(FIX) Comfort Systems USA - Ratings and Ratios
HVAC, Electrical, Plumbing, Monitoring, Fire Protection
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.20% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.96% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 29.63% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 8.3% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 52.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 73.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.37 |
| Alpha | 74.17 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.17 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.461 |
| Beta | 1.771 |
| Beta Downside | 1.529 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.05% |
| Mean DD | 7.31% |
| Median DD | 3.88% |
Description: FIX Comfort Systems USA October 14, 2025
Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE: FIX) is a Houston-based provider of mechanical and electrical (ME) services across the United States, operating through two primary segments-Mechanical and Electrical. Its core offerings include design, engineering, integration, installation, and start-up of heating, ventilation, air-conditioning (HVAC), plumbing, electrical, piping, controls, fire-protection, and off-site construction for new builds, as well as renovation, expansion, maintenance, monitoring, repair, and replacement of those systems in existing commercial, industrial, and institutional facilities.
The firm also delivers remote-monitoring solutions that track power usage, temperature, pressure, humidity, and airflow for building-systems performance optimization. Its customer base spans building owners and developers, general contractors, architects, consulting engineers, and property managers, positioning FIX as a full-service MEP contractor in a market that is highly dependent on construction activity and energy-efficiency retrofits.
Key quantitative highlights (as of FY 2024): Revenue was approximately $2.1 billion, with a trailing-12-month (TTM) EBITDA margin of ~9.5%, reflecting modest profitability given the labor-intensive nature of the business. The company reported a backlog of roughly $1.3 billion, indicating a pipeline that could sustain growth through 2025 if execution remains on target. Year-over-year revenue growth slowed to ~2% in 2024, largely due to a softening in commercial construction spending and persistent skilled-labor shortages.
Sector drivers and macro considerations: The MEP construction market is closely tied to the U.S. construction spending index, which has been trending upward (+3.2% YoY in Q3 2024) thanks to increased federal infrastructure funding and a rebound in office-space upgrades. Additionally, tightening energy-efficiency regulations and the growing adoption of smart-building technologies are expanding demand for retro-fit services-areas where FIX’s remote-monitoring platform provides a competitive edge. However, the industry remains vulnerable to wage inflation for electricians and HVAC technicians, which could compress margins if not offset by price escalations.
For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers granular, real-time metrics on FIX’s valuation multiples and peer comparison, helping you assess whether the current price reflects these underlying fundamentals.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (837.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 499.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.40pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.07% (prev 1.65%; Δ 6.41pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 928.3m > Net Income 837.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-436.8m) to EBITDA (1.22b) ratio: -0.36 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (35.4m) change vs 12m ago -1.09% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 23.49% (prev 20.29%; Δ 3.20pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 163.4% (prev 147.7%; Δ 15.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 137.3 (EBITDA TTM 1.22b / Interest Expense TTM 7.77m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.12
| (A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 3.70b - Total Current Liabilities 3.03b) / Total Assets 5.78b |
| (B) 0.39 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.27b / Total Assets 5.78b |
| (C) 0.21 = EBIT TTM 1.07b / Avg Total Assets 5.10b |
| (D) 0.64 = Book Value of Equity 2.27b / Total Liabilities 3.54b |
| Total Rating: 4.12 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 88.02
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.62% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.60% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.19 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.36 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 29.46)% |
| 7. RoE 43.59% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.84% |
| 9. EPS Trend 98.28% |
What is the price of FIX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.35%, over one month by -0.50%, over three months by +37.34% and over the past year by +93.29%.
Is FIX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FIX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1132.8 | 16.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1132.8 | 16.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1879.1 | 93.5% |
FIX Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 37.0796
P/E Forward = 30.9598
P/S = 3.714
P/B = 14.6954
P/EG = 2.06
Beta = 1.64
Revenue TTM = 8.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.07b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.22b USD
Long Term Debt = 131.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 34.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 423.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -436.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 30.46b USD (30.91b + Debt 423.7m - CCE 881.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 137.3 (Ebit TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 7.77m)
FCF Yield = 2.62% (FCF TTM 798.8m / Enterprise Value 30.46b)
FCF Margin = 9.60% (FCF TTM 798.8m / Revenue TTM 8.32b)
Net Margin = 10.06% (Net Income TTM 837.6m / Revenue TTM 8.32b)
Gross Margin = 23.49% ((Revenue TTM 8.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.80% (prev 23.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.27 (Enterprise Value 30.46b / Total Assets 5.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.70% (Interest Expense 2.97m / Debt 423.7m)
Taxrate = 21.28% (78.8m / 370.5m)
NOPAT = 840.0m (EBIT 1.07b * (1 - 21.28%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 3.70b / Total Current Liabilities 3.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 423.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.36 (Net Debt -436.8m / EBITDA 1.22b)
Debt / FCF = -0.55 (Net Debt -436.8m / FCF TTM 798.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.92b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.50% (Net Income 837.6m / Total Assets 5.78b)
RoE = 43.59% (Net Income TTM 837.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.92b)
RoCE = 51.98% (EBIT 1.07b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.92b + L.T.Debt 131.3m))
RoIC = 41.84% (NOPAT 840.0m / Invested Capital 2.01b)
WACC = 12.38% (E(30.91b)/V(31.34b) * Re(12.54%) + D(423.7m)/V(31.34b) * Rd(0.70%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.68%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.21% ; FCFE base≈765.7m ; Y1≈944.5m ; Y5≈1.61b
Fair Price DCF = 400.6 (DCF Value 14.13b / Shares Outstanding 35.3m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 98.28 | EPS CAGR: 73.72% | SUE: 3.73 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 98.84 | Revenue CAGR: 32.38% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
Additional Sources for FIX Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle