(GFL) Gfl Environmental Holdings - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Waste Management | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 15.551m USD | Total Return: -20.2% in 12m

Waste Collection, Recycling, Disposal, Transfer
Total Rating 34
Safety 56
Buy Signal 0.25
Waste Management
Industry Rotation: -14.9
Market Cap: 15.6B
Avg Turnover: 68.8M USD
ATR: 3.90%
Peers RS (IBD): 19.4
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility28.6%
Rel. Tail Risk-11.9%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.94
Alpha-19.35
Character TTM
Beta-0.117
Beta Downside0.111
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.27%
CAGR/Max DD0.14
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GFL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.04, "2021-06": 0.1, "2021-09": 0.22, "2021-12": 0.07, "2022-03": 0.06, "2022-06": 0.24, "2022-09": 0.2, "2022-12": -0.02, "2023-03": 0.08, "2023-06": 0.49, "2023-09": 0.32, "2023-12": 0.05, "2024-03": -0.3435, "2024-06": 0.29, "2024-09": 0.24, "2024-12": 0.22, "2025-03": -0.09, "2025-06": 0.7, "2025-09": 0.23, "2025-12": 0.36,
EPS CAGR: 61.25%
EPS Trend: 24.1%
Last SUE: 0.84
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GFL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1099.6, 2021-06: 1314.3, 2021-09: 1381.3, 2021-12: 1439.6, 2022-03: 1401.4, 2022-06: 1707.5, 2022-09: 1831.2, 2022-12: 1821.2, 2023-03: 1799.1, 2023-06: 1943.6, 2023-09: 1890, 2023-12: 1882.8, 2024-03: 1431.8, 2024-06: 1581.6, 2024-09: 1554.2, 2024-12: 1985.9, 2025-03: 1560.1, 2025-06: 1675.2, 2025-09: 1694.2, 2025-12: 1686.4,
Rev. CAGR: 5.06%
Rev. Trend: -6.0%
Last SUE: 0.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

P/E ratio 110.5

Altman Z'' 0.64 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: GFL Gfl Environmental Holdings

GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management across Canada and the U.S. This sector is characterized by stable demand due to essential service provision.

The companys business model encompasses collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services. These services cater to municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial clients, reflecting a diversified customer base typical of integrated waste management firms.

Founded in 2007 and headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida, GFL Environmental operates within the Environmental & Facilities Services GICS sub-industry. To delve deeper into GFLs operational metrics and financial performance, further research on platforms like ValueRay is recommended.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Solid waste collection volume impacts revenue
  • Recycling commodity prices influence profitability
  • Fuel costs directly affect operating expenses
  • Environmental regulations pose compliance risks
  • Acquisition strategy drives market share growth
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 3.83b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.69 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -12.60% < 20% (prev -22.20%; Δ 9.60% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.32b > Net Income 3.83b
Net Debt (7.85b) to EBITDA (2.07b): 3.79 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (362.1m) vs 12m ago -4.93% < -2%
Gross Margin: 20.67% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 2.05k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 32.67% > 50% (prev 30.90%; Δ 1.77% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.33 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.07b / Interest Expense TTM 572.6m)
Altman Z'' 0.64
A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 1.16b - Total Current Liabilities 2.00b) / Total Assets 19.30b
B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 229.5m / Total Assets 19.30b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 763.9m / Avg Total Assets 20.25b)
D: 0.60 (Book Value of Equity 7.10b / Total Liabilities 11.81b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.64 = B
Beneish M -3.28
DSRI: 0.63 (Receivables 802.0m/1.26b, Revenue 6.62b/6.55b)
GMI: 0.89 (GM 20.67% / 18.46%)
AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.55)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 6.62b / 6.55b)
TATA: 0.13 (NI 3.83b - CFO 1.32b) / TA 19.30b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.28 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of GFL shares? As of April 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.59 with a total of 6,291,951 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.95%, over one month by -7.98%, over three months by -8.63% and over the past year by -20.21%.
Is GFL a buy, sell or hold? Gfl Environmental Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GFL.
  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GFL price?
Analysts Target Price 54.4 40.9%
Gfl Environmental Holdings (GFL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 April 2026
Market Cap CAD = 21.44b (15.55b USD * 1.3785 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 110.4616
P/E Forward = 49.505
P/S = 2.3505
P/B = 3.0457
Revenue TTM = 6.62b CAD
EBIT TTM = 763.9m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 2.07b CAD
Long Term Debt = 7.42b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 59.9m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.93b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.85b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 29.28b CAD (21.44b + Debt 7.93b - CCE 85.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.33 (Ebit TTM 763.9m / Interest Expense TTM 572.6m)
EV/FCF = 167.7x (Enterprise Value 29.28b / FCF TTM 174.6m)
FCF Yield = 0.60% (FCF TTM 174.6m / Enterprise Value 29.28b)
FCF Margin = 2.64% (FCF TTM 174.6m / Revenue TTM 6.62b)
Net Margin = 57.95% (Net Income TTM 3.83b / Revenue TTM 6.62b)
Gross Margin = 20.67% ((Revenue TTM 6.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.02% (prev 21.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.52 (Enterprise Value 29.28b / Total Assets 19.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.69% (Interest Expense 134.4m / Debt 7.93b)
Taxrate = 6.26% (14.2m / 226.9m)
NOPAT = 716.1m (EBIT 763.9m * (1 - 6.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.58 (Total Current Assets 1.16b / Total Current Liabilities 2.00b)
Debt / Equity = 1.09 (Debt 7.93b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.79 (Net Debt 7.85b / EBITDA 2.07b)
Debt / FCF = 44.95 (Net Debt 7.85b / FCF TTM 174.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.93% (Net Income 3.83b / Total Assets 19.30b)
RoE = 50.08% (Net Income TTM 3.83b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.66b)
RoCE = 5.07% (EBIT 763.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.66b + L.T.Debt 7.42b))
RoIC = 4.85% (NOPAT 716.1m / Invested Capital 14.78b)
WACC = 4.49% (E(21.44b)/V(29.37b) * Re(5.57%) + D(7.93b)/V(29.37b) * Rd(1.69%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 5.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈239.9m ; Y1≈157.5m ; Y5≈72.0m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.29b - Net Debt 7.85b = -5.56b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 24.10 | EPS CAGR: 61.25% | SUE: 0.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -5.98 | Revenue CAGR: 5.06% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.28 | Chg7d=-0.012 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.98 | Chg7d=-0.016 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+30.3% | Growth Revenue=+6.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.32 | Chg7d=-0.012 | Chg30d=-0.060 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+34.9% | Growth Revenue=+7.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.33 (1 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.0% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 0.9%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +1.3% (Analyst 8.4% - Implied 7.0%)
External Resources
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