(GOOS) Canada Goose Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Jackets, Parkas, Outerwear, Coats
GOOS EPS (Earnings per Share)
GOOS Revenue
Description: GOOS Canada Goose Holdings
Canada Goose Holdings Inc (NYSE:GOOS) is a Canadian company operating in the Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods sub-industry. The companys stock performance is characterized by a relatively high beta of 1.509, indicating a volatility higher than the overall market.
The stocks current price is $11.18, with moving averages suggesting a potential downward trend in the short to medium term, as the SMA20 and SMA50 are above the current price. The stock has experienced significant price fluctuations over the past year, with a 52-week high of $15.24 and a low of $6.88.
From a fundamental perspective, Canada Goose has a market capitalization of $1.076 billion USD, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.63, suggesting a relatively high valuation compared to its current earnings. The forward P/E ratio is significantly lower at 11.09, indicating expected earnings growth. The return on equity stands at 10.30%, indicating a moderate level of profitability.
Key economic drivers for Canada Goose include consumer spending on luxury goods, seasonality in the apparel industry, and the overall health of the global economy. Key performance indicators (KPIs) to monitor include revenue growth, gross margin expansion, and same-store sales growth. The companys ability to maintain its brand premium, manage production costs, and expand into new markets will be crucial in driving future growth.
To evaluate the stocks potential, its essential to analyze its ability to generate cash flows, manage debt, and invest in growth initiatives. Monitoring the companys inventory levels, accounts receivable, and accounts payable will provide insights into its operational efficiency. Additionally, tracking the competitive landscape and market trends in the luxury goods sector will help identify potential opportunities and threats.
GOOS Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,177m |
| Sub-Industry | Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods |
| IPO / Inception | 2017-03-16 |
GOOS Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -23.1% |
| Fundamental | 58.4% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -2.91% |
| Analyst Rating | 2.67 of 5 |
GOOS Dividends
Currently no dividends paidGOOS Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 5% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 22.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -92.1% |
| CAGR 5y | -11.97% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.14 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.54 |
| Alpha | -1.60 |
| Beta | 0.960 |
| Volatility | 116.14% |
| Current Volume | 1156.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1166.5k |
| Stop Loss | 12.4 (-4.5%) |
| Signal | -0.92 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (47.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 82.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.71pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 28.88% (prev 27.26%; Δ 1.62pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 292.5m > Net Income 47.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (541.4m) to EBITDA (233.4m) ratio: 2.32 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (98.2m) change vs 12m ago 1.60% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 69.93% (prev 63.90%; Δ 6.03pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 91.78% (prev 92.39%; Δ -0.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.60 (EBITDA TTM 233.4m / Interest Expense TTM 40.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.99
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 783.7m - Total Current Liabilities 388.6m) / Total Assets 1.53b |
| (B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 221.5m / Total Assets 1.53b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 104.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.49b |
| (D) 0.34 = Book Value of Equity 366.0m / Total Liabilities 1.08b |
| Total Rating: 2.99 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.38
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 14.27% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 20.11% = 5.03 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.12 = 1.90 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.08 = -0.16 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 1.47% = 1.84 |
| 7. RoE 10.30% = 0.86 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -12.74% = -0.64 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -29.07% = -2.50 |
| 10. EPS Trend -18.06% = -0.45 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -292.4% = -2.50 |
What is the price of GOOS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.80%, over one month by -0.54%, over three months by +6.13% and over the past year by +13.56%.
Is Canada Goose Holdings a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GOOS is around 10.77 USD . This means that GOOS is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -17.03%.
Is GOOS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 4
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GOOS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.6 | -18.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.6 | -18.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.9 | -8.2% |
Last update: 2025-08-28 04:40
GOOS Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 180.5m CAD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 34.7714
P/E Forward = 12.1803
P/S = 0.8605
P/B = 3.7846
P/EG = 3.02
Beta = 1.509
Revenue TTM = 1.37b CAD
EBIT TTM = 104.2m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 233.4m CAD
Long Term Debt = 388.6m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 96.8m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 485.4m CAD (Calculated: Short Term 96.8m + Long Term 388.6m)
Net Debt = 541.4m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.93b CAD (1.62b + Debt 485.4m - CCE 180.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.60 (Ebit TTM 104.2m / Interest Expense TTM 40.1m)
FCF Yield = 14.27% (FCF TTM 275.1m / Enterprise Value 1.93b)
FCF Margin = 20.11% (FCF TTM 275.1m / Revenue TTM 1.37b)
Net Margin = 3.44% (Net Income TTM 47.0m / Revenue TTM 1.37b)
Gross Margin = 69.93% ((Revenue TTM 1.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 411.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.27 (Enterprise Value 1.93b / Book Value Of Equity 366.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.85% (Interest Expense 9.00m / Debt 485.4m)
Taxrate = 19.13% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 24.5m / 128.1m)
NOPAT = 84.3m (EBIT 104.2m * (1 - 19.13%))
Current Ratio = 2.02 (Total Current Assets 783.7m / Total Current Liabilities 388.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 485.4m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 431.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.08 (Net Debt 541.4m / EBITDA 233.4m)
Debt / FCF = 1.76 (Debt 485.4m / FCF TTM 275.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 456.4m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.07% (Net Income 47.0m, Total Assets 1.53b )
RoE = 10.30% (Net Income TTM 47.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 456.4m)
RoCE = 12.33% (Ebit 104.2m / (Equity 456.4m + L.T.Debt 388.6m))
RoIC = 9.17% (NOPAT 84.3m / Invested Capital 919.0m)
WACC = 7.70% (E(1.62b)/V(2.11b) * Re(9.55%)) + (D(485.4m)/V(2.11b) * Rd(1.85%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.33%
Discount Rate = 9.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.82% ; FCFE base≈236.2m ; Y1≈264.6m ; Y5≈352.1m
Fair Price DCF = 101.8 (DCF Value 4.69b / Shares Outstanding 46.1m; 5y FCF grow 13.89% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -12.74 | Revenue CAGR: -29.07%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 2.94
EPS Correlation: -18.06 | EPS CAGR: -292.4%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -14.42
Additional Sources for GOOS Stock
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