GEL Stock Analysis: Genesis Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.717m USD | 12M Return: -5.4% | US3719271047 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 4.15M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -95.5%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) is a U.S. midstream energy partnership that operates across three reporting segments: Offshore Pipeline Transportation, Marine Transportation, and Onshore Facilities and Transportation.
The midstream sector sits in the middle of the oil and gas value chain, handling the gathering, processing, storage, transportation, and marketing of hydrocarbons between upstream production and downstream refining. GEL is structured as a Master Limited Partnership (MLP), a business form commonly used in this sector that generally passes through earnings to unitholders rather than taxing them at the corporate level.
The Offshore Pipeline Transportation segment owns interests in offshore crude oil and natural gas pipeline systems, platforms, and related infrastructure, and provides handling and related services to integrated and large independent energy companies.
The Marine Transportation segment operates inland and offshore marine fleets that move intermediate refined petroleum products such as asphalt, as well as crude oil and refined products, and includes the M/T American Phoenix, a double-hulled tanker.
The Onshore Facilities and Transportation segment provides gathering, transportation, storage, blending, and marketing services to crude oil refiners and producers, supported by logistical assets such as pipelines, trucks, tanks, terminals, barges, and rail unloading facilities. This segment also processes high sulfur gas streams for refineries and sells the by-product sodium hydrosulfide.
Genesis Energy was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
- Gulf of Mexico crude production drives offshore pipeline tariff volumes
- NaHS by-product margins hinge on refinery sulfur processing demand
- Distribution coverage and leverage ratios guide unit price sensitivity
| Net Income: 78.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.34 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -5.44% < 20% (prev -1.56%; Δ -3.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 448.6m > Net Income 78.7m |
| Net Debt (3.16b) to EBITDA (649.3m): 4.87 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.93 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (122.4m) vs 12m ago -0.03% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.32% > 18% (prev 13.37%; Δ 11.95% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.77% > 50% (prev 45.79%; Δ -10.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.50 > 6 (EBIT TTM 402.3m / Interest Expense TTM 268.9m) |
| DSRI: 2.88 (Receivables 1.19b/499.6m, Revenue 1.83b/2.22b) |
| GMI: 0.53 (GM 13.37% / 25.32%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 0.83 (Revenue 1.83b / 2.22b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 78.7m - CFO 448.6m) / TA 5.41b) |
| Beneish M = -2.11 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.32 with a total of 258,533 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.07%, over one month by -9.37%, over three months by -2.94% and over the past year by -5.42%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.30 (which is 7.1% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
Genesis Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GEL.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 18.3 | 28% |
P/E Trailing = 66.9048
P/E Forward = 10.0806
P/S = 0.9366
P/B = 26.6157
P/EG = 3.051
Revenue TTM = 1.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 402.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 649.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.16b USD (calculated: Debt 3.20b - CCE 44.2m)
Enterprise Value = 4.88b USD (1.72b + Debt 3.20b - CCE 44.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.50 (Ebit TTM 402.3m / Interest Expense TTM 268.9m)
EV/FCF = 14.15x (Enterprise Value 4.88b / FCF TTM 344.7m)
FCF Yield = 7.07% (FCF TTM 344.7m / Enterprise Value 4.88b)
FCF Margin = 18.80% (FCF TTM 344.7m / Revenue TTM 1.83b)
Net Margin = 4.29% (Net Income TTM 78.7m / Revenue TTM 1.83b)
Gross Margin = 25.32% ((Revenue TTM 1.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.06% (prev 21.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 4.88b / Total Assets 5.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.39% (Interest Expense 268.9m / Debt 3.20b)
Taxrate = 0.48% (638k / 133.4m)
NOPAT = 400.4m (EBIT 402.3m * (1 - 0.48%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 1.30b / Total Current Liabilities 1.40b)
Debt / Equity = -9.51 (negative equity) (Debt 3.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -336.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.87 (Net Debt 3.16b / EBITDA 649.3m)
Debt / FCF = 9.17 (Net Debt 3.16b / FCF TTM 344.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 55.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.54% (Net Income 78.7m / Total Assets 5.41b)
RoE = 141.2% (Net Income TTM 78.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 55.8m)
RoCE = 12.73% (EBIT 402.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 55.8m + L.T.Debt 3.10b))
RoIC = 9.84% (NOPAT 400.4m / Invested Capital 4.07b)
WACC = 7.79% (E(1.72b)/V(4.92b) * Re(6.75%) + D(3.20b)/V(4.92b) * Rd(8.39%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 6.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -51.34 | Cagr: -0.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈344.7m ; Y1≈346.1m ; Y5≈366.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 20.81 (EV 5.70b - Net Debt 3.16b = Equity 2.54b / Shares 122.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -95.50 | Revenue CAGR: -20.98% | SUE: 2.35 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.18 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.02 | Chg30d=-133.33% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+99.5% | GrowthRev=+9.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=-73.33% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+500.0% | GrowthRev=-5.6%