(GENI) Genius Sports - Overview

Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Internet Content & Information | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 1.173m USD | Total Return: -48.8% in 12m

Data Services, Streaming, Betting Technology, Integrity
Total Rating 28
Safety 42
Buy Signal -0.54
Internet Content & Information
Industry Rotation: +6.7
Market Cap: 1.17B
Avg Turnover: 31.3M USD
ATR: 7.23%
Peers RS (IBD): 1.6
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility58.2%
Rel. Tail Risk-10.1%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.22
Alpha-72.51
Character TTM
Beta0.980
Beta Downside0.152
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD68.71%
CAGR/Max DD0.01
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GENI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -2.84, "2021-06": -0.07, "2021-09": -0.37, "2021-12": -0.28, "2022-03": -0.21, "2022-06": -0.02, "2022-09": -0.04, "2022-12": -0.63, "2023-03": -0.12, "2023-06": -0.05, "2023-09": -0.06, "2023-12": -0.12, "2024-03": -0.11, "2024-06": -0.09, "2024-09": 0.0545, "2024-12": -0.0168, "2025-03": -0.033, "2025-06": -0.21, "2025-09": -0.11, "2025-12": -0.0182,
EPS CAGR: 10.39%
EPS Trend: 28.8%
Last SUE: -0.68
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GENI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 53.738, 2021-06: 55.849, 2021-09: 69.136, 2021-12: 84.012, 2022-03: 85.923, 2022-06: 71.117, 2022-09: 78.65, 2022-12: 105.339, 2023-03: 97.229, 2023-06: 86.847, 2023-09: 101.729, 2023-12: 127.172, 2024-03: 119.718, 2024-06: 95.447, 2024-09: 120.198, 2024-12: 175.531, 2025-03: 143.991, 2025-06: 118.719, 2025-09: 166.283, 2025-12: 240.496,
Rev. CAGR: 31.58%
Rev. Trend: 86.3%
Last SUE: 1.64
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings

choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: GENI Genius Sports

Genius Sports Ltd. (GENI) provides technology and data services across the sports, sports betting, and sports media sectors. The companys offerings include infrastructure for live sports data collection, integration, and distribution, which is critical for real-time sports analytics and betting operations.

GENI also offers streaming solutions, enabling sports organizations to monetize video content. A key aspect of its business model is integrity services, which utilize algorithmic monitoring to detect irregular betting patterns, addressing a significant concern within the global sports betting market.

Additionally, the company provides pre-game and in-game odds feeds, risk management services for betting operators, and digital marketing campaign management. The sports data and analytics market is highly competitive, with demand driven by the increasing digitalization of sports consumption and the expansion of regulated sports betting.

For more detailed financial analysis, consider exploring ValueRays comprehensive reports.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Sports betting legalization expands Genius Sports addressable market
  • Data rights acquisition costs impact profitability
  • Integrity services revenue grows with sports league partnerships
  • Macroeconomic slowdown reduces sports betting activity
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: -111.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.01 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 29.40% < 20% (prev 17.03%; Δ 12.36% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 86.4m > Net Income -111.6m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.56 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (259.6m) vs 12m ago 13.02% < -2%
Gross Margin: 22.93% > 18% (prev 0.25%; Δ 2.27k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 69.65% > 50% (prev 64.49%; Δ 5.16% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -154.4 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -83.0m / Interest Expense TTM 999k)
Altman Z'' -6.63
A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 549.7m - Total Current Liabilities 352.9m) / Total Assets 1.13b
B: -1.06 (Retained Earnings -1.20b / Total Assets 1.13b)
C: -0.16 (EBIT TTM -154.2m / Avg Total Assets 961.3m)
D: -3.08 (Book Value of Equity -1.25b / Total Liabilities 405.8m)
Altman-Z'' Score: -6.63 = D
Beneish M -2.91
DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 187.7m/124.4m, Revenue 669.5m/510.9m)
GMI: 1.10 (GM 22.93% / 25.19%)
AQI: 0.76 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.60)
SGI: 1.31 (Revenue 669.5m / 510.9m)
TATA: -0.18 (NI -111.6m - CFO 86.4m) / TA 1.13b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of GENI shares? As of April 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.56 with a total of 6,781,939 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.55%, over one month by -22.18%, over three months by -59.50% and over the past year by -48.76%.
Is GENI a buy, sell or hold? Genius Sports has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GENI.
  • StrongBuy: 11
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GENI price?
Wallstreet Target Price 11.8 157.9%
Analysts Target Price 11.8 157.9%
GENI Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 April 2026
P/E Forward = 56.8182
P/S = 1.7522
P/B = 1.6121
Revenue TTM = 669.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -154.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -83.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 30.5m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.02m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -250.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 923.0m USD (1.17b + Debt 30.5m - CCE 280.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -154.4 (Ebit TTM -154.2m / Interest Expense TTM 999k)
EV/FCF = 25.26x (Enterprise Value 923.0m / FCF TTM 36.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.96% (FCF TTM 36.5m / Enterprise Value 923.0m)
FCF Margin = 5.46% (FCF TTM 36.5m / Revenue TTM 669.5m)
Net Margin = -16.67% (Net Income TTM -111.6m / Revenue TTM 669.5m)
Gross Margin = 22.93% ((Revenue TTM 669.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 516.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.45% (prev 24.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 923.0m / Total Assets 1.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.82% (Interest Expense 861k / Debt 30.5m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -121.8m (EBIT -154.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 549.7m / Total Current Liabilities 352.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 30.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 724.5m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 3.01 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -250.1m / EBITDA -83.0m)
 Debt / FCF = -6.84 (Net Debt -250.1m / FCF TTM 36.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 719.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.61% (Net Income -111.6m / Total Assets 1.13b)
RoE = -15.51% (Net Income TTM -111.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 719.5m)
RoCE = -20.56% (EBIT -154.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 719.5m + L.T.Debt 30.5m))
 RoIC = -16.93% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -121.8m / Invested Capital 719.5m)
 WACC = 9.25% (E(1.17b)/V(1.20b) * Re(9.43%) + D(30.5m)/V(1.20b) * Rd(2.82%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.82%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.41% ; FCFF base≈29.0m ; Y1≈21.8m ; Y5≈13.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.76 (EV 201.7m - Net Debt -250.1m = Equity 451.8m / Shares 257.3m; r=9.25% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -29.47% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 28.83 | EPS CAGR: 10.39% | SUE: -0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.25 | Revenue CAGR: 31.58% | SUE: 1.64 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg7d=-0.010 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+117.8% | Growth Revenue=+21.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.30 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.014 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+277.1% | Growth Revenue=+20.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Current Year)
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