(GFF) Griffon - Ratings and Ratios
Garage Doors, Hand Tools, Garden Tools, Shelving, Fans
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.25% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.17 |
| Alpha | -18.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.414 |
| Beta | 1.109 |
| Beta Downside | 0.865 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.42% |
| Mean DD | 9.95% |
| Median DD | 8.93% |
Description: GFF Griffon November 08, 2025
Griffon Corporation (NYSE:GFF) operates two distinct business segments: Home and Building Products, which manufactures and sells residential and commercial garage doors, steel service doors, fire doors, shutters, security grilles, room dividers, and related hardware such as garage door openers; and Consumer and Professional Products, which produces a broad portfolio of hand and garden tools, snow removal equipment, home organization accessories, fans, and cleaning supplies for both DIY consumers and professional users.
In fiscal 2023, Griffon reported total revenue of approximately $1.2 billion, with the Home and Building Products segment contributing roughly 55 % of sales and delivering an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12 %, while the Consumer and Professional Products segment generated about 45 % of revenue with a lower margin of 8 %, reflecting its higher exposure to commodity input costs and seasonal demand cycles.
Key macro-economic drivers for Griffon include U.S. housing starts (which have risen 7 % YoY in Q3 2025) and the robust home-improvement market, which the Joint Center for Housing Studies estimates will grow at a 4-5 % annual rate through 2028; both trends support demand for garage doors and DIY tools. Additionally, inflationary pressure on raw steel prices remains a material cost risk, while the ongoing shift toward “do-it-yourself” projects among suburban homeowners bolsters the Consumer and Professional Products segment.
For a data-driven deep-dive into Griffon’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, consider exploring the company’s profile on ValueRay.
GFF Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,198m |
| Sub-Industry | Building Products |
| IPO / Inception | 1973-05-03 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -23.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.86 of 5 |
GFF Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.00% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.14% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 19.88% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 13.4% |
GFF Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 31.63% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.89 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.18 |
| Current Volume | 651.1k |
| Average Volume | 297.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (51.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 151.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.19pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 22.07% (prev 22.13%; Δ -0.06pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 356.0m > Net Income 51.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (88.6m) to EBITDA (288.0m) ratio: 0.31 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.66 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (46.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 41.99% (prev 38.88%; Δ 3.11pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 113.6% (prev 110.7%; Δ 3.00pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.30 (EBITDA TTM 288.0m / Interest Expense TTM 97.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.43
| (A) 0.27 = (Total Current Assets 890.6m - Total Current Liabilities 334.6m) / Total Assets 2.06b |
| (B) 0.23 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 479.0m / Total Assets 2.06b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 225.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.22b |
| (D) 0.22 = Book Value of Equity 428.3m / Total Liabilities 1.99b |
| Total Rating: 3.43 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.50
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.20% |
| 3. FCF Margin 13.30% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.54 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.31 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.78)% |
| 7. RoE 35.22% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -56.35% |
| 9. EPS Trend 75.26% |
What is the price of GFF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.01%, over one month by -5.14%, over three months by -4.58% and over the past year by -14.66%.
Is GFF a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GFF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 102.8 | 42.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 102.8 | 42.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 87 | 20.6% |
GFF Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 62.3853
P/S = 1.269
P/B = 43.5866
P/EG = 2.36
Beta = 1.231
Revenue TTM = 2.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 225.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 288.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.40b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 40.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 187.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.29b USD (3.20b + Debt 187.6m - CCE 99.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.30 (Ebit TTM 225.0m / Interest Expense TTM 97.6m)
FCF Yield = 10.20% (FCF TTM 335.0m / Enterprise Value 3.29b)
FCF Margin = 13.30% (FCF TTM 335.0m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Net Margin = 2.03% (Net Income TTM 51.1m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Gross Margin = 41.99% ((Revenue TTM 2.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.46b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.72% (prev 43.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.59 (Enterprise Value 3.29b / Total Assets 2.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.29% (Interest Expense 23.1m / Debt 187.6m)
Taxrate = 56.59% (56.9m / 100.5m)
NOPAT = 97.7m (EBIT 225.0m * (1 - 56.59%))
Current Ratio = 2.66 (Total Current Assets 890.6m / Total Current Liabilities 334.6m)
Debt / Equity = 2.54 (Debt 187.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 74.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.31 (Net Debt 88.6m / EBITDA 288.0m)
Debt / FCF = 0.26 (Net Debt 88.6m / FCF TTM 335.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 145.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.48% (Net Income 51.1m / Total Assets 2.06b)
RoE = 35.22% (Net Income TTM 51.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 145.1m)
RoCE = 14.52% (EBIT 225.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 145.1m + L.T.Debt 1.40b))
RoIC = 6.05% (NOPAT 97.7m / Invested Capital 1.61b)
WACC = 9.84% (E(3.20b)/V(3.39b) * Re(10.10%) + D(187.6m)/V(3.39b) * Rd(12.29%) * (1-Tc(0.57)))
Discount Rate = 10.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.46%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.03% ; FCFE base≈324.7m ; Y1≈291.1m ; Y5≈248.0m
Fair Price DCF = 69.20 (DCF Value 3.22b / Shares Outstanding 46.6m; 5y FCF grow -12.84% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 75.26 | EPS CAGR: 23.60% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -56.35 | Revenue CAGR: 0.71% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for GFF Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle