FND Stock Analysis: Floor & Decor Holdings | NYSE

Home Improvement Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.228m USD | 12M Return: -38.4% | US3397501012 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Hardwood Flooring, Porcelain Tile, Natural Stone, Vinyl Plank
Total Rating 37
Safety 63
Buy Signal -0.39
Home Improvement Retail
Industry Rotation: -3.9
Market Cap: 5.23B
Avg Turnover: 120M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility51.6%
VaR 5th Pctl8.78%
VaR vs Median3.37%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.90
Rel. Str. IBD6.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group23.1
Character TTM
Beta1.477
Beta Downside1.546
Hurst Exponent0.509
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD67.48%
CAGR/Max DD-0.30
CAGR/Mean DD-0.61
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FND over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.6, "2021-12": 0.44, "2022-03": 0.67, "2022-06": 0.76, "2022-09": 0.7, "2022-12": 0.64, "2023-03": 0.66, "2023-06": 0.66, "2023-09": 0.61, "2023-12": 0.34, "2024-03": 0.46, "2024-06": 0.52, "2024-09": 0.48, "2024-12": 0.44, "2025-03": 0.45, "2025-06": 0.58, "2025-09": 0.53, "2025-12": 0.36, "2026-03": 0.37, "2026-06": 0.58,
EPS CAGR: -7.64%
EPS Trend: -70.3%
Last SUE: 0.15
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FND over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 876.553, 2021-12: 914.335, 2022-03: 1028.734, 2022-06: 1089.846, 2022-09: 1097.824, 2022-12: 1048.069, 2023-03: 1122.052, 2023-06: 1135.899, 2023-09: 1107.812, 2023-12: 1048.121, 2024-03: 1097.289, 2024-06: 1133.139, 2024-09: 1117.926, 2024-12: 1107.416, 2025-03: 1160.74, 2025-06: 1214.15, 2025-09: 1179.527, 2025-12: 1129.671, 2026-03: 1152.278, 2026-06: 1250.27,
Rev. CAGR: 3.05%
Rev. Trend: 93.3%
Last SUE: 1.00
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 9.4 years of data

Jan -5.3% 16
Feb +0.3% 2
Mar -11.8% 16
Apr +0.2% 2
May -3.6% 20
Jun +6.3% 35
Jul +4.0% 25
Aug +4.8% 10
Sep -6.9% 51
Oct -11.1% 34
Nov +2.9% 31
Dec -1.0% 27

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FND Floor & Decor Holdings

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: FND) is a U.S. multi-channel specialty retailer focused on hard surface flooring, related accessories, and commercial surfaces. The company sells a broad assortment that includes laminate and vinyl flooring, ceramic and porcelain tile, natural stone, hardwood, grout, tools, adhesives, and complementary categories such as vanities, faucets, sinks, kitchen cabinets, and bath accessories. Its product range spans materials, installation supplies, and finished home fixtures.

The company operates warehouse-format stores supported by five small-format design studios and an e-commerce site, FloorandDecor.com, giving it an omnichannel footprint. Its customer base covers professional installers, commercial businesses, and homeowners, a mix that aligns it with the broader Home Improvement Retail sub-industry, where warehouse-style stores and pro-customer service are common models. Floor & Decor was founded in 2000, is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, and has been listed on the NYSE since its 2017 IPO under its current name.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Housing market slowdown pressures comparable store sales growth
  • New warehouse store openings fuel revenue expansion across markets
  • Pro installer customer base expands commercial segment revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 232.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.06 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 9.19% < 20% (prev 6.86%; Δ 2.33% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 505.0m > Net Income 232.2m
Net Debt (3.51b) to EBITDA (560.7m): 6.26 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.33 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (108.1m) vs 12m ago -0.19% < -2%
Gross Margin: 44.86% > 18% (prev 43.65%; Δ 1.21% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 84.73% > 50% (prev 85.01%; Δ -0.29% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 20.67 > 6 (EBIT TTM 314.6m / Interest Expense TTM 15.2m)
Altman Z'' 2.78
A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 1.73b - Total Current Liabilities 1.30b) / Total Assets 5.71b
B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 1.90b / Total Assets 5.71b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 314.6m / Avg Total Assets 5.56b)
D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 2.50b / Total Liabilities 3.22b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.78 = A
Beneish M -2.33
DSRI: 1.86 (Receivables 214.9m/112.8m, Revenue 4.71b/4.60b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 43.65% / 44.86%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.08)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 4.71b / 4.60b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 232.2m - CFO 505.0m) / TA 5.71b)
Beneish M = -2.33 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of FND shares?

As of September 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 46.36 with a total of 2,833,601 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.88%, over one month by -12.53%, over three months by -20.81% and over the past year by -38.37%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 43.70 (which is 5.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is FND a buy, sell or hold?

Floor & Decor Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.58. Therefore, it is recommended to hold FND.

  • StrongBuy: 8
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 14
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FND price?
Analysts Target Price 58.6 26.4%
Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.23b (5.23b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 22.1126
P/E Forward = 32.7869
P/S = 1.1095
P/B = 2.016
P/EG = 2.2
Revenue TTM = 4.71b USD
EBIT TTM = 314.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 560.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 193.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 164.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.83b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.82b
Net Debt = 3.51b USD (calculated: Debt 3.83b - CCE 320.6m)
Enterprise Value = 8.74b USD (5.23b + Debt 3.83b - CCE 320.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 20.67 (Ebit TTM 314.6m / Interest Expense TTM 15.2m)
EV/FCF = 41.33x (Enterprise Value 8.74b / FCF TTM 211.4m)
FCF Yield = 2.42% (FCF TTM 211.4m / Enterprise Value 8.74b)
FCF Margin = 4.49% (FCF TTM 211.4m / Revenue TTM 4.71b)
Net Margin = 4.93% (Net Income TTM 232.2m / Revenue TTM 4.71b)
Gross Margin = 44.86% ((Revenue TTM 4.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.60b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.24% (prev 44.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.53 (Enterprise Value 8.74b / Total Assets 5.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.40% (Interest Expense 15.2m / Debt 3.83b)
Taxrate = 22.44% (67.2m / 299.4m)
NOPAT = 244.0m (EBIT 314.6m * (1 - 22.44%))
Current Ratio = 1.33 (Total Current Assets 1.73b / Total Current Liabilities 1.30b)
Debt / Equity = 1.53 (Debt 3.83b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.26 (Net Debt 3.51b / EBITDA 560.7m)
Debt / FCF = 16.60 (Net Debt 3.51b / FCF TTM 211.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.43b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.17% (Net Income 232.2m / Total Assets 5.71b)
RoE = 9.55% (Net Income TTM 232.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.43b)
RoCE = 11.99% (EBIT 314.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.43b + L.T.Debt 193.8m))
RoIC = 5.62% (NOPAT 244.0m / Invested Capital 4.34b)
WACC = 6.58% (E(5.23b)/V(9.06b) * Re(11.18%) + D(3.83b)/V(9.06b) * Rd(0.40%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 11.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 16.91 | Cagr: -0.06%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈140.8m ; Y1≈161.4m ; Y5≈237.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 0.61 (EV 3.57b - Net Debt 3.51b = Equity 65.1m / Shares 106.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -70.30 | EPS CAGR: -7.64% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 93.26 | Revenue CAGR: 3.05% | SUE: 1.00 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.58 | Chg30d=+2.27% | Revisions=+19% | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.98 | Chg30d=+3.84% | Revisions=+80% | GrowthEPS=+2.9% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.20 | Chg30d=+1.61% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=+11.6% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=43, down=16)