(GFL) Gfl Environmental Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Waste Management, Environmental Services, Landfill, Recycling, Disposal
GFL EPS (Earnings per Share)
GFL Revenue
Description: GFL Gfl Environmental Holdings
GFL Environmental Holdings Inc (NYSE:GFL) is a leading provider of non-hazardous solid waste management and environmental services in Canada and the United States. The company operates through two main segments: Solid Waste and Environmental Services, offering a range of services including hauling, landfill, transfer, and material recovery facilities, as well as liquid waste management and soil remediation services.
Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) for GFL include revenue growth, EBITDA margins, and cash flow generation. With a market capitalization of $17.4 billion, GFLs financial performance is characterized by a forward P/E ratio of 92.59, indicating high growth expectations. The companys Return on Equity (RoE) of 40.07% suggests strong profitability. To further evaluate GFLs performance, we can examine its revenue diversification across different customer segments, including municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
From a valuation perspective, GFLs stock price is currently at $47.46, with support levels at $47.2, $45.7, $44.7, $43.2, $41.7, and $39.6. To assess the companys potential for future growth, we can analyze its capital expenditure plans, debt profile, and potential for M&A activity. Additionally, industry trends, such as the increasing focus on environmental sustainability and waste reduction, may impact GFLs growth prospects.
To deconstruct GFLs problem or goal, we need to identify fundamental truths. For instance, what are the key drivers of GFLs revenue growth? Is it driven by volume growth, pricing, or a combination of both? What are the companys strengths and weaknesses, and how can it leverage its competitive advantages to drive future growth? By analyzing these fundamental truths, we can develop actionable solutions and results-driven strategies for GFL.
GFL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 17,212m |
| Sub-Industry | Environmental & Facilities Services |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-03-03 |
GFL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 80.7% |
| Fundamental | 43.6% |
| Dividend Rating | 56.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -1.24% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.11 of 5 |
GFL Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 0.12% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.28% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 12.89% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 9.2% |
GFL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -11.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 82.9% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 68.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 20.30% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.69 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 4.53 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.37 |
| Alpha | 0.09 |
| Beta | 0.676 |
| Volatility | 25.14% |
| Current Volume | 963.4k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1341.4k |
| Stop Loss | 44.7 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | -0.93 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (3.61b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 434.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.83pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -8.31% (prev -2.63%; Δ -5.68pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.39b <= Net Income 3.61b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (7.07b) to EBITDA (1.85b) ratio: 3.82 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (383.2m) change vs 12m ago 1.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 20.11% (prev 17.73%; Δ 2.37pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 37.30% (prev 37.65%; Δ -0.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.71 (EBITDA TTM 1.85b / Interest Expense TTM 564.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.68
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 1.20b - Total Current Liabilities 1.80b) / Total Assets 18.53b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 96.5m / Total Assets 18.53b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 400.2m / Avg Total Assets 19.40b |
| (D) 0.70 = Book Value of Equity 7.49b / Total Liabilities 10.64b |
| Total Rating: 0.68 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.59
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.63% = 0.31 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.63% = 0.66 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.89 = 2.12 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.68 = -2.42 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.67)% = -5.84 |
| 7. RoE 48.97% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -20.66% = -1.55 |
| 9. EPS Trend -3.87% = -0.19 |
What is the price of GFL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.18%, over one month by -7.50%, over three months by -7.32% and over the past year by +17.95%.
Is Gfl Environmental Holdings a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GFL is around 48.21 USD . This means that GFL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 4.51%.
Is GFL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GFL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 58 | 25.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 58 | 25.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 53 | 14.9% |
Last update: 2025-09-12 04:37
GFL Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 139.7m CAD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 1579.0
P/E Forward = 48.7805
P/S = 2.1291
P/B = 3.0995
Beta = 0.959
Revenue TTM = 7.24b CAD
EBIT TTM = 400.2m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 1.85b CAD
Long Term Debt = 6.64b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 173.4m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.81b CAD (Calculated: Short Term 173.4m + Long Term 6.64b)
Net Debt = 7.07b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 30.38b CAD (23.71b + Debt 6.81b - CCE 139.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.71 (Ebit TTM 400.2m / Interest Expense TTM 564.3m)
FCF Yield = 0.63% (FCF TTM 190.1m / Enterprise Value 30.38b)
FCF Margin = 2.63% (FCF TTM 190.1m / Revenue TTM 7.24b)
Net Margin = 49.85% (Net Income TTM 3.61b / Revenue TTM 7.24b)
Gross Margin = 20.11% ((Revenue TTM 7.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.06 (Enterprise Value 30.38b / Book Value Of Equity 7.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.78% (Interest Expense 121.1m / Debt 6.81b)
Taxrate = 9.27% (28.0m / 302.2m)
NOPAT = 363.1m (EBIT 400.2m * (1 - 9.27%))
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 1.20b / Total Current Liabilities 1.80b)
Debt / Equity = 0.89 (Debt 6.81b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 7.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.68 (Net Debt 7.07b / EBITDA 1.85b)
Debt / FCF = 35.82 (Debt 6.81b / FCF TTM 190.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.37b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 19.47% (Net Income 3.61b, Total Assets 18.53b )
RoE = 48.97% (Net Income TTM 3.61b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.37b)
RoCE = 2.86% (Ebit 400.2m / (Equity 7.37b + L.T.Debt 6.64b))
RoIC = 2.32% (NOPAT 363.1m / Invested Capital 15.68b)
WACC = 6.99% (E(23.71b)/V(30.52b) * Re(8.53%)) + (D(6.81b)/V(30.52b) * Rd(1.78%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 65.65 | Cagr: 0.35%
Discount Rate = 8.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.29% ; FCFE base≈130.1m ; Y1≈85.4m ; Y5≈39.1m
Fair Price DCF = 2.01 (DCF Value 707.6m / Shares Outstanding 351.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -3.87 | EPS CAGR: 10.01% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -20.66 | Revenue CAGR: -3.19% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for GFL Stock
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