(GFI) Gold Fields - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Copper, Silver
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.83% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 10.00% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 24.79% |
| Payout Consistency | 79.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 34.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 59.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 89.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.30% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.34 |
| Alpha | 192.87 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.60 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.325 |
| Beta | 0.237 |
| Beta Downside | 0.241 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.39% |
| Mean DD | 12.69% |
| Median DD | 11.63% |
Description: GFI Gold Fields December 03, 2025
Gold Fields Ltd (NYSE:GFI) is a senior-grade gold mining company with operating assets and development projects across six countries-Australia, South Africa, Ghana, Peru, Chile, and Canada-and a secondary focus on copper and silver exploration. Founded in 1887 and headquartered in Sandton, South Africa, the firm reports under the GICS “Gold” sub-industry.
Key operational metrics (2023): 2.9 million ounces of gold produced, an all-in sustaining cost of roughly $950 per ounce, and a cash cost near $720 per ounce, placing the company in the lower-cost tier of the sector. The firm’s exposure to the South African rand and to regional labor dynamics adds currency and geopolitical risk, while its diversified geographic footprint mitigates single-country concentration risk. Gold’s status as a hedge against inflation and real-interest-rate movements remains a primary macro driver of Gold Fields’ revenue outlook.
For a deeper dive into Gold Fields’ valuation drivers and scenario analysis, consider checking the detailed research on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (2.54b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 655.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 8.68pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.95% (prev 5.90%; Δ 3.06pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.42 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.53b > Net Income 2.54b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.49b) to EBITDA (5.59b) ratio: 0.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (895.7m) change vs 12m ago NaN% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 43.15% (prev 36.63%; Δ 6.52pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 114.5% (prev 78.73%; Δ 35.74pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 28.45 (EBITDA TTM 5.59b / Interest Expense TTM 150.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.34
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 2.08b - Total Current Liabilities 1.10b) / Total Assets 10.86b |
| (B) 0.42 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.54b / Total Assets 10.86b |
| (C) 0.45 = EBIT TTM 4.27b / Avg Total Assets 9.54b |
| (D) 1.32 = Book Value of Equity 6.08b / Total Liabilities 4.61b |
| Total Rating: 6.34 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 84.77
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.26% |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.74% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 33.56)% |
| 7. RoE 49.73% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 30.46% |
| 9. EPS Trend 46.26% |
What is the price of GFI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.59%, over one month by +10.61%, over three months by +24.15% and over the past year by +207.45%.
Is GFI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GFI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.7 | 12.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.7 | 12.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 65.9 | 56.1% |
GFI Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 19.756
P/E Forward = 9.2336
P/S = 5.2789
P/B = 5.6574
Beta = 0.623
Revenue TTM = 10.92b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.59b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.12b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 82.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.49b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 38.89b USD (37.40b + Debt 2.55b - CCE 1.07b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 28.45 (Ebit TTM 4.27b / Interest Expense TTM 150.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.26% (FCF TTM 2.05b / Enterprise Value 38.89b)
FCF Margin = 18.74% (FCF TTM 2.05b / Revenue TTM 10.92b)
Net Margin = 23.24% (Net Income TTM 2.54b / Revenue TTM 10.92b)
Gross Margin = 43.15% ((Revenue TTM 10.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.41% (prev 60.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.58 (Enterprise Value 38.89b / Total Assets 10.86b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 29.2m / Debt 2.55b)
Taxrate = 35.39% (580.1m / 1.64b)
NOPAT = 2.76b (EBIT 4.27b * (1 - 35.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.89 (Total Current Assets 2.08b / Total Current Liabilities 1.10b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 2.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.08b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.27 (Net Debt 1.49b / EBITDA 5.59b)
Debt / FCF = 0.73 (Net Debt 1.49b / FCF TTM 2.05b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.38% (Net Income 2.54b / Total Assets 10.86b)
RoE = 49.73% (Net Income TTM 2.54b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.11b)
RoCE = 59.03% (EBIT 4.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.11b + L.T.Debt 2.12b))
RoIC = 40.06% (NOPAT 2.76b / Invested Capital 6.88b)
WACC = 6.50% (E(37.40b)/V(39.96b) * Re(6.89%) + D(2.55b)/V(39.96b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 6.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈1.56b ; Y1≈1.93b ; Y5≈3.29b
Fair Price DCF = 62.49 (DCF Value 55.93b / Shares Outstanding 895.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 46.26 | EPS CAGR: 37.33% | SUE: 0.59 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 30.46 | Revenue CAGR: 19.47% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.26 | Chg30d=+0.317 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+34.7% | Growth Revenue=+28.1%
Additional Sources for GFI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle