GFI Stock Analysis: Gold Fields | NYSE

Gold, Copper, Silver

Total Rating 40

Safety 40

Buy Signal -1.11

Gold
Industry Rotation: -29.5

Market Cap: 32.8B
Avg Turnover: 136M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility59.7%

VaR 5^th Pctl10.1%

VaR vs Median2.30%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.16

Rel. Str. IBD25.3

Rel. Str. Peer Group25

Character TTM

Beta0.687

Beta Downside0.575

Hurst Exponent0.439

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD47.72%

CAGR/Max DD0.90

CAGR/Mean DD3.01

Warnings

Choppy

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +9.8% 34

Feb -6.2% 18

Mar +6.7% 21

Apr -1.2% 18

May -2.1% 22

Jun +0.1% 2

Jul +11.2% 49

Aug -2.7% 17

Sep -4.1% 23

Oct +2.5% 2

Nov +5.5% 17

Dec -2.5% 20

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GFI Gold Fields

Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is a gold producer with reserves and resources across South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. In addition to gold, the company explores for copper and silver deposits, which are common co-products in gold mining that can contribute supplementary revenue alongside primary gold output. Founded in 1887 and headquartered in Sandton, South Africa, Gold Fields trades on the NYSE as an American Depositary Receipt (IPO August 2007) and is classified within the GICS Materials sector under the Gold sub-industry, with a large-cap market capitalization.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Gold price rally lifts revenue and free cash flow
South African rand weakness boosts reported margins
Salares Norte ramp-up drives production growth beyond guidance

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 9.0

Net Income: 4.41b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.29 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.16 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 13.33% < 20% (prev 14.90%; Δ -1.57% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.38 > 3% & CFO 5.97b > Net Income 4.41b
Net Debt (897.2m) to EBITDA (8.21b): 0.11 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.87 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (896.2m) vs 12m ago 0.09% < -2%
Gross Margin: 57.32% > 18% (prev 54.95%; Δ 2.37% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 84.93% > 50% (prev 60.46%; Δ 24.48% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 44.45 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.00b / Interest Expense TTM 157.5m)

Altman Z'' 7.19

A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 3.22b - Total Current Liabilities 1.72b) / Total Assets 15.6b
B: 0.47 (Retained Earnings 7.30b / Total Assets 15.6b)
C: 0.53 (EBIT TTM 7.00b / Avg Total Assets 13.2b)
D: 1.41 (Book Value of Equity 8.97b / Total Liabilities 6.38b)
Altman-Z'' = 7.19 = AAA

What is the price of GFI shares?

As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 36.76 with a total of 1,868,832 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.00%, over one month by -14.75%, over three months by +12.12% and over the past year by -11.32%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 34.60 (which is 5.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is GFI a buy, sell or hold?

Gold Fields has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GFI.

StrongBuy: 4
Buy: 1
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GFI price?

Analysts Target Price	48.7	32.4%

Gold Fields (GFI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 32.8b (32.8b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.5451
P/E Forward = 8.0321
P/S = 2.8849
P/B = 4.2645
P/EG = 11.5882
Revenue TTM = 11.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 103.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 459.8m
Net Debt = 897.2m USD (calculated: Debt 3.09b - CCE 2.20b)
Enterprise Value = 33.7b USD (32.8b + Debt 3.09b - CCE 2.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 44.45 (Ebit TTM 7.00b / Interest Expense TTM 157.5m)
EV/FCF = 7.49x (Enterprise Value 33.7b / FCF TTM 4.50b)
FCF Yield = 13.35% (FCF TTM 4.50b / Enterprise Value 33.7b)
FCF Margin = 40.05% (FCF TTM 4.50b / Revenue TTM 11.2b)
Net Margin = 39.21% (Net Income TTM 4.41b / Revenue TTM 11.2b)
Gross Margin = 57.32% ((Revenue TTM 11.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.80b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.87% (prev 56.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.16 (Enterprise Value 33.7b / Total Assets 15.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.09% (Interest Expense 157.5m / Debt 3.09b)
Taxrate = 33.33% (2.26b / 6.78b)
NOPAT = 4.67b (EBIT 7.00b * (1 - 33.33%))
Current Ratio = 1.87 (Total Current Assets 3.22b / Total Current Liabilities 1.72b)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 3.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.11 (Net Debt 897.2m / EBITDA 8.21b)
Debt / FCF = 0.20 (Net Debt 897.2m / FCF TTM 4.50b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 33.30% (Net Income 4.41b / Total Assets 15.6b)
RoE = 61.42% (Net Income TTM 4.41b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.17b)
RoCE = 74.91% (EBIT 7.00b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.17b + L.T.Debt 2.17b))
RoIC = 34.78% (NOPAT 4.67b / Invested Capital 13.4b)
WACC = 7.97% (E(32.8b)/V(35.9b) * Re(8.40%) + D(3.09b)/V(35.9b) * Rd(5.09%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 72.88 | Cagr: 0.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.38b ; Y1≈3.88b ; Y5≈5.70b
[DCF] Fair Price = 95.35 (EV 85.8b - Net Debt 897.2m = Equity 84.9b / Shares 890.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 83.44 | EPS CAGR: 63.67% | SUE: -3.30 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 96.53 | Revenue CAGR: 48.38% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=-1.89% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.90 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.29 | Chg30d=-1.61% | Revisions=-67% | GrowthEPS=+49.1% | GrowthRev=+36.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.04 | Chg30d=-5.44% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+17.3% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -69% (up=1, down=12)