(FERG) Ferguson - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Distribution | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 50.458m USD | Total Return: 50.7% in 12m

Stock Plumbing, HVAC, Waterworks, Industrial Supplies
Total Rating 69
Safety 90
Buy Signal -0.54
Industrial Distribution +4.5
Trading Companies & Distributors +1.5
Market Cap: 50,458m
Avg Trading Vol: 273M USD
ATR: 3.09%
Peers RS (IBD): 75.0
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility30.3%
Rel. Tail Risk-6.84%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.18
Alpha25.00
Character TTM
Beta1.296
Beta Downside1.339
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD32.92%
CAGR/Max DD0.70
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FERG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-04": 0, "2021-07": 4.62, "2021-10": 2.5, "2022-01": 1.97, "2022-04": 2.5, "2022-07": 2.85, "2022-10": 2.95, "2023-01": 1.91, "2023-04": 2.2, "2023-07": 2.77, "2023-10": 2.65, "2024-01": 1.74, "2024-04": 2.32, "2024-07": 2.98, "2024-10": 2.45, "2025-01": 1.52, "2025-04": 2.5, "2025-07": 3.48, "2025-10": 2.84, "2026-01": null,
EPS CAGR: 10.25%
EPS Trend: 7.9%
Last SUE: 0.36
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FERG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-04: 5916, 2021-07: 6567, 2021-10: 6803, 2022-01: 6508, 2022-04: 7284, 2022-07: 7971, 2022-10: 7931, 2023-01: 6825, 2023-04: 7140, 2023-07: 7838, 2023-10: 7708, 2024-01: 6673, 2024-04: 7308, 2024-07: 7946, 2024-10: 7772, 2025-01: 6872, 2025-04: 7621, 2025-07: 8497, 2025-10: 8169, 2026-01: 7495,
Rev. CAGR: 0.76%
Rev. Trend: 24.1%
Last SUE: -3.17
Qual. Beats: 0
Description: FERG Ferguson

Ferguson Plc (FERG) operates as a distributor of plumbing, HVAC, and waterworks products in the US and Canada.

The company serves residential and non-residential markets, providing a range of products including pipe, valves, and fittings. Distribution businesses often rely on extensive logistics networks to manage inventory and delivery.

FERG also offers customized services such as virtual design, fabrication, and project management. This value-added service model helps differentiate distributors in competitive markets.

Sales channels include distribution centers, branches, and e-commerce platforms. To learn more about FERGs market position, further research on ValueRay is recommended.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Residential and non-residential construction spending drives demand
  • HVAC and plumbing product sales are primary revenue sources
  • Raw material and transportation costs impact profitability
  • Interest rate hikes reduce construction project viability
  • Regulatory changes in water and wastewater affect demand
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 2.07b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.67 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 13.88% < 20% (prev 13.94%; Δ -0.06% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.08b > Net Income 2.07b
Net Debt (4.86b) to EBITDA (3.32b): 1.46 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.86 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (195.9m) vs 12m ago -1.95% < -2%
Gross Margin: 30.72% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 3.04k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 188.7% > 50% (prev 180.9%; Δ 7.85% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.46 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.32b / Interest Expense TTM 190.0m)
Altman Z'' 5.23
A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 9.54b - Total Current Liabilities 5.12b) / Total Assets 17.15b
B: 0.40 (Retained Earnings 6.78b / Total Assets 17.15b)
C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 2.94b / Avg Total Assets 16.84b)
D: 1.03 (Book Value of Equity 11.64b / Total Liabilities 11.29b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 5.23 = AAA
Beneish M -2.97
DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 3.31b/3.20b, Revenue 31.78b/29.90b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 30.72% / 30.35%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.23)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 31.78b / 29.90b)
TATA: 0.06 (NI 2.07b - CFO 1.08b) / TA 17.15b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of FERG shares? As of April 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 233.26 with a total of 1,309,030 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.59%, over one month by -4.85%, over three months by +3.67% and over the past year by +50.68%.
Is FERG a buy, sell or hold? Ferguson has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FERG.
  • StrongBuy: 10
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FERG price?
Wallstreet Target Price 261.7 12.2%
Analysts Target Price 261.7 12.2%
FERG Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 25.4362
P/E Forward = 19.5313
P/S = 1.4652
P/B = 7.7013
P/EG = 1.5853
Revenue TTM = 31.78b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.94b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.32b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 847.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 55.32b USD (50.46b + Debt 5.41b - CCE 557.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.46 (Ebit TTM 2.94b / Interest Expense TTM 190.0m)
EV/FCF = 61.93x (Enterprise Value 55.32b / FCF TTM 893.2m)
FCF Yield = 1.61% (FCF TTM 893.2m / Enterprise Value 55.32b)
FCF Margin = 2.81% (FCF TTM 893.2m / Revenue TTM 31.78b)
Net Margin = 6.51% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 31.78b)
Gross Margin = 30.72% ((Revenue TTM 31.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.43% (prev 30.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.23 (Enterprise Value 55.32b / Total Assets 17.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 48.0m / Debt 5.41b)
Taxrate = 27.15% (145.0m / 534.0m)
NOPAT = 2.14b (EBIT 2.94b * (1 - 27.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.86 (Total Current Assets 9.54b / Total Current Liabilities 5.12b)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 5.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.46 (Net Debt 4.86b / EBITDA 3.32b)
Debt / FCF = 5.44 (Net Debt 4.86b / FCF TTM 893.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.29% (Net Income 2.07b / Total Assets 17.15b)
RoE = 35.56% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.82b)
RoCE = 30.70% (EBIT 2.94b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.82b + L.T.Debt 3.75b))
RoIC = 21.55% (NOPAT 2.14b / Invested Capital 9.93b)
WACC = 9.58% (E(50.46b)/V(55.87b) * Re(10.54%) + D(5.41b)/V(55.87b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.42% ; FCFF base≈1.06b ; Y1≈1.16b ; Y5≈1.49b
[DCF] Fair Price = 74.41 (EV 19.79b - Net Debt 4.86b = Equity 14.93b / Shares 200.7m; r=9.58% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 11.29% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 7.89 | EPS CAGR: 10.25% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 24.09 | Revenue CAGR: 0.76% | SUE: -3.17 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=10.33 | Chg7d=+0.099 | Chg30d=+0.099 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+10.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.20 | Chg7d=-0.019 | Chg30d=-0.018 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+6.8% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (2 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 6.6% (Discount Rate 10.5% - Earnings Yield 3.9%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -2.3% (Analyst 4.3% - Implied 6.6%)
External Resources
Dataroma Stockcircle