Overview Dividends

(GFL) Gfl Environmental Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA36168Q1046

Waste Hauling, Landfill Operations, Transfer Stations, Recycling Services, Soil Remediation

GFL EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 2.06%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -8.2%

GFL Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -3.19%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -20.7%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	25.7%
Value at Risk 5%th	38.6%

Reward
Sharpe Ratio	-0.09
Alpha Jensen	-18.62

Character
Hurst Exponent	0.488
Beta	0.997

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	29.27%
Mean DD	7.28%

Description: GFL Gfl Environmental Holdings October 30, 2025

GFL Environmental Inc. (NYSE:GFL) is a North-American provider of non-hazardous solid waste and environmental services, operating through two primary segments: Solid Waste and Environmental Services. Its core offerings include municipal and commercial waste hauling, landfill and transfer station operations, material recovery facilities, as well as liquid waste management and soil remediation for residential, commercial, and industrial clients. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vaughan, Ontario.

Recent performance indicators suggest the firm is scaling rapidly: FY 2023 reported revenue of approximately US$5.2 billion, reflecting a 14 % year-over-year increase driven largely by organic growth in the U.S. Midwest and strategic acquisitions in Canada. EBITDA margins have stabilized around 12 %, while the tonnage of waste processed grew to roughly 30 million tons, indicating strong demand elasticity in the waste-to-energy and recycling subsectors. Key economic drivers include tightening municipal waste regulations, rising landfill tipping fees, and the broader ESG push that encourages corporate clients to outsource sustainable waste solutions.

For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of GFL’s valuation metrics and comparable peer analysis.

GFL Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	15,900m
Sub-Industry	Environmental & Facilities Services
IPO / Inception	2020-03-03
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-14.7%
Analyst Rating	4.11 of 5

GFL Dividends

Dividend Yield	0.14%
Yield on Cost 5y	0.25%
Yield CAGR 5y	16.36%
Payout Consistency	97.7%
Payout Ratio	15.2%

GFL Growth Ratios

CAGR	17.38%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.59
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	2.39
Current Volume	647.3k
Average Volume	1245.3k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (3.61b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 434.2m TTM)

FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.83pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -8.31% (prev -2.63%; Δ -5.68pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.39b <= Net Income 3.61b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (7.07b) to EBITDA (1.85b) ratio: 3.82 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (383.2m) change vs 12m ago 1.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 20.11% (prev 17.73%; Δ 2.37pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 37.30% (prev 37.65%; Δ -0.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 0.71 (EBITDA TTM 1.85b / Interest Expense TTM 564.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.68

(A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 1.20b - Total Current Liabilities 1.80b) / Total Assets 18.53b

(B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 96.5m / Total Assets 18.53b

(D) 0.70 = Book Value of Equity 7.49b / Total Liabilities 10.64b

Total Rating: 0.68 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.40

1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0

2. FCF Yield 0.65% = 0.32

3. FCF Margin 2.63% = 0.66

4. Debt/Equity 0.94 = 2.08

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.82 = -2.48

6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.38)% = -6.72

7. RoE 48.97% = 2.50

8. Rev. Trend -20.66% = -1.55

9. EPS Trend -8.17% = -0.41

What is the price of GFL shares?

As of November 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 43.70 with a total of 647,326 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.39%, over one month by -4.16%, over three months by -13.38% and over the past year by -1.16%.

Is Gfl Environmental Holdings a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Gfl Environmental Holdings (NYSE:GFL) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 42.40 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GFL is around 40.24 USD . This means that GFL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.92%.

Is GFL a buy, sell or hold?

Gfl Environmental Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GFL.

Strong Buy: 9
Buy: 5
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the GFL price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	56.7	29.8%
Analysts Target Price	56.7	29.8%
ValueRay Target Price	44.6	1.9%

GFL Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025

Market Cap CAD = 22.31b (15.90b USD * 1.4032 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 1458.6666
P/E Forward = 48.5437
P/S = 1.9669
P/B = 3.088
Beta = 0.997
Revenue TTM = 7.24b CAD
EBIT TTM = 400.2m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 1.85b CAD
Long Term Debt = 6.64b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 173.4m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.21b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.07b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 29.38b CAD (22.31b + Debt 7.21b - CCE 139.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.71 (Ebit TTM 400.2m / Interest Expense TTM 564.3m)
FCF Yield = 0.65% (FCF TTM 190.1m / Enterprise Value 29.38b)
FCF Margin = 2.63% (FCF TTM 190.1m / Revenue TTM 7.24b)
Net Margin = 49.85% (Net Income TTM 3.61b / Revenue TTM 7.24b)
Gross Margin = 20.11% ((Revenue TTM 7.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.21% (prev 18.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.59 (Enterprise Value 29.38b / Total Assets 18.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.68% (Interest Expense 121.1m / Debt 7.21b)
Taxrate = 9.27% (28.0m / 302.2m)
NOPAT = 363.1m (EBIT 400.2m * (1 - 9.27%))
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 1.20b / Total Current Liabilities 1.80b)
Debt / Equity = 0.94 (Debt 7.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.82 (Net Debt 7.07b / EBITDA 1.85b)
Debt / FCF = 37.19 (Net Debt 7.07b / FCF TTM 190.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.47% (Net Income 3.61b / Total Assets 18.53b)
RoE = 48.97% (Net Income TTM 3.61b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.37b)
RoCE = 2.86% (EBIT 400.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.37b + L.T.Debt 6.64b))
RoIC = 2.32% (NOPAT 363.1m / Invested Capital 15.68b)
WACC = 7.70% (E(22.31b)/V(29.52b) * Re(9.69%) + D(7.21b)/V(29.52b) * Rd(1.68%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 9.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.68%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.39% ; FCFE base≈130.1m ; Y1≈85.4m ; Y5≈39.1m
Fair Price DCF = 1.70 (DCF Value 597.4m / Shares Outstanding 351.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -8.17 | EPS CAGR: 2.06% | SUE: -1.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -20.66 | Revenue CAGR: -3.19% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for GFL Stock

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