FIX Stock Analysis: Comfort Systems USA | NYSE

Engineering & Construction | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 43.383m USD | 12M Return: 6.5% | US1999081045 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

HVAC Systems, Plumbing, Electrical Installation, Fire Protection
Total Rating 58
Safety 82
Buy Signal 0.03
Engineering & Construction
Industry Rotation: -2.7
Market Cap: 43.4B
Avg Turnover: 831M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility123%
VaR 5th Pctl20.4%
VaR vs Median0.20%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.34
Rel. Str. IBD6.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group18.5 pctl
Character TTM
Beta2.329
Beta Downside1.733
Hurst Exponent0.416
Choppyness64.7%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD53.28%
CAGR/Max DD1.45
CAGR/Mean DD8.28
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FIX over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.27, "2021-12": 1.04, "2022-03": 0.91, "2022-06": 1.17, "2022-09": 1.71, "2022-12": 1.54, "2023-03": 1.51, "2023-06": 1.99, "2023-09": 2.74, "2023-12": 2.55, "2024-03": 2.69, "2024-06": 3.74, "2024-09": 4.09, "2024-12": 4.08, "2025-03": 4.75, "2025-06": 6.53, "2025-09": 8.25, "2025-12": 9.37, "2026-03": 10.51, "2026-06": 12.53, "2026-09": 13.91,
EPS CAGR: 85.26%
EPS Trend: 99.6%
Last SUE: 1.02
Qual. Beats: 8
Revenue Revenue of FIX over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 833.896, 2021-12: 856.084, 2022-03: 885.216, 2022-06: 1017.948, 2022-09: 1120.012, 2022-12: 1117.188, 2023-03: 1174.64, 2023-06: 1296.43, 2023-09: 1378.124, 2023-12: 1357.566, 2024-03: 1537.016, 2024-06: 1810.29, 2024-09: 1812.366, 2024-12: 1867.804, 2025-03: 1831.286, 2025-06: 2173.319, 2025-09: 2450.969, 2025-12: 2646.067, 2026-03: 2865.332, 2026-06: 3265.656, 2026-09: 3766.302,
Rev. CAGR: 35.61%
Rev. Trend: 99.3%
Last SUE: 2.28
Qual. Beats: 8

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence
Garp

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.3% 17
Feb +6.5% 9
Mar -2.0% 21
Apr -0.3% 7
May -0.2% 7
Jun +1.7% 5
Jul +3.1% 10
Aug -1.3% 8
Sep +2.5% 19
Oct +2.4% 16
Nov +0.3% 2
Dec -2.4% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FIX Comfort Systems USA

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE: FIX) is a national provider of mechanical and electrical (M&E) services for commercial, industrial, and institutional buildings across the United States. The company operates through two reportable segments-Mechanical and Electrical-and offers heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), plumbing, piping and controls, off-site construction, monitoring, and fire protection solutions. Its scope spans the full lifecycle of building systems, from design, engineering, integration, and start-up of new construction projects to renovation, expansion, maintenance, monitoring, repair, and replacement of existing systems. The company also provides remote monitoring of power usage, temperature, pressure, humidity, and air flow for building systems, serving building owners and developers, general contractors, architects, consulting engineers, and property managers. Comfort Systems USA was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas, and has been publicly traded since its 1997 IPO.

As part of the Industrials sector within the Construction & Engineering sub-industry, the company operates in a fragmented industry populated by many regional and specialty contractors, where scale, technical expertise, and self-perform capabilities are key competitive differentiators. Demand for its services is driven by non-residential construction cycles, as well as ongoing maintenance, energy efficiency, and building automation needs across the existing U.S. building stock.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Data center and chip fab construction demand accelerates
  • Backlog growth drives multi-quarter revenue visibility
  • Acquisitions expand footprint in high-demand MEP markets
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 1.63b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.25 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.07 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.89% < 20% (prev 8.07%; Δ -1.17% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.31 > 3% & CFO 3.01b > Net Income 1.63b
Net Debt (-1.46b) to EBITDA (2.27b): -0.64 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.15 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.2m) vs 12m ago -0.60% < -2%
Gross Margin: 25.58% > 18% (prev 23.49%; Δ 2.09% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 161.0% > 50% (prev 144.1%; Δ 16.93% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 265.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.10b / Interest Expense TTM 7.91m)
Altman Z'' 4.19
A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 6.78b - Total Current Liabilities 5.91b) / Total Assets 9.81b
B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 3.80b / Total Assets 9.81b)
C: 0.27 (EBIT TTM 2.10b / Avg Total Assets 7.79b)
D: 0.52 (Book Value of Equity 3.34b / Total Liabilities 6.47b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.19 = AA
Beneish M -2.89
DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 4.15b/2.70b, Revenue 12.5b/8.32b)
GMI: 0.92 (GM 23.49% / 25.58%)
AQI: 0.73 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.25)
SGI: 1.51 (Revenue 12.5b / 8.32b)
TATA: -0.14 (NI 1.63b - CFO 3.01b) / TA 9.81b)
Beneish M = -2.89 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of FIX shares?

As of November 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1017.50 with a total of 1,147,153 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -17.45%, over one month by -44.03%, over three months by -40.59% and over the past year by +6.45%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 892.60 (which is 12.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is FIX a buy, sell or hold?

Comfort Systems USA has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.80. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FIX.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FIX price?
Analysts Target Price 1916.9 88.4%
Comfort Systems USA (FIX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 43.4b (43.4b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 26.6233
P/E Forward = 19.685
P/S = 3.4586
P/B = 13.9947
P/EG = 0.4101
Revenue TTM = 12.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.10b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.27b USD
Long Term Debt = 43.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.71m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 699.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 324.9m
Net Debt = -1.46b USD (calculated: Debt 699.3m - CCE 2.16b)
Enterprise Value = 41.9b USD (43.4b + Debt 699.3m - CCE 2.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 265.6 (Ebit TTM 2.10b / Interest Expense TTM 7.91m)
EV/FCF = 17.17x (Enterprise Value 41.9b / FCF TTM 2.44b)
FCF Yield = 5.82% (FCF TTM 2.44b / Enterprise Value 41.9b)
FCF Margin = 19.46% (FCF TTM 2.44b / Revenue TTM 12.5b)
Net Margin = 13.01% (Net Income TTM 1.63b / Revenue TTM 12.5b)
Gross Margin = 25.58% ((Revenue TTM 12.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.81% (prev 25.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.28 (Enterprise Value 41.9b / Total Assets 9.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 7.91m / Debt 699.3m)
Taxrate = 22.37% (470.1m / 2.10b)
NOPAT = 1.63b (EBIT 2.10b * (1 - 22.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 6.78b / Total Current Liabilities 5.91b)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 699.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.64 (Net Debt -1.46b / EBITDA 2.27b)
Debt / FCF = -0.60 (Net Debt -1.46b / FCF TTM 2.44b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.94% (Net Income 1.63b / Total Assets 9.81b)
RoE = 55.24% (Net Income TTM 1.63b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.95b)
RoCE = 70.05% (EBIT 2.10b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.95b + L.T.Debt 43.8m))
RoIC = 49.83% (NOPAT 1.63b / Invested Capital 3.27b)
WACC = 13.25% (E(43.4b)/V(44.1b) * Re(13.45%) + D(699.3m)/V(44.1b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 13.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 12.54%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.13 | Cagr: -0.84%
[DCF] Terminal Value 63.80% ; FCFF base≈1.78b ; Y1≈2.05b ; Y5≈3.01b
[DCF] Fair Price = 727.6 (EV 24.1b - Net Debt -1.46b = Equity 25.6b / Shares 35.2m; r=13.25% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.63 | EPS CAGR: 85.26% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 8
Revenue Correlation: 99.31 | Revenue CAGR: 35.61% | SUE: 2.28 | # QB: 8
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=13.96 | Chg30d=+11.62% | Revisions=+29% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=51.01 | Chg30d=+4.15% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+76.6% | GrowthRev=+50.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=67.06 | Chg30d=+11.43% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+31.5% | GrowthRev=+26.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +76% (up=17, down=1)