(GGG) Graco - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Specialty Industrial Machinery | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 12.497m USD | Total Return: -9.8% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 115M
EPS Trend: -42.6%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 34.8%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Graco Inc. (GGG) is a global manufacturer specializing in fluid handling systems and equipment for industrial, commercial, and environmental applications. The company operates through three primary segments: Contractor, Industrial, and Expansion Markets, providing technology for spraying, mixing, and dispensing materials such as paint, chemicals, and lubricants. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Graco serves a diverse range of end-markets including construction, automotive, food processing, and oil and gas.
The industrial machinery sector often functions as a high-margin business model due to the technical complexity of precision fluid management and the recurring revenue generated from specialized aftermarket parts and consumables. Gracos Expansion Markets segment specifically targets high-growth niches, such as semiconductor manufacturing and environmental remediation, reducing its reliance on traditional construction cycles.
Investors can evaluate the long-term growth trends and valuation metrics for Graco on ValueRay. Founded in 1926, the company maintains a global footprint across the Americas, EMEA, and the Asia Pacific regions.
- Residential construction activity and remodeling demand drive Contractor segment revenue growth
- Industrial capital expenditure cycles dictate high-margin liquid finishing equipment sales
- Fluctuations in global raw material costs and aluminum prices impact manufacturing margins
- Semiconductor manufacturing expansion accelerates demand for high-purity fluid handling systems
- Foreign currency exchange volatility significantly affects international revenue and operating income
| Net Income: 516.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.71 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 50.08% < 20% (prev 46.03%; Δ 4.05% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 678.4m > Net Income 516.2m |
| Net Debt (-641.8m) to EBITDA (715.8m): -0.90 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.56 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (168.1m) vs 12m ago -2.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.31% > 18% (prev 0.53%; Δ 5.18k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 70.90% > 50% (prev 71.45%; Δ -0.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 200.4 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 715.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.02m) |
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 1.57b - Total Current Liabilities 440.6m) / Total Assets 3.33b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 1.51b / Total Assets 3.33b) |
| C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 604.5m / Avg Total Assets 3.17b) |
| D: 2.87 (Book Value of Equity 1.70b / Total Liabilities 592.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 7.99 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 390.4m/372.7m, Revenue 2.25b/2.15b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 52.31% / 52.76%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.28) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.25b / 2.15b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 516.2m - CFO 678.4m) / TA 3.33b) |
| Beneish M = -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 75.31 with a total of 829,418 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.12%,
over one month by -7.29%,
over three months by -18.82% and
over the past year by -9.77%.
Graco has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GGG.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 92 | 22.2% |
P/E Forward = 24.2718
P/S = 5.5582
P/B = 4.5583
P/EG = 2.5576
Revenue TTM = 2.25b USD
EBIT TTM = 604.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 715.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 17.5m USD (estimated: total debt 44.8m - short term 27.3m)
Short Term Debt = 27.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 70.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 25.6m
Net Debt = -641.8m USD (calculated: Debt 70.4m - CCE 712.2m)
Enterprise Value = 11.9b USD (12.5b + Debt 70.4m - CCE 712.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 200.4 (Ebit TTM 604.5m / Interest Expense TTM 3.02m)
EV/FCF = 18.78x (Enterprise Value 11.9b / FCF TTM 631.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.32% (FCF TTM 631.2m / Enterprise Value 11.9b)
FCF Margin = 28.07% (FCF TTM 631.2m / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Net Margin = 22.96% (Net Income TTM 516.2m / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Gross Margin = 52.31% ((Revenue TTM 2.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.96% (prev 51.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.56 (Enterprise Value 11.9b / Total Assets 3.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.28% (Interest Expense 3.02m / Debt 70.4m)
Taxrate = 15.41% (21.6m / 140.1m)
NOPAT = 511.4m (EBIT 604.5m * (1 - 15.41%))
Current Ratio = 3.56 (Total Current Assets 1.57b / Total Current Liabilities 440.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 70.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.74b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.90 (Net Debt -641.8m / EBITDA 715.8m)
Debt / FCF = -1.02 (Net Debt -641.8m / FCF TTM 631.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.28% (Net Income 516.2m / Total Assets 3.33b)
RoE = 19.65% (Net Income TTM 516.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.63b)
RoCE = 22.86% (EBIT 604.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.63b + L.T.Debt 17.5m))
RoIC = 23.15% (NOPAT 511.4m / Invested Capital 2.21b)
WACC = 8.53% (E(12.5b)/V(12.6b) * Re(8.56%) + D(70.4m)/V(12.6b) * Rd(4.28%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -58.43 | Cagr: -0.96%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.38% ; FCFF base≈597.9m ; Y1≈685.4m ; Y5≈1.01b
[DCF] Fair Price = 92.50 (EV 14.7b - Net Debt -641.8m = Equity 15.4b / Shares 166.0m; r=8.53% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -42.64 | EPS CAGR: -1.43% | SUE: -1.43 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 34.83 | Revenue CAGR: 0.71% | SUE: -1.34 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-2.64% | Revisions=-54% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.80 | Chg30d=+0.50% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.10 | Chg30d=-2.89% | Revisions=-69% | GrowthEPS=+5.0% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.38 | Chg30d=-2.60% | Revisions=-67% | GrowthEPS=+9.1% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -69%