(FSLY) Fastly, Common Stock - Overview
Stock: Edge Platform, CDN, Security, Compute, Load Balancing
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 83.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -22.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.11 |
| Alpha | -39.93 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.698 |
| Beta Downside | 1.792 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 79.99% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.07 |
Description: FSLY Fastly, Common Stock January 20, 2026
Fastly, Inc. (NYSE:FSLY) runs an edge-cloud platform that processes, serves, and secures customer applications across the United States, Asia-Pacific, Europe, and other regions. The platform sits in the “edge” of the internet, offering a suite of services-including a content-delivery network, video-streaming acceleration, DDoS protection, next-gen WAF, API security, load balancing, image optimization, TLS, and observability tools-plus managed professional services for security and CDN operations. Its customer base spans digital publishing, media, technology, online education, travel, hospitality, and financial services.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of $1.13 billion, up ~20 % YoY; annual recurring revenue (ARR) exceeding $1.2 billion; gross margin around 71 %; and a customer count of roughly 1,500, with several marquee enterprise accounts (e.g., Netflix, Shopify). The company remains cash-flow negative, posting a net loss of $210 million and a cash burn of $120 million, but it holds a cash runway of about 12 months at current spending levels.
Sector drivers that materially affect Fastly’s outlook include the rapid expansion of edge computing (CAGR ~20 % through 2030), accelerating demand for low-latency digital experiences such as interactive gaming and real-time video, and heightened regulatory focus on data residency and privacy that pushes enterprises toward geographically distributed infrastructure. Macro-economic trends-particularly corporate IT spend cycles and cloud-services pricing pressure-introduce upside/downside volatility to the addressable market.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation framework, you may find the Fastly profile on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: -139.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.09 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.49% < 20% (prev 62.65%; Δ -37.16% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 77.2m > Net Income -139.1m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (148.1m) vs 12m ago 6.39% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 54.14% > 18% (prev 0.55%; Δ 5359 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 40.24% > 50% (prev 36.75%; Δ 3.49% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -11.69 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -36.7m / Interest Expense TTM 10.7m) |
Altman Z'' -4.50
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 479.8m - Total Current Liabilities 328.9m) / Total Assets 1.47b |
| B: -0.75 (Retained Earnings -1.10b / Total Assets 1.47b) |
| C: -0.09 (EBIT TTM -125.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.47b) |
| D: -2.06 (Book Value of Equity -1.10b / Total Liabilities 533.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -4.50 = D |
Beneish M -3.18
| DSRI: 0.85 (Receivables 109.2m/116.8m, Revenue 592.0m/540.9m) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 54.14% / 54.85%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.57 / AQ_t-1 0.54) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 592.0m / 540.9m) |
| TATA: -0.15 (NI -139.1m - CFO 77.2m) / TA 1.47b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.18 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of FSLY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.35%, over one month by -14.90%, over three months by -21.88% and over the past year by -14.21%.
Is FSLY a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FSLY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.9 | 27.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.9 | 27.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.1 | -5.6% |
FSLY Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 2.3344
P/B = 1.5339
Revenue TTM = 592.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -125.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -36.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 149.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 211.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 408.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 295.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.45b USD (1.38b + Debt 408.9m - CCE 342.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.69 (Ebit TTM -125.4m / Interest Expense TTM 10.7m)
EV/FCF = 33.33x (Enterprise Value 1.45b / FCF TTM 43.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.00% (FCF TTM 43.4m / Enterprise Value 1.45b)
FCF Margin = 7.34% (FCF TTM 43.4m / Revenue TTM 592.0m)
Net Margin = -23.49% (Net Income TTM -139.1m / Revenue TTM 592.0m)
Gross Margin = 54.14% ((Revenue TTM 592.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 271.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.35% (prev 51.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 1.45b / Total Assets 1.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.77% (Interest Expense 3.16m / Debt 408.9m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -99.1m (EBIT -125.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 479.8m / Total Current Liabilities 328.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 408.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 937.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -8.06 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 295.8m / EBITDA -36.7m)
Debt / FCF = 6.81 (Net Debt 295.8m / FCF TTM 43.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 950.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.45% (Net Income -139.1m / Total Assets 1.47b)
RoE = -14.63% (Net Income TTM -139.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 950.5m)
RoCE = -11.39% (EBIT -125.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 950.5m + L.T.Debt 149.9m))
RoIC = -7.69% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -99.1m / Invested Capital 1.29b)
WACC = 9.53% (E(1.38b)/V(1.79b) * Re(12.17%) + D(408.9m)/V(1.79b) * Rd(0.77%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.63% ; FCFF base≈43.4m ; Y1≈28.5m ; Y5≈13.0m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 201.3m - Net Debt 295.8m = -94.4m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 79.79 | EPS CAGR: 31.02% | SUE: -1.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.31 | Revenue CAGR: 13.71% | SUE: 2.91 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.01 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.13 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+139.3% | Growth Revenue=+9.0%