GFI Stock Analysis: Gold Fields | NYSE

Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 31.716m USD | 12M Return: 48.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gold, Copper, Silver
Total Rating 56
Safety 84
Buy Signal -0.53
Gold
Industry Rotation: -3.1
Market Cap: 31.7B
Avg Turnover: 144M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility64.0%
VaR 5th Pctl10.7%
VaR vs Median1.73%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.94
Rel. Str. IBD16.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group30.6
Character TTM
Beta0.624
Beta Downside0.674
Hurst Exponent0.369
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD46.66%
CAGR/Max DD0.94
CAGR/Mean DD3.37

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Seasonal Tailwind
Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +6.2% 30
Feb -6.7% 26
Mar +10.9% 31
Apr -1.6% 25
May -2.0% 19
Jun -0.7% 5
Jul +11.2% 57
Aug -2.7% 21
Sep -0.9% 16
Oct +5.2% 9
Nov +6.8% 24
Dec -2.6% 25

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GFI Gold Fields

Gold Fields Limited is a South African gold mining company that produces gold and explores for gold, copper, and silver deposits across six countries, including South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. Founded in 1887 and headquartered in Sandton, South Africa, the company operates as a large-cap materials sector constituent and trades on the NYSE via an American Depositary Receipt (ADR), a structure that allows U.S. investors to hold shares of a foreign company without dealing directly with foreign settlement systems.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gold prices drive revenue and margins across all operations
  • South African rand weakness boosts translated earnings
  • Salares Norte ramp-up lifts production growth profile
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 3.58b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.34 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 14.48% < 20% (prev 4.56%; Δ 9.92% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.30 > 3% & CFO 4.55b > Net Income 3.58b
Net Debt (1.93b) to EBITDA (6.35b): 0.30 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.75 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (894.4m) vs 12m ago -0.16% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.20% > 18% (prev 49.69%; Δ 4.51% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 69.18% > 50% (prev 51.28%; Δ 17.90% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 59.20 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.40b / Interest Expense TTM 91.2m)
Altman Z'' 6.19
A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 2.97b - Total Current Liabilities 1.70b) / Total Assets 15.2b
B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 6.68b / Total Assets 15.2b)
C: 0.43 (EBIT TTM 5.40b / Avg Total Assets 12.7b)
D: 1.29 (Book Value of Equity 8.43b / Total Liabilities 6.55b)
Altman-Z'' = 6.19 = AAA
Beneish M -3.13
DSRI: 0.61 (Receivables 299.4m/293.1m, Revenue 8.77b/5.20b)
GMI: 0.92 (GM 49.69% / 54.20%)
AQI: 0.68 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.09)
SGI: 1.69 (Revenue 8.77b / 5.20b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 3.58b - CFO 4.55b) / TA 15.2b)
Beneish M = -3.13 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of GFI shares?

As of July 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 35.46 with a total of 4,045,600 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.04%, over one month by -3.17%, over three months by -24.04% and over the past year by +48.59%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 33.10 (which is 6.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is GFI a buy, sell or hold?

Gold Fields has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GFI.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GFI price?
Analysts Target Price 56.8 60.1%
Gold Fields (GFI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 31.7b (31.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.0
P/E Forward = 6.1125
P/S = 3.6242
P/B = 3.7611
P/EG = 11.5882
Revenue TTM = 8.77b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.40b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.35b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.56b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 282.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.70b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 483.0m
Net Debt = 1.93b USD (calculated: Debt 3.70b - CCE 1.78b)
Enterprise Value = 33.6b USD (31.7b + Debt 3.70b - CCE 1.78b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 59.20 (Ebit TTM 5.40b / Interest Expense TTM 91.2m)
EV/FCF = 10.78x (Enterprise Value 33.6b / FCF TTM 3.12b)
FCF Yield = 9.27% (FCF TTM 3.12b / Enterprise Value 33.6b)
FCF Margin = 35.56% (FCF TTM 3.12b / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Net Margin = 40.76% (Net Income TTM 3.58b / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Gross Margin = 54.20% ((Revenue TTM 8.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.70% (prev 50.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.21 (Enterprise Value 33.6b / Total Assets 15.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.46% (Interest Expense 91.2m / Debt 3.70b)
Taxrate = 31.15% (1.65b / 5.31b)
NOPAT = 3.72b (EBIT 5.40b * (1 - 31.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.75 (Total Current Assets 2.97b / Total Current Liabilities 1.70b)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 3.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.30 (Net Debt 1.93b / EBITDA 6.35b)
Debt / FCF = 0.62 (Net Debt 1.93b / FCF TTM 3.12b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.09b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 28.20% (Net Income 3.58b / Total Assets 15.2b)
RoE = 58.69% (Net Income TTM 3.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.09b)
RoCE = 62.42% (EBIT 5.40b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.09b + L.T.Debt 2.56b))
RoIC = 27.82% (NOPAT 3.72b / Invested Capital 13.4b)
WACC = 7.50% (E(31.7b)/V(35.4b) * Re(8.18%) + D(3.70b)/V(35.4b) * Rd(2.46%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 8.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 31.46 | Cagr: -0.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.16b ; Y1≈2.48b ; Y5≈3.65b
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.22 (EV 54.9b - Net Debt 1.93b = Equity 53.0b / Shares 894.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 83.44 | EPS CAGR: 63.67% | SUE: -3.30 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 96.57 | Revenue CAGR: 41.30% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.48 | Chg30d=-3.83% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+90.3% | GrowthRev=+50.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.65 | Chg30d=+4.84% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+3.1% | GrowthRev=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -8% (up=4, down=5)