(GOOS) Canada Goose Holdings - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Apparel Manufacturing | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 953m USD | Total Return: -21.6% in 12m

Outerwear, Apparel, Footwear, Accessories
Total Rating 34
Safety 83
Buy Signal -0.46
Apparel Manufacturing
Industry Rotation: -12.4
Market Cap: 953M
Avg Turnover: 4.66M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility49.7%
VaR 5th Pctl7.97%
VaR vs Median-2.89%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.03
Rel. Str. IBD8.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group12.1
Character TTM
Beta1.201
Beta Downside1.241
Hurst Exponent0.415
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD62.28%
CAGR/Max DD-0.25
CAGR/Mean DD-0.47
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GOOS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.01, "2021-06": -0.45, "2021-09": 0.12, "2021-12": 1.42, "2022-03": 0.04, "2022-06": -0.56, "2022-09": 0.22, "2022-12": 1.27, "2023-03": 0.14, "2023-06": -0.7, "2023-09": 0.16, "2023-12": 1.37, "2024-03": 0.19, "2024-06": -0.79, "2024-09": 0.04, "2024-12": 1.0568, "2025-03": 0.2365, "2025-06": -0.91, "2025-09": -0.16, "2025-12": 1.04, "2026-03": 0.2701,
EPS CAGR: -46.42%
EPS Trend: -91.5%
Last SUE: -0.16
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GOOS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 208.8, 2021-06: 56.3, 2021-09: 232.9, 2021-12: 586.1, 2022-03: 223.1, 2022-06: 69.9, 2022-09: 277.2, 2022-12: 576.7, 2023-03: 293.2, 2023-06: 64.04856, 2023-09: 281.1, 2023-12: 609.9, 2024-03: 358, 2024-06: 88.1, 2024-09: 267.8, 2024-12: 607.9, 2025-03: 384.6, 2025-06: 107.8, 2025-09: 272.6, 2025-12: 694.5, 2026-03: 454.471447,
Rev. CAGR: 7.41%
Rev. Trend: 94.4%
Last SUE: 0.39
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: GOOS Canada Goose Holdings

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (NYSE: GOOS) is a Toronto-based performance luxury brand specializing in outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories. Founded in 1957, the company operates a vertically integrated model, managing design and manufacturing for its primary labels, including Canada Goose and Baffin. Its product portfolio spans seasonally diverse categories, ranging from heavyweight down jackets to lightweight knitwear and footwear.

The company utilizes a multi-channel distribution strategy consisting of Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) retail and e-commerce, alongside wholesale partnerships. This dual approach allows luxury brands to maintain premium pricing power while expanding global reach across North America, Asia Pacific, and EMEA. In the luxury apparel sector, high-end outerwear manufacturers often face significant cyclicality tied to winter weather patterns and consumer discretionary spending shifts.

Investors can evaluate the company’s long-term margin trends and inventory levels on ValueRay. Given its expansion into Greater China and the Asia Pacific, the business remains sensitive to international trade dynamics and regional luxury demand.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Greater China luxury demand recovery dictates long-term revenue and margin growth
  • Direct-to-consumer expansion strategy shifts focus away from lower-margin wholesale partners
  • Inventory management efficiency impacts gross margins amid fluctuating seasonal weather patterns
  • Brand diversification into footwear and apparel reduces reliance on winter outerwear
  • Higher interest rates and inflation dampen North American premium consumer spending
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 22.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.66 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 39.33% < 20% (prev 40.55%; Δ -1.23% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 159.9m > Net Income 22.6m
Net Debt (752.6m) to EBITDA (220.2m): 3.42 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.63 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (99.2m) vs 12m ago 1.09% < -2%
Gross Margin: 67.40% > 18% (prev 0.70%; Δ 6.67k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 90.64% > 50% (prev 83.40%; Δ 7.24% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.54 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 220.2m / Interest Expense TTM 34.9m)
Altman Z'' 3.77
A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 970.9m - Total Current Liabilities 369.5m) / Total Assets 1.76b
B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 370.2m / Total Assets 1.76b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 88.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.69b)
D: 0.47 (Book Value of Equity 525.5m / Total Liabilities 1.13b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.77 = AA
Beneish M -2.86
DSRI: 1.22 (Receivables 128.6m/93.0m, Revenue 1.53b/1.35b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 67.40% / 69.94%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.19)
SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 1.53b / 1.35b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 22.6m - CFO 159.9m) / TA 1.76b)
Beneish M = -2.86 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of GOOS shares?

As of May 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.81 with a total of 417,573 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.51%, over one month by -16.15%, over three months by -21.01% and over the past year by -21.58%.

Is GOOS a buy, sell or hold?

Canada Goose Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GOOS.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 4
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the GOOS price?
Analysts Target Price 9.5 -3.2%
Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 May 2026
Market Cap CAD = 1.32b (953.0m USD * 1.3805 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 57.7059
P/E Forward = 9.1241
P/S = 0.6236
P/B = 2.1536
P/EG = 3.02
Revenue TTM = 1.53b CAD
EBIT TTM = 88.6m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 220.2m CAD
Long Term Debt = 406.4m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 97.3m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.16b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 374.6m
Net Debt = 752.6m CAD (calculated: Debt 1.16b - CCE 409.3m)
Enterprise Value = 2.07b CAD (1.32b + Debt 1.16b - CCE 409.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.54 (Ebit TTM 88.6m / Interest Expense TTM 34.9m)
EV/FCF = 17.76x (Enterprise Value 2.07b / FCF TTM 116.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.63% (FCF TTM 116.4m / Enterprise Value 2.07b)
FCF Margin = 7.61% (FCF TTM 116.4m / Revenue TTM 1.53b)
Net Margin = 1.48% (Net Income TTM 22.6m / Revenue TTM 1.53b)
Gross Margin = 67.40% ((Revenue TTM 1.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 498.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 61.77% (prev 73.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.18 (Enterprise Value 2.07b / Total Assets 1.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.00% (Interest Expense 34.9m / Debt 1.16b)
Taxrate = 43.81% (25.6m / 58.4m)
NOPAT = 49.8m (EBIT 88.6m * (1 - 43.81%))
Current Ratio = 2.63 (Total Current Assets 970.9m / Total Current Liabilities 369.5m)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 1.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 610.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.42 (Net Debt 752.6m / EBITDA 220.2m)
Debt / FCF = 6.46 (Net Debt 752.6m / FCF TTM 116.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 525.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.34% (Net Income 22.6m / Total Assets 1.76b)
RoE = 4.30% (Net Income TTM 22.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 525.4m)
RoCE = 9.50% (EBIT 88.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 525.4m + L.T.Debt 406.4m))
RoIC = 4.62% (NOPAT 49.8m / Invested Capital 1.08b)
WACC = 6.21% (E(1.32b)/V(2.48b) * Re(10.21%) + D(1.16b)/V(2.48b) * Rd(3.00%) * (1-Tc(0.44)))
Discount Rate = 10.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 8.99 | Cagr: -0.92%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈142.8m ; Y1≈125.2m ; Y5≈101.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.89 (EV 1.62b - Net Debt 752.6m = Equity 871.7m / Shares 46.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -91.54 | EPS CAGR: -46.42% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.44 | Revenue CAGR: 7.41% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.72 | Chg30d=-1.30% | Revisions=+45% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=-5.80% | Revisions=+11% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=+3.70% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+33.5% | GrowthRev=+3.0%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=+4.87% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+11.3% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +45%