(GATX) GATX - Overview
Stock: Railcars, Locomotives, Jet Engines, Tank Containers, Maintenance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.74% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.10% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 38.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.54 |
| Alpha | 4.53 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.601 |
| Beta Downside | 0.598 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.00% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.94 |
Description: GATX GATX January 09, 2026
GATX Corporation (NYSE:GATX) is a global rail-car leasing firm operating in North America, Europe, and India through three segments-Rail North America, Rail International, and Engine Leasing. It provides tank and freight railcars, locomotives, aircraft spare-engine leases, and tank-container services, plus a full suite of maintenance, regulatory, and refurbishment capabilities. As of 31 Dec 2024 the company owned roughly 152,000 railcars, 661 locomotives, 427 aircraft spare engines, and 25,041 tank containers, serving petroleum, chemicals, food/agriculture, and transportation customers.
Key operating metrics that analysts watch include a ~92 % average fleet utilization rate (steady despite a modest 1.5 % YoY decline in freight volumes), an operating cash-flow yield of ≈ 8 % of revenue, and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of ≈ 3.2 x, which reflects the capital-intensive nature of the business. The segment’s earnings are highly sensitive to commodity-related rail traffic and to the broader shift toward intermodal logistics; a 10 % rise in oil shipments historically lifts GATX’s tank-car revenue by about 4 % (based on historical regression). Additionally, the U.S. rail-infrastructure investment bill (FY 2025) is expected to boost demand for locomotive leasing as railroads modernize fleets.
For a deeper, data-driven look at GATX’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay, which aggregates sector-specific KPIs and peer benchmarks.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 312.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 32.55% < 20% (prev 32.22%; Δ 0.33% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 709.8m > Net Income 312.8m |
| Net Debt (8.33b) to EBITDA (1.09b): 7.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.55 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.9m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.83% > 18% (prev 0.48%; Δ 4835 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 13.28% > 50% (prev 12.45%; Δ 0.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.85 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.09b / Interest Expense TTM 763.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.77
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 911.8m - Total Current Liabilities 356.9m) / Total Assets 13.31b |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 3.38b / Total Assets 13.31b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 650.2m / Avg Total Assets 12.84b) |
| D: 0.31 (Book Value of Equity 3.32b / Total Liabilities 10.59b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.77 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.09
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 215.4m/213.4m, Revenue 1.70b/1.54b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 48.83% / 47.63%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 1.70b / 1.54b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 312.8m - CFO 709.8m) / TA 13.31b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.09 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of GATX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.58%, over one month by +7.57%, over three months by +23.65% and over the past year by +14.90%.
Is GATX a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GATX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 208.5 | 10.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 208.5 | 10.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 225.3 | 19.6% |
GATX Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 19.084
P/S = 3.8069
P/B = 2.3855
P/EG = 0.87
Revenue TTM = 1.70b USD
EBIT TTM = 650.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 117.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.03b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.33b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.82b USD (6.49b + Debt 9.03b - CCE 696.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.85 (Ebit TTM 650.2m / Interest Expense TTM 763.0m)
EV/FCF = -27.89x (Enterprise Value 14.82b / FCF TTM -531.5m)
FCF Yield = -3.59% (FCF TTM -531.5m / Enterprise Value 14.82b)
FCF Margin = -31.17% (FCF TTM -531.5m / Revenue TTM 1.70b)
Net Margin = 18.35% (Net Income TTM 312.8m / Revenue TTM 1.70b)
Gross Margin = 48.83% ((Revenue TTM 1.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 872.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.85% (prev 49.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 14.82b / Total Assets 13.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.32% (Interest Expense 480.4m / Debt 9.03b)
Taxrate = 16.63% (16.4m / 98.6m)
NOPAT = 542.1m (EBIT 650.2m * (1 - 16.63%))
Current Ratio = 2.55 (Total Current Assets 911.8m / Total Current Liabilities 356.9m)
Debt / Equity = 3.32 (Debt 9.03b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.72b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.61 (Net Debt 8.33b / EBITDA 1.09b)
Debt / FCF = -15.68 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 8.33b / FCF TTM -531.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.44% (Net Income 312.8m / Total Assets 13.31b)
RoE = 12.06% (Net Income TTM 312.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.59b)
RoCE = 5.73% (EBIT 650.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.59b + L.T.Debt 8.75b))
RoIC = 4.81% (NOPAT 542.1m / Invested Capital 11.27b)
WACC = 5.98% (E(6.49b)/V(15.52b) * Re(8.13%) + D(9.03b)/V(15.52b) * Rd(5.32%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 8.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.14%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -531.5m)
EPS Correlation: 48.22 | EPS CAGR: 7.88% | SUE: -0.86 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.38 | Revenue CAGR: 8.73% | SUE: 0.64 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.26 | Chg30d=-0.096 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.03 | Chg30d=+0.296 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+14.6% | Growth Revenue=+37.4%