GATX Stock Analysis: GATX | NYSE

Railcar Leasing, Locomotive Leasing, Tank Containers, Aircraft Engines

Total Rating 17

Safety 26

Buy Signal -0.99

Rental & Leasing Services
Industry Rotation: -0.8

Market Cap: 5.75B
Avg Turnover: 45.0M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility25.2%

VaR 5^th Pctl4.32%

VaR vs Median4.26%

Choppyness74.7%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.19

Rel. Str. IBD25.6

Rel. Str. Peer Group21.4

Character TTM

Beta0.601

Beta Downside0.561

Hurst Exponent0.658

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD18.30%

CAGR/Max DD0.96

CAGR/Mean DD2.90

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 13.33%
EPS Trend: 94.1%

Last SUE: 1.42
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 14.00%
Rev. Trend: 97.9%

Last SUE: -2.25
Qual. Beats: -2

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation

Choppy

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +2.7% 34

Feb -0.3% 8

Mar +0.8% 7

Apr -2.0% 31

May +1.9% 21

Jun +0.5% 5

Jul -0.3% 7

Aug -1.9% 34

Sep -1.4% 6

Oct -0.2% 0

Nov +5.7% 67

Dec +1.8% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GATX GATX

GATX Corporation is a Chicago-based railcar leasing company founded in 1898, operating across the United States, Canada, Mexico, Europe, and India. The company is organized into three segments: Rail North America, Rail International, and Engine Leasing. Railcar leasing is a capital-intensive business model characterized by long asset lifecycles, multi-year lease contracts, and reliance on industrial freight demand-particularly from energy, chemical, and agricultural shippers.

GATX leases tank and freight railcars, as well as locomotives, to customers in the petroleum, chemical, food/agriculture, and transportation industries. The company also provides a broad range of railcar maintenance services, including interior cleaning, regulatory compliance work, wheelset replacements, and exterior painting. As of December 31, 2025, GATX owned and operated approximately 156,000 railcars and a fleet of 567 four-axle and 60 six-axle locomotives.

In addition to its rail business, GATX manufactures commercial aircraft jet engines and leases aircraft spare engines through its Engine Leasing segment, which held 456 spare engines as of the same date. The company also owns and manages a fleet of 25,602 tank containers leased to chemical, industrial gas, energy, food, cryogenic, and pharmaceutical customers, providing leasing, remarketing, and inspection and maintenance services. This diversification across rail, aviation engines, and tank containers allows GATX to serve multiple freight and logistics end-markets under a shared asset-leasing model.

Headlines to Watch Out For

North America railcar lease rates and utilization drive segment revenue
Engine leasing fleet expansion supports aviation spare engine demand growth
Higher interest rates pressure leasing margins and fleet investment returns

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0

Net Income: 368.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.26 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -20.91 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 22.80% < 20% (prev 38.68%; Δ -15.88% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 837.9m > Net Income 368.1m
Net Debt (11.9b) to EBITDA (1.05b): 11.34 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.68 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.7m) vs 12m ago -0.56% < -2%
Gross Margin: 46.17% > 18% (prev 49.10%; Δ -2.93% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 13.27% > 50% (prev 12.66%; Δ 0.61% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.54 > 6 (EBIT TTM 474.6m / Interest Expense TTM 876.4m)

Altman Z'' 1.25

A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 747.1m - Total Current Liabilities 279.2m) / Total Assets 17.7b
B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 3.59b / Total Assets 17.7b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 474.6m / Avg Total Assets 15.5b)
D: 0.20 (Book Value of Equity 2.78b / Total Liabilities 14.1b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.25 = BB

Beneish M 1.00

DSRI: 1.23 (Receivables 342.4m/226.5m, Revenue 2.05b/1.67b)
GMI: 1.06 (GM 49.10% / 46.17%)
AQI: 10.91 (AQ_t 0.94 / AQ_t-1 0.09)
SGI: 1.23 (Revenue 2.05b / 1.67b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 368.1m - CFO 837.9m) / TA 17.7b)
Beneish M = 3.26 (Cap -4..+1) = D

What is the price of GATX shares?

As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 165.81 with a total of 181,462 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.51%, over one month by -5.49%, over three months by -6.36% and over the past year by -3.26%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 159.80 (which is 3.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is GATX a buy, sell or hold?

GATX has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GATX.

StrongBuy: 4
Buy: 0
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GATX price?

Analysts Target Price	219.3	32.2%

GATX (GATX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 5.75b (5.75b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 16.1168
P/E Forward = 19.084
P/S = 2.8005
P/B = 2.3546
P/EG = 0.6428
Revenue TTM = 2.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 474.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.05b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 45.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 150.9m
Net Debt = 11.9b USD (calculated: Debt 12.6b - CCE 747.1m)
Enterprise Value = 17.6b USD (5.75b + Debt 12.6b - CCE 747.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.54 (Ebit TTM 474.6m / Interest Expense TTM 876.4m)
EV/FCF = -3.76x (Enterprise Value 17.6b / FCF TTM -4.69b)
FCF Yield = -26.59% (FCF TTM -4.69b / Enterprise Value 17.6b)
FCF Margin = -228.4% (FCF TTM -4.69b / Revenue TTM 2.05b)
Net Margin = 17.94% (Net Income TTM 368.1m / Revenue TTM 2.05b)
Gross Margin = 46.17% ((Revenue TTM 2.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.85% (prev 45.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 17.6b / Total Assets 17.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.94% (Interest Expense 876.4m / Debt 12.6b)
Taxrate = 16.45% (72.7m / 442.0m)
NOPAT = 396.5m (EBIT 474.6m * (1 - 16.45%))
Current Ratio = 2.68 (Total Current Assets 747.1m / Total Current Liabilities 279.2m)
Debt / Equity = 4.54 (Debt 12.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.78b)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.34 (Net Debt 11.9b / EBITDA 1.05b)
Debt / FCF = -2.53 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 11.9b / FCF TTM -4.69b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.38% (Net Income 368.1m / Total Assets 17.7b)
RoE = 13.35% (Net Income TTM 368.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.76b)
RoCE = 3.12% (EBIT 474.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.76b + L.T.Debt 12.5b))
RoIC = 2.28% (NOPAT 396.5m / Invested Capital 17.4b)
WACC = 6.52% (E(5.75b)/V(18.4b) * Re(8.10%) + D(12.6b)/V(18.4b) * Rd(6.94%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 8.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -66.08 | Cagr: -0.25%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -4.69b)
EPS Correlation: 94.07 | EPS CAGR: 13.33% | SUE: 1.42 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.85 | Revenue CAGR: 14.00% | SUE: -2.25 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.45 | Chg30d=-0.31% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.22 | Chg30d=-0.12% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+16.8% | GrowthRev=+35.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.25 | Chg30d=-0.22% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+10.1% | GrowthRev=+3.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +7% (up=6, down=5)