b / Interest Expense TTM 190.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.43x (Enterprise Value 55.48b / FCF TTM 1.66b)
FCF Yield = 2.99% (FCF TTM 1.66b / Enterprise Value 55.48b)
FCF Margin = 5.33% (FCF TTM 1.66b / Revenue TTM 31.16b)
Net Margin = 6.28% (Net Income TTM 1.96b / Revenue TTM 31.16b)
Gross Margin = 30.81% ((Revenue TTM 31.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.68% (prev 31.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.14 (Enterprise Value 55.48b / Total Assets 17.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.76% (Interest Expense 46.0m / Debt 6.02b)
Taxrate = 19.94% (142.0m / 712.0m)
NOPAT = 2.22b (EBIT 2.77b * (1 - 19.94%))
Current Ratio = 1.88 (Total Current Assets 10.03b / Total Current Liabilities 5.34b)
Debt / Equity = 0.99 (Debt 6.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.06b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.74 (Net Debt 5.49b / EBITDA 3.15b)
Debt / FCF = 3.31 (Net Debt 5.49b / FCF TTM 1.66b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.32% (Net Income 1.96b / Total Assets 17.69b)
RoE = 34.15% (Net Income TTM 1.96b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.73b)
RoCE = 28.17% (EBIT 2.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.73b + L.T.Debt 4.12b))
RoIC = 22.41% (NOPAT 2.22b / Invested Capital 9.91b)
WACC = 8.45% (E(49.99b)/V(56.01b) * Re(9.39%) + D(6.02b)/V(56.01b) * Rd(0.76%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.97%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.50% ; FCFF base≈1.52b ; Y1≈1.75b ; Y5≈2.45b
Fair Price DCF = 164.7 (EV 38.54b - Net Debt 5.49b = Equity 33.05b / Shares 200.7m; r=8.45% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 17.66% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 7.89 | EPS CAGR: 10.25% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 42.26 | Revenue CAGR: 6.25% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=3.39 | Chg30d=+0.644 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=10.33 | Chg30d=+0.099 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+10.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.22 | Chg30d=-0.019 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+7.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.5%
Additional Sources for FERG Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle