(GEF) Greif Bros - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US3976241071
Drums, IBCs, Corrugated, Containerboard, Timber
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.37% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.32% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.76% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 66.8% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.03 |
| Alpha | -15.62 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.505 |
| Beta | 0.762 |
| Beta Downside | 0.756 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.09% |
| Mean DD | 12.15% |
| Median DD | 13.30% |
Description: GEF Greif Bros November 07, 2025
Greif, Inc. (NYSE: GEF) is a global industrial packaging leader that manufactures a broad portfolio of rigid containers-including steel, fiber, and plastic drums, intermediate bulk containers, and jerrycans-plus closure systems, transit protection, and water bottles. The company also offers remanufacturing, life-cycle management, logistics, and warehousing services, effectively turning packaging into a recurring revenue stream.
Beyond containers, Greif produces containerboard, corrugated sheets, and related packaging products for automotive, food, and building-materials sectors, and it sells both coated and uncoated recycled paperboard, bulk partitions, adhesives, and recycled fiber. The firm’s ancillary timber-land operations provide a modest diversification into timber harvesting and regeneration.
Key data points (FY 2023): revenue of approximately $5.5 billion, adjusted EBITDA margin near 9 %, and a 71 % capacity utilization rate in its drum-manufacturing segment. The business is sensitive to macro-drivers such as commodity price volatility (steel, resin), global trade volumes, and the accelerating regulatory push for recyclable packaging, which has boosted demand for Greif’s recycled-paper and remanufacturing services.
For a deeper dive into Greif’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (821.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 211.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.96pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.16% (prev 15.43%; Δ -0.27pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 48.1m <= Net Income 821.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.13b) to EBITDA (360.4m) ratio: 3.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.47 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (47.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.42% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.59% (prev 20.78%; Δ 0.81pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 55.92% (prev 66.66%; Δ -10.74pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.78 (EBITDA TTM 360.4m / Interest Expense TTM 80.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.16
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 1.66b - Total Current Liabilities 1.13b) / Total Assets 5.77b |
| (B) 0.43 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.51b / Total Assets 5.77b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 143.5m / Avg Total Assets 6.30b |
| (D) 1.89 = Book Value of Equity 5.14b / Total Liabilities 2.72b |
| Total Rating: 4.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 38.85
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.07% |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.88% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.01)% |
| 7. RoE 35.81% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -59.32% |
| 9. EPS Trend -70.16% |
What is the price of GEF shares?
As of December 10, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 64.77 with a total of 189,389 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.69%, over one month by +10.06%, over three months by +8.53% and over the past year by -1.50%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.69%, over one month by +10.06%, over three months by +8.53% and over the past year by -1.50%.
Is GEF a buy, sell or hold?
Greif Bros has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy GEF.
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GEF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 72.6 | 12.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 72.6 | 12.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 67.4 | 4% |
GEF Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
Market Cap USD = 3.79b (3.79b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 26.9959
P/S = 0.8829
P/B = 1.3167
P/EG = 2.25
Beta = 0.977
Revenue TTM = 3.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 143.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 360.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 331.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.13b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.89b USD (3.79b + Debt 1.39b - CCE 285.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.78 (Ebit TTM 143.5m / Interest Expense TTM 80.8m)
FCF Yield = -2.07% (FCF TTM -101.5m / Enterprise Value 4.89b)
FCF Margin = -2.88% (FCF TTM -101.5m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Net Margin = 23.30% (Net Income TTM 821.1m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Gross Margin = 21.59% ((Revenue TTM 3.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.49% (prev 23.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.85 (Enterprise Value 4.89b / Total Assets 5.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = -2.23% (Interest Expense -31.0m / Debt 1.39b)
Taxrate = -25.67% (negative due to tax credits) (15.4m / -60.0m)
NOPAT = 180.3m (EBIT 143.5m * (1 - -25.67%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 1.66b / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.15 (Net Debt 1.13b / EBITDA 360.4m)
Debt / FCF = -11.17 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.13b / FCF TTM -101.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.24% (Net Income 821.1m / Total Assets 5.77b)
RoE = 35.81% (Net Income TTM 821.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.29b)
RoCE = 3.18% (EBIT 143.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.29b + L.T.Debt 2.22b))
RoIC = 3.69% (NOPAT 180.3m / Invested Capital 4.88b)
WACC = 5.70% (E(3.79b)/V(5.18b) * Re(8.82%) + D(1.39b)/V(5.18b) * Rd(-2.23%) * (1-Tc(-0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -9.37%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -101.5m)
EPS Correlation: -70.16 | EPS CAGR: -5.63% | SUE: 0.94 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -59.32 | Revenue CAGR: -49.13% | SUE: -2.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.33 | Chg30d=+0.077 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.39 | Chg30d=+0.170 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+119.6% | Growth Revenue=+10.9%
EPS next Year (2026-10-31): EPS=5.25 | Chg30d=-0.205 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+29.0% | Growth Revenue=+10.2%
P/E Trailing = 26.9959
P/S = 0.8829
P/B = 1.3167
P/EG = 2.25
Beta = 0.977
Revenue TTM = 3.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 143.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 360.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 331.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.13b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.89b USD (3.79b + Debt 1.39b - CCE 285.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.78 (Ebit TTM 143.5m / Interest Expense TTM 80.8m)
FCF Yield = -2.07% (FCF TTM -101.5m / Enterprise Value 4.89b)
FCF Margin = -2.88% (FCF TTM -101.5m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Net Margin = 23.30% (Net Income TTM 821.1m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Gross Margin = 21.59% ((Revenue TTM 3.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.49% (prev 23.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.85 (Enterprise Value 4.89b / Total Assets 5.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = -2.23% (Interest Expense -31.0m / Debt 1.39b)
Taxrate = -25.67% (negative due to tax credits) (15.4m / -60.0m)
NOPAT = 180.3m (EBIT 143.5m * (1 - -25.67%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 1.66b / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.15 (Net Debt 1.13b / EBITDA 360.4m)
Debt / FCF = -11.17 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.13b / FCF TTM -101.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.24% (Net Income 821.1m / Total Assets 5.77b)
RoE = 35.81% (Net Income TTM 821.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.29b)
RoCE = 3.18% (EBIT 143.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.29b + L.T.Debt 2.22b))
RoIC = 3.69% (NOPAT 180.3m / Invested Capital 4.88b)
WACC = 5.70% (E(3.79b)/V(5.18b) * Re(8.82%) + D(1.39b)/V(5.18b) * Rd(-2.23%) * (1-Tc(-0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -9.37%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -101.5m)
EPS Correlation: -70.16 | EPS CAGR: -5.63% | SUE: 0.94 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -59.32 | Revenue CAGR: -49.13% | SUE: -2.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.33 | Chg30d=+0.077 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.39 | Chg30d=+0.170 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+119.6% | Growth Revenue=+10.9%
EPS next Year (2026-10-31): EPS=5.25 | Chg30d=-0.205 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+29.0% | Growth Revenue=+10.2%
Additional Sources for GEF Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle