(GFL) Gfl Environmental Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA36168Q1046

Solid Waste, Hauling, Landfill, Transfer, Recycling

Environmental & Facilities Services
Market Cap in USD: 15,427m

IPO / Inception: 2020-03-03
12m vs SPY: -20.3%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -3.97%
EPS Trend: 8.1%

Last SUE: -0.54
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 4.44%
Rev. Trend: 11.5%

Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	0.12%
Yield on Cost 5y	0.26%
Yield CAGR 5y	8.23%
Payout Consistency	98.1%
Payout Ratio	5.6%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	25.7%
Value at Risk 5%th	38.4%
Relative Tail Risk	-9.17%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.25
Alpha	-14.52
CAGR/Max DD	0.42

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.459
Beta	0.538
Beta Downside	0.461

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	29.27%
Mean DD	7.90%
Median DD	6.17%

Description: GFL Gfl Environmental Holdings January 03, 2026

GFL Environmental Inc. (NYSE:GFL) is a North-American provider of non-hazardous solid waste and environmental services, operating through distinct Solid Waste and Environmental Services segments. Its portfolio includes hauling, landfill, transfer and material-recovery facilities, as well as liquid-waste management and soil-remediation solutions for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers across Canada and the United States. The company, founded in 2007 and based in Vaughan, Ontario, has grown primarily via strategic acquisitions that expand its geographic footprint and service breadth.

Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show revenue of approximately $2.2 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13%, reflecting operational scaling and cost-control initiatives. Volume growth remains modest, with total waste tonnage processed increasing about 2% year-over-year, driven by population growth and stricter regulatory mandates on waste diversion. A salient sector driver is the rising ESG focus, prompting municipalities to contract with firms that can meet higher recycling and landfill-diversion targets, which benefits GFL’s material-recovery and composting operations.

For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you might explore GFL’s profile on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (3.61b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 414.9m TTM)

FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.34pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -6.26% (prev -17.86%; Δ 11.60pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.44b <= Net Income 3.61b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (5.51b) to EBITDA (1.88b) ratio: 2.93 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.69 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (370.2m) change vs 12m ago -3.91% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 20.38% (prev 17.67%; Δ 2.70pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 40.64% (prev 32.03%; Δ 8.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 1.01 (EBITDA TTM 1.88b / Interest Expense TTM 501.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.71

(A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 978.5m - Total Current Liabilities 1.41b) / Total Assets 13.90b

(B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 145.9m / Total Assets 13.90b

(D) 0.65 = Book Value of Equity 5.36b / Total Liabilities 8.29b

Total Rating: 0.71 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.64

1. Piotroski 4.50pt

2. FCF Yield 0.84%

3. FCF Margin 3.26%

4. Debt/Equity 1.03

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.93

6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.15)%

7. RoE 51.31%

8. Rev. Trend 11.51%

9. EPS Trend 8.08%

What is the price of GFL shares?

As of January 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.50 with a total of 1,244,345 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.38%, over one month by -4.67%, over three months by -6.79% and over the past year by -3.77%.

Is GFL a buy, sell or hold?

Gfl Environmental Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GFL.

Strong Buy: 9
Buy: 5
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the GFL price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	56.7	33.4%
Analysts Target Price	56.7	33.4%
ValueRay Target Price	43	1.1%

GFL Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026

Market Cap CAD = 21.42b (15.43b USD * 1.3886 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 238.2222
P/E Forward = 48.5437
P/S = 1.8758
P/B = 2.685
Beta = 0.594
Revenue TTM = 6.92b CAD
EBIT TTM = 507.3m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 1.88b CAD
Long Term Debt = 7.27b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 162.6m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.65b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.51b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.94b CAD (21.42b + Debt 5.65b - CCE 139.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.01 (Ebit TTM 507.3m / Interest Expense TTM 501.2m)
EV/FCF = 119.3x (Enterprise Value 26.94b / FCF TTM 225.7m)
FCF Yield = 0.84% (FCF TTM 225.7m / Enterprise Value 26.94b)
FCF Margin = 3.26% (FCF TTM 225.7m / Revenue TTM 6.92b)
Net Margin = 52.22% (Net Income TTM 3.61b / Revenue TTM 6.92b)
Gross Margin = 20.38% ((Revenue TTM 6.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.85% (prev 22.21%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.94 (Enterprise Value 26.94b / Total Assets 13.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.89% (Interest Expense 106.7m / Debt 5.65b)
Taxrate = 27.79% (41.6m / 149.7m)
NOPAT = 366.3m (EBIT 507.3m * (1 - 27.79%))
Current Ratio = 0.69 (Total Current Assets 978.5m / Total Current Liabilities 1.41b)
Debt / Equity = 1.03 (Debt 5.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.93 (Net Debt 5.51b / EBITDA 1.88b)
Debt / FCF = 24.43 (Net Debt 5.51b / FCF TTM 225.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.22% (Net Income 3.61b / Total Assets 13.90b)
RoE = 51.31% (Net Income TTM 3.61b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.04b)
RoCE = 3.55% (EBIT 507.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.04b + L.T.Debt 7.27b))
RoIC = 2.39% (NOPAT 366.3m / Invested Capital 15.34b)
WACC = 6.53% (E(21.42b)/V(27.08b) * Re(7.90%) + D(5.65b)/V(27.08b) * Rd(1.89%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 7.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.06%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.41% ; FCFF base≈239.2m ; Y1≈157.1m ; Y5≈71.7m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.91b - Net Debt 5.51b = -3.60b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 8.08 | EPS CAGR: -3.97% | SUE: -0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 11.51 | Revenue CAGR: 4.44% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.09 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+78.6% | Growth Revenue=+7.2%

Additional Sources for GFL Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle