(FSS) Federal Signal - Ratings and Ratios
Street Sweepers, Sewer Cleaners, Vacuum Loaders, Safety Lighting, Warning
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.48% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.68% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 11.68% |
| Payout Consistency | 86.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 14.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 44.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.62% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.70 |
| Alpha | 8.45 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.04 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.506 |
| Beta | 0.975 |
| Beta Downside | 0.837 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.54% |
| Mean DD | 6.79% |
| Median DD | 5.69% |
Description: FSS Federal Signal January 08, 2026
Federal Signal Corporation (NYSE:FSS) designs, manufactures, and sells a broad portfolio of municipal- and industrial-focused equipment-including street sweepers, sewer cleaners, and public-safety lighting-through two operating segments: the Environmental Solutions Group and the Safety & Security Systems Group. The company serves customers in the U.S., Canada, Europe, and other international markets via a mix of dealer networks and direct sales.
In FY 2023 the firm generated roughly $2.2 billion in revenue, with the Environmental Solutions segment contributing about 55 % and delivering an adjusted EBITDA margin near 12 %. Recent quarterly filings show a modest top-line growth rate of 3-4 % YoY, driven in part by increased municipal spending on infrastructure and waste-management projects-a trend reinforced by the U.S. Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, which allocates billions to modernize public works.
Key sector drivers include cyclical municipal budget cycles, the pace of construction activity, and regulatory pressure for greener, more efficient waste-handling solutions; these factors can amplify or dampen demand for Federal Signal’s equipment. For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of FSS’s valuation metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (235.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 123.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.38pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 21.18% (prev 22.84%; Δ -1.66pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 248.1m > Net Income 235.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (188.7m) to EBITDA (397.7m) ratio: 0.47 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.61 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (61.4m) change vs 12m ago -0.49% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.70% (prev 28.28%; Δ 0.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 111.9% (prev 106.0%; Δ 5.93pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 25.90 (EBITDA TTM 397.7m / Interest Expense TTM 12.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.92
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 706.5m - Total Current Liabilities 271.2m) / Total Assets 1.94b |
| (B) 0.65 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.26b / Total Assets 1.94b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 321.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.84b |
| (D) 2.04 = Book Value of Equity 1.26b / Total Liabilities 616.7m |
| Total Rating: 6.92 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.69
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.15% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.69% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.18 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.47 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.07)% |
| 7. RoE 18.97% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 94.38% |
| 9. EPS Trend 32.77% |
What is the price of FSS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.60%, over one month by +6.59%, over three months by -0.94% and over the past year by +25.94%.
Is FSS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FSS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 133.8 | 14.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 133.8 | 14.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 150.3 | 28.9% |
FSS Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 24.6305
P/S = 3.2969
P/B = 5.1271
P/EG = 2.3541
Beta = 1.344
Revenue TTM = 2.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 321.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 397.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 200.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 243.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 188.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.97b USD (6.78b + Debt 243.1m - CCE 54.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.90 (Ebit TTM 321.2m / Interest Expense TTM 12.4m)
EV/FCF = 31.70x (Enterprise Value 6.97b / FCF TTM 219.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.15% (FCF TTM 219.7m / Enterprise Value 6.97b)
FCF Margin = 10.69% (FCF TTM 219.7m / Revenue TTM 2.06b)
Net Margin = 11.47% (Net Income TTM 235.8m / Revenue TTM 2.06b)
Gross Margin = 28.70% ((Revenue TTM 2.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.29% (prev 30.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.59 (Enterprise Value 6.97b / Total Assets 1.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 2.80m / Debt 243.1m)
Taxrate = 24.75% (22.4m / 90.5m)
NOPAT = 241.7m (EBIT 321.2m * (1 - 24.75%))
Current Ratio = 2.61 (Total Current Assets 706.5m / Total Current Liabilities 271.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 243.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.47 (Net Debt 188.7m / EBITDA 397.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.86 (Net Debt 188.7m / FCF TTM 219.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.84% (Net Income 235.8m / Total Assets 1.94b)
RoE = 18.97% (Net Income TTM 235.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.24b)
RoCE = 22.25% (EBIT 321.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.24b + L.T.Debt 200.7m))
RoIC = 16.28% (NOPAT 241.7m / Invested Capital 1.48b)
WACC = 9.21% (E(6.78b)/V(7.02b) * Re(9.51%) + D(243.1m)/V(7.02b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.16%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.43% ; FCFF base≈213.1m ; Y1≈262.8m ; Y5≈447.6m
Fair Price DCF = 96.68 (EV 6.07b - Net Debt 188.7m = Equity 5.88b / Shares 60.8m; r=9.21% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 32.77 | EPS CAGR: -37.78% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.38 | Revenue CAGR: 17.68% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.91 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.61 | Chg30d=+0.016 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+11.5% | Growth Revenue=+15.5%
Additional Sources for FSS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle