(GPC) Genuine Parts - Ratings and Ratios
Automotive Parts, Industrial Components, Service Solutions, NAPA Stores
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.16% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.81% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 6.07% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 55.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.16% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.25 |
| Alpha | -3.94 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.21 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.375 |
| Beta | 0.573 |
| Beta Downside | 0.221 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.36% |
| Mean DD | 19.50% |
| Median DD | 19.90% |
Description: GPC Genuine Parts October 16, 2025
Genuine Parts Company (NYSE:GPC) is a long-standing distributor of automotive and industrial replacement parts, founded in 1928 and headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. It operates two primary segments: the Automotive Parts Group, which supplies a broad catalog of parts, accessories, and services for conventional, hybrid, and electric vehicles, and the Industrial Parts Group, which serves heavy-duty, farm, and manufacturing equipment markets.
The Automotive segment includes NAPA retail stores, the NAPA online platform, and a suite of value-added services such as paint mixing, battery testing, and DIY workshops. The Industrial segment offers a wide range of products-from abrasives and hydraulics to safety equipment-and provides inventory-management solutions like vendor-managed inventory and RFID asset tracking. Both segments benefit from a national distribution network that supports aftermarket demand across passenger-car, commercial-vehicle, and equipment sectors.
Key performance indicators as of FY 2024 show $14.5 billion in revenue, a 9.5% operating margin, and a 4.2% dividend yield-metrics that are relatively resilient in a market where aftermarket sales are projected to grow 4–5% annually, driven by rising vehicle age, increasing EV adoption (which creates new parts-replacement cycles), and supply-chain tightening that favors established distributors. However, the company’s exposure to cyclical industrial capital-equipment spending and potential margin pressure from raw-material cost inflation remain material risks.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of GPC’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the proprietary analytics on ValueRay useful as a next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (808.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.44b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.80pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.34% (prev 6.81%; Δ -1.47pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 665.7m <= Net Income 808.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.97b) to EBITDA (1.67b) ratio: 3.56 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.14 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (139.4m) change vs 12m ago -0.14% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 37.03% (prev 36.42%; Δ 0.61pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 117.5% (prev 115.0%; Δ 2.48pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.82 (EBITDA TTM 1.67b / Interest Expense TTM 152.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.97
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 10.67b - Total Current Liabilities 9.38b) / Total Assets 20.69b |
| (B) 0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.51b / Total Assets 20.69b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 1.20b / Avg Total Assets 20.48b |
| (D) 0.29 = Book Value of Equity 4.57b / Total Liabilities 15.89b |
| Total Rating: 1.97 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.94
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.56% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.55% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.34 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.56 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.99)% |
| 7. RoE 17.69% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 80.75% |
| 9. EPS Trend -16.17% |
What is the price of GPC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.02%, over one month by +3.65%, over three months by -6.13% and over the past year by +6.76%.
Is GPC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GPC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 146.1 | 12.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 146.1 | 12.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 126.3 | -3% |
GPC Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 22.1274
P/E Forward = 15.456
P/S = 0.7433
P/B = 3.7362
P/EG = 1.4577
Beta = 0.748
Revenue TTM = 24.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.20b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.67b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.01b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.40b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.97b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 23.85b USD (17.88b + Debt 6.40b - CCE 431.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.82 (Ebit TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 152.9m)
FCF Yield = 0.56% (FCF TTM 133.5m / Enterprise Value 23.85b)
FCF Margin = 0.55% (FCF TTM 133.5m / Revenue TTM 24.06b)
Net Margin = 3.36% (Net Income TTM 808.5m / Revenue TTM 24.06b)
Gross Margin = 37.03% ((Revenue TTM 24.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.15b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.40% (prev 37.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 23.85b / Total Assets 20.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.63% (Interest Expense 40.3m / Debt 6.40b)
Taxrate = 22.46% (65.5m / 291.7m)
NOPAT = 927.4m (EBIT 1.20b * (1 - 22.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 10.67b / Total Current Liabilities 9.38b)
Debt / Equity = 1.34 (Debt 6.40b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.56 (Net Debt 5.97b / EBITDA 1.67b)
Debt / FCF = 44.69 (Net Debt 5.97b / FCF TTM 133.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.91% (Net Income 808.5m / Total Assets 20.69b)
RoE = 17.69% (Net Income TTM 808.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.57b)
RoCE = 14.38% (EBIT 1.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.57b + L.T.Debt 3.75b))
RoIC = 10.10% (NOPAT 927.4m / Invested Capital 9.18b)
WACC = 6.12% (E(17.88b)/V(24.28b) * Re(8.13%) + D(6.40b)/V(24.28b) * Rd(0.63%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.34%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.87% ; FCFE base≈440.5m ; Y1≈364.5m ; Y5≈264.8m
Fair Price DCF = 34.53 (DCF Value 4.80b / Shares Outstanding 139.1m; 5y FCF grow -20.80% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -16.17 | EPS CAGR: 2.73% | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 80.75 | Revenue CAGR: 7.32% | SUE: 1.99 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.01 | Chg30d=+0.021 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.40 | Chg30d=-0.049 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+10.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%
Additional Sources for GPC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle