(GFL) Gfl Environmental Holdings - NYSE
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Waste Management | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 12.984m USD | Total Return: -27.3% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 79.6M
EPS Trend: 9.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -90.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
P/E ratio 97.2
Altman Z'' 1.09 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
GFL Environmental Inc. is a major provider of non-hazardous solid waste management services across North America. The company operates an integrated business model that spans the entire waste lifecycle, including residential and commercial collection, recycling processing, and landfill disposal operations.
The environmental services sector is characterized by high barriers to entry due to the intensive capital requirements for specialized vehicle fleets and the complex regulatory permits needed for disposal sites. As the fourth largest diversified environmental services company in North America, GFL utilizes a hub-and-spoke geographic strategy to optimize transportation costs between collection points and transfer stations.
Investors can further examine the companys capital allocation and debt structure by reviewing the detailed financial metrics available on ValueRay.
Headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida, GFL maintains a significant market presence in both the United States and Canada, serving a diverse base of municipal and industrial customers through long-term service contracts.
- Strategic divestitures of non-core assets accelerate debt reduction and balance sheet deleveraging
- M&A execution and integration of regional waste collection firms drive revenue growth
- Pricing power and fuel surcharges offset rising labor and landfill operational costs
- Expansion of renewable natural gas projects enhances long-term vertical integration margins
- Increasing regulatory compliance costs in North American waste disposal markets impact profitability
| Net Income: 238.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.65% < 20% (prev -5.61%; Δ 19.25% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.30b > Net Income 238.3m |
| Net Debt (9.00b) to EBITDA (1.90b): 4.75 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.51 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (358.5m) vs 12m ago -8.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.63% > 18% (prev 18.80%; Δ 1.83% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 30.90% > 50% (prev 31.87%; Δ -0.97% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.84 > 6 (EBIT TTM 742.0m / Interest Expense TTM 404.2m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.52b - Total Current Liabilities 1.67b) / Total Assets 20.9b |
| B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 6.32m / Total Assets 20.9b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 742.0m / Avg Total Assets 20.2b) |
| D: 0.54 (Book Value of Equity 7.30b / Total Liabilities 13.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.09 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 928.3m/821.8m, Revenue 6.24b/6.21b) |
| GMI: 0.91 (GM 18.80% / 20.63%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.52 / AQ_t-1 0.56) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 6.24b / 6.21b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 238.3m - CFO 1.30b) / TA 20.9b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 35.97 with a total of 1,576,018 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.30%,
over one month by -3.23%,
over three months by -15.13% and
over the past year by -27.29%.
Gfl Environmental Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GFL.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 50.1 | 39.3% |
Market Cap CAD = 18.2b (13.0b USD * 1.3989 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 97.2162
P/E Forward = 45.045
P/S = 1.938
P/B = 2.4805
Revenue TTM = 6.24b CAD
EBIT TTM = 742.0m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 1.90b CAD
Long Term Debt = 9.38b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 74.0m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.4b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 518.0m
Net Debt = 9.00b CAD (calculated: Debt 10.4b - CCE 1.44b)
Enterprise Value = 27.2b CAD (18.2b + Debt 10.4b - CCE 1.44b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.84 (Ebit TTM 742.0m / Interest Expense TTM 404.2m)
EV/FCF = 310.7x (Enterprise Value 27.2b / FCF TTM 87.4m)
FCF Yield = 0.32% (FCF TTM 87.4m / Enterprise Value 27.2b)
FCF Margin = 1.40% (FCF TTM 87.4m / Revenue TTM 6.24b)
Net Margin = 3.82% (Net Income TTM 238.3m / Revenue TTM 6.24b)
Gross Margin = 20.63% ((Revenue TTM 6.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.24% (prev 20.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 27.2b / Total Assets 20.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.87% (Interest Expense 404.2m / Debt 10.4b)
Taxrate = 6.26% (14.2m / 226.9m)
NOPAT = 695.6m (EBIT 742.0m * (1 - 6.26%))
Current Ratio = 1.51 (Total Current Assets 2.52b / Total Current Liabilities 1.67b)
Debt / Equity = 1.43 (Debt 10.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.75 (Net Debt 9.00b / EBITDA 1.90b)
Debt / FCF = 102.9 (Net Debt 9.00b / FCF TTM 87.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.18% (Net Income 238.3m / Total Assets 20.9b)
RoE = 3.19% (Net Income TTM 238.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.47b)
RoCE = 4.41% (EBIT 742.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.47b + L.T.Debt 9.38b))
RoIC = 3.66% (NOPAT 695.6m / Invested Capital 19.0b)
WACC = 4.26% (E(18.2b)/V(28.6b) * Re(4.62%) + D(10.4b)/V(28.6b) * Rd(3.87%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 4.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -24.44 | Cagr: -1.47%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈139.7m ; Y1≈122.5m ; Y5≈99.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.59b - Net Debt 9.00b = -7.41b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 9.81 | EPS CAGR: 4.15% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.64 | Revenue CAGR: -8.93% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=+1.75% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=+2.13% | Revisions=+14% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.92 | Chg30d=+0.72% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+23.3% | GrowthRev=+11.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=+0.67% | Revisions=-11% | GrowthEPS=+33.9% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%