GEF Stock Analysis: Greif | NYSE
Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.692m USD | 12M Return: 44.8% | US3976241071 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 32.4M
EPS Trend: -56.9%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -93.6%
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Greif, Inc. (NYSE: GEF) is a global producer and servicer of industrial packaging, operating through four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions, Durable Metal Solutions, Sustainable Fiber Solutions, and Integrated Solutions. Its core offerings span rigid containers including steel, fibre, and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers (IBCs), jerrycans, small plastics, closure systems, and water bottles, plus remanufactured and reconditioned industrial containers.
The business serves a diversified customer set across chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, paints and coatings, automotive, and building products. Greif also purchases and sells recycled fibre, produces adhesives, and provides container life-cycle management, logistics, and warehousing services, extending the model beyond manufacturing into after-market and circular-economy activities.
Founded in 1877 and headquartered in Delaware, Ohio, the company was formerly Greif Bros. Corporation, adopting its current name in 2001. It is classified under the GICS Materials sector, specifically the Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers sub-industry.
- Global industrial production drives steel drum volumes
- Resin and steel input costs squeeze product margins
- Containerboard pricing volatility impacts fiber segment revenue
| Net Income: 985.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.10 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.85% < 20% (prev 8.12%; Δ 2.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -74.7m > Net Income 985.1m |
| Net Debt (1.15b) to EBITDA (516.6m): 2.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.29 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.6m) vs 12m ago -1.06% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.82% > 18% (prev 21.06%; Δ 1.76% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 54.26% > 50% (prev 67.23%; Δ -12.97% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.18 > 6 (EBIT TTM 302.5m / Interest Expense TTM 58.4m) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 1.64b - Total Current Liabilities 1.27b) / Total Assets 5.70b |
| B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 3.36b / Total Assets 5.70b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 302.5m / Avg Total Assets 6.23b) |
| D: 1.17 (Book Value of Equity 3.00b / Total Liabilities 2.57b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.89 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 747.0m/803.7m, Revenue 3.38b/4.54b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 21.06% / 22.82%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 0.74 (Revenue 3.38b / 4.54b) |
| TATA: 0.19 (NI 985.1m - CFO -74.7m) / TA 5.70b) |
| Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 81.82 with a total of 309,075 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.44%, over one month by -1.34%, over three months by +14.35% and over the past year by +44.78%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 79.30 (which is 3.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Greif has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.17. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GEF.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 88.2 | 7.8% |
P/E Trailing = 37.3484
P/E Forward = 9.3023
P/S = 1.0905
P/B = 1.6032
P/EG = 0.7662
Revenue TTM = 3.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 302.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 516.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 687.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 389.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 203.2m
Net Debt = 1.15b USD (calculated: Debt 1.44b - CCE 288.5m)
Enterprise Value = 5.84b USD (4.69b + Debt 1.44b - CCE 288.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.18 (Ebit TTM 302.5m / Interest Expense TTM 58.4m)
EV/FCF = -25.61x (Enterprise Value 5.84b / FCF TTM -228.1m)
FCF Yield = -3.91% (FCF TTM -228.1m / Enterprise Value 5.84b)
FCF Margin = -6.75% (FCF TTM -228.1m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Net Margin = 29.14% (Net Income TTM 985.1m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Gross Margin = 22.82% ((Revenue TTM 3.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.39% (prev 23.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 5.84b / Total Assets 5.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.06% (Interest Expense 58.4m / Debt 1.44b)
Taxrate = 32.08% (97.5m / 303.9m)
NOPAT = 205.4m (EBIT 302.5m * (1 - 32.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 1.64b / Total Current Liabilities 1.27b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.22 (Net Debt 1.15b / EBITDA 516.6m)
Debt / FCF = -5.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.15b / FCF TTM -228.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.81% (Net Income 985.1m / Total Assets 5.70b)
RoE = 33.40% (Net Income TTM 985.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.95b)
RoCE = 8.32% (EBIT 302.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.95b + L.T.Debt 687.4m))
RoIC = 4.41% (NOPAT 205.4m / Invested Capital 4.66b)
WACC = 7.04% (E(4.69b)/V(6.13b) * Re(8.35%) + D(1.44b)/V(6.13b) * Rd(4.06%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 8.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 72.65 | Cagr: 9.50%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -228.1m)
EPS Correlation: -56.95 | EPS CAGR: -16.70% | SUE: 1.70 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -93.62 | Revenue CAGR: -15.58% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.75 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+29% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.33 | Chg30d=+0.38% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+116.4% | GrowthRev=+10.0%
EPS next Year (2026-10-31): EPS=5.25 | Chg30d=-3.76% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+29.0% | GrowthRev=+10.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +28% (up=10, down=5)