GGG Stock Analysis: Graco | NYSE
Specialty Industrial Machinery | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.445m USD | 12M Return: -4.9% | US3841091040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 117M
EPS Trend: -19.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 60.1%
Qual. Beats: -2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Graco Inc. (NYSE: GGG) is a U.S.-based industrial machinery company that designs, manufactures, and markets systems and equipment for moving, measuring, mixing, controlling, dispensing, and spraying fluid and powder materials. Operating across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific, the company serves a diverse range of end markets through three reporting segments: Contractor, Industrial, and Expansion Markets.
The Contractor segment supplies sprayers for paint, roofing, road markings, and floor coatings, as well as proportioning and dispensing equipment. The Industrial segment covers liquid finishing, fluid dispensing, chemical and petroleum pumps, automatic lubrication systems, and powder finishing solutions. The Expansion Markets segment provides specialized pumps for the semiconductor industry, high-pressure valves for oil and gas, and environmental monitoring and remediation equipment for groundwater and landfill applications.
Graco was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The company operates in the Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sub-industry, with its broad product portfolio addressing both mature industrial customers and emerging technology-driven sectors such as semiconductors and environmental services.
- Contractor segment revenue tracks housing starts and renovation demand
- Semiconductor pump demand surges with global chip fab expansion
- Margins pressured by raw material costs and currency headwinds
| Net Income: 533.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 40.37% < 20% (prev 45.76%; Δ -5.39% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.21 > 3% & CFO 661.2m > Net Income 533.5m |
| Net Debt (-439.4m) to EBITDA (763.5m): -0.58 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (168.1m) vs 12m ago -0.27% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.64% > 18% (prev 52.25%; Δ 0.40% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 73.41% > 50% (prev 71.17%; Δ 2.24% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 205.3 > 6 (EBIT TTM 656.3m / Interest Expense TTM 3.20m) |
| A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 1.37b - Total Current Liabilities 459.4m) / Total Assets 3.13b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 1.32b / Total Assets 3.13b) |
| C: 0.21 (EBIT TTM 656.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.09b) |
| D: 4.15 (Book Value of Equity 2.52b / Total Liabilities 607.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.08 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 424.2m/387.2m, Revenue 2.27b/2.17b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 52.25% / 52.64%) |
| AQI: 1.09 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.27b / 2.17b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 533.5m - CFO 661.2m) / TA 3.13b) |
| Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 78.37 with a total of 1,283,385 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.78%, over one month by +1.74%, over three months by +7.44% and over the past year by -4.86%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 75.50 (which is 3.7% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Graco has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GGG.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 91.3 | 16.5% |
P/E Trailing = 24.5495
P/E Forward = 22.1239
P/S = 5.4889
P/B = 4.9844
P/EG = 2.3162
Revenue TTM = 2.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 656.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 763.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 16.0m USD (estimated: total debt 45.2m - short term 29.2m)
Short Term Debt = 29.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 68.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 23.0m
Net Debt = -439.4m USD (calculated: Debt 68.2m - CCE 507.6m)
Enterprise Value = 12.0b USD (12.4b + Debt 68.2m - CCE 507.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 205.3 (Ebit TTM 656.3m / Interest Expense TTM 3.20m)
EV/FCF = 19.45x (Enterprise Value 12.0b / FCF TTM 617.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.14% (FCF TTM 617.2m / Enterprise Value 12.0b)
FCF Margin = 27.22% (FCF TTM 617.2m / Revenue TTM 2.27b)
Net Margin = 23.53% (Net Income TTM 533.5m / Revenue TTM 2.27b)
Gross Margin = 52.64% ((Revenue TTM 2.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.67% (prev 51.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.83 (Enterprise Value 12.0b / Total Assets 3.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.69% (Interest Expense 3.20m / Debt 68.2m)
Taxrate = 18.30% (119.5m / 653.1m)
NOPAT = 536.2m (EBIT 656.3m * (1 - 18.30%))
Current Ratio = 2.99 (Total Current Assets 1.37b / Total Current Liabilities 459.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 68.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.58 (Net Debt -439.4m / EBITDA 763.5m)
Debt / FCF = -0.71 (Net Debt -439.4m / FCF TTM 617.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.28% (Net Income 533.5m / Total Assets 3.13b)
RoE = 20.27% (Net Income TTM 533.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.63b)
RoCE = 24.78% (EBIT 656.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.63b + L.T.Debt 16.0m))
RoIC = 20.73% (NOPAT 536.2m / Invested Capital 2.59b)
WACC = 7.96% (E(12.4b)/V(12.5b) * Re(7.98%) + D(68.2m)/V(12.5b) * Rd(4.69%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 7.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -91.34 | Cagr: -1.13%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.63% ; FCFF base≈613.7m ; Y1≈623.7m ; Y5≈676.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 67.54 (EV 10.5b - Net Debt -439.4m = Equity 10.9b / Shares 162.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 1.45% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -19.19 | EPS CAGR: -0.72% | SUE: 1.97 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 60.10 | Revenue CAGR: 1.46% | SUE: -1.76 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=-0.75% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.29 | Chg30d=-0.30% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+11.4% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.50 | Chg30d=-0.66% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+6.4% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -29% (up=1, down=3)