(GES) Guess? - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Switzerland •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US4016171054
Apparel, Accessories, Fragrance, Footwear, License
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.26% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.17% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 97.66% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 63.6% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 7.29% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 11.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.41% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.48 |
| Alpha | -1.32 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.391 |
| Beta | 1.557 |
| Beta Downside | 0.621 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 70.01% |
| Mean DD | 27.56% |
| Median DD | 23.85% |
Description: GES Guess? December 01, 2025
Guess?, Inc. (NYSE: GES) designs, markets, distributes, and licenses a broad lifestyle apparel and accessories portfolio for men, women, and children. The business operates across five geographic segments-Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing-and sells under multiple brand names including GUESS, GUESS Jeans, and GUESS Kids through direct-to-consumer stores, wholesale partners, licensed retailers, and e-commerce sites.
Key operating metrics as of FY 2023 show revenue of roughly $2.1 billion, with gross margins stabilizing near 55% and e-commerce accounting for about 30% of total sales-a trend that has accelerated double-digit growth YoY. Same-store sales in the Americas Retail segment rose ~5% year-over-year, while licensing contributions remain steady at roughly 15% of total revenue, providing a higher-margin, lower-cost revenue stream. The company’s performance is sensitive to consumer discretionary spending cycles, denim demand, and foreign-exchange fluctuations given its Swiss domicile and global sourcing footprint.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers granular financial metrics and scenario analysis for GES.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (80.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 188.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.07% (prev 15.40%; Δ -10.33pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 145.3m > Net Income 80.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.29b) to EBITDA (134.4m) ratio: 9.56 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (51.5m) change vs 12m ago -22.70% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.43% (prev 43.85%; Δ -1.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 108.4% (prev 105.7%; Δ 2.70pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.16 (EBITDA TTM 134.4m / Interest Expense TTM 31.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.41
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 1.25b - Total Current Liabilities 1.09b) / Total Assets 3.01b |
| (B) 0.41 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.24b / Total Assets 3.01b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 99.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.90b |
| (D) 0.46 = Book Value of Equity 1.12b / Total Liabilities 2.44b |
| Total Rating: 2.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.93
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.68% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.90% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.92 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 9.56 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.18)% |
| 7. RoE 10.56% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 34.38% |
| 9. EPS Trend -23.19% |
What is the price of GES shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 16.76 with a total of 169,572 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.03%, over one month by +0.21%, over three months by +1.83% and over the past year by +20.62%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.03%, over one month by +0.21%, over three months by +1.83% and over the past year by +20.62%.
Is GES a buy, sell or hold?
Guess? has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold GES.
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GES price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 16.8 | -0.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 16.8 | -0.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 19.3 | 15% |
GES Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
Market Cap USD = 875.1m (875.1m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.4655
P/E Forward = 10.627
P/S = 0.2783
P/B = 1.7435
P/EG = 6.14
Beta = 1.082
Revenue TTM = 3.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 99.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 134.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 644.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.09b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.29b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.16b USD (875.1m + Debt 1.44b - CCE 154.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.16 (Ebit TTM 99.3m / Interest Expense TTM 31.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.68% (FCF TTM 122.7m / Enterprise Value 2.16b)
FCF Margin = 3.90% (FCF TTM 122.7m / Revenue TTM 3.14b)
Net Margin = 2.56% (Net Income TTM 80.4m / Revenue TTM 3.14b)
Gross Margin = 42.43% ((Revenue TTM 3.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.45% (prev 42.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 2.16b / Total Assets 3.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.54% (Interest Expense 7.81m / Debt 1.44b)
Taxrate = 23.43% (8.99m / 38.4m)
NOPAT = 76.0m (EBIT 99.3m * (1 - 23.43%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 1.25b / Total Current Liabilities 1.09b)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 1.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.56 (Net Debt 1.29b / EBITDA 134.4m)
Debt / FCF = 10.47 (Net Debt 1.29b / FCF TTM 122.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 760.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.67% (Net Income 80.4m / Total Assets 3.01b)
RoE = 10.56% (Net Income TTM 80.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 760.8m)
RoCE = 7.07% (EBIT 99.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 760.8m + L.T.Debt 644.1m))
RoIC = 6.88% (NOPAT 76.0m / Invested Capital 1.11b)
WACC = 4.70% (E(875.1m)/V(2.31b) * Re(11.75%) + D(1.44b)/V(2.31b) * Rd(0.54%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 11.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -14.44%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.28% ; FCFE base≈130.7m ; Y1≈133.0m ; Y5≈146.1m
Fair Price DCF = 28.55 (DCF Value 1.49b / Shares Outstanding 52.2m; 5y FCF grow 1.51% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -23.19 | EPS CAGR: -27.01% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 34.38 | Revenue CAGR: -0.28% | SUE: 1.57 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=-0.46 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.69 | Chg30d=-0.027 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+4.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.1%
P/E Trailing = 14.4655
P/E Forward = 10.627
P/S = 0.2783
P/B = 1.7435
P/EG = 6.14
Beta = 1.082
Revenue TTM = 3.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 99.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 134.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 644.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.09b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.29b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.16b USD (875.1m + Debt 1.44b - CCE 154.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.16 (Ebit TTM 99.3m / Interest Expense TTM 31.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.68% (FCF TTM 122.7m / Enterprise Value 2.16b)
FCF Margin = 3.90% (FCF TTM 122.7m / Revenue TTM 3.14b)
Net Margin = 2.56% (Net Income TTM 80.4m / Revenue TTM 3.14b)
Gross Margin = 42.43% ((Revenue TTM 3.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.45% (prev 42.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 2.16b / Total Assets 3.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.54% (Interest Expense 7.81m / Debt 1.44b)
Taxrate = 23.43% (8.99m / 38.4m)
NOPAT = 76.0m (EBIT 99.3m * (1 - 23.43%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 1.25b / Total Current Liabilities 1.09b)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 1.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.56 (Net Debt 1.29b / EBITDA 134.4m)
Debt / FCF = 10.47 (Net Debt 1.29b / FCF TTM 122.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 760.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.67% (Net Income 80.4m / Total Assets 3.01b)
RoE = 10.56% (Net Income TTM 80.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 760.8m)
RoCE = 7.07% (EBIT 99.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 760.8m + L.T.Debt 644.1m))
RoIC = 6.88% (NOPAT 76.0m / Invested Capital 1.11b)
WACC = 4.70% (E(875.1m)/V(2.31b) * Re(11.75%) + D(1.44b)/V(2.31b) * Rd(0.54%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 11.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -14.44%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.28% ; FCFE base≈130.7m ; Y1≈133.0m ; Y5≈146.1m
Fair Price DCF = 28.55 (DCF Value 1.49b / Shares Outstanding 52.2m; 5y FCF grow 1.51% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -23.19 | EPS CAGR: -27.01% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 34.38 | Revenue CAGR: -0.28% | SUE: 1.57 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=-0.46 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.69 | Chg30d=-0.027 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+4.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.1%
Additional Sources for GES Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle