GFF Stock Analysis: Griffon | NYSE

Garage Doors, Hand Tools, Garden Equipment, Home Organization

Total Rating 74

Safety 77

Buy Signal 0.76

Building Products & Equipment
Industry Rotation: +2.6

Market Cap: 4.86B
Avg Turnover: 30.9M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility37.3%

VaR 5^th Pctl6.28%

VaR vs Median2.27%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio1.04

Rel. Str. IBD79.5

Rel. Str. Peer Group98.4

Character TTM

Beta1.429

Beta Downside1.087

Hurst Exponent0.610

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD27.85%

CAGR/Max DD1.37

CAGR/Mean DD4.15

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 8.21%
EPS Trend: 91.7%

Last SUE: 1.55
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -5.32%
Rev. Trend: -87.1%

Last SUE: 0.86
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.3% 7

Feb -0.1% 5

Mar -0.4% 10

Apr -2.1% 11

May +0.9% 19

Jun +2.0% 8

Jul -0.5% 5

Aug -1.2% 14

Sep -0.5% 0

Oct -1.1% 14

Nov +3.8% 29

Dec -1.7% 23

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GFF Griffon

Griffon Corporation (NYSE: GFF) is a diversified manufacturer organized into two segments. The Home and Building Products segment produces residential and sectional commercial garage doors, rolling steel service doors, fire doors, shutters, steel security grilles, room dividers, and garage door openers. The Consumer and Professional Products segment manufactures a broad range of long-handled engineered tools, snow tools, striking tools, hand tools, pruning products, wheelbarrows and lawn carts, indoor and outdoor planters, garden hoses and reels, home organization shelving and storage, residential, industrial, and commercial fans, and cleaning products such as brooms and brushes.

The company serves independent professional installing dealers, home center retail chains, industrial distributors, homebuilders, e-commerce platforms, and mass market, specialty, and hardware retailers, with operations in the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and other international markets. As a Building Products manufacturer, Griffons results are closely linked to residential and non-residential construction cycles, with garage door volumes historically tracking housing starts, remodeling activity, and commercial real estate trends.

Griffon was incorporated in 1959 as Instrument Systems Corporation, adopted its current name in 1995, and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Housing starts and home sales drive garage door demand
Home improvement spending boosts consumer tools sales
Acquisition integration and leverage shape capital allocation

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5

Net Income: 201.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.58 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 19.12% < 20% (prev 22.81%; Δ -3.69% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 324.1m > Net Income 201.6m
Net Debt (1.30b) to EBITDA (488.2m): 2.65 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.41 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (45.5m) vs 12m ago -2.92% < -2%
Gross Margin: 43.40% > 18% (prev 41.52%; Δ 1.88% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 112.9% > 50% (prev 120.6%; Δ -7.72% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.91 > 6 (EBIT TTM 436.2m / Interest Expense TTM 88.8m)

Altman Z'' 4.12

A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 723.6m - Total Current Liabilities 300.2m) / Total Assets 1.84b
B: 0.32 (Retained Earnings 584.3m / Total Assets 1.84b)
C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 436.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.96b)
D: 0.08 (Book Value of Equity 129.2m / Total Liabilities 1.71b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.12 = AA

Beneish M -2.53

DSRI: 1.52 (Receivables 363.7m/271.6m, Revenue 2.21b/2.52b)
GMI: 0.96 (GM 41.52% / 43.40%)
AQI: 1.33 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.34)
SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 2.21b / 2.52b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 201.6m - CFO 324.1m) / TA 1.84b)
Beneish M = -2.53 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of GFF shares?

As of August 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 104.16 with a total of 261,237 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.85%, over one month by +14.68%, over three months by +21.55% and over the past year by +42.20%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 99.10 (which is 4.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is GFF a buy, sell or hold?

Griffon has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GFF.

StrongBuy: 6
Buy: 1
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GFF price?

Analysts Target Price	125.1	20.1%

Griffon (GFF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 August 2026

Market Cap USD = 4.86b (4.86b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 22.1232
P/E Forward = 10.2145
P/S = 1.9004
P/B = 36.7531
P/EG = 0.5429
Revenue TTM = 2.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 436.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 488.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.26b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 69.4m
Net Debt = 1.30b USD (calculated: Debt 1.41b - CCE 110.3m)
Enterprise Value = 6.16b USD (4.86b + Debt 1.41b - CCE 110.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.91 (Ebit TTM 436.2m / Interest Expense TTM 88.8m)
EV/FCF = 21.39x (Enterprise Value 6.16b / FCF TTM 287.8m)
FCF Yield = 4.67% (FCF TTM 287.8m / Enterprise Value 6.16b)
FCF Margin = 13.00% (FCF TTM 287.8m / Revenue TTM 2.21b)
Net Margin = 9.10% (Net Income TTM 201.6m / Revenue TTM 2.21b)
Gross Margin = 43.40% ((Revenue TTM 2.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.96% (prev 45.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.35 (Enterprise Value 6.16b / Total Assets 1.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.31% (Interest Expense 88.8m / Debt 1.41b)
Taxrate = 36.31% (126.2m / 347.4m)
NOPAT = 277.8m (EBIT 436.2m * (1 - 36.31%))
Current Ratio = 2.41 (Total Current Assets 723.6m / Total Current Liabilities 300.2m)
Debt / Equity = 10.89 (Debt 1.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 129.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.65 (Net Debt 1.30b / EBITDA 488.2m)
Debt / FCF = 4.50 (Net Debt 1.30b / FCF TTM 287.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 101.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.28% (Net Income 201.6m / Total Assets 1.84b)
RoE = 198.4% (Net Income TTM 201.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 101.6m)
RoCE = 32.04% (EBIT 436.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 101.6m + L.T.Debt 1.26b))
RoIC = 19.15% (NOPAT 277.8m / Invested Capital 1.45b)
WACC = 9.44% (E(4.86b)/V(6.27b) * Re(11.01%) + D(1.41b)/V(6.27b) * Rd(6.31%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 11.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.74 | Cagr: -4.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.37% ; FCFF base≈290.4m ; Y1≈286.2m ; Y5≈292.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 55.67 (EV 3.85b - Net Debt 1.30b = Equity 2.55b / Shares 45.9m; r=9.44% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -2.21% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.72 | EPS CAGR: 8.21% | SUE: 1.55 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -87.12 | Revenue CAGR: -5.32% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.45 | Chg30d=+5.43% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=5.40 | Chg30d=+3.80% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=-4.5% | GrowthRev=-27.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=6.13 | Chg30d=+6.58% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+13.6% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +42% (up=7, down=2)