GPC Stock Analysis: Genuine Parts | NYSE
Auto Parts | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 17.334m USD | 12M Return: -6.2% | US3724601055 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 115M
EPS Trend: -91.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 95.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) is a U.S.-based distributor of automotive and industrial replacement parts, operating through three segments: North America Automotive Parts Group, International Automotive Parts Group, and Industrial Parts Group. The company supplies parts, accessories, tools, and related solutions for a wide range of vehicles, including hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, buses, motorcycles, farm equipment, and heavy-duty machinery. Its product portfolio spans replacement components such as brakes, batteries, filters, engine parts, and fluids, alongside value-added services like paint mixing, hydraulic hose assembly, battery testing, and key cutting.
GPC serves independent repair shops and auto care centers primarily through the well-known NAPA brand, and also offers technical training programs to its customers. On the industrial side, the company distributes bearings, seals, gaskets, hoses, hydraulics, pneumatics, abrasives, adhesives, power transmission products, tools, electrical supplies, and chemicals. It complements this with inventory management, vendor-managed inventory, RFID-based asset tracking, and specialized repair services for gearboxes, pumps, drive shafts, and fluid power systems. The company was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
GPC operates as a B2B distributor within the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS Sub-Industry: Distributors), generating revenue by moving parts from thousands of suppliers to a fragmented base of professional installers and industrial customers. Its model combines broad product assortment with localized service, supported by large-scale distribution networks such as NAPA in North America.
- NAPA comparable sales growth drives North America segment revenue
- Industrial Parts margins compress on softening MRO demand
- EV adoption threatens long-term replacement parts demand
| Net Income: 32.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.05% < 20% (prev 5.30%; Δ 0.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.19b > Net Income 32.8m |
| Net Debt (7.77b) to EBITDA (736.6m): 10.55 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.16 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (138.0m) vs 12m ago -0.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.22% > 18% (prev 36.88%; Δ -0.66% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 120.9% > 50% (prev 116.3%; Δ 4.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.01 > 6 (EBIT TTM 171.3m / Interest Expense TTM 170.1m) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 11.1b - Total Current Liabilities 9.55b) / Total Assets 21.1b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 4.69b / Total Assets 21.1b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 171.3m / Avg Total Assets 20.7b) |
| D: 0.27 (Book Value of Equity 4.53b / Total Liabilities 16.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.54 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.70 (Receivables 2.65b/3.57b, Revenue 25.1b/23.8b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 36.88% / 36.22%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 25.1b / 23.8b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 32.8m - CFO 1.19b) / TA 21.1b) |
| Beneish M = -3.25 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 125.12 with a total of 981,201 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.20%, over one month by -6.49%, over three months by +7.41% and over the past year by -6.16%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 120.10 (which is 4% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Genuine Parts has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.62. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GPC.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 139.2 | 11.3% |
P/E Trailing = 502.96
P/E Forward = 15.361
P/S = 0.6914
P/B = 3.9472
P/EG = 1.6098
Revenue TTM = 25.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 171.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 736.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.00b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.67b
Net Debt = 7.77b USD (calculated: Debt 8.33b - CCE 559.1m)
Enterprise Value = 25.1b USD (17.3b + Debt 8.33b - CCE 559.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.01 (Ebit TTM 171.3m / Interest Expense TTM 170.1m)
EV/FCF = 33.06x (Enterprise Value 25.1b / FCF TTM 759.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.03% (FCF TTM 759.4m / Enterprise Value 25.1b)
FCF Margin = 3.03% (FCF TTM 759.4m / Revenue TTM 25.1b)
Net Margin = 0.13% (Net Income TTM 32.8m / Revenue TTM 25.1b)
Gross Margin = 36.22% ((Revenue TTM 25.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.80% (prev 37.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.19 (Enterprise Value 25.1b / Total Assets 21.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.04% (Interest Expense 170.1m / Debt 8.33b)
Taxrate = 22.55% (66.3m / 293.8m)
NOPAT = 132.6m (EBIT 171.3m * (1 - 22.55%))
Current Ratio = 1.16 (Total Current Assets 11.1b / Total Current Liabilities 9.55b)
Debt / Equity = 1.84 (Debt 8.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.55 (Net Debt 7.77b / EBITDA 736.6m)
Debt / FCF = 10.23 (Net Debt 7.77b / FCF TTM 759.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.16% (Net Income 32.8m / Total Assets 21.1b)
RoE = 0.72% (Net Income TTM 32.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.55b)
RoCE = 2.01% (EBIT 171.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.55b + L.T.Debt 3.98b))
RoIC = 1.11% (NOPAT 132.6m / Invested Capital 12.0b)
WACC = 6.32% (E(17.3b)/V(25.7b) * Re(8.60%) + D(8.33b)/V(25.7b) * Rd(2.04%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -90.22 | Cagr: -0.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈556.2m ; Y1≈637.6m ; Y5≈938.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 46.09 (EV 14.1b - Net Debt 7.77b = Equity 6.35b / Shares 137.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -91.13 | EPS CAGR: -10.32% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.68 | Revenue CAGR: 3.05% | SUE: 1.62 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.04 | Chg30d=+0.10% | Revisions=+18% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.74 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+30% | GrowthEPS=+5.0% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.31 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=-18% | GrowthEPS=+7.4% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +12% (up=13, down=10)