(GENI) Genius Sports - Overview

Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Internet Content & Information | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 1.430m USD | Total Return: -39.9% in 12m

Sports Data, Betting Odds, Streaming, Fan Engagement, Integrity Services
Total Rating 33
Safety 28
Buy Signal -0.60
Internet Content & Information
Industry Rotation: -6.6
Market Cap: 1.43B
Avg Turnover: 26.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility62.4%
VaR 5th Pctl10.1%
VaR vs Median-2.32%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.55
Rel. Str. IBD3.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group5
Character TTM
Beta0.877
Beta Downside0.749
Hurst Exponent0.507
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD71.07%
CAGR/Max DD0.01
CAGR/Mean DD0.04
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GENI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -2.84, "2021-06": -0.07, "2021-09": -0.37, "2021-12": -0.28, "2022-03": -0.21, "2022-06": -0.02, "2022-09": -0.04, "2022-12": -0.63, "2023-03": -0.12, "2023-06": -0.05, "2023-09": -0.06, "2023-12": -0.12, "2024-03": -0.11, "2024-06": -0.09, "2024-09": 0.0545, "2024-12": -0.0168, "2025-03": -0.033, "2025-06": -0.21, "2025-09": -0.11, "2025-12": -0.0182, "2026-03": 0.0165,
Last SUE: 0.08
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GENI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 53.738, 2021-06: 55.849, 2021-09: 69.136, 2021-12: 84.012, 2022-03: 85.923, 2022-06: 71.117, 2022-09: 78.65, 2022-12: 105.339, 2023-03: 97.229, 2023-06: 86.847, 2023-09: 101.729, 2023-12: 127.172, 2024-03: 119.718, 2024-06: 95.447, 2024-09: 120.198, 2024-12: 175.531, 2025-03: 143.991, 2025-06: 118.719, 2025-09: 166.283, 2025-12: 240.496, 2026-03: 187.952,
Rev. CAGR: 26.29%
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 3

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio -80.9 is critical

Altman Z'' -8.29 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Extended 1w

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: GENI Genius Sports

Genius Sports Limited provides critical technology infrastructure and data services to the global sports, betting, and media sectors. The company specializes in real-time data collection, optical tracking, and video distribution, serving as a primary data provider for professional sports leagues. Its business model relies heavily on long-term partnerships with leagues to secure exclusive data rights, which are then monetized through sportsbooks and media outlets.

The company’s portfolio includes integrity monitoring to detect suspicious betting patterns, risk management tools for bookmakers, and the BetVision streaming platform for interactive wagering. In the sports data industry, high barriers to entry exist due to the technical complexity of low-latency data transmission and the necessity of official league licenses. Genius Sports also manages fan engagement through its FanHub advertising suite, utilizing consumer intelligence to optimize digital marketing campaigns.

For a deeper look into the companys valuation metrics, consider reviewing the latest reports on ValueRay. Genius Sports continues to expand its footprint in the North American market as more jurisdictions legalize mobile sports betting.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Exclusive NFL data rights agreement drives sportsbook volume and pricing leverage
  • Expansion of US legal sports betting markets increases high-margin data demand
  • Operating leverage improves as fixed technology costs scale against rising revenue
  • Integration of AI-driven BetVision streaming increases user engagement and betting frequency
  • Competitive bidding for league data rights threatens long-term margin stability
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: -158.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.96 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 22.71% < 20% (prev 42.21%; Δ -19.49% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 54.3m > Net Income -158.9m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.59 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (269.4m) vs 12m ago 8.43% < -2%
Gross Margin: 22.65% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 2.24k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 74.15% > 50% (prev 59.02%; Δ 15.13% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -80.86 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -80.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.93m)
Altman Z'' -8.29
A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 436.0m - Total Current Liabilities 274.0m) / Total Assets 1.02b
B: -1.23 (Retained Earnings -1.25b / Total Assets 1.02b)
C: -0.16 (EBIT TTM -155.8m / Avg Total Assets 962.2m)
D: -4.02 (Book Value of Equity -1.30b / Total Liabilities 322.6m)
Altman-Z'' = -8.29 = D
Beneish M -2.74
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 173.6m/122.0m, Revenue 713.5m/535.2m)
GMI: 1.25 (GM 22.65% / 28.23%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.51 / AQ_t-1 0.52)
SGI: 1.33 (Revenue 713.5m / 535.2m)
TATA: -0.21 (NI -158.9m - CFO 54.3m) / TA 1.02b)
Beneish M = -2.74 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of GENI shares?

As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.86 with a total of 9,075,718 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +19.84%, over one month by +37.88%, over three months by -5.64% and over the past year by -39.90%.

Is GENI a buy, sell or hold?

Genius Sports has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GENI.

  • StrongBuy: 11
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GENI price?
Analysts Target Price 10.2 73.9%
Genius Sports (GENI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.43b (1.43b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 56.8182
P/S = 2.0047
P/B = 2.0576
Revenue TTM = 713.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -155.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -80.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 25.5m USD (estimated: total debt 30.6m - short term 5.01m)
Short Term Debt = 5.01m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 30.6m already included)
Net Debt = -166.9m USD (calculated: Debt 30.6m - CCE 197.4m)
Enterprise Value = 1.26b USD (1.43b + Debt 30.6m - CCE 197.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -80.86 (Ebit TTM -155.8m / Interest Expense TTM 1.93m)
EV/FCF = 80.11x (Enterprise Value 1.26b / FCF TTM 15.8m)
FCF Yield = 1.25% (FCF TTM 15.8m / Enterprise Value 1.26b)
FCF Margin = 2.21% (FCF TTM 15.8m / Revenue TTM 713.5m)
Net Margin = -22.27% (Net Income TTM -158.9m / Revenue TTM 713.5m)
Gross Margin = 22.65% ((Revenue TTM 713.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 551.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.87% (prev 28.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.24 (Enterprise Value 1.26b / Total Assets 1.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.31% (Interest Expense 1.93m / Debt 30.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -123.1m (EBIT -155.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.59 (Total Current Assets 436.0m / Total Current Liabilities 274.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 30.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 695.1m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 2.09 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -166.9m / EBITDA -80.0m)
 Debt / FCF = -10.58 (Net Debt -166.9m / FCF TTM 15.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 715.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -16.51% (Net Income -158.9m / Total Assets 1.02b)
RoE = -8.06% (Net Income TTM -158.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.97b)
RoCE = -7.81% (EBIT -155.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.97b + L.T.Debt 25.5m))
 RoIC = -22.33% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -123.1m / Invested Capital 551.3m)
 WACC = 8.98% (E(1.43b)/V(1.46b) * Re(9.07%) + D(30.6m)/V(1.46b) * Rd(6.31%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.56 | Cagr: 7.80%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.24% ; FCFF base≈15.8m ; Y1≈15.8m ; Y5≈16.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.51 (EV 235.5m - Net Debt -166.9m = Equity 402.4m / Shares 267.3m; r=8.98% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.20 | Revenue CAGR: 26.29% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=-42.86% | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+240.8% | GrowthRev=+50.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+86.5% | GrowthRev=+28.7%