GEF Stock Analysis: Greif Bros | NYSE
Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.174m USD | 12M Return: 12.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 16.7M
EPS Trend: -93.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -93.7%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Greif, Inc. (NYSE: GEF) is a global producer of industrial packaging products and services, operating through four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions, Durable Metal Solutions, Sustainable Fiber Solutions, and Integrated Solutions. Its product range spans steel, fibre, and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, jerrycans, small plastics, closure systems, water bottles, and reconditioned containers, alongside container life-cycle management, logistics, and warehousing services. End markets served include chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, food and beverage, pharmaceutical, paints and coatings, automotive, and construction. The company also trades in recycled fibre and produces adhesives.
Greif is classified within the GICS Materials sector, specifically the Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers sub-industry, reflecting its diversified exposure across rigid packaging substrates. The business is vertically oriented in industrial packaging rather than consumer packaging, which typically means demand is tied to the cyclicality of bulk chemical, agricultural, and construction end-markets rather than direct retail consumption. Founded in 1877 and headquartered in Delaware, Ohio, the company adopted its current name in 2001 after operating as Greif Bros. Corporation.
- Containerboard price cycles swing sustainable fiber margins
- Steel and resin costs squeeze industrial packaging margins
- Ipackchem acquisition lifts Latin America specialty plastics revenue
| Net Income: 954.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.33 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.38% < 20% (prev 9.41%; Δ -0.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.00 > 3% & CFO -16.1m > Net Income 954.6m |
| Net Debt (1.13b) to EBITDA (536.8m): 2.10 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.0m) vs 12m ago -1.73% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.73% > 18% (prev 20.87%; Δ 1.86% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 59.11% > 50% (prev 61.24%; Δ -2.13% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.66 > 6 (EBIT TTM 313.7m / Interest Expense TTM 85.6m) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 1.56b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 5.60b |
| B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 3.32b / Total Assets 5.60b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 313.7m / Avg Total Assets 6.09b) |
| D: 1.17 (Book Value of Equity 2.94b / Total Liabilities 2.52b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.90 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 707.1m/706.0m, Revenue 3.60b/4.03b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 20.87% / 22.73%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.50) |
| SGI: 0.89 (Revenue 3.60b / 4.03b) |
| TATA: 0.17 (NI 954.6m - CFO -16.1m) / TA 5.60b) |
| Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 73.60 with a total of 108,251 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.10%, over one month by +15.10%, over three months by +5.97% and over the past year by +12.87%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 69.50 (which is 5.6% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Greif Bros has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GEF.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 76.2 | 3.5% |
P/E Trailing = 30.3554
P/E Forward = 9.3023
P/S = 0.979
P/B = 1.4518
P/EG = 0.7662
Revenue TTM = 3.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 313.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 536.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 701.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 349.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 203.5m
Net Debt = 1.13b USD (calculated: Debt 1.41b - CCE 286.1m)
Enterprise Value = 5.30b USD (4.17b + Debt 1.41b - CCE 286.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.66 (Ebit TTM 313.7m / Interest Expense TTM 85.6m)
EV/FCF = -30.91x (Enterprise Value 5.30b / FCF TTM -171.5m)
FCF Yield = -3.24% (FCF TTM -171.5m / Enterprise Value 5.30b)
FCF Margin = -4.76% (FCF TTM -171.5m / Revenue TTM 3.60b)
Net Margin = 26.52% (Net Income TTM 954.6m / Revenue TTM 3.60b)
Gross Margin = 22.73% ((Revenue TTM 3.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.02% (prev 20.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 5.30b / Total Assets 5.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.06% (Interest Expense 85.6m / Debt 1.41b)
Taxrate = 38.15% (110.0m / 288.3m)
NOPAT = 194.0m (EBIT 313.7m * (1 - 38.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 1.56b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.10 (Net Debt 1.13b / EBITDA 536.8m)
Debt / FCF = -6.57 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.13b / FCF TTM -171.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.67% (Net Income 954.6m / Total Assets 5.60b)
RoE = 34.93% (Net Income TTM 954.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.73b)
RoCE = 9.13% (EBIT 313.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.73b + L.T.Debt 701.2m))
RoIC = 4.27% (NOPAT 194.0m / Invested Capital 4.54b)
WACC = 7.89% (E(4.17b)/V(5.59b) * Re(9.29%) + D(1.41b)/V(5.59b) * Rd(6.06%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 9.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 47.74 | Cagr: -0.77%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -171.5m)
EPS Correlation: -93.74 | EPS CAGR: -30.39% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -93.72 | Revenue CAGR: -15.72% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.08 | Chg30d=-17.24% | Revisions=-67% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=3.88 | Chg30d=-5.98% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+94.0% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
EPS next Year (2026-10-31): EPS=5.25 | Chg30d=-3.76% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+29.0% | GrowthRev=+10.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -74% (up=1, down=15)