GBX Stock Analysis: Greenbrier Companies | NYSE
Railroads | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.256m USD | 12M Return: -12.8% | US3936571013 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 16.6M
EPS Trend: 45.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -92.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (NYSE: GBX) designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment across North America, Europe, and South America. Founded in 1974 and headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon, the company operates two segments: Manufacturing (freight cars, parts, and reconditioning services) and Leasing & Management Services (operating and per diem leases on a fleet of approximately 17,000 railcars, plus fleet management, accounting, and re-marketing services).
GBX sells primarily to a B2B industrial customer base that includes railroads, leasing companies, financial institutions, shippers, carriers, and other transportation companies. The stock is classified within the Industrials sector under the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry and trades as a small-cap with a market capitalization of roughly $1.3 billion.
The business model is vertically integrated: GBX builds railcars and then leases a portion of them through its own fleet, which mixes cyclical new-build revenue with the more recurring, contract-based income of multi-year operating leases tied to railcar utilization.
- Railcar order backlog conversion drives Manufacturing segment revenue
- Leasing fleet utilization and per diem rates boost services margins
- North American freight rail volumes recover, lifting equipment demand
| Net Income: 102.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 48.59% < 20% (prev 17.14%; Δ 31.46% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 99.9m > Net Income 102.1m |
| Net Debt (2.69b) to EBITDA (193.4m): 13.92 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.22 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.8m) vs 12m ago -1.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.00% > 18% (prev 18.44%; Δ -3.44% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 60.36% > 50% (prev 81.07%; Δ -20.71% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.98 > 6 (EBIT TTM 161.2m / Interest Expense TTM 81.5m) |
| A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 1.85b - Total Current Liabilities 574.2m) / Total Assets 4.35b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 1.24b / Total Assets 4.35b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 161.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.35b) |
| D: 0.59 (Book Value of Equity 1.57b / Total Liabilities 2.65b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.73 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.20 (Receivables 481.4m/541.4m, Revenue 2.63b/3.53b) |
| GMI: 1.23 (GM 18.44% / 15.00%) |
| AQI: 1.19 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 0.74 (Revenue 2.63b / 3.53b) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 102.1m - CFO 99.9m) / TA 4.35b) |
| Beneish M = -2.73 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.63 with a total of 353,273 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.64%, over one month by -9.66%, over three months by -16.06% and over the past year by -12.76%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 37.20 (which is 3.7% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Greenbrier Companies has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.00. Therefore, it is recommended to sell GBX.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 45.3 | 17.3% |
P/E Trailing = 11.8655
P/E Forward = 11.0619
P/S = 0.4775
P/B = 0.8465
P/EG = 0.5796
Revenue TTM = 2.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 161.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 193.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 598.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 121.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.16b
Net Debt = 2.69b USD (calculated: Debt 2.97b - CCE 273.7m)
Enterprise Value = 3.95b USD (1.26b + Debt 2.97b - CCE 273.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.98 (Ebit TTM 161.2m / Interest Expense TTM 81.5m)
EV/FCF = -33.28x (Enterprise Value 3.95b / FCF TTM -118.6m)
FCF Yield = -3.00% (FCF TTM -118.6m / Enterprise Value 3.95b)
FCF Margin = -4.52% (FCF TTM -118.6m / Revenue TTM 2.63b)
Net Margin = 3.89% (Net Income TTM 102.1m / Revenue TTM 2.63b)
Gross Margin = 15.00% ((Revenue TTM 2.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.07% (prev 11.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.91 (Enterprise Value 3.95b / Total Assets 4.35b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.75% (Interest Expense 81.5m / Debt 2.97b)
Taxrate = 27.01% (36.9m / 136.6m)
NOPAT = 117.7m (EBIT 161.2m * (1 - 27.01%))
Current Ratio = 3.22 (Total Current Assets 1.85b / Total Current Liabilities 574.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.89 (Debt 2.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.92 (Net Debt 2.69b / EBITDA 193.4m)
Debt / FCF = -22.70 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.69b / FCF TTM -118.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.35% (Net Income 102.1m / Total Assets 4.35b)
RoE = 6.57% (Net Income TTM 102.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.55b)
RoCE = 7.49% (EBIT 161.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.55b + L.T.Debt 598.0m))
RoIC = 3.16% (NOPAT 117.7m / Invested Capital 3.73b)
WACC = 4.01% (E(1.26b)/V(4.22b) * Re(8.76%) + D(2.97b)/V(4.22b) * Rd(2.75%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -48.89 | Cagr: -1.08%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -118.6m)
EPS Correlation: 44.98 | EPS CAGR: 15.08% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -92.88 | Revenue CAGR: -12.02% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-11-30): EPS=0.90 | Chg30d=-3.24% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=3.03 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-54.0% | GrowthRev=-23.4%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=3.75 | Chg30d=-3.85% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+23.6% | GrowthRev=+8.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -70% (up=0, down=7)