FRO Stock Analysis: Frontline | NYSE

Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 11.474m USD | 12M Return: 180.2% | CY0200352116 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Crude Carriers, Product Tankers, Vessel Chartering, Fleet Operations
Total Rating 71
Safety 69
Buy Signal 1.19
Oil & Gas Midstream
Industry Rotation: -1.6
Market Cap: 11.5B
Avg Turnover: 199M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility39.8%
VaR 5th Pctl7.03%
VaR vs Median7.08%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.53
Rel. Str. IBD98.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group95
Character TTM
Beta-0.067
Beta Downside-0.149
Hurst Exponent0.514
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD52.04%
CAGR/Max DD1.01
CAGR/Mean DD3.33
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FRO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -0.18, "2021-12": -0.02, "2022-03": -0.01, "2022-06": 0.21, "2022-09": 0.37, "2022-12": 0.97, "2023-03": 0.87, "2023-06": 0.94, "2023-09": 0.36, "2023-12": 0.46, "2024-03": 0.62, "2024-06": 0.62, "2024-09": 0.34, "2024-12": 0.2, "2025-03": 0.18, "2025-06": 0.36, "2025-09": 0.19, "2025-12": 1.03, "2026-03": 1.55, "2026-06": 0.36,
EPS CAGR: -9.01%
EPS Trend: -20.7%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of FRO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 171.825, 2021-12: 213.547, 2022-03: 217.441, 2022-06: 300.44, 2022-09: 382.186, 2022-12: 530.141, 2023-03: 530.141, 2023-06: 512.763, 2023-09: 377.085, 2023-12: 415.004, 2024-03: 578.397, 2024-06: 556.026, 2024-09: 490.318, 2024-12: 425.644, 2025-03: 427.866, 2025-06: 480.077, 2025-09: 432.654, 2025-12: 624.507, 2026-03: 714.242, 2026-06: 943.299,
Rev. CAGR: 7.14%
Rev. Trend: 53.5%
Last SUE: 0.73
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.7% 2
Feb +1.1% 7
Mar -0.9% 10
Apr -0.5% 17
May +8.8% 9
Jun -2.4% 24
Jul +2.5% 20
Aug -1.7% 5
Sep +3.9% 16
Oct +1.9% 23
Nov -7.1% 29
Dec -5.7% 32

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FRO Frontline

Frontline plc (NYSE: FRO) is a Cyprus-based shipping company that owns and operates a global fleet of oil and product tankers. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated 80 vessels, comprising 41 VLCCs, 21 Suezmax tankers, and 18 LR2/Aframax tankers. In addition to operating vessels, Frontline is involved in chartering, purchasing, and selling ships.

The company is classified within the Energy sector under the Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation sub-industry, reflecting its role in moving crude oil and refined products across international shipping routes. Tanker shipping is a capital-intensive, cyclical business in which revenue is largely driven by charter rates tied to global oil trade flows and vessel supply-demand dynamics. Founded in 1985 and headquartered in Limassol, Cyprus-a major maritime registry hub-the company has been listed on the NYSE since 2001.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • VLCC charter rates rise on tight vessel supply
  • OPEC+ output cuts reduce long-haul crude demand
  • New VLCC orders expand fleet capacity
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.0
Net Income: 1.49b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.79 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 15.63% < 20% (prev 22.72%; Δ -7.08% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 1.35b > Net Income 1.49b
Net Debt (2.11b) to EBITDA (1.89b): 1.12 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.87 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (222.6m) vs 12m ago -0.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 51.53% > 18% (prev 28.24%; Δ 23.28% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 45.54% > 50% (prev 29.85%; Δ 15.69% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.50 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.58b / Interest Expense TTM 185.5m)
Altman Z'' 4.25
A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 912.4m - Total Current Liabilities 488.0m) / Total Assets 5.81b
B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 1.32b / Total Assets 5.81b)
C: 0.26 (EBIT TTM 1.58b / Avg Total Assets 5.96b)
D: 1.19 (Book Value of Equity 3.16b / Total Liabilities 2.66b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.25 = AA
Beneish M -3.16
DSRI: 0.81 (Receivables 187.6m/155.4m, Revenue 2.71b/1.82b)
GMI: 0.55 (GM 28.24% / 51.53%)
AQI: 1.13 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 1.49 (Revenue 2.71b / 1.82b)
TATA: 0.02 (NI 1.49b - CFO 1.35b) / TA 5.81b)
Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of FRO shares?

As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 53.06 with a total of 3,013,086 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.69%, over one month by +21.48%, over three months by +50.38% and over the past year by +180.24%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 50.30 (which is 5.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is FRO a buy, sell or hold?

Frontline has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FRO.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FRO price?
Analysts Target Price 50.8 -4.4%
Frontline (FRO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 11.5b (11.5b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.384
P/E Forward = 10.01
P/S = 4.2266
P/B = 3.3558
P/EG = 5.5847
Revenue TTM = 2.71b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.58b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.89b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 265.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.43b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.11b USD (calculated: Debt 2.43b - CCE 322.3m)
Enterprise Value = 13.6b USD (11.5b + Debt 2.43b - CCE 322.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.50 (Ebit TTM 1.58b / Interest Expense TTM 185.5m)
EV/FCF = 19.72x (Enterprise Value 13.6b / FCF TTM 689.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.07% (FCF TTM 689.0m / Enterprise Value 13.6b)
FCF Margin = 25.38% (FCF TTM 689.0m / Revenue TTM 2.71b)
Net Margin = 54.76% (Net Income TTM 1.49b / Revenue TTM 2.71b)
Gross Margin = 51.53% ((Revenue TTM 2.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.32b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.52% (prev 55.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.34 (Enterprise Value 13.6b / Total Assets 5.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.62% (Interest Expense 185.5m / Debt 2.43b)
Taxrate = 0.24% (3.62m / 1.49b)
NOPAT = 1.57b (EBIT 1.58b * (1 - 0.24%))
Current Ratio = 1.87 (Total Current Assets 912.4m / Total Current Liabilities 488.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.77 (Debt 2.43b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.12 (Net Debt 2.11b / EBITDA 1.89b)
Debt / FCF = 3.07 (Net Debt 2.11b / FCF TTM 689.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 24.94% (Net Income 1.49b / Total Assets 5.81b)
RoE = 54.89% (Net Income TTM 1.49b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.71b)
RoCE = 32.33% (EBIT 1.58b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.71b + L.T.Debt 2.17b))
RoIC = 28.84% (NOPAT 1.57b / Invested Capital 5.45b)
WACC = 6.07% (E(11.5b)/V(13.9b) * Re(5.75%) + D(2.43b)/V(13.9b) * Rd(7.62%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 5.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -79.77 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.89% ; FCFF base≈659.3m ; Y1≈728.0m ; Y5≈932.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 54.44 (EV 14.2b - Net Debt 2.11b = Equity 12.1b / Shares 222.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 12.08% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -20.67 | EPS CAGR: -9.01% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 53.54 | Revenue CAGR: 7.14% | SUE: 0.73 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.23 | Chg30d=+61.12% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.38 | Chg30d=+8.25% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+373.2% | GrowthRev=+126.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.57 | Chg30d=+15.75% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=-45.4% | GrowthRev=-34.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=6, down=1)