(GBX) Greenbrier Companies - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Railroads | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 1.507m USD | Total Return: 8.2% in 12m

Freight Cars, Railcar Parts, Leasing Services, Maintenance Services
Total Rating 23
Safety 34
Buy Signal -1.14
Railroads
Industry Rotation: +5.4
Market Cap: 1.51B
Avg Turnover: 15.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.3%
VaR 5th Pctl5.43%
VaR vs Median-11.5%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.32
Rel. Str. IBD26.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group32.7
Character TTM
Beta0.988
Beta Downside1.228
Hurst Exponent0.433
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD43.69%
CAGR/Max DD0.54
CAGR/Mean DD1.35
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GBX over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-05": 0.69, "2021-08": 0.98, "2021-11": 0.32, "2022-02": 0.38, "2022-05": 0.09, "2022-08": 0.6, "2022-11": 0.05, "2023-02": 0.99, "2023-05": 1.02, "2023-08": 0.92, "2023-11": 0.96, "2024-02": 1.03, "2024-05": 1.06, "2024-08": 1.92, "2024-11": 1.72, "2025-02": 1.69, "2025-05": 1.86, "2025-08": 1.26, "2025-11": 1.14, "2026-02": 0.47,
EPS CAGR: 33.71%
EPS Trend: 82.5%
Last SUE: -1.23
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of GBX over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-05: 450.5, 2021-08: 599.277, 2021-11: 550.7, 2022-02: 682.7, 2022-05: 793.8, 2022-08: 951.1, 2022-11: 766.6, 2023-02: 1122, 2023-05: 1037.5, 2023-08: 1016.1, 2023-11: 808, 2024-02: 861.3, 2024-05: 818.7, 2024-08: 1051.7, 2024-11: 874.6, 2025-02: 762.4, 2025-05: 840.4, 2025-08: 755.8, 2025-11: 706.1, 2026-02: 587.5,
Rev. CAGR: -9.59%
Rev. Trend: -92.3%
Last SUE: -1.04
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

Beneish M-Score -1.12 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: GBX Greenbrier Companies

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) is a global supplier of freight transportation equipment and services, operating primarily in North America, Europe, and South America. The company’s integrated business model spans the design and manufacture of diverse railcar types-including intermodal, tank, and hopper cars-as well as comprehensive wheel services and component reconditioning.

Beyond manufacturing, Greenbrier operates a Leasing and Management Services segment that oversees a fleet of approximately 17,000 railcars. This segment generates recurring revenue through operating leases and logistics management for railroads and institutional investors. The railcar industry is highly cyclical and closely tied to industrial production levels and global trade volumes.

For a deeper look into the companys valuation metrics and historical performance, consider reviewing the detailed data available on ValueRay.

Founded in 1974 and based in Lake Oswego, Oregon, the company serves a broad client base including shippers, carriers, and financial institutions. Its technical capabilities include sustainable railcar conversions and the maintenance of a large-scale railcar repair network.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • North American railcar backlog growth signals long-term manufacturing revenue stability
  • Rising interest rates impact leasing segment profitability and fleet financing costs
  • Regulatory mandates for tank car safety upgrades drive replacement demand
  • Steel price fluctuations and labor availability affect manufacturing gross margins
  • Intermodal freight traffic volumes dictate demand for new railcar production orders
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 146.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.72 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 41.72% < 20% (prev 17.44%; Δ 24.28% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 466.3m > Net Income 146.1m
Net Debt (1.40b) to EBITDA (364.5m): 3.83 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.86 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.8m) vs 12m ago -4.30% < -2%
Gross Margin: 15.98% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 1.58k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 67.15% > 50% (prev 82.20%; Δ -15.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.85 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 364.5m / Interest Expense TTM 83.8m)
Altman Z'' 3.60
A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 1.85b - Total Current Liabilities 649.1m) / Total Assets 4.34b
B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 1.23b / Total Assets 4.34b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 238.6m / Avg Total Assets 4.30b)
D: 0.46 (Book Value of Equity 1.21b / Total Liabilities 2.62b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.60 = AA
Beneish M -1.12
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 463.5m/566.9m, Revenue 2.89b/3.51b)
GMI: 1.11 (GM 15.98% / 17.79%)
AQI: 4.39 (AQ_t 0.41 / AQ_t-1 0.09)
SGI: 0.82 (Revenue 2.89b / 3.51b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 146.1m - CFO 466.3m) / TA 4.34b)
Beneish M = -1.12 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of GBX shares?

As of May 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 47.94 with a total of 316,762 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.63%, over one month by -2.74%, over three months by -18.01% and over the past year by +8.17%.

Is GBX a buy, sell or hold?

Greenbrier Companies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GBX.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GBX price?
Analysts Target Price 44.7 -6.8%
Greenbrier Companies (GBX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 23 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.51b (1.51b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 10.2353
P/E Forward = 11.0619
P/S = 0.5205
P/B = 0.9634
P/EG = 0.5796
Revenue TTM = 2.89b USD
EBIT TTM = 238.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 364.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.76b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 78.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.92b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 78.2m
Net Debt = 1.40b USD (calculated: Debt 1.92b - CCE 521.8m)
Enterprise Value = 2.90b USD (1.51b + Debt 1.92b - CCE 521.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.85 (Ebit TTM 238.6m / Interest Expense TTM 83.8m)
EV/FCF = 12.93x (Enterprise Value 2.90b / FCF TTM 224.7m)
FCF Yield = 7.74% (FCF TTM 224.7m / Enterprise Value 2.90b)
FCF Margin = 7.78% (FCF TTM 224.7m / Revenue TTM 2.89b)
Net Margin = 5.06% (Net Income TTM 146.1m / Revenue TTM 2.89b)
Gross Margin = 15.98% ((Revenue TTM 2.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.83% (prev 14.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 2.90b / Total Assets 4.34b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.37% (Interest Expense 83.8m / Debt 1.92b)
Taxrate = 14.91% (1.70m / 11.4m)
NOPAT = 203.0m (EBIT 238.6m * (1 - 14.91%))
Current Ratio = 2.86 (Total Current Assets 1.85b / Total Current Liabilities 649.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.23 (Debt 1.92b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.83 (Net Debt 1.40b / EBITDA 364.5m)
Debt / FCF = 6.22 (Net Debt 1.40b / FCF TTM 224.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.40% (Net Income 146.1m / Total Assets 4.34b)
RoE = 9.51% (Net Income TTM 146.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.54b)
RoCE = 7.23% (EBIT 238.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.54b + L.T.Debt 1.76b))
RoIC = 5.61% (NOPAT 203.0m / Invested Capital 3.62b)
WACC = 6.24% (E(1.51b)/V(3.43b) * Re(9.46%) + D(1.92b)/V(3.43b) * Rd(4.37%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 9.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -55.56 | Cagr: -1.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈224.7m ; Y1≈225.6m ; Y5≈239.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 74.99 (EV 3.72b - Net Debt 1.40b = Equity 2.32b / Shares 30.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 82.46 | EPS CAGR: 33.71% | SUE: -1.23 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -92.28 | Revenue CAGR: -9.59% | SUE: -1.04 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-05-31): EPS=0.60 | Chg30d=-29.85% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=3.15 | Chg30d=-20.75% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=-52.2% | GrowthRev=-21.0%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=4.07 | Chg30d=-9.29% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+29.1% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%