(GPI) Group 1 Automotive - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto & Truck Dealerships | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 3.947m USD | Total Return: -25% in 12m

New Vehicles, Used Vehicles, Spare Parts, Maintenance Services, Financing
Total Rating 38
Safety 77
Buy Signal -0.28
Auto & Truck Dealerships
Industry Rotation: +1.1
Market Cap: 3.95B
Avg Turnover: 50.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.3%
VaR 5th Pctl5.93%
VaR vs Median-0.99%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.84
Rel. Str. IBD10.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group28.1
Character TTM
Beta0.649
Beta Downside0.810
Hurst Exponent0.493
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD38.91%
CAGR/Max DD0.29
CAGR/Mean DD1.08
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GPI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 5.57, "2021-06": 10.31, "2021-09": 9.62, "2021-12": 9.43, "2022-03": 10.92, "2022-06": 12.1, "2022-09": 11.91, "2022-12": 10.86, "2023-03": 10.91, "2023-06": 11.73, "2023-09": 12.07, "2023-12": 9.5, "2024-03": 9.53, "2024-06": 9.8, "2024-09": 9.91, "2024-12": 10.02, "2025-03": 10.2, "2025-06": 11.52, "2025-09": 1, "2025-12": 8.49, "2026-03": 8.66,
EPS CAGR: -13.52%
EPS Trend: -89.8%
Last SUE: -0.04
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GPI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 2953.9, 2021-06: 3625.5, 2021-09: 3412.8, 2021-12: 3262.2, 2022-03: 3844.4, 2022-06: 4145.3, 2022-09: 4163.4, 2022-12: 4068.9, 2023-03: 4130, 2023-06: 4558.6, 2023-09: 4705.1, 2023-12: 4480, 2024-03: 4470.5, 2024-06: 4696.3, 2024-09: 5221.4, 2024-12: 5546.2, 2025-03: 5505.3, 2025-06: 5703.5, 2025-09: 5782.7, 2025-12: 5579.9, 2026-03: 5407.1,
Rev. CAGR: 12.54%
Rev. Trend: 97.9%
Last SUE: -0.11
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: GPI Group 1 Automotive

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) is an international automotive retailer operating a network of dealerships and digital platforms across the United States and the United Kingdom. The company’s diversified revenue model includes the sale of new and used vehicles, wholesale auctioning, and the distribution of replacement parts. Additionally, the firm generates recurring revenue through high-margin segments such as automotive maintenance, collision repair services, and the arrangement of vehicle financing and insurance contracts.

The automotive retail sector is characterized by a hub-and-spoke service model where fixed operations-parts and service-often provide more stable margins than cyclical vehicle sales. As a consolidated dealership group, GPI benefits from economies of scale in inventory procurement and back-office integration. Investors may find it useful to examine ValueRay for deeper insights into the companys valuation metrics. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company has expanded its footprint through strategic acquisitions since its incorporation in 1995.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Strategic acquisitions of franchised dealerships drive consolidated revenue and market share growth
  • Aftersales and parts services maintain high margins during vehicle sales downturns
  • New and used vehicle inventory levels impact gross profit per unit
  • High interest rates increase floorplan financing costs and pressure consumer affordability
  • Regulatory changes in United Kingdom operations impact international segment profitability margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 326.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.28 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -0.86% < 20% (prev 0.02%; Δ -0.89% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 579.9m > Net Income 326.1m
Net Debt (5.80b) to EBITDA (1.08b): 5.37 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.95 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.0m) vs 12m ago -8.28% < -2%
Gross Margin: 15.51% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 1.53k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 225.3% > 50% (prev 212.1%; Δ 13.21% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.15 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.08b / Interest Expense TTM 303.3m)
Altman Z'' 2.65
A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 3.51b - Total Current Liabilities 3.70b) / Total Assets 10.1b
B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 4.55b / Total Assets 10.1b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 956.8m / Avg Total Assets 9.97b)
D: 0.63 (Book Value of Equity 4.57b / Total Liabilities 7.22b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.65 = A
Beneish M -3.11
DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 679.0m/750.4m, Revenue 22.5b/21.0b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 15.51% / 16.03%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.32)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 22.5b / 21.0b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 326.1m - CFO 579.9m) / TA 10.1b)
Beneish M = -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of GPI shares?

As of May 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 316.34 with a total of 181,881 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.18%, over one month by -9.41%, over three months by -2.72% and over the past year by -24.97%.

Is GPI a buy, sell or hold?

Group 1 Automotive has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GPI.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GPI price?
Analysts Target Price 443.3 40.1%
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.95b (3.95b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.6122
P/E Forward = 7.9554
P/S = 0.1756
P/B = 1.3899
P/EG = 0.3997
Revenue TTM = 22.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 956.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.08b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.85b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.58b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 231.9m
Net Debt = 5.80b USD (calculated: Debt 5.84b - CCE 41.7m)
Enterprise Value = 9.75b USD (3.95b + Debt 5.84b - CCE 41.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.15 (Ebit TTM 956.8m / Interest Expense TTM 303.3m)
EV/FCF = 35.05x (Enterprise Value 9.75b / FCF TTM 278.1m)
FCF Yield = 2.85% (FCF TTM 278.1m / Enterprise Value 9.75b)
FCF Margin = 1.24% (FCF TTM 278.1m / Revenue TTM 22.5b)
Net Margin = 1.45% (Net Income TTM 326.1m / Revenue TTM 22.5b)
Gross Margin = 15.51% ((Revenue TTM 22.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 19.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.66% (prev 15.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 9.75b / Total Assets 10.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.19% (Interest Expense 303.3m / Debt 5.84b)
Taxrate = 23.81% (40.6m / 170.5m)
NOPAT = 729.0m (EBIT 956.8m * (1 - 23.81%))
Current Ratio = 0.95 (Total Current Assets 3.51b / Total Current Liabilities 3.70b)
Debt / Equity = 2.06 (Debt 5.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.37 (Net Debt 5.80b / EBITDA 1.08b)
Debt / FCF = 20.86 (Net Debt 5.80b / FCF TTM 278.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.27% (Net Income 326.1m / Total Assets 10.1b)
RoE = 11.04% (Net Income TTM 326.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.95b)
RoCE = 16.48% (EBIT 956.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.95b + L.T.Debt 2.85b))
RoIC = 8.15% (NOPAT 729.0m / Invested Capital 8.94b)
WACC = 5.69% (E(3.95b)/V(9.79b) * Re(8.26%) + D(5.84b)/V(9.79b) * Rd(5.19%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -5.72%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.68% ; FCFF base≈265.2m ; Y1≈299.2m ; Y5≈422.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 49.07 (EV 6.39b - Net Debt 5.80b = Equity 583.8m / Shares 11.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 13.14% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -89.77 | EPS CAGR: -13.52% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.94 | Revenue CAGR: 12.54% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=10.98 | Chg30d=+0.38% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=11.80 | Chg30d=+2.98% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=42.18 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=+3.6% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=47.52 | Chg30d=+0.05% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=+12.7% | GrowthRev=+3.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50%