FNV Stock Analysis: Franco-Nevada | NYSE

Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 47.225m USD | 12M Return: 16.1% | CA3518581051 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gold, Silver, Platinum, Natural Gas
Total Rating 53
Safety 66
Buy Signal -0.46
Gold
Industry Rotation: -36.7
Market Cap: 47.2B
Avg Turnover: 152M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.0%
VaR 5th Pctl5.83%
VaR vs Median10.8%
Choppyness73.1%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.47
Rel. Str. IBD68.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group75
Character TTM
Beta0.303
Beta Downside0.152
Hurst Exponent0.501
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.18%
CAGR/Max DD0.74
CAGR/Mean DD1.97
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FNV over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.87, "2021-12": 0.86, "2022-03": 0.93, "2022-06": 1.02, "2022-09": 0.83, "2022-12": 0.86, "2023-03": 0.79, "2023-06": 0.95, "2023-09": 0.91, "2023-12": 0.9, "2024-03": 0.76, "2024-06": 0.75, "2024-09": 0.8, "2024-12": 0.95, "2025-03": 1.07, "2025-06": 1.24, "2025-09": 1.43, "2025-12": 1.85, "2026-03": 2.4255, "2026-06": 1.81,
EPS CAGR: 32.60%
EPS Trend: 84.5%
Last SUE: -0.61
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FNV over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 316.3, 2021-12: 327.7, 2022-03: 338.8, 2022-06: 352.3, 2022-09: 304.2, 2022-12: 320.4, 2023-03: 276.3, 2023-06: 329.9, 2023-09: 309.5, 2023-12: 303.3, 2024-03: 256.8, 2024-06: 260.1, 2024-09: 275.7, 2024-12: 321, 2025-03: 368.4, 2025-06: 369.4, 2025-09: 487.7, 2025-12: 597.3, 2026-03: 650.7, 2026-06: 580.9,
Rev. CAGR: 26.86%
Rev. Trend: 82.9%
Last SUE: -1.05
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +5.6% 21
Feb -1.5% 15
Mar +2.7% 21
Apr +4.2% 28
May +0.5% 15
Jun -2.2% 36
Jul +1.3% 39
Aug -2.2% 18
Sep -3.6% 24
Oct +0.5% 13
Nov -0.6% 23
Dec -1.2% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FNV Franco-Nevada

Franco-Nevada Corporation (NYSE: FNV) is a Toronto-based royalty and streaming company that provides upfront financing to mining and energy operators in exchange for long-term rights to a share of production or revenue, rather than directly operating mines itself. Founded in 1986 and listed since 2007, the company maintains a diversified portfolio spanning the Americas, Australia, Europe, and Africa, organized into three reportable segments: Precious Metals, Other Mining, and Energy.

The Precious Metals segment is the core focus, with exposure to gold, silver, and platinum group metals, while the Energy segment sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a third-party marketing agent. Franco-Nevada is classified within the GICS Materials sector (Gold sub-industry) and is one of the largest precious-metals royalty and streaming companies globally, with a market capitalization of approximately $49.7 billion USD.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gold price rally lifts royalty revenue and GEOs
  • Energy segment drags on weak natural gas prices
  • New stream and royalty deals expand long-term gold pipeline
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 1.48b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 23.35 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 53.52% < 20% (prev 20.48%; Δ 33.04% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 1.78b > Net Income 1.48b
Net Debt (-1.00b) to EBITDA (2.22b): -0.45 < 3
Current Ratio: 9.38 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (193.3m) vs 12m ago 0.16% < -2%
Gross Margin: 77.32% > 18% (prev 71.16%; Δ 6.16% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 29.06% > 50% (prev 19.01%; Δ 10.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 611.3 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.88b / Interest Expense TTM 3.08m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 1.39b - Total Current Liabilities 148.0m) / Total Assets 8.92b
B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 2.05b / Total Assets 8.92b)
C: 0.24 (EBIT TTM 1.88b / Avg Total Assets 7.97b)
D: 12.09 (Book Value of Equity 8.24b / Total Liabilities 681.5m)
Altman-Z'' = 15.94 = AAA
Beneish M -2.53
DSRI: 0.83 (Receivables 237.5m/164.5m, Revenue 2.32b/1.33b)
GMI: 0.92 (GM 71.16% / 77.32%)
AQI: 1.30 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.11)
SGI: 1.74 (Revenue 2.32b / 1.33b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.48b - CFO 1.78b) / TA 8.92b)
Beneish M = -2.53 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of FNV shares?

As of October 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 243.85 with a total of 310,692 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.05%, over one month by -6.81%, over three months by +21.83% and over the past year by +16.09%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 231.50 (which is 5.1% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is FNV a buy, sell or hold?

Franco-Nevada has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FNV.

  • StrongBuy: 8
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FNV price?
Analysts Target Price 288.1 18.1%
Franco-Nevada (FNV) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 13 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 47.2b (47.2b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 32.0065
P/E Forward = 29.5858
P/S = 20.5255
P/B = 6.1066
P/EG = 11.81
Revenue TTM = 2.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.88b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.22b USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 11.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) + Leases 2.60m
Net Debt = -1.00b USD (calculated: Debt 11.2m - CCE 1.01b)
Enterprise Value = 46.2b USD (47.2b + Debt 11.2m - CCE 1.01b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 611.3 (Ebit TTM 1.88b / Interest Expense TTM 3.08m)
EV/FCF = 51.85x (Enterprise Value 46.2b / FCF TTM 891.4m)
FCF Yield = 1.93% (FCF TTM 891.4m / Enterprise Value 46.2b)
FCF Margin = 38.48% (FCF TTM 891.4m / Revenue TTM 2.32b)
Net Margin = 63.79% (Net Income TTM 1.48b / Revenue TTM 2.32b)
Gross Margin = 77.32% ((Revenue TTM 2.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 525.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.64% (prev 80.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.18 (Enterprise Value 46.2b / Total Assets 8.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 27.57% (Interest Expense 3.08m / Debt 11.2m)
Taxrate = 21.58% (406.7m / 1.88b)
NOPAT = 1.48b (EBIT 1.88b * (1 - 21.58%))
Current Ratio = 9.38 (Total Current Assets 1.39b / Total Current Liabilities 148.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 11.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.45 (Net Debt -1.00b / EBITDA 2.22b)
Debt / FCF = -1.13 (Net Debt -1.00b / FCF TTM 891.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.54% (Net Income 1.48b / Total Assets 8.92b)
RoE = 19.08% (Net Income TTM 1.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.75b)
RoCE = 21.48% (EBIT 1.88b / Capital Employed (Total Assets 8.92b - Current Liab 148.0m))
RoIC = 17.07% (NOPAT 1.48b / Invested Capital 8.66b)
WACC = 7.05% (E(47.2b)/V(47.2b) * Re(7.05%) + D(11.2m)/V(47.2b) * Rd(27.57%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 92.52 | Cagr: 0.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈891.4m ; Y1≈895.1m ; Y5≈948.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 81.66 (EV 14.7b - Net Debt -1.00b = Equity 15.8b / Shares 192.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 84.51 | EPS CAGR: 32.60% | SUE: -0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.88 | Revenue CAGR: 26.86% | SUE: -1.05 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.04 | Chg30d=-1.55% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.24 | Chg30d=-0.44% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+47.7% | GrowthRev=+38.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.34 | Chg30d=-0.26% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+13.4% | GrowthRev=+15.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -31% (up=3, down=7)