GEF Stock Analysis: Greif Bros | NYSE
Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.998m USD | 12M Return: 31.7% | US3976241071 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 23.6M
EPS Trend: -56.9%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -93.6%
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Greif, Inc. (NYSE: GEF) is a global producer of industrial packaging products and services, operating through four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions, Durable Metal Solutions, Sustainable Fiber Solutions, and Integrated Solutions. Its product range spans steel, fibre, and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, jerrycans, small plastics, closure systems, water bottles, and reconditioned containers, alongside container life-cycle management, logistics, and warehousing services. End markets served include chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, food and beverage, pharmaceutical, paints and coatings, automotive, and construction. The company also trades in recycled fibre and produces adhesives.
Greif is classified within the GICS Materials sector, specifically the Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers sub-industry, reflecting its diversified exposure across rigid packaging substrates. The business is vertically oriented in industrial packaging rather than consumer packaging, which typically means demand is tied to the cyclicality of bulk chemical, agricultural, and construction end-markets rather than direct retail consumption. Founded in 1877 and headquartered in Delaware, Ohio, the company adopted its current name in 2001 after operating as Greif Bros. Corporation.
- Containerboard price cycles swing sustainable fiber margins
- Steel and resin costs squeeze industrial packaging margins
- Ipackchem acquisition lifts Latin America specialty plastics revenue
| Net Income: 986.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.85% < 20% (prev 8.12%; Δ 2.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -77.5m > Net Income 986.1m |
| Net Debt (1.15b) to EBITDA (516.6m): 2.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.29 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.6m) vs 12m ago -1.06% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.82% > 18% (prev 21.06%; Δ 1.76% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 54.26% > 50% (prev 67.23%; Δ -12.97% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.18 > 6 (EBIT TTM 302.5m / Interest Expense TTM 58.4m) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 1.64b - Total Current Liabilities 1.27b) / Total Assets 5.70b |
| B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 3.36b / Total Assets 5.70b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 302.5m / Avg Total Assets 6.23b) |
| D: 1.17 (Book Value of Equity 3.00b / Total Liabilities 2.57b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.89 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 747.0m/803.7m, Revenue 3.38b/4.54b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 21.06% / 22.82%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 0.74 (Revenue 3.38b / 4.54b) |
| TATA: 0.19 (NI 986.1m - CFO -77.5m) / TA 5.70b) |
| Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 84.63 with a total of 201,474 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.51%, over one month by +5.35%, over three months by +32.70% and over the past year by +31.74%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 81.80 (which is 3.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Greif Bros has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GEF.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 87.2 | 3% |
P/E Trailing = 35.7358
P/E Forward = 9.3023
P/S = 1.1614
P/B = 1.6381
P/EG = 0.7662
Revenue TTM = 3.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 302.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 516.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 687.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 389.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 203.2m
Net Debt = 1.15b USD (calculated: Debt 1.44b - CCE 288.5m)
Enterprise Value = 6.15b USD (5.00b + Debt 1.44b - CCE 288.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.18 (Ebit TTM 302.5m / Interest Expense TTM 58.4m)
EV/FCF = -26.62x (Enterprise Value 6.15b / FCF TTM -230.9m)
FCF Yield = -3.76% (FCF TTM -230.9m / Enterprise Value 6.15b)
FCF Margin = -6.83% (FCF TTM -230.9m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Net Margin = 29.17% (Net Income TTM 986.1m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Gross Margin = 22.82% ((Revenue TTM 3.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.39% (prev 23.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.08 (Enterprise Value 6.15b / Total Assets 5.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.06% (Interest Expense 58.4m / Debt 1.44b)
Taxrate = 32.22% (98.1m / 304.5m)
NOPAT = 205.0m (EBIT 302.5m * (1 - 32.22%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 1.64b / Total Current Liabilities 1.27b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.22 (Net Debt 1.15b / EBITDA 516.6m)
Debt / FCF = -4.97 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.15b / FCF TTM -230.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.83% (Net Income 986.1m / Total Assets 5.70b)
RoE = 33.43% (Net Income TTM 986.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.95b)
RoCE = 8.32% (EBIT 302.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.95b + L.T.Debt 687.4m))
RoIC = 4.40% (NOPAT 205.0m / Invested Capital 4.66b)
WACC = 7.10% (E(5.00b)/V(6.43b) * Re(8.35%) + D(1.44b)/V(6.43b) * Rd(4.06%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 8.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 72.65 | Cagr: 9.50%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -230.9m)
EPS Correlation: -56.95 | EPS CAGR: -16.70% | SUE: 1.70 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -93.62 | Revenue CAGR: -15.58% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.75 | Chg30d=+0.78% | Revisions=+29% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.31 | Chg30d=+11.13% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+115.6% | GrowthRev=+10.0%
EPS next Year (2026-10-31): EPS=5.25 | Chg30d=-3.76% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+29.0% | GrowthRev=+10.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +28% (up=10, down=5)