(GFL) Gfl Environmental Holdings - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Waste Management | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 13.963m USD | Total Return: -8.7% in 12m

Stock Waste Collection, Recycling, Disposal, Transfer
Total Rating 38
Risk 61
Buy Signal 0.20
Waste Management -0.3
Environmental & Facilities Services +2.3
Market Cap: 13,963m
Avg Trading Vol: 59.4M USD
ATR: 2.95%
Peers RS (IBD): 52.8
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility30.4%
Rel. Tail Risk-12.4%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.61
Alpha-16.56
Character TTM
Beta-0.013
Beta Downside0.093
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.27%
CAGR/Max DD0.24
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GFL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.04, "2021-06": 0.1, "2021-09": 0.22, "2021-12": 0.07, "2022-03": 0.06, "2022-06": 0.24, "2022-09": 0.2, "2022-12": -0.02, "2023-03": 0.08, "2023-06": 0.49, "2023-09": 0.32, "2023-12": 0.05, "2024-03": -0.3435, "2024-06": 0.29, "2024-09": 0.24, "2024-12": 0.22, "2025-03": -0.09, "2025-06": 0.7, "2025-09": 0.23, "2025-12": 0.36,
EPS CAGR: 61.25%
EPS Trend: 24.1%
Last SUE: 0.84
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GFL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1099.6, 2021-06: 1314.3, 2021-09: 1381.3, 2021-12: 1439.6, 2022-03: 1401.4, 2022-06: 1707.5, 2022-09: 1831.2, 2022-12: 1821.2, 2023-03: 1799.1, 2023-06: 1943.6, 2023-09: 1890, 2023-12: 1882.8, 2024-03: 1431.8, 2024-06: 1581.6, 2024-09: 1554.2, 2024-12: 1985.9, 2025-03: 1560.1, 2025-06: 1675.2, 2025-09: 1694.2, 2025-12: 1686.4,
Rev. CAGR: 5.06%
Rev. Trend: -6.0%
Last SUE: 0.03
Qual. Beats: 0
Risks
Fundamental:

P/E ratio: 95.0244

Description: GFL Gfl Environmental Holdings March 05, 2026

GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management across Canada and the U.S. This sector is characterized by stable demand due to essential service provision.

The companys business model encompasses collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services. These services cater to municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial clients, reflecting a diversified customer base typical of integrated waste management firms.

Founded in 2007 and headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida, GFL Environmental operates within the Environmental & Facilities Services GICS sub-industry. To delve deeper into GFLs operational metrics and financial performance, further research on platforms like ValueRay is recommended.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Solid waste collection volume impacts revenue
  • Recycling commodity prices influence profitability
  • Fuel costs directly affect operating expenses
  • Environmental regulations pose compliance risks
  • Acquisition strategy drives market share growth
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
Net Income: 3.83b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.69 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -12.60% < 20% (prev -22.20%; Δ 9.60% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.32b > Net Income 3.83b
Net Debt (7.85b) to EBITDA (2.07b): 3.79 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (362.1m) vs 12m ago -4.93% < -2%
Gross Margin: 20.67% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 2.05k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 32.67% > 50% (prev 30.90%; Δ 1.77% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.33 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.07b / Interest Expense TTM 572.6m)
Altman Z'' 0.64
A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 1.16b - Total Current Liabilities 2.00b) / Total Assets 19.30b
B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 229.5m / Total Assets 19.30b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 763.9m / Avg Total Assets 20.25b)
D: 0.60 (Book Value of Equity 7.10b / Total Liabilities 11.81b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.64 = B
Beneish M -3.28
DSRI: 0.63 (Receivables 802.0m/1.26b, Revenue 6.62b/6.55b)
GMI: 0.89 (GM 20.67% / 18.46%)
AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.55)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 6.62b / 6.55b)
TATA: 0.13 (NI 3.83b - CFO 1.32b) / TA 19.30b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.28 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of GFL shares? As of April 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 41.72 with a total of 3,343,042 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.81%, over one month by -3.65%, over three months by +1.67% and over the past year by -8.65%.
Is GFL a buy, sell or hold? Gfl Environmental Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GFL.
  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GFL price?
ISSUER TARGET UP/DOWN
Wallstreet Target Price 53.8 29.1%
Analysts Target Price 53.8 29.1%
GFL Fundamental Data Overview April 02, 2026
Market Cap CAD = 19.45b (13.96b USD * 1.393 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 95.0244
P/E Forward = 43.8596
P/S = 2.1105
P/B = 2.6415
Revenue TTM = 6.62b CAD
EBIT TTM = 763.9m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 2.07b CAD
Long Term Debt = 7.42b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 59.9m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.93b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.85b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 27.30b CAD (19.45b + Debt 7.93b - CCE 85.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.33 (Ebit TTM 763.9m / Interest Expense TTM 572.6m)
EV/FCF = 156.3x (Enterprise Value 27.30b / FCF TTM 174.6m)
FCF Yield = 0.64% (FCF TTM 174.6m / Enterprise Value 27.30b)
FCF Margin = 2.64% (FCF TTM 174.6m / Revenue TTM 6.62b)
Net Margin = 57.95% (Net Income TTM 3.83b / Revenue TTM 6.62b)
Gross Margin = 20.67% ((Revenue TTM 6.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.02% (prev 21.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 27.30b / Total Assets 19.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.69% (Interest Expense 134.4m / Debt 7.93b)
Taxrate = 6.26% (14.2m / 226.9m)
NOPAT = 716.1m (EBIT 763.9m * (1 - 6.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.58 (Total Current Assets 1.16b / Total Current Liabilities 2.00b)
Debt / Equity = 1.09 (Debt 7.93b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.79 (Net Debt 7.85b / EBITDA 2.07b)
Debt / FCF = 44.95 (Net Debt 7.85b / FCF TTM 174.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.93% (Net Income 3.83b / Total Assets 19.30b)
RoE = 50.08% (Net Income TTM 3.83b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.66b)
RoCE = 5.07% (EBIT 763.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.66b + L.T.Debt 7.42b))
RoIC = 4.85% (NOPAT 716.1m / Invested Capital 14.78b)
WACC = 4.68% (E(19.45b)/V(27.38b) * Re(5.94%) + D(7.93b)/V(27.38b) * Rd(1.69%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 5.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈239.9m ; Y1≈157.5m ; Y5≈72.0m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.29b - Net Debt 7.85b = -5.56b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 24.10 | EPS CAGR: 61.25% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -5.98 | Revenue CAGR: 5.06% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.29 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.99 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.007 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+32.6% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.33 | Chg7d=-0.047 | Chg30d=-0.042 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+33.9% | Growth Revenue=+6.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.14 (6 Up / 8 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 6.9% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 1.1%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +0.5% (Analyst 7.3% - Implied 6.9%)
Additional Sources for GFL Stock Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma · Stockcircle