(GPC) Genuine Parts - Overview
Stock: Automotive Parts, Industrial Parts, Replacement Parts, Accessories, Fluids
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.8% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.31 |
| Alpha | -25.62 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.892 |
| Beta Downside | 0.493 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.69% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.26 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Risks
P/E ratio: 249.1702
Description: GPC Genuine Parts February 28, 2026
Genuine Parts Company (NYSE:GPC) is a leading distributor of automotive and industrial replacement parts, operating through its Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group. The business serves a broad spectrum of customers-from DIY enthusiasts at its NAPA-branded independent repair shops and online platform to professional fleets that require heavy-duty components, custom services, and inventory-management solutions.
In the most recent fiscal year (2025), GPC reported revenue of $14.9 billion, a 4.2% year-over-year increase driven largely by higher sales of electric-vehicle (EV) and hybrid parts. Adjusted earnings per share rose to $5.84, and the company maintained its 3.5% dividend yield, marking the 21st consecutive year of dividend growth. Inventory turnover improved to 6.1×, reflecting tighter supply-chain execution and stronger demand forecasting.
Key drivers for the sector include the accelerating adoption of EVs-projected to account for 18% of the U.S. light-vehicle aftermarket by 2027-and resilient consumer spending on vehicle maintenance despite modest macro-economic headwinds. Additionally, labor shortages in the skilled-trade workforce are prompting fleets to rely more on third-party distributors like GPC for comprehensive parts-and-service solutions.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may want to explore GPCs profile on ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Automotive aftermarket demand drives parts sales
- Industrial parts distribution impacts revenue
- Raw material costs influence profit margins
- Economic downturns reduce discretionary spending
- Vehicle fleet age affects replacement part sales
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: 65.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.52 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.20% < 20% (prev 5.65%; Δ -2.45% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 890.8m > Net Income 65.9m |
| Net Debt (7.80b) to EBITDA (747.9m): 10.43 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.08 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (138.9m) vs 12m ago -0.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.08% > 18% (prev 0.36%; Δ 3572 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 121.3% > 50% (prev 121.8%; Δ -0.54% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.28 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 747.9m / Interest Expense TTM 163.5m) |
Altman Z'' 1.30
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 10.56b - Total Current Liabilities 9.79b) / Total Assets 20.80b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 4.57b / Total Assets 20.80b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 209.9m / Avg Total Assets 20.04b) |
| D: 0.26 (Book Value of Equity 4.19b / Total Liabilities 16.36b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.30 = BB |
Beneish M -3.01
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 2.37b/2.18b, Revenue 24.30b/23.49b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 36.08% / 36.29%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 24.30b / 23.49b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 65.9m - CFO 890.8m) / TA 20.80b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of GPC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.80%, over one month by -22.71%, over three months by -10.80% and over the past year by -10.45%.
Is GPC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GPC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 143.5 | 28.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 143.5 | 28.3% |
GPC Fundamental Data Overview March 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 14.0056
P/S = 0.6704
P/B = 3.5982
P/EG = 1.3219
Revenue TTM = 24.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 209.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 747.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.50b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.30b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.80b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 24.09b USD (16.29b + Debt 8.27b - CCE 477.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.28 (Ebit TTM 209.9m / Interest Expense TTM 163.5m)
EV/FCF = 57.23x (Enterprise Value 24.09b / FCF TTM 420.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.75% (FCF TTM 420.9m / Enterprise Value 24.09b)
FCF Margin = 1.73% (FCF TTM 420.9m / Revenue TTM 24.30b)
Net Margin = 0.27% (Net Income TTM 65.9m / Revenue TTM 24.30b)
Gross Margin = 36.08% ((Revenue TTM 24.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.10% (prev 37.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.16 (Enterprise Value 24.09b / Total Assets 20.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.48% (Interest Expense 40.0m / Debt 8.27b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 165.8m (EBIT 209.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.08 (Total Current Assets 10.56b / Total Current Liabilities 9.79b)
Debt / Equity = 1.87 (Debt 8.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.42b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.43 (Net Debt 7.80b / EBITDA 747.9m)
Debt / FCF = 18.52 (Net Debt 7.80b / FCF TTM 420.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.33% (Net Income 65.9m / Total Assets 20.80b)
RoE = 1.44% (Net Income TTM 65.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.59b)
RoCE = 2.60% (EBIT 209.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.59b + L.T.Debt 3.50b))
RoIC = 1.78% (NOPAT 165.8m / Invested Capital 9.33b)
WACC = 6.23% (E(16.29b)/V(24.57b) * Re(9.20%) + D(8.27b)/V(24.57b) * Rd(0.48%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.52%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.08% ; FCFF base≈526.1m ; Y1≈417.4m ; Y5≈278.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 7.74b - Net Debt 7.80b = -53.9m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -58.23 | EPS CAGR: -4.75% | SUE: -1.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.04 | Revenue CAGR: 3.43% | SUE: -0.50 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.11 | Chg7d=-0.204 | Chg30d=-0.201 | Revisions Net=-7 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.91 | Chg7d=-0.515 | Chg30d=-0.503 | Revisions Net=-9 | Growth EPS=+7.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.61 | Chg7d=-0.563 | Chg30d=-0.544 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+8.9% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 7 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 8.8% (Discount Rate 9.2% - Earnings Yield 0.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -4.2% (Analyst 4.5% - Implied 8.8%)