(GEF) Greif Bros - Ratings and Ratios
Steel Drums, Plastic Drums, Fiber Drums, IBC Containers, Closure
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.54% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.29% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.14% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 67.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.64 |
| Alpha | 9.60 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.15 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.498 |
| Beta | 0.747 |
| Beta Downside | 0.732 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.09% |
| Mean DD | 12.12% |
| Median DD | 13.30% |
Description: GEF Greif Bros January 10, 2026
Greif, Inc. (NYSE: GEF) is a global industrial packaging producer that operates through four primary segments: Customized Polymer Solutions, Durable Metal Solutions, Sustainable Fiber Solutions, and Integrated Solutions. The company manufactures a wide range of rigid containers-including steel, fiber, and plastic drums, intermediate bulk containers, jerrycans, and specialty closures-and offers ancillary services such as container life-cycle management, logistics, and warehousing.
In FY 2023 Greif reported revenue of roughly $5.1 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 9 %, reflecting steady demand across its diversified end-markets (chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, food & beverage, pharmaceuticals, and construction). The Sustainable Fiber Solutions segment has benefited from rising recycling mandates and ESG pressure, which have driven a 5 % CAGR in recycled-fiber demand globally.
Key economic drivers for Greif include industrial production growth (particularly in chemicals and oil & gas), commodity price volatility that affects steel and resin input costs, and regulatory trends that favor reusable and recyclable packaging. The company’s exposure to the broader metal-container market is also linked to the GICS sub-industry’s average forward-PE of about 12×, suggesting modest valuation relative to peers.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst tools.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: 821.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.96 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 15.16% < 20% (prev 15.43%; Δ -0.27% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 48.1m > Net Income 821.1m |
| Net Debt (1.13b) to EBITDA (360.4m): 3.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.6m) vs 12m ago 0.42% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 21.59% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2139 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 55.92% > 50% (prev 66.66%; Δ -10.74% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.78 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 360.4m / Interest Expense TTM 80.8m) |
Altman Z'' 4.16
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 1.66b - Total Current Liabilities 1.13b) / Total Assets 5.77b |
| B: 0.43 (Retained Earnings 2.51b / Total Assets 5.77b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 143.5m / Avg Total Assets 6.30b) |
| D: 1.89 (Book Value of Equity 5.14b / Total Liabilities 2.72b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.16 = AA |
Beneish M -2.99
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 655.3m/785.7m, Revenue 3.52b/4.56b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 21.59% / 20.78%) |
| AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.46) |
| SGI: 0.77 (Revenue 3.52b / 4.56b) |
| TATA: 0.13 (NI 821.1m - CFO 48.1m) / TA 5.77b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 36.76
| 1. Piotroski: 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: -1.92% |
| 3. FCF Margin: -2.88% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 3.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: -3.74% |
| 7. RoE: 35.81% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: -59.32% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -70.16% |
What is the price of GEF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.62%, over one month by +2.68%, over three months by +22.61% and over the past year by +19.49%.
Is GEF a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GEF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 76.2 | 5.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 76.2 | 5.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 77.5 | 7.6% |
GEF Fundamental Data Overview January 20, 2026
P/S = 0.9717
P/B = 1.4275
P/EG = 2.25
Revenue TTM = 3.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 143.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 360.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 331.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.13b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.27b USD (4.17b + Debt 1.39b - CCE 285.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.78 (Ebit TTM 143.5m / Interest Expense TTM 80.8m)
EV/FCF = -51.96x (Enterprise Value 5.27b / FCF TTM -101.5m)
FCF Yield = -1.92% (FCF TTM -101.5m / Enterprise Value 5.27b)
FCF Margin = -2.88% (FCF TTM -101.5m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Net Margin = 23.30% (Net Income TTM 821.1m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Gross Margin = 21.59% ((Revenue TTM 3.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.49% (prev 23.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.91 (Enterprise Value 5.27b / Total Assets 5.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = -2.23% (Interest Expense -31.0m / Debt 1.39b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 113.4m (EBIT 143.5m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 1.66b / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.15 (Net Debt 1.13b / EBITDA 360.4m)
Debt / FCF = -11.17 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.13b / FCF TTM -101.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.03% (Net Income 821.1m / Total Assets 5.77b)
RoE = 35.81% (Net Income TTM 821.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.29b)
RoCE = 3.18% (EBIT 143.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.29b + L.T.Debt 2.22b))
RoIC = 2.32% (NOPAT 113.4m / Invested Capital 4.88b)
WACC = 6.06% (E(4.17b)/V(5.56b) * Re(8.67%) + D(1.39b)/V(5.56b) * Rd(-2.23%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -9.37%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -101.5m)
EPS Correlation: -70.16 | EPS CAGR: -5.63% | SUE: 0.94 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -59.32 | Revenue CAGR: -49.13% | SUE: -2.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.26 | Chg30d=-0.062 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.41 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+120.6% | Growth Revenue=+10.8%
EPS next Year (2026-10-31): EPS=5.25 | Chg30d=-0.205 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+29.0% | Growth Revenue=+10.2%
Additional Sources for GEF Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle