(GBX) Greenbrier Companies - Ratings and Ratios
Freight Cars, Tank Cars, Intermodal Cars, Leasing, Maintenance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.71% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.89% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 70.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 19.3% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 48.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.60% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.59 |
| Alpha | -43.00 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.465 |
| Beta | 1.046 |
| Beta Downside | 0.968 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 43.69% |
| Mean DD | 16.15% |
| Median DD | 13.82% |
Description: GBX Greenbrier Companies November 11, 2025
The Greenbrier Companies (GBX) designs, manufactures, and markets a broad portfolio of railroad freight-car equipment across North America, Europe, and South America, operating through two divisions: Manufacturing and Leasing & Management Services. The Manufacturing segment produces covered hopper cars, gondolas, open-top hoppers, boxcars, tank cars, intermodal railcars, and related components, while also offering wheel-axle reconditioning, axle machining, and a rail-car maintenance network. The Leasing & Management Services segment provides operating and per-diem leases for roughly 17,000 railcars and delivers maintenance, accounting, fleet-management, and re-marketing services to railroads, shippers, financial institutions, and other leasing entities.
Key recent metrics: GBX reported FY 2023 revenue of approximately $2.2 billion with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 12%, and its leasing portfolio carries a weighted-average lease rate of roughly 6.5% per annum. The company’s order backlog stands at about $1.5 billion, reflecting sustained demand for new freight-car builds amid a rebound in bulk-commodity shipments-a sector driver that tends to rise with higher global steel and grain production. Additionally, GBX’s exposure to rail-car leasing offers a relatively defensive cash-flow profile compared with pure-play manufacturers, which can be advantageous during cyclical downturns in freight volumes.
For a deeper dive into GBX’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (204.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 194.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.22pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 28.90% (prev 22.03%; Δ 6.87pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 265.7m > Net Income 204.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.51b) to EBITDA (512.8m) ratio: 2.94 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.43 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (30.9m) change vs 12m ago -4.60% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.57% (prev 15.63%; Δ 2.94pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 75.06% (prev 83.20%; Δ -8.14pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.26 (EBITDA TTM 512.8m / Interest Expense TTM 91.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.38
| (A) 0.21 = (Total Current Assets 1.59b - Total Current Liabilities 651.7m) / Total Assets 4.36b |
| (B) 0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.20b / Total Assets 4.36b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 391.3m / Avg Total Assets 4.31b |
| (D) 0.44 = Book Value of Equity 1.17b / Total Liabilities 2.63b |
| Total Rating: 3.38 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.48
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.49% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.45% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.20 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.94 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.03)% |
| 7. RoE 13.82% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 24.55% |
| 9. EPS Trend 49.61% |
What is the price of GBX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.17%, over one month by +7.51%, over three months by +2.09% and over the past year by -22.90%.
Is GBX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GBX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 43.7 | -6.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 43.7 | -6.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 50 | 7.5% |
GBX Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 7.3228
P/E Forward = 11.0619
P/S = 0.4476
P/B = 0.9436
P/EG = 1.93
Beta = 1.674
Revenue TTM = 3.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 391.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 512.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 84.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.51b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.98b USD (1.45b + Debt 1.84b - CCE 306.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.26 (Ebit TTM 391.3m / Interest Expense TTM 91.8m)
FCF Yield = -0.49% (FCF TTM -14.7m / Enterprise Value 2.98b)
FCF Margin = -0.45% (FCF TTM -14.7m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Net Margin = 6.31% (Net Income TTM 204.1m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Gross Margin = 18.57% ((Revenue TTM 3.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.51% (prev 17.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.68 (Enterprise Value 2.98b / Total Assets 4.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.78% (Interest Expense 32.6m / Debt 1.84b)
Taxrate = 33.06% (19.9m / 60.2m)
NOPAT = 261.9m (EBIT 391.3m * (1 - 33.06%))
Current Ratio = 2.43 (Total Current Assets 1.59b / Total Current Liabilities 651.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.20 (Debt 1.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.94 (Net Debt 1.51b / EBITDA 512.8m)
Debt / FCF = -102.7 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 1.51b / FCF TTM -14.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.68% (Net Income 204.1m / Total Assets 4.36b)
RoE = 13.82% (Net Income TTM 204.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.48b)
RoCE = 12.12% (EBIT 391.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.48b + L.T.Debt 1.75b))
RoIC = 8.05% (NOPAT 261.9m / Invested Capital 3.25b)
WACC = 5.02% (E(1.45b)/V(3.29b) * Re(9.87%) + D(1.84b)/V(3.29b) * Rd(1.78%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 9.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.96%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -14.7m)
EPS Correlation: 49.61 | EPS CAGR: -34.11% | SUE: -3.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 24.55 | Revenue CAGR: 8.81% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=0.92 | Chg30d=-0.310 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=4.05 | Chg30d=-0.925 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-38.5% | Growth Revenue=-12.0%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=4.58 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+13.0% | Growth Revenue=-2.1%
Additional Sources for GBX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle