(GFL) Gfl Environmental Holdings - Overview

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA36168Q1046

Stock:

Total Rating 35

Risk 71

Buy Signal -0.90

Waste Management -7.7
Environmental & Facilities Services -11.9

Market Cap: 15,351m
Avg Trading Vol: 53.8M USD

ATR: 3.05%
Peers RS (IBD): 15.00

Risk 5d forecast
Volatility	26.4%
Relative Tail Risk	-11.1%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.35
Alpha	-17.96

Character TTM
Beta	0.441
Beta Downside	0.576

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	29.27%
CAGR/Max DD	0.41

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 61.25%
EPS Trend: 24.1%

Last SUE: 0.84
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 5.06%
Rev. Trend: -6.0%

Last SUE: 0.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Primary Risks

P/E ratio: 104.0732

Description: GFL Gfl Environmental Holdings

GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income: 3.83b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.69 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -12.60% < 20% (prev -22.20%; Δ 9.60% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.32b > Net Income 3.83b
Net Debt (7.85b) to EBITDA (2.07b): 3.79 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (362.1m) vs 12m ago -4.93% < -2%
Gross Margin: 20.67% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 2048 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 32.67% > 50% (prev 30.90%; Δ 1.77% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.33 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.07b / Interest Expense TTM 572.6m)

Altman Z'' 0.64

A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 1.16b - Total Current Liabilities 2.00b) / Total Assets 19.30b
B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 229.5m / Total Assets 19.30b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 763.9m / Avg Total Assets 20.25b)
D: 0.60 (Book Value of Equity 7.10b / Total Liabilities 11.81b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.64 = B

Beneish M -3.28

DSRI: 0.63 (Receivables 802.0m/1.26b, Revenue 6.62b/6.55b)
GMI: 0.89 (GM 20.67% / 18.46%)
AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.55)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 6.62b / 6.55b)
TATA: 0.13 (NI 3.83b - CFO 1.32b) / TA 19.30b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.28 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of GFL shares?

As of February 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.25 with a total of 1,027,038 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.42%, over one month by -4.91%, over three months by -6.43% and over the past year by -7.99%.

Is GFL a buy, sell or hold?

Gfl Environmental Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GFL.

StrongBuy: 9
Buy: 5
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the GFL price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	54.7	29.5%
Analysts Target Price	54.7	29.5%

GFL Fundamental Data Overview February 24, 2026

P/E Trailing = 104.0732
P/E Forward = 48.5437
P/S = 2.3203
P/B = 3.088
Revenue TTM = 6.62b USD
EBIT TTM = 763.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.27b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 59.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.93b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.85b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 23.20b USD (15.35b + Debt 7.93b - CCE 85.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.33 (Ebit TTM 763.9m / Interest Expense TTM 572.6m)
EV/FCF = 132.9x (Enterprise Value 23.20b / FCF TTM 174.6m)
FCF Yield = 0.75% (FCF TTM 174.6m / Enterprise Value 23.20b)
FCF Margin = 2.64% (FCF TTM 174.6m / Revenue TTM 6.62b)
Net Margin = 57.95% (Net Income TTM 3.83b / Revenue TTM 6.62b)
Gross Margin = 20.67% ((Revenue TTM 6.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.02% (prev 21.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.20 (Enterprise Value 23.20b / Total Assets 19.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.69% (Interest Expense 134.4m / Debt 7.93b)
Taxrate = 6.26% (14.2m / 226.9m)
NOPAT = 716.1m (EBIT 763.9m * (1 - 6.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.58 (Total Current Assets 1.16b / Total Current Liabilities 2.00b)
Debt / Equity = 1.09 (Debt 7.93b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.79 (Net Debt 7.85b / EBITDA 2.07b)
Debt / FCF = 44.95 (Net Debt 7.85b / FCF TTM 174.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.93% (Net Income 3.83b / Total Assets 19.30b)
RoE = 50.08% (Net Income TTM 3.83b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.66b)
RoCE = 5.12% (EBIT 763.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.66b + L.T.Debt 7.27b))
RoIC = 4.84% (NOPAT 716.1m / Invested Capital 14.80b)
WACC = 5.51% (E(15.35b)/V(23.28b) * Re(7.54%) + D(7.93b)/V(23.28b) * Rd(1.69%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 7.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.16%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈239.9m ; Y1≈157.5m ; Y5≈71.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.29b - Net Debt 7.85b = -5.56b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 24.10 | EPS CAGR: 61.25% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -5.98 | Revenue CAGR: 5.06% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.99 | Chg30d=-0.029 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+31.5% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.37 | Chg30d=-0.029 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+39.1% | Growth Revenue=+7.0%
[Gordon] Analyst Rev G=4.5% | Discount Rate=7.9% | Earnings Yield=1.0% | Net Margin=58.0% | ROE=50.1% | Plowback=8.9% | Payout=91.1%
[Gordon] Breakeven Revenue = 971.5m USD (current 6.62b)
[Gordon] Implied Growth Rate = 7.0% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 1.0%)
[Gordon] Growth Spread = -2.5% (Analyst 4.5% - Implied 7.0%)

Additional Sources for GFL Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle