(FSS) Federal Signal - Ratings and Ratios
Street Sweeper, Vacuum Truck, Alert System, Siren, Lightbar
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.60% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.54 |
| Alpha | 6.58 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.389 |
| Beta | 0.980 |
| Beta Downside | 0.841 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.54% |
| Mean DD | 6.38% |
| Median DD | 5.33% |
Description: FSS Federal Signal November 05, 2025
Federal Signal Corporation (NYSE:FSS) designs, manufactures, and sells a broad range of municipal- and industrial-focused equipment, operating through two primary segments: the Environmental Solutions Group and the Safety & Security Systems Group. The company serves customers in the United States, Canada, Europe, and other international markets, leveraging a mix of direct sales and dealer networks.
Its product lineup includes street sweepers, sewer cleaners, industrial vacuum loaders, safe-digging trucks, dump-truck bodies, and a variety of maintenance vehicles under brands such as Elgin, Vactor, Guzzler, and TRUVAC. In the safety arena, Federal Signal offers community-alerting systems, emergency-vehicle lighting, sirens, and public-address equipment marketed under the Federal Signal, Federal Signal VAMA, and Victor names, distributed via wholesalers, OEM partners, and independent representatives.
According to the FY2023 Form 10-K, the company generated $1.3 billion in revenue, with an operating margin of roughly 7 % and a backlog of $300 million, indicating a moderate order pipeline. Key economic drivers include U.S. municipal infrastructure spending-boosted by the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act-and growing demand for environmentally-friendly waste-management solutions, which tend to favor firms with diversified product suites like Federal Signal. The construction-machinery sector’s average revenue growth of 4-5 % YoY (as of Q3 2024) provides a useful benchmark for assessing the company’s relative performance.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Federal Signal’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find the free research tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
FSS Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,696m |
| Sub-Industry | Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 1982-03-01 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 4.01% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
FSS Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.52% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.81% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 86.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 14.2% |
FSS Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 30.72% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.97 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 4.81 |
| Current Volume | 138.9k |
| Average Volume | 368k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (235.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 123.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.38pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 21.18% (prev 22.84%; Δ -1.66pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 248.1m > Net Income 235.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (188.7m) to EBITDA (397.7m) ratio: 0.47 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.61 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (61.4m) change vs 12m ago -0.49% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.70% (prev 28.28%; Δ 0.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 111.9% (prev 106.0%; Δ 5.93pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 25.90 (EBITDA TTM 397.7m / Interest Expense TTM 12.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.92
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 706.5m - Total Current Liabilities 271.2m) / Total Assets 1.94b |
| (B) 0.65 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.26b / Total Assets 1.94b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 321.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.84b |
| (D) 2.04 = Book Value of Equity 1.26b / Total Liabilities 616.7m |
| Total Rating: 6.92 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.84
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.19% = 1.60 |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.69% = 2.67 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.18 = 2.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.47 = 2.33 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.96)% = 8.70 |
| 7. RoE 18.97% = 1.58 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 88.59% = 6.64 |
| 9. EPS Trend 86.80% = 4.34 |
What is the price of FSS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.31%, over one month by -12.33%, over three months by -14.25% and over the past year by +18.18%.
Is FSS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FSS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 133.8 | 24.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 133.8 | 24.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 127.1 | 18.4% |
FSS Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 28.7277
P/E Forward = 23.9808
P/S = 3.2579
P/B = 5.0489
P/EG = 2.3541
Beta = 1.339
Revenue TTM = 2.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 321.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 397.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 200.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 243.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 188.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.88b USD (6.70b + Debt 243.1m - CCE 54.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.90 (Ebit TTM 321.2m / Interest Expense TTM 12.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.19% (FCF TTM 219.7m / Enterprise Value 6.88b)
FCF Margin = 10.69% (FCF TTM 219.7m / Revenue TTM 2.06b)
Net Margin = 11.47% (Net Income TTM 235.8m / Revenue TTM 2.06b)
Gross Margin = 28.70% ((Revenue TTM 2.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.29% (prev 30.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.55 (Enterprise Value 6.88b / Total Assets 1.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 2.80m / Debt 243.1m)
Taxrate = 24.75% (22.4m / 90.5m)
NOPAT = 241.7m (EBIT 321.2m * (1 - 24.75%))
Current Ratio = 2.61 (Total Current Assets 706.5m / Total Current Liabilities 271.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 243.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.47 (Net Debt 188.7m / EBITDA 397.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.86 (Net Debt 188.7m / FCF TTM 219.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.16% (Net Income 235.8m / Total Assets 1.94b)
RoE = 18.97% (Net Income TTM 235.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.24b)
RoCE = 22.25% (EBIT 321.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.24b + L.T.Debt 200.7m))
RoIC = 16.28% (NOPAT 241.7m / Invested Capital 1.48b)
WACC = 9.32% (E(6.70b)/V(6.94b) * Re(9.63%) + D(243.1m)/V(6.94b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.16%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.46% ; FCFE base≈213.1m ; Y1≈262.8m ; Y5≈448.4m
Fair Price DCF = 94.62 (DCF Value 5.75b / Shares Outstanding 60.8m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 86.80 | EPS CAGR: 28.67% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 88.59 | Revenue CAGR: 13.53% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for FSS Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle