GFI Stock Analysis: Gold Fields | NYSE

Gold, Copper, Silver

Total Rating 57

Safety 42

Buy Signal -0.51

Gold
Industry Rotation: -15.1

Market Cap: 41.9B
Avg Turnover: 165M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility63.9%

VaR 5^th Pctl10.9%

VaR vs Median4.56%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.62

Rel. Str. IBD70.7

Rel. Str. Peer Group51.6

Character TTM

Beta0.680

Beta Downside0.448

Hurst Exponent0.402

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD47.72%

CAGR/Max DD1.27

CAGR/Mean DD4.47

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +9.8% 34

Feb -6.2% 18

Mar +6.7% 21

Apr -1.2% 18

May -2.1% 22

Jun +0.1% 2

Jul +11.2% 49

Aug -6.2% 27

Sep -4.1% 23

Oct +2.5% 2

Nov +5.5% 17

Dec -2.5% 20

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GFI Gold Fields

Gold Fields Limited is a South African gold mining company that produces gold and explores for gold, copper, and silver deposits across six countries, including South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. Founded in 1887 and headquartered in Sandton, South Africa, the company operates as a large-cap materials sector constituent and trades on the NYSE via an American Depositary Receipt (ADR), a structure that allows U.S. investors to hold shares of a foreign company without dealing directly with foreign settlement systems.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Gold prices drive revenue and margins across all operations
South African rand weakness boosts translated earnings
Salares Norte ramp-up lifts production growth profile

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 9.0

Net Income: 4.41b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.29 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.16 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 13.33% < 20% (prev 14.90%; Δ -1.57% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.38 > 3% & CFO 5.97b > Net Income 4.41b
Net Debt (897.2m) to EBITDA (8.21b): 0.11 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.87 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (896.2m) vs 12m ago 0.09% < -2%
Gross Margin: 57.32% > 18% (prev 54.95%; Δ 2.37% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 84.93% > 50% (prev 60.46%; Δ 24.48% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 44.45 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.00b / Interest Expense TTM 157.5m)

Altman Z'' 7.19

A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 3.22b - Total Current Liabilities 1.72b) / Total Assets 15.6b
B: 0.47 (Retained Earnings 7.30b / Total Assets 15.6b)
C: 0.53 (EBIT TTM 7.00b / Avg Total Assets 13.2b)
D: 1.41 (Book Value of Equity 8.97b / Total Liabilities 6.38b)
Altman-Z'' = 7.19 = AAA

What is the price of GFI shares?

As of September 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 45.10 with a total of 2,323,019 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.23%, over one month by +14.54%, over three months by +28.48% and over the past year by +26.17%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 42.70 (which is 5.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is GFI a buy, sell or hold?

Gold Fields has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GFI.

StrongBuy: 1
Buy: 1
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GFI price?

Analysts Target Price	49.5	9.7%

Gold Fields (GFI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 September 2026

Market Cap USD = 41.9b (41.9b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.6176
P/E Forward = 8.0321
P/S = 3.6849
P/B = 4.6844
P/EG = 11.5882
Revenue TTM = 11.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 103.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 459.8m
Net Debt = 897.2m USD (calculated: Debt 3.09b - CCE 2.20b)
Enterprise Value = 42.8b USD (41.9b + Debt 3.09b - CCE 2.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 44.45 (Ebit TTM 7.00b / Interest Expense TTM 157.5m)
EV/FCF = 9.51x (Enterprise Value 42.8b / FCF TTM 4.50b)
FCF Yield = 10.52% (FCF TTM 4.50b / Enterprise Value 42.8b)
FCF Margin = 40.05% (FCF TTM 4.50b / Revenue TTM 11.2b)
Net Margin = 39.21% (Net Income TTM 4.41b / Revenue TTM 11.2b)
Gross Margin = 57.32% ((Revenue TTM 11.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.80b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.87% (prev 56.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.74 (Enterprise Value 42.8b / Total Assets 15.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.09% (Interest Expense 157.5m / Debt 3.09b)
Taxrate = 33.33% (2.26b / 6.78b)
NOPAT = 4.67b (EBIT 7.00b * (1 - 33.33%))
Current Ratio = 1.87 (Total Current Assets 3.22b / Total Current Liabilities 1.72b)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 3.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.11 (Net Debt 897.2m / EBITDA 8.21b)
Debt / FCF = 0.20 (Net Debt 897.2m / FCF TTM 4.50b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 33.30% (Net Income 4.41b / Total Assets 15.6b)
RoE = 61.42% (Net Income TTM 4.41b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.17b)
RoCE = 74.91% (EBIT 7.00b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.17b + L.T.Debt 2.17b))
RoIC = 34.78% (NOPAT 4.67b / Invested Capital 13.4b)
WACC = 8.03% (E(41.9b)/V(45.0b) * Re(8.37%) + D(3.09b)/V(45.0b) * Rd(5.09%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 72.88 | Cagr: 0.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.38b ; Y1≈3.88b ; Y5≈5.70b
[DCF] Fair Price = 95.35 (EV 85.8b - Net Debt 897.2m = Equity 84.9b / Shares 890.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 83.44 | EPS CAGR: 63.67% | SUE: -3.30 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 96.53 | Revenue CAGR: 48.38% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=-1.89% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.41 | Chg30d=-11.97% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+53.1% | GrowthRev=+35.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.18 | Chg30d=-3.56% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+17.4% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -55% (up=1, down=7)