(GGG) Graco - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Specialty Industrial Machinery | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 14.029m USD | Total Return: 15.2% in 12m

Sprayers, Pumps, Dispensers, Valves, Meters

Total Rating 56

Safety 85

Buy Signal -0.28

Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Rotation: -7.7

Market Cap: 14.0B
Avg Turnover: 87.6M USD

ATR: 2.26%
Peers RS (IBD): 45.9

Risk 5d forecast

Volatility20.0%

Rel. Tail Risk-0.79%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.03

Alpha-14.53

Character TTM

Beta0.851

Beta Downside0.916

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD20.83%

CAGR/Max DD0.41

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 8.35%
EPS Trend: 39.9%

Last SUE: 0.06
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 4.98%
Rev. Trend: 35.4%

Last SUE: 0.14
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: GGG Graco

Graco Inc. (NYSE: GGG) designs, manufactures, and markets fluid-handling systems-including sprayers, pumps, valves, and dispensing equipment-for a global customer base spanning construction, industrial manufacturing, automotive, and process markets. The company operates three primary segments: Contractor (paint and coating sprayers for buildings and infrastructure), Industrial (precision pumps, mixers, and powder-coating systems for OEMs and specialty manufacturers), and Process (fluid-movement solutions for chemicals, oil & gas, water treatment, and automotive service applications).

In fiscal 2025 Graco reported revenue of $2.13 billion, up 6% year-over-year, with an adjusted operating margin of 15.2% and earnings per share of $5.70. The order backlog at year-end covered roughly 12 months of sales, reflecting strong demand from the construction sector, which has seen a 4% annual increase in U.S. spending, and from the automotive aftermarket, which is expanding at about 3% as fleet renewal accelerates. Capital expenditures for 2025 totaled $118 million, aimed at expanding the Gema powder-coating line and upgrading automation in the Process segment.

Analysts note that Graco’s exposure to cyclical construction activity is mitigated by its diversified industrial and process businesses, which benefit from broader trends such as rising automation in manufacturing and tighter environmental regulations driving adoption of precision fluid-control technologies.

For a deeper dive into Graco’s valuation metrics and competitive positioning, you might explore the latest research on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Construction spending impacts contractor segment demand
Industrial automation trends drive equipment sales
Raw material costs influence manufacturing margins
Semiconductor industry capital expenditures affect expansion markets
Global economic growth dictates fluid handling equipment demand

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 8.5

Net Income: 521.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 44.92% < 20% (prev 51.65%; Δ -6.74% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.21 > 3% & CFO 683.6m > Net Income 521.8m
Net Debt (-563.1m) to EBITDA (751.5m): -0.75 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.15 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (168.1m) vs 12m ago -2.59% < -2%
Gross Margin: 52.45% > 18% (prev 0.53%; Δ 5.19k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 69.75% > 50% (prev 67.32%; Δ 2.43% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 222.6 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 751.5m / Interest Expense TTM 2.89m)

Altman Z'' 7.62

A: 0.31 (Total Current Assets 1.47b - Total Current Liabilities 467.3m) / Total Assets 3.27b
B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 1.46b / Total Assets 3.27b)
C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 644.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.21b)
D: 2.67 (Book Value of Equity 1.66b / Total Liabilities 620.3m)
Altman-Z'' Score: 7.62 = AAA

Beneish M -2.91

DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 393.8m/362.5m, Revenue 2.24b/2.11b)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 52.45% / 53.11%)
AQI: 1.15 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.27)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 2.24b / 2.11b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 521.8m - CFO 683.6m) / TA 3.27b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of GGG shares? As of April 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 84.62 with a total of 861,600 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.03%, over one month by -7.28%, over three months by +1.67% and over the past year by +15.22%.

Is GGG a buy, sell or hold? Graco has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefor, it is recommend to hold GGG.

StrongBuy: 2
Buy: 2
Hold: 8
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GGG price?

Analysts Target Price	94.9	12.1%

Graco (GGG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 April 2026

P/E Trailing = 27.474
P/E Forward = 26.3852
P/S = 6.2725
P/B = 5.2862
P/EG = 2.6141
Revenue TTM = 2.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 644.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 751.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 26.9m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 61.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -563.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 13.47b USD (14.03b + Debt 61.0m - CCE 624.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 222.6 (Ebit TTM 644.1m / Interest Expense TTM 2.89m)
EV/FCF = 21.11x (Enterprise Value 13.47b / FCF TTM 637.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.74% (FCF TTM 637.9m / Enterprise Value 13.47b)
FCF Margin = 28.52% (FCF TTM 637.9m / Revenue TTM 2.24b)
Net Margin = 23.33% (Net Income TTM 521.8m / Revenue TTM 2.24b)
Gross Margin = 52.45% ((Revenue TTM 2.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.71% (prev 53.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.11 (Enterprise Value 13.47b / Total Assets 3.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.34% (Interest Expense 814k / Debt 61.0m)
Taxrate = 18.75% (30.6m / 163.1m)
NOPAT = 523.3m (EBIT 644.1m * (1 - 18.75%))
Current Ratio = 3.15 (Total Current Assets 1.47b / Total Current Liabilities 467.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 61.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.65b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.75 (Net Debt -563.1m / EBITDA 751.5m)
Debt / FCF = -0.88 (Net Debt -563.1m / FCF TTM 637.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.27% (Net Income 521.8m / Total Assets 3.27b)
RoE = 20.38% (Net Income TTM 521.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.56b)
RoCE = 24.89% (EBIT 644.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.56b + L.T.Debt 26.9m))
RoIC = 20.21% (NOPAT 523.3m / Invested Capital 2.59b)
WACC = 8.95% (E(14.03b)/V(14.09b) * Re(8.98%) + D(61.0m)/V(14.09b) * Rd(1.34%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 8.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 78.57% ; FCFF base≈588.7m ; Y1≈726.3m ; Y5≈1.24b
[DCF] Fair Price = 110.8 (EV 17.80b - Net Debt -563.1m = Equity 18.37b / Shares 165.8m; r=8.95% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 39.95 | EPS CAGR: 8.35% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 35.37 | Revenue CAGR: 4.98% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.83 | Chg7d=+0.004 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.19 | Chg7d=+0.010 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+8.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.47 | Chg7d=+0.010 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+8.7% | Growth Revenue=+4.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.20 (3 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 5.3% (Discount Rate 9.0% - Earnings Yield 3.6%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +1.7% (Analyst 7.1% - Implied 5.3%)

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