(FSM) Fortuna Silver Mines - Ratings and Ratios
Silver, Gold, Lead, Zinc
FSM EPS (Earnings per Share)
FSM Revenue
Description: FSM Fortuna Silver Mines
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc (NYSE:FSM) is a Canadian silver mining company with a market capitalization of $2.13 billion USD. The stock has been trading at $6.22, with support levels identified at $6.2, $5.4, $4.7, and $4.3. The companys price-to-earnings ratio is 13.35, indicating a relatively reasonable valuation compared to its earnings.
The stocks price movement is characterized by a beta of 1.212, suggesting a moderate level of volatility relative to the overall market. With a forward P/E ratio of 7.91, the market expects earnings to grow, potentially driven by increasing silver prices or improved operational efficiency. The return on equity (RoE) of 11.46% indicates that the company is generating a decent return for its shareholders.
To evaluate the investment potential of FSM, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, production costs, and silver reserves should be closely monitored. The companys ability to maintain a stable production profile, manage costs, and expand its resource base will be crucial in driving long-term value creation. Additionally, economic drivers like silver prices, currency fluctuations, and geopolitical risks will impact the companys financial performance.
From a trading perspective, the stocks moving averages (SMA20: $6.67, SMA50: $6.65, SMA200: $5.53) suggest a potential downtrend, with the short-term averages above the long-term average, indicating a possible bearish crossover. The average true range (ATR) of 0.30 (4.82%) implies a moderate level of price volatility, which may present trading opportunities for those willing to take on risk.
FSM Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 2,345m |
Sub-Industry | Silver |
IPO / Inception | 2007-01-08 |
FSM Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 74.7% |
Fundamental | 86.1% |
Dividend Rating | - |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 33.9% |
Analyst Rating | 3.20 of 5 |
FSM Dividends
Currently no dividends paidFSM Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 79.9% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 83% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -2.9% |
CAGR 5y | 51.00% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y | 1.38 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 3.19 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.75 |
Alpha | 0.00 |
Beta | 0.976 |
Volatility | 53.01% |
Current Volume | 15073.5k |
Average Volume 20d | 15073.5k |
Stop Loss | 7.5 (-5.4%) |
Signal | -1.15 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
Net Income (157.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 65.9m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.52pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 33.76% (prev 13.02%; Δ 20.74pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.20 (>3.0%) and CFO 436.9m > Net Income 157.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (-162.4m) to EBITDA (565.6m) ratio: -0.29 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 2.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (309.0m) change vs 12m ago -2.52% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 37.78% (prev 26.63%; Δ 11.14pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 52.74% (prev 49.47%; Δ 3.27pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 12.12 (EBITDA TTM 565.6m / Interest Expense TTM 26.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.21
(A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 587.5m - Total Current Liabilities 217.0m) / Total Assets 2.14b |
(B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 304.9m / Total Assets 2.14b |
(C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 321.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.08b |
(D) 2.45 = Book Value of Equity 1.46b / Total Liabilities 595.9m |
Total Rating: 5.21 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 86.09
1. Piotroski 9.0pt = 4.0 |
2. FCF Yield 11.33% = 5.0 |
3. FCF Margin 21.71% = 5.43 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.10 = 2.49 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.27 = 2.44 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.47)% = 5.59 |
7. RoE 10.91% = 0.91 |
8. Rev. Trend 80.35% = 6.03 |
9. EPS Trend 83.92% = 4.20 |
What is the price of FSM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.45%, over one month by +10.14%, over three months by +15.94% and over the past year by +58.92%.
Is Fortuna Silver Mines a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of FSM is around 7.68 USD . This means that FSM is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.15%.
Is FSM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the FSM price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 8 | 0.9% |
Analysts Target Price | 8 | 0.9% |
ValueRay Target Price | 8.6 | 8.6% |
Last update: 2025-09-05 04:43
FSM Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 394.0m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 14.1111
P/E Forward = 9.4697
P/S = 1.9756
P/B = 1.5978
Beta = 1.267
Revenue TTM = 1.10b USD
EBIT TTM = 321.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 565.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 130.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 22.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 152.1m USD (Calculated: Short Term 22.1m + Long Term 130.0m)
Net Debt = -162.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.10b USD (2.35b + Debt 152.1m - CCE 394.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.12 (Ebit TTM 321.1m / Interest Expense TTM 26.5m)
FCF Yield = 11.33% (FCF TTM 238.3m / Enterprise Value 2.10b)
FCF Margin = 21.71% (FCF TTM 238.3m / Revenue TTM 1.10b)
Net Margin = 14.36% (Net Income TTM 157.7m / Revenue TTM 1.10b)
Gross Margin = 37.78% ((Revenue TTM 1.10b - Cost of Revenue TTM 683.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.44 (Enterprise Value 2.10b / Book Value Of Equity 1.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.99% (Interest Expense 6.08m / Debt 152.1m)
Taxrate = 33.13% (70.3m / 212.2m)
NOPAT = 214.7m (EBIT 321.1m * (1 - 33.13%))
Current Ratio = 2.71 (Total Current Assets 587.5m / Total Current Liabilities 217.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.10 (Debt 152.1m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.27 (Net Debt -162.4m / EBITDA 565.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.64 (Debt 152.1m / FCF TTM 238.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.44b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 7.37% (Net Income 157.7m, Total Assets 2.14b )
RoE = 10.91% (Net Income TTM 157.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.44b)
RoCE = 20.39% (Ebit 321.1m / (Equity 1.44b + L.T.Debt 130.0m))
RoIC = 13.66% (NOPAT 214.7m / Invested Capital 1.57b)
WACC = 9.19% (E(2.35b)/V(2.50b) * Re(9.61%)) + (D(152.1m)/V(2.50b) * Rd(3.99%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 66.67 | Cagr: 0.53%
Discount Rate = 9.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.97% ; FCFE base≈204.7m ; Y1≈219.9m ; Y5≈269.2m
Fair Price DCF = 11.68 (DCF Value 3.58b / Shares Outstanding 307.0m; 5y FCF grow 8.33% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 83.92 | EPS CAGR: 154.1% | SUE: 0.89 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 80.35 | Revenue CAGR: 12.52% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for FSM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle