(GFF) Griffon - Ratings and Ratios
Garage Doors, Hand Tools, Garden Tools, Shelving, Fans
GFF EPS (Earnings per Share)
GFF Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 56.8% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.26 |
| Alpha | -9.34 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.467 |
| Beta | 1.063 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.42% |
| Mean DD | 9.79% |
Description: GFF Griffon November 08, 2025
Griffon Corporation (NYSE:GFF) operates two distinct business segments: Home and Building Products, which manufactures and sells residential and commercial garage doors, steel service doors, fire doors, shutters, security grilles, room dividers, and related hardware such as garage door openers; and Consumer and Professional Products, which produces a broad portfolio of hand and garden tools, snow removal equipment, home organization accessories, fans, and cleaning supplies for both DIY consumers and professional users.
In fiscal 2023, Griffon reported total revenue of approximately $1.2 billion, with the Home and Building Products segment contributing roughly 55 % of sales and delivering an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12 %, while the Consumer and Professional Products segment generated about 45 % of revenue with a lower margin of 8 %, reflecting its higher exposure to commodity input costs and seasonal demand cycles.
Key macro-economic drivers for Griffon include U.S. housing starts (which have risen 7 % YoY in Q3 2025) and the robust home-improvement market, which the Joint Center for Housing Studies estimates will grow at a 4-5 % annual rate through 2028; both trends support demand for garage doors and DIY tools. Additionally, inflationary pressure on raw steel prices remains a material cost risk, while the ongoing shift toward “do-it-yourself” projects among suburban homeowners bolsters the Consumer and Professional Products segment.
For a data-driven deep-dive into Griffon’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, consider exploring the company’s profile on ValueRay.
GFF Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,446m |
| Sub-Industry | Building Products |
| IPO / Inception | 1973-05-03 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -9.74% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.86 of 5 |
GFF Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.00% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.57% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 19.88% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 17.5% |
GFF Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 34.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.97 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.49 |
| Current Volume | 334k |
| Average Volume | 252.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (70.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 151.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 22.81% (prev 22.25%; Δ 0.56pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 354.7m > Net Income 70.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.52b) to EBITDA (275.0m) ratio: 5.52 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.70 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (46.9m) change vs 12m ago -3.97% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 41.52% (prev 38.47%; Δ 3.05pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 112.7% (prev 109.5%; Δ 3.22pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.12 (EBITDA TTM 275.0m / Interest Expense TTM 100.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.35
| (A) 0.28 = (Total Current Assets 912.3m - Total Current Liabilities 338.0m) / Total Assets 2.09b |
| (B) 0.21 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 443.8m / Total Assets 2.09b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 212.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.23b |
| (D) 0.20 = Book Value of Equity 404.1m / Total Liabilities 2.02b |
| Total Rating: 3.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.81
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.56% = 3.28 |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.94% = 3.23 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 25.43 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.52 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.05)% = 3.81 |
| 7. RoE 38.27% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -77.99% = -5.85 |
| 9. EPS Trend -23.44% = -1.17 |
What is the price of GFF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.06%, over one month by -2.20%, over three months by +3.55% and over the past year by +3.97%.
Is Griffon a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GFF is around 83.10 USD . This means that GFF is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +15.37% (Margin of Safety).
Is GFF a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GFF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 100.3 | 39.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 100.3 | 39.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 91.5 | 27.1% |
GFF Fundamental Data Overview November 04, 2025
P/E Trailing = 51.0414
P/S = 1.3688
P/B = 56.497
P/EG = 2.36
Beta = 1.063
Revenue TTM = 2.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 212.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 275.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 40.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.96b USD (3.45b + Debt 1.63b - CCE 107.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.12 (Ebit TTM 212.4m / Interest Expense TTM 100.2m)
FCF Yield = 6.56% (FCF TTM 325.7m / Enterprise Value 4.96b)
FCF Margin = 12.94% (FCF TTM 325.7m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Net Margin = 2.78% (Net Income TTM 70.0m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Gross Margin = 41.52% ((Revenue TTM 2.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.23% (prev 41.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.38 (Enterprise Value 4.96b / Total Assets 2.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.49% (Interest Expense 24.1m / Debt 1.63b)
Taxrate = 19.48% (-29.1m / -149.2m)
NOPAT = 171.0m (EBIT 212.4m * (1 - 19.48%))
Current Ratio = 2.70 (Total Current Assets 912.3m / Total Current Liabilities 338.0m)
Debt / Equity = 25.43 (Debt 1.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 63.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.52 (Net Debt 1.52b / EBITDA 275.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.66 (Net Debt 1.52b / FCF TTM 325.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 182.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.35% (Net Income 70.0m / Total Assets 2.09b)
RoE = 38.27% (Net Income TTM 70.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 182.8m)
RoCE = 13.06% (EBIT 212.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 182.8m + L.T.Debt 1.44b))
RoIC = 10.18% (NOPAT 171.0m / Invested Capital 1.68b)
WACC = 7.13% (E(3.45b)/V(5.07b) * Re(9.93%) + D(1.63b)/V(5.07b) * Rd(1.49%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.36% ; FCFE base≈329.8m ; Y1≈291.9m ; Y5≈242.4m
Fair Price DCF = 69.50 (DCF Value 3.24b / Shares Outstanding 46.6m; 5y FCF grow -14.16% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -23.44 | EPS CAGR: -52.98% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -77.99 | Revenue CAGR: -5.12% | SUE: -1.19 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for GFF Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle