GENI Stock Analysis: Genius Sports | NYSE

Internet Content & Information | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.146m USD | 12M Return: -41.2% | GG00BMF1JR16 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Sports Data, Betting Platform, Live Streaming, Digital Advertising
Total Rating 19
Safety 33
Buy Signal -0.80
Internet Content & Information
Industry Rotation: -4.0
Market Cap: 2.15B
Avg Turnover: 40.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility71.5%
VaR 5th Pctl11.6%
VaR vs Median-1.95%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.51
Rel. Str. IBD22.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group53.2
Character TTM
Beta0.759
Beta Downside0.384
Hurst Exponent0.496
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD71.07%
CAGR/Max DD0.07
CAGR/Mean DD0.22
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GENI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -0.3, "2021-12": -0.28, "2022-03": -0.3, "2022-06": -0.16, "2022-09": -0.14, "2022-12": -0.63, "2023-03": -0.1, "2023-06": -0.05, "2023-09": -0.03, "2023-12": -0.12, "2024-03": -0.1, "2024-06": -0.07, "2024-09": 0.0545, "2024-12": -0.0168, "2025-03": -0.06, "2025-06": -0.27, "2025-09": -0.04, "2025-12": -0.0182, "2026-03": 0.02, "2026-06": -0.28,
Last SUE: -1.70
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of GENI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 69.136, 2021-12: 84.012, 2022-03: 85.923, 2022-06: 71.117, 2022-09: 78.65, 2022-12: 105.339, 2023-03: 97.229, 2023-06: 86.847, 2023-09: 101.729, 2023-12: 127.172, 2024-03: 119.718, 2024-06: 95.447, 2024-09: 120.198, 2024-12: 175.531, 2025-03: 143.991, 2025-06: 118.719, 2025-09: 166.283, 2025-12: 240.496, 2026-03: 187.952, 2026-06: 195.503,
Rev. CAGR: 28.31%
Rev. Trend: 99.0%
Last SUE: 1.78
Qual. Beats: 4

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Fakeout
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 5.8 years of data

Jan -1.3% 10
Feb -2.1% 41
Mar -8.6% 10
Apr -3.7% 10
May -0.9% 9
Jun +2.5% 27
Jul +20.0% 63
Aug +7.1% 21
Sep -4.9% 21
Oct -4.9% 27
Nov +15.5% 11
Dec -12.6% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GENI Genius Sports

Genius Sports Limited (NYSE: GENI) is a London-headquartered B2B technology company serving the global sports, sports betting, and sports media industries. The company operates across three core pillars: sports data and technology infrastructure (live optical tracking, event data feeds, and video distribution for leagues), betting-related services (pre-game and in-game odds feeds, risk management tools, and live streaming for sportsbooks), and integrity and fan engagement products (fraud monitoring, educational services, and tools such as BetVision and FanHub for personalized viewing and digital advertising). Genius Sports sells its products primarily to sports leagues, sportsbook operators, and media companies rather than directly to consumers, positioning it as an infrastructure provider at the intersection of sports content and regulated sports betting markets.

Founded in 2001 and listed on the NYSE following its April 2021 IPO (formerly known as Genius Sports Group Limited), the company is classified under the Communication Services sector and the Interactive Media & Services sub-industry. Its revenue model is largely driven by long-term data and technology partnerships with major sports leagues, supplemented by betting-related services tied to the volume of sports wagering activity worldwide.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • US sports betting legalization accelerates technology and data demand
  • Exclusive league partnerships like NFL data boost margins
  • Sportradar competition pressures pricing and market share
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -181.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.97 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.63% < 20% (prev 40.85%; Δ -42.48% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -27.6m > Net Income -181.6m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (278.9m) vs 12m ago 10.15% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.40% > 18% (prev 23.57%; Δ 3.83% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 51.95% > 50% (prev 60.19%; Δ -8.24% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -22.9k > 6 (EBIT TTM -137.1m / Interest Expense TTM 6.00k)
Altman Z'' -2.20
A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 462.0m - Total Current Liabilities 474.9m) / Total Assets 2.11b
B: -0.63 (Retained Earnings -1.33b / Total Assets 2.11b)
C: -0.09 (EBIT TTM -137.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.52b)
D: 0.48 (Book Value of Equity 684.0m / Total Liabilities 1.43b)
Altman-Z'' = -2.20 = D
Beneish M -2.42
DSRI: 1.21 (Receivables 231.4m/135.3m, Revenue 790.2m/558.4m)
GMI: 0.86 (GM 23.57% / 27.40%)
AQI: 1.45 (AQ_t 0.75 / AQ_t-1 0.51)
SGI: 1.42 (Revenue 790.2m / 558.4m)
TATA: -0.07 (NI -181.6m - CFO -27.6m) / TA 2.11b)
Beneish M = -2.42 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of GENI shares?

As of September 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.42 with a total of 5,063,866 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.62%, over one month by +4.95%, over three months by +21.84% and over the past year by -41.20%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 6.80 (which is 8.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is GENI a buy, sell or hold?

Genius Sports has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GENI.

  • StrongBuy: 11
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GENI price?
Analysts Target Price 10.9 47.3%
Genius Sports (GENI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.15b (2.15b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 56.8182
P/S = 2.7161
P/B = 3.1147
Revenue TTM = 790.2m USD
EBIT TTM = -137.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -44.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 754.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 38.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 856.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 35.7m
Net Debt = 701.7m USD (calculated: Debt 856.7m - CCE 155.1m)
Enterprise Value = 2.85b USD (2.15b + Debt 856.7m - CCE 155.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -22.9k (Ebit TTM -137.1m / Interest Expense TTM 6.00k)
EV/FCF = -42.87x (Enterprise Value 2.85b / FCF TTM -66.4m)
FCF Yield = -2.33% (FCF TTM -66.4m / Enterprise Value 2.85b)
FCF Margin = -8.41% (FCF TTM -66.4m / Revenue TTM 790.2m)
Net Margin = -22.99% (Net Income TTM -181.6m / Revenue TTM 790.2m)
Gross Margin = 27.40% ((Revenue TTM 790.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 573.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.63% (prev 22.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.35 (Enterprise Value 2.85b / Total Assets 2.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 6.00k / Debt 856.7m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -108.3m (EBIT -137.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 462.0m / Total Current Liabilities 474.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.25 (Debt 856.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 684.0m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -15.94 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 701.7m / EBITDA -44.0m)
 Debt / FCF = -10.56 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 701.7m / FCF TTM -66.4m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 706.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.94% (Net Income -181.6m / Total Assets 2.11b)
RoE = -25.71% (Net Income TTM -181.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 706.5m)
RoCE = -9.39% (EBIT -137.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 706.5m + L.T.Debt 754.4m))
 RoIC = -6.61% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -108.3m / Invested Capital 1.64b)
 WACC = 6.18% (E(2.15b)/V(3.00b) * Re(8.65%) + D(856.7m)/V(3.00b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 96.61 | Cagr: 9.09%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -66.4m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.70 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 98.96 | Revenue CAGR: 28.31% | SUE: 1.78 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=+5.26% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=+19.23% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+267.9% | GrowthRev=+51.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=+10.31% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+72.6% | GrowthRev=+27.9%