GEL Stock Analysis: Genesis Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.831m USD | 12M Return: -10.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 4.07M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -96.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) is a U.S.-based partnership operating in the midstream segment of the crude oil and natural gas industry. Its business is organized into three segments: Offshore Pipeline Transportation, which owns and operates pipeline systems, platforms, and related infrastructure serving integrated and large independent energy companies; Marine Transportation, comprising an inland and offshore fleet plus a double-hulled tanker for moving crude oil and refined products; and Onshore Facilities and Transportation, which purchases, transports, stores, blends, and markets crude oil and refined products using pipelines, trucks, terminals, barges, and rail facilities, and also processes high-sulfur gas streams. Founded in 1996 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company has been publicly listed since 1996 and is classified as a small-cap energy issuer.
The midstream sector occupies the middle of the oil and gas value chain, sitting between upstream production and downstream refining, and its economics tend to be driven by throughput volumes, fees, and infrastructure utilization rather than commodity prices. Genesis is structured as a master limited partnership (MLP), a common vehicle in this capital-intensive industry that generally pays distributions to unitholders and offers pass-through tax treatment.
- Offshore Gulf of Mexico throughput rises with crude production recovery
- Marine Transportation margins improve on asphalt and refined product demand
- Deleveraging progress supports distribution coverage and unit price stability
| Net Income: 35.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.82 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.07% < 20% (prev 13.42%; Δ -14.48% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 320.4m > Net Income 35.5m |
| Net Debt (3.17b) to EBITDA (588.0m): 5.39 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.98 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (122.5m) vs 12m ago 0.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.40% > 18% (prev 12.43%; Δ 9.98% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 33.41% > 50% (prev 43.52%; Δ -10.11% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.33 > 6 (EBIT TTM 348.3m / Interest Expense TTM 262.7m) |
| DSRI: 1.71 (Receivables 628.6m/498.2m, Revenue 1.68b/2.27b) |
| GMI: 0.55 (GM 12.43% / 22.40%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 0.74 (Revenue 1.68b / 2.27b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 35.5m - CFO 320.4m) / TA 4.84b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.97 with a total of 177,619 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.65%, over one month by -3.23%, over three months by -14.96% and over the past year by -10.75%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.20 (which is 5.1% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Genesis Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GEL.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 19.3 | 29.1% |
P/E Forward = 10.0806
P/S = 1.0907
P/B = 25.4335
P/EG = 3.051
Revenue TTM = 1.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 348.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 588.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.18b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 3.18b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.17b USD (calculated: Debt 3.18b - CCE 4.21m)
Enterprise Value = 5.00b USD (1.83b + Debt 3.18b - CCE 4.21m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.33 (Ebit TTM 348.3m / Interest Expense TTM 262.7m)
EV/FCF = 26.46x (Enterprise Value 5.00b / FCF TTM 189.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.78% (FCF TTM 189.1m / Enterprise Value 5.00b)
FCF Margin = 11.26% (FCF TTM 189.1m / Revenue TTM 1.68b)
Net Margin = 2.11% (Net Income TTM 35.5m / Revenue TTM 1.68b)
Gross Margin = 22.40% ((Revenue TTM 1.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.08% (prev 23.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 5.00b / Total Assets 4.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.27% (Interest Expense 262.7m / Debt 3.18b)
Taxrate = 0.89% (774k / 87.0m)
NOPAT = 345.2m (EBIT 348.3m * (1 - 0.89%))
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 702.8m / Total Current Liabilities 720.7m)
Debt / Equity = 46.45 (Debt 3.18b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 68.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.39 (Net Debt 3.17b / EBITDA 588.0m)
Debt / FCF = 16.78 (Net Debt 3.17b / FCF TTM 189.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 209.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.71% (Net Income 35.5m / Total Assets 4.84b)
RoE = 16.91% (Net Income TTM 35.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 209.8m)
RoCE = 10.29% (EBIT 348.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 209.8m + L.T.Debt 3.18b))
RoIC = 8.39% (NOPAT 345.2m / Invested Capital 4.11b)
WACC = 7.73% (E(1.83b)/V(5.01b) * Re(6.92%) + D(3.18b)/V(5.01b) * Rd(8.27%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 6.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 36.51 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈189.1m ; Y1≈189.9m ; Y5≈201.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 3.13b - Net Debt 3.17b = -44.0m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.48 | Revenue CAGR: -21.52% | SUE: 1.98 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=-90.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.03 | Chg30d=-85.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=-92.41% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+101.4% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=-70.30% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+400.0% | GrowthRev=+0.0%