(GES) Guess? - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Accessories, Jeans, Footwear, Handbags, Eyewear, Watches
GES EPS (Earnings per Share)
GES Revenue
Description: GES Guess?
Guess, Inc. is a global lifestyle brand that creates and curates apparel and accessories for men, women, and children, operating through a diverse network of retail, wholesale, and licensing channels. The company boasts a robust portfolio of brands, including GUESS, MARCIANO, and Gc, among others, and has a significant presence in the Americas, Europe, and Asia.
In addition to its core apparel business, Guess, Inc. has expanded its reach through strategic licensing agreements, allowing partners to design, manufacture, and distribute complementary products such as eyewear, watches, and fragrances. This diversified approach enables the company to maintain a strong brand presence across multiple categories and distribution channels, including direct-to-consumer sales through retail websites.
With a history dating back to 1981, Guess, Inc. has established itself as a prominent player in the apparel retail industry, with a global footprint and a reputation for stylish, high-quality products. The companys commitment to innovation and customer engagement is reflected in its omnichannel distribution strategy, which encompasses retail, wholesale, and e-commerce channels.
Analyzing the technical data, we observe that Guess, Inc. (GES) is currently trading at $11.94, with a 20-day SMA of $11.41 and a 50-day SMA of $11.05, indicating a potential bullish trend. The stock is also trading above its 52-week low of $8.18 but below its 52-week high of $21.93. With an ATR of 0.52, representing a 4.36% volatility, the stock may present trading opportunities for investors. Considering the fundamental data, Guess, Inc. has a market capitalization of $624.72M USD and a forward P/E ratio of 10.06, suggesting a relatively stable valuation. Given the current technical and fundamental trends, a potential forecast is that GES may experience a moderate price increase in the short term, potentially reaching $13.50, driven by its improving technical indicators and stable valuation.
Based on the analysis, investors may consider accumulating GES shares around the current price level, with a target price of $13.50 and a stop-loss below $10.50. However, it is essential to conduct thorough research and consider individual risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
GES Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 880m |
| Sub-Industry | Apparel Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 1996-08-07 |
GES Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 1.49% |
| Fundamental | 52.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 94.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -23.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.67 of 5 |
GES Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 8.08% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 14.67% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 72.48% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 58.3% |
GES Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 89.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -51.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -1.5% |
| CAGR 5y | 15.55% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.22 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.55 |
| Alpha | -17.67 |
| Beta | 0.363 |
| Volatility | 36.92% |
| Current Volume | 980.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 632.4k |
| Stop Loss | 16.3 (-3%) |
| Signal | 1.19 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (31.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 185.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.79pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.65% (prev 13.97%; Δ -8.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 101.4m > Net Income 31.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.20b) to EBITDA (104.6m) ratio: 11.47 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.17 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (52.1m) change vs 12m ago -22.32% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.70% (prev 44.12%; Δ -1.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 107.5% (prev 103.2%; Δ 4.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.65 (EBITDA TTM 104.6m / Interest Expense TTM 31.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.35
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 1.23b - Total Current Liabilities 1.05b) / Total Assets 2.98b |
| (B) 0.42 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.24b / Total Assets 2.98b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 52.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.88b |
| (D) 0.46 = Book Value of Equity 1.13b / Total Liabilities 2.44b |
| Total Rating: 2.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.09
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.30% = 1.15 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.84% = 0.46 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.12 = 1.90 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 17.01 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 1.61% = 2.01 |
| 7. RoE 4.14% = 0.35 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 32.27% = 1.61 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 7.51% = 0.94 |
| 10. EPS Trend -26.14% = -0.65 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -17.41% = -2.18 |
What is the price of GES shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.18%, over one month by +26.87%, over three months by +54.95% and over the past year by -10.13%.
Is Guess? a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GES is around 17.41 USD . This means that GES is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 3.57%.
Is GES a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GES price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 16.8 | -0.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 16.8 | -0.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 18.7 | 11.1% |
Last update: 2025-08-30 02:52
GES Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 189.6m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 84.45
P/E Forward = 13.6426
P/S = 0.2883
P/B = 1.804
P/EG = 6.14
Beta = 1.289
Revenue TTM = 3.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 52.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 104.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.56b USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 216.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.78b USD (Calculated: Short Term 216.4m + Long Term 1.56b)
Net Debt = 1.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.47b USD (879.5m + Debt 1.78b - CCE 189.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.65 (Ebit TTM 52.2m / Interest Expense TTM 31.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.30% (FCF TTM 56.8m / Enterprise Value 2.47b)
FCF Margin = 1.84% (FCF TTM 56.8m / Revenue TTM 3.09b)
Net Margin = 1.01% (Net Income TTM 31.3m / Revenue TTM 3.09b)
Gross Margin = 42.70% ((Revenue TTM 3.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.18 (Enterprise Value 2.47b / Book Value Of Equity 1.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.44% (Interest Expense 7.87m / Debt 1.78b)
Taxrate = 12.05% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 9.70m / 80.5m)
NOPAT = 45.9m (EBIT 52.2m * (1 - 12.05%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 1.23b / Total Current Liabilities 1.05b)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 1.78b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = 17.01 (Net Debt 1.20b / EBITDA 104.6m)
Debt / FCF = 31.32 (Debt 1.78b / FCF TTM 56.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 756.4m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 1.05% (Net Income 31.3m, Total Assets 2.98b )
RoE = 4.14% (Net Income TTM 31.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 756.4m)
RoCE = 2.25% (Ebit 52.2m / (Equity 756.4m + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = 4.30% (NOPAT 45.9m / Invested Capital 1.07b)
WACC = 2.69% (E(879.5m)/V(2.66b) * Re(7.35%)) + (D(1.78b)/V(2.66b) * Rd(0.44%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -30.0 | Cagr: -5.68%
Discount Rate = 7.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.16% ; FCFE base≈130.7m ; Y1≈129.6m ; Y5≈135.1m
Fair Price DCF = 45.96 (DCF Value 2.39b / Shares Outstanding 52.1m; 5y FCF grow -1.65% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 32.27 | Revenue CAGR: 7.51%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 1.21
EPS Correlation: -26.14 | EPS CAGR: -17.41%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -20.85
Additional Sources for GES Stock
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