GGG Stock Analysis: Graco | NYSE
Specialty Industrial Machinery | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.481m USD | 12M Return: -15.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 103M
EPS Trend: -43.3%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 34.8%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Graco Inc. (NYSE: GGG) is a U.S.-based manufacturer of fluid and powder handling equipment, operating globally across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. Founded in 1926 and headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, the company is classified within the Industrials sector under Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components, and is classified as a large-cap stock.
The business is organized into three segments. The Contractor segment supplies sprayers for paint, foam, roof coatings, and road/field markings, as well as dispensing and mixing equipment. The Industrial segment produces liquid finishing systems, fluid transfer pumps, automatic lubrication equipment, vehicle service products, and powder finishing systems. The Expansion Markets segment serves more specialized end markets, including pumps for semiconductor manufacturing, high-pressure valves for the oil and gas industry, and environmental monitoring and remediation equipment for groundwater and landfill applications.
Gracos business model centers on engineering specialized fluid management solutions for diverse industrial and commercial customers, generating revenue across cyclical and secular end markets ranging from construction and manufacturing to energy and environmental services.
- US housing starts drive contractor sprayer demand
- Semiconductor pump orders rise with chip fab expansion
- Industrial segment margins face raw material pressure
| Net Income: 516.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.71 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 50.08% < 20% (prev 46.03%; Δ 4.05% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 678.4m > Net Income 516.2m |
| Net Debt (-633.7m) to EBITDA (744.2m): -0.85 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.56 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (168.1m) vs 12m ago -2.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.31% > 18% (prev 52.76%; Δ -0.45% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 70.90% > 50% (prev 71.45%; Δ -0.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 209.8 > 6 (EBIT TTM 632.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.02m) |
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 1.57b - Total Current Liabilities 440.6m) / Total Assets 3.33b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 1.51b / Total Assets 3.33b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 632.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.17b) |
| D: 4.63 (Book Value of Equity 2.74b / Total Liabilities 592.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.89 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 390.4m/372.7m, Revenue 2.25b/2.15b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 52.76% / 52.31%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.28) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.25b / 2.15b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 516.2m - CFO 678.4m) / TA 3.33b) |
| Beneish M = -2.96 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 73.23 with a total of 1,047,658 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.15%, over one month by -1.25%, over three months by -16.41% and over the past year by -15.83%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 71.30 (which is 2.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Graco has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GGG.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 92 | 25.6% |
P/E Trailing = 24.7368
P/E Forward = 24.2718
P/S = 5.5508
P/B = 4.5535
P/EG = 2.5548
Revenue TTM = 2.25b USD
EBIT TTM = 632.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 744.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 17.5m USD (estimated: total debt 52.9m - short term 35.4m)
Short Term Debt = 35.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 78.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 25.6m
Net Debt = -633.7m USD (calculated: Debt 78.5m - CCE 712.2m)
Enterprise Value = 11.8b USD (12.5b + Debt 78.5m - CCE 712.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 209.8 (Ebit TTM 632.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.02m)
EV/FCF = 18.77x (Enterprise Value 11.8b / FCF TTM 631.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.33% (FCF TTM 631.2m / Enterprise Value 11.8b)
FCF Margin = 28.07% (FCF TTM 631.2m / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Net Margin = 22.96% (Net Income TTM 516.2m / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Gross Margin = 52.31% ((Revenue TTM 2.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.96% (prev 51.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.55 (Enterprise Value 11.8b / Total Assets 3.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.84% (Interest Expense 3.02m / Debt 78.5m)
Taxrate = 18.03% (113.6m / 629.8m)
NOPAT = 518.7m (EBIT 632.8m * (1 - 18.03%))
Current Ratio = 3.56 (Total Current Assets 1.57b / Total Current Liabilities 440.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 78.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.74b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.85 (Net Debt -633.7m / EBITDA 744.2m)
Debt / FCF = -1.00 (Net Debt -633.7m / FCF TTM 631.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.28% (Net Income 516.2m / Total Assets 3.33b)
RoE = 19.65% (Net Income TTM 516.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.63b)
RoCE = 23.93% (EBIT 632.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.63b + L.T.Debt 17.5m))
RoIC = 18.41% (NOPAT 518.7m / Invested Capital 2.82b)
WACC = 8.45% (E(12.5b)/V(12.6b) * Re(8.48%) + D(78.5m)/V(12.6b) * Rd(3.84%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 8.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -58.43 | Cagr: -0.96%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.66% ; FCFF base≈597.9m ; Y1≈685.4m ; Y5≈1.01b
[DCF] Fair Price = 93.76 (EV 14.9b - Net Debt -633.7m = Equity 15.6b / Shares 166.0m; r=8.45% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -43.34 | EPS CAGR: -1.42% | SUE: -1.53 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 34.83 | Revenue CAGR: 0.71% | SUE: -1.34 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-0.49% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.80 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+18% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.10 | Chg30d=+0.13% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+5.1% | GrowthRev=+5.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.38 | Chg30d=+0.13% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+9.1% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +15% (up=6, down=4)