(GATX) GATX - Ratings and Ratios
Railcars, Locomotives, Aircraft Engines, Tank Containers, Maintenance
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.45% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.20% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.84% |
| Payout Consistency | 79.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.52% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.10 |
| Alpha | -7.49 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.80 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.470 |
| Beta | 0.637 |
| Beta Downside | 0.653 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.00% |
| Mean DD | 6.71% |
| Median DD | 6.20% |
Description: GATX GATX November 06, 2025
GATX Corp. (NYSE:GATX) is a global rail-car leasing firm that also provides locomotive, aircraft-engine, and tank-container leasing services across North America, Europe, and Asia. The business is organized into three segments-Rail North America, Rail International, and Engine Leasing-and serves end-users in petroleum, chemicals, food/agriculture, and transportation, while offering a full suite of maintenance and regulatory-compliance services.
As of 31 Dec 2024 the company owned roughly 152 k railcars, 661 locomotives (593 four-axle, 68 six-axle), 427 spare aircraft engines, and 25 k tank containers. In FY 2023 GATX generated about $2.3 billion of revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 30%, and its rail-car utilization rate hovered around 95%, indicating strong demand for leased assets relative to its fleet size.
Key economic drivers include U.S. freight-rail volume growth (which rose ~4% YoY in 2023), oil-and-gas production trends that affect tank-car demand, and the aftermarket aircraft-engine market, which is expanding as airlines extend engine life cycles. The sector is also sensitive to interest-rate environments because leasing is capital-intensive; a 1% rise in rates historically depresses lease-rate growth by roughly 0.5% (based on historical regression analysis).
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of GATX’s valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboards useful for drilling into fleet-level cash-flow assumptions and scenario modeling.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (312.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 102.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 15.32pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 32.55% (prev 32.22%; Δ 0.33pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 709.8m > Net Income 312.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (8.33b) to EBITDA (1.09b) ratio: 7.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.55 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (35.9m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.83% (prev 47.63%; Δ 1.20pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 13.28% (prev 12.45%; Δ 0.83pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.85 (EBITDA TTM 1.09b / Interest Expense TTM 763.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.77
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 911.8m - Total Current Liabilities 356.9m) / Total Assets 13.31b |
| (B) 0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.38b / Total Assets 13.31b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 650.2m / Avg Total Assets 12.84b |
| (D) 0.31 = Book Value of Equity 3.32b / Total Liabilities 10.59b |
| Total Rating: 1.77 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.06
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.96% |
| 3. FCF Margin 41.63% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 7.61 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.19)% |
| 7. RoE 12.06% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.38% |
| 9. EPS Trend 48.22% |
What is the price of GATX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.68%, over one month by +7.12%, over three months by -0.44% and over the past year by +5.31%.
Is GATX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GATX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 187.8 | 11.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 187.8 | 11.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 195.1 | 15.8% |
GATX Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
P/E Trailing = 19.5339
P/E Forward = 19.084
P/S = 3.4992
P/B = 2.1942
P/EG = 0.87
Beta = 1.181
Revenue TTM = 1.70b USD
EBIT TTM = 650.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 117.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.03b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.33b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.30b USD (5.97b + Debt 9.03b - CCE 696.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.85 (Ebit TTM 650.2m / Interest Expense TTM 763.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.96% (FCF TTM 709.8m / Enterprise Value 14.30b)
FCF Margin = 41.63% (FCF TTM 709.8m / Revenue TTM 1.70b)
Net Margin = 18.35% (Net Income TTM 312.8m / Revenue TTM 1.70b)
Gross Margin = 48.83% ((Revenue TTM 1.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 872.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.85% (prev 49.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.07 (Enterprise Value 14.30b / Total Assets 13.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.32% (Interest Expense 480.4m / Debt 9.03b)
Taxrate = 16.63% (16.4m / 98.6m)
NOPAT = 542.1m (EBIT 650.2m * (1 - 16.63%))
Current Ratio = 2.55 (Total Current Assets 911.8m / Total Current Liabilities 356.9m)
Debt / Equity = 3.32 (Debt 9.03b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.72b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.61 (Net Debt 8.33b / EBITDA 1.09b)
Debt / FCF = 11.74 (Net Debt 8.33b / FCF TTM 709.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.35% (Net Income 312.8m / Total Assets 13.31b)
RoE = 12.06% (Net Income TTM 312.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.59b)
RoCE = 5.73% (EBIT 650.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.59b + L.T.Debt 8.75b))
RoIC = 4.81% (NOPAT 542.1m / Invested Capital 11.27b)
WACC = 6.00% (E(5.97b)/V(15.00b) * Re(8.36%) + D(9.03b)/V(15.00b) * Rd(5.32%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 8.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.05% ; FCFE base≈709.8m ; Y1≈466.0m ; Y5≈213.1m
Fair Price DCF = 111.3 (DCF Value 3.97b / Shares Outstanding 35.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 48.22 | EPS CAGR: 7.88% | SUE: -0.86 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.38 | Revenue CAGR: 8.73% | SUE: 0.64 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.33 | Chg30d=-0.019 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.76 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+11.6% | Growth Revenue=+15.0%
Additional Sources for GATX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle